MCR247
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- 7 Nov 2008
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Would 91 + 10x mrk4 + DVT on the Bristol route and 91 + 8x mrk4 + DVT on the Swansea route work though?
You won't fit an 11 car set in a lot of the platforms, like I have already said....
Would 91 + 10x mrk4 + DVT on the Bristol route and 91 + 8x mrk4 + DVT on the Swansea route work though?
As previously discussed it was considered but due to recent improvements on the MML it was decided that electrification was not needed as much as on the GW.So much easier to just electrify the MML, but noo that would be too simple....
Swansea, Port Talbot Parkway, Newport etc could take up to 9 or 10 carriages, Neath is a maybe, Bridgend you cannot extend the platforms due to the Maesteg Branch at 1 end and the Vale of glamorgan route at the other
i
I think we will see the following....
- DfT to announce electrification to Cardiff in March.
- Sometime later (post WAG elections in May) rail funding/powers will be devolved to Cardiff/WAG who will have no choice politically but to extend to Swansea
- Given this commitment it makes sense to maxmise the economies of scale and electrify the valley lines at the same time.
- I suspect by 2020 we may also see a commitment for MML wires as well
All to be complete by 2020.
We will also see
- dual mode IEPs to cover all FGW intercity network (Plymouth, Worcester, Gloucester, etc)
- and some off the shelf electric only configurations (eg Pendolino) for Paddington-Bristol-Cardiff-Swansea
Ok, so having 10 pasenger cars in a set won't work. However the current formation is 9-car sets (plus the DVT for luggage/bikes). As I said, I don't think the class 91 locomotive would need to fit at most stations, so that's only a 10 vehicle train (and the DVT is shorter than the passenger coaches). Do mrk4s have Selective Door Opening? if they do, it'd probablly be acceptable to tell passengers for the smaller places like Bridgend, Neath and Port Talbot not to travel in the TSOE.You won't fit an 11 car set in a lot of the platforms, like I have already said....
I think that 2 180s would come to a total length of 233.02m. That's only about 11m shorter than 244.99m for the standard IC225 of 9 mrk4 passenger coaches, a mrk4 DVT and a class 91. This means any platform that could take an entire 10-car 180 could take an IC225 rake with only 11m of the 19.40m class 91 outside the platform. Now that I've added up the length of the train all I need to know is the actual platform lengths, are they listed anywhere?FGW did run 2X 5 carriage class 180's to Bristol TM during the peak a few years ago.
Also, I don't think anyone answered my question of whether mrk4s have anything to prevent them going down the Pembroke & Tenby. The IC125 rakes are too long for most platforms down there anyway, so I don't think an extra coach would make all that much difference.
The information I've found on the internet that I used to calculate the total train length says the Mrk4s (except the DVT at 18.59m) are 23m, the same as Mrk3s, so it is a possiblity.It will depend on the length of the stock used, are the MK4 carriages longer than the MK3 carriages? if they are then i doubt they would be able to get through Narbeth station which has a very tight curve through the platform that is tight especially with the MK3 stock
[*]ECML needs greater capacity than GWML, just look at the IC125s, 2+8 on GWML, 2+9 on ECML. Assuming growth levels are similar on the 2 routes, capacity increases can be provided for both by giving new longer trains
[*]The best way of continuing to serve Pembroke & Tenby with direct trains is a push-pull LHCS solution with an electric loco swapped for a diesel at Swansea.
With respect, I don't think that direct trains from London to Pembroke is going to be a deciding factor in the stock used on the GWML. Bigger places on the ECML (Middlesbrough/ Sunderland etc) lost through trains to London when the line was electrified twenty years ago. This is the price paid for electrification. At the moment there are lots of termini from Paddington, but I don't expect all of these will be worth retaining when electrification happens (e.g. the wires will end at Oxford - will it really be worth running IEP to Banbury, or will they just tell people to use Chiltern/ change at Oxford?)...
I must agree that the summer only Summer Saturdays through working to Pembroke Dock will not have a major effect on the choice of new stock. However when I have travelled on that train west of Swansea it has been loaded well enough, so some thought will need to be given as to how to cope with the number of passengers that do travel onit. I suspect that most weeks there will be too many for a 153 or a 150.
As previously discussed it was considered but due to recent improvements on the MML it was decided that electrification was not needed as much as on the GW.
I'm sure the loadings are fine, I'm just trying to be realistic on these threads about the links that will be lost at GWML electrification.
At the moment you have Paddington services to:
Greenford
Marlow
Henley
Reading
Oxford
Banbury
Worcester
Great Malvern
Hereford
Cheltenham
Cardiff
Swansea
Carmarthen
Pembroke
Bristol
Weston
Exeter
Plymouth
Newquay
Penzance
Paignton
Pewsey
Heathrow
(forgive me if I have omitted any, am going in a broad anti-clockwise circle)
So, if my memory and maths are correct, that's twenty three different places, on eleven "spokes".
Now, I appreciate that IEP will allow through running to non-electrified lines. And Crossrail will take over Heathrow. And Greenford will become a "stand alone" route terminating at West Ealing. But, some places are going to end up losing a direct London service. If it wasn't worth running through trains to Sunderland and Middlesbrough (approx 500,000 people live in/between the two, when you add on Hartlepool/ Stockton etc), and not worth running through trains to the seaside (Scarborough), and even Humberside got relegated to one train a day) then there's a good chance that London trains will go no further than Cardiff/Swansea/Bristol etc. Will it be worth bringing branchlines up to standard to receive these 26m coaches?
(whereas, electrifying the MML from Bedford to Wakefield/Doncaster would mean all but two "mainline" services a day would be EMU run - the only two exceptions are the Lincoln extension and the Corby -Oakham trip... the MML is pretty self contained and could be electrified without affecting the service pattern)
As previously discussed it was considered but due to recent improvements on the MML it was decided that electrification was not needed as much as on the GW.
