Robertj21a
On Moderation
- Joined
- 22 Sep 2013
- Messages
- 7,691
I know that public opinion is generally to moan about politicians (and theres plenty of whinging about the Tories), but the more I think about this, the more I think its the railways problem. Despite the continuing spending cuts in other parts of the economy (twelve billion a year from welfare payments to children and those of working age?), spending on the railway hadnt been cut. I dont think enthusiasts realise this - outside of our bubble there are some savage cuts taking place - if the worst case scenario for the railway is that it keeps the same budget (but can't do as much with that money) then we've got off lightly.
All that theyve done is fix the amount of that spending. Network Rail had committed to doing lots of schemes with the money... the cost of those schemes have gone up... now theyre having to decide which schemes to target with that money (since their spiralling bills mean they cant do everything promised).
Spin that to be about how bad politicians are if you want, but if the railway had been able to deliver the things it promised to at the price it promised in the timescales it promised then we wouldnt be having this thread.
Whether the blame lies with top brass at Network Rail (to use a tabloid cliché), contractors, Orangemen, scope creep... I dont know, but I think that the blame is on the side of the railway here, rather than the politicians. Weve seen a time of relatively low inflation, significant drop in fuel prices etc, so I dont think that there are many external excuses for why the costs appear to be going up so much.
But given the delays/ overspends weve had on relatively shorter/ simpler electrification around Manchester, would you trust Network Rail to deliver hundreds of miles of committed electrification in the timescale they agreed to?
Maybe Network Rail over-promised, maybe they made too many assumptions, maybe they didnt realise that the lack of major electrification projects in recent years meant that there was a lack of experienced people capable of dealing with major electrification projects, maybe they allowed other costs (resignalling, new loops, grade separation) to get lumped into the bill for electrification, maybe they missed a decimal point... the fact is that the railway got it wrong, the railway over-promised.
There may be many reasons to hate Cameron/ Osbourne, but I dont think you can expect them to give a poorly performing railway a blank cheque when its failing to deliver things on budget and on time. For me, this isnt as bad as the pause on all infrastructure at the start of the previous parliament (when they delayed Crossrail further something worth remembering in between all of the predictable the south always gets what it wants comments).
If you want to blame anyone, blame Network Rail for playing into the hands of the Tories by giving them a perfect excuse to distrust the railway/ privatise the railway. We had our chance, we blew it.
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An excellent analysis. Should be posted up in a good many offices and notice boards.