Oh trust me, theres plenty of demand to go around...
The major bus routes being replaced by the south Manchester line (in stagecoach land) have plenty of demand to go around, and will remain to haver plenty afterwould.
The 86/87 Chorlton via Upper or Lower Chorlton Road services stop by at the RNCM where they pick up a lot of passengers, there is a large student population in Chorlton. They will continue to use the buses, the same with the, 47, 47A, 147 and 50 to East and West Didsbury, a lot of passengers on these routes are traveling between the OR corridor, fallowfeild and didsbury, the buses will simply be slightly less busy.
For how busy I've seen the 50 at peak times (The express Manchester - East Didsbury via Kingsway) bus, I don't think it will make any diference to service frequency, or how busy these buses are, as the metrolink serves quite a diferent market, and the 50 is always rammed anyway, have seen it once at E Didsbury where they where setting off two or three at once because there wans't enough space on one bus.
Also, Stagecoach run the trams and the buses
Getting the metrolink into oldham is only going to win back passengers that got shoved onto buses in the first place, that take 1 hour peak to get into Manchetser, as apposed to the NR services that took less than 20. One thinks they really should have built another line and station into Oldham aswell as this metrolink line, (Ashton U Lyne - Mumps anyone?) If nothing else but to cater for the massive Oldham - Manchester flow.
The 216 - 219 & 230 - 237 (East Manchester Line buses), similar situation, the're always rammed, and they probebly will stay rammed as they serve more detinations 'off route' if TfGM comes up with intergrated ticketing then some of these bus services would possibly turn into feeder services for the metrolink stations, but I don't think thats going to happen any time soon in GM, you still can't even buy a through ticket from the Metrolink to another Gm station, I think thatwould be the next step with so much metrolink in Manchester now.
Not nessesarally from outside Manchester but I think it should be possible to buy a ticket from for example, Farnworth to Sale. Although, there is a really easy way to get intergrated ticketing between national rail and metrolink, force Metrolink to join ATOC, fares would remain to be set by TfGM as with rail services, and through ticketing will be possible again. Even just having them not in ATOC but through ticketing available between the networks as is available in the TfL network would be nice, I don't use the metrolink primeraly because of the lack of through ticketing.
Heh, next steps for Metrolink should be re-opening some of the orbital trackbeds around Manchester.
Ashton U Lyne - Oldham
Bolton - Bury - Rochdale (Castleton)
Bolton - Walkden - Eccles
Oldham - Greenfeild?