Its just soo much easier.
For the MML you have
- Partly electrified
- Only requires a small amount of new stock (to replace HSTs)
- Only requires panto-coaches
- Doesn't have loads of branches
- ECML diversionary route
Although I would like to see electrification of the GWML for obvious reaons, I have to agree that there are more benefits to doing the MML first.
However, it may also be the case that wiring the GWML to Bristol and Cardiff, without any branches, may be preferable to the government for some other reason!
i
I think we will see the following....
- DfT to announce electrification to Cardiff in March.
- Sometime later (post WAG elections in May) rail funding/powers will be devolved to Cardiff/WAG who will have no choice politically but to extend to Swansea
- Given this commitment it makes sense to maxmise the economies of scale and electrify the valley lines at the same time.
- I suspect by 2020 we may also see a commitment for MML wires as well
All to be complete by 2020.
We will also see
- dual mode IEPs to cover all FGW intercity network (Plymouth, Worcester, Gloucester, etc)
- and some off the shelf electric only configurations (eg Pendolino) for Paddington-Bristol-Cardiff-Swansea
Politics shouldn't really be a par tof any rational decision making process, but of course it is in reality. perhaps that is why we make a mess of so many things?
Would you say the same about buses driving around empty then on some routes which could be used to provide a better service on routes where there is demand?Hence my dislike of the WAG Express. Running trains for the sake of politicians or for the sake of "boundaries" rather than for the sake of passenger demand is wrong.
Would you say the same about buses driving around empty then on some routes which could be used to provide a better service on routes where there is demand?
I'm sure the loadings are fine, I'm just trying to be realistic on these threads about the links that will be lost at GWML electrification.
At the moment you have Paddington services to: Greenford, Marlow, Henley, Reading, Oxford, Banbury, Worcester, Great Malvern, Hereford, Cheltenham, Cardiff, Swansea, Carmarthen, Pembroke, Bristol, Weston, Exeter, Plymouth, Newquay, Penzance, Paignton, Pewsey and
Heathrow.
So, if my memory and maths are correct, that's twenty three different places, on eleven "spokes".
Now, I appreciate that IEP will allow through running to non-electrified lines. And Crossrail will take over Heathrow. And Greenford will become a "stand alone" route terminating at West Ealing. But, some places are going to end up losing a direct London service. If it wasn't worth running through trains to Sunderland and Middlesbrough (approx 500,000 people live in/between the two, when you add on Hartlepool/ Stockton etc), and not worth running through trains to the seaside (Scarborough), and even Humberside got relegated to one train a day) then there's a good chance that London trains will go no further than Cardiff/Swansea/Bristol etc. Will it be worth bringing branchlines up to standard to receive these 26m coaches?
(whereas, electrifying the MML from Bedford to Wakefield/Doncaster would mean all but two "mainline" services a day would be EMU run - the only two exceptions are the Lincoln extension and the Corby -Oakham trip... the MML is pretty self contained and could be electrified without affecting the service pattern)
Going forward I think that electricification would be done on routes based on several factors incuding the number of trains per hour on the line and the number and route miles of running under the wires you avoid. I was thinking that most route sections that get 8 or more trains per hour would be have high priorty for electricification, those with 6-7 would have low priorty and those with 5 or less should really be considered unless there are network synergies. For example these line sections on Great Western Route, will be electrified by 2020:
- Nottingham – Beeston 11tph peak
- Cardiff to Newport 9tph peak
- Didcot – Swindon 8tph peak
- Sheffield – Swinton 8tph peak
- Stoke Works Junction – Gloucester 8 tph peak
- Chesterfield South Jn – Tapton Jn 8tph peak
- North Staffordshire Junction – Stenson Jn 8tph peak
- Leeds – Huddersfield 7tph peak
- Harrowden Jn – Kettering 7tph peak
- Stourbridge – Snow Hill 7tph peak
- Dorridge – Moor Street 7tph
- Bristol Temple Meads – Taunton 6tph peak
- Leeds – York 6tph peak
- Sheffield – Chesterfield 6tph peak
- Loughborough – Ratcliffe Jn 6tph peak
While these section could possibly be electrified where necessary after 2020:
- Swindon – Bristol Parkway 4tph peak
- Leeds – Harrogate 4tph peak
- Leeds – Bradford Interchange 4tph peak
- Llanelli to Swansea 4tph peak
- Marylebone – Aylesbury 4tph peak
- Marylebone – Princes Risborough 4tph peak
That list fails to consider that the majority of train services that run over the busiest route sections originate, and travel to, areas beyond the core section. Electrifying short, unconnected links such as those listed above will only mean that the majority of services will consist of diesels running under the (relatively unused) wires. As Greenback says, you seem to have plucked a random list of places from a brief glimpse at a timetable.
Long distance core routes, with few branches or services extending beyond the core route, are the best candidates for electrification, such as the MML, or short "infill" schemes between existing electrification.
the following methods:
[*]Loco dragging IC EMU
[*]Intercity 225 (or new updated version) with a loco swap for a diesel at the end of the wires
Cheltenham services might have to be switched to DMUs from Swindon
Carmarthen, with so few services, is ideal for the EMU drag or 225 loco-swap methods
The only sensible option for Pembroke Dock services, unless an EMU can control a diesel loco that is pushing it from behind, is the Intercity 225 loco-swap method
swap the loco for a diesel at Westbury
I wish to register my protest against the planed adoption of bi-mode multiple units for INTERCITY services
...
This would mean, for example, that the popular summer Saturday tourist trains to Tenby and Pembroke Dock would have to cease