First, I must declare an interest. I am Managing Director of CSRE Limited, the UK company that represents four of China's largest traction & rolling stock manufacturers.
I follow RailUKforums regularly and occasionally I contribute, hopefully in a positive and constructive way.
I've tried very hard to resist the temptation to join this particular discussion but have, in the end failed, so here goes!
The temporary pause in the IEP procurement process is no surprise and it is to Lord Adonis' credit that he has now taken this action, allowing an independent third party with solid experience in assessing whether public procurements are run correctly and offer value for money to take a look at IEP.
Of course, the primary reason for the pause is the unwillingness or inability of either the public (Government) or private (Agility) partner (or both) in this venture to move forward to contract in the current economic climate.
There is no magic solution to this, but there is one thing that is absolutely clear to me, which is that trying to create a "one size fits all" train is not viable, any more than it is viable to have Class 158s doing commuter services or Pacers doing inter-regional services (which currently both happen due to a shortage of appropriate DMUs).
The 365s are ideally suited to the duties that they perform, are relatively modern (or at least as "modern" as the "modern" Class 165 DMUs that the DfT proposes to cascade to other routes when the Thames Valley electrification happens or doesn't) and provide the perfect bridge between long distance and commuter that any train with end doors can not possibly do.
There is no need to replace the IC225 trains on the ECML. They operate perfectly adequately, provide comfortable, relatively high speed services and are sufficiently accessible to operate well past the 2020 threshold for compliance with European legislation.
The HST fleet, on the other hand, would cost a substantial amount of money to bring up to the standard required to clear the RVAR hurdle that will stop it operating past 2020 unless this work is done. Powered doors, retention toilets and other necessary additions would all add weight to the vehicles, impacting on performance and putting extra strain on the structure of vehicles that will be approaching 45 years old by that time. This is simply not realistic, so new rolling stock is definitely needed and this must be introduced in sufficient time and in sufficient numbers so that the HSTs can be retired with honour by 2020.
Strategic electrification is a good idea and this is undeniable. However, it does not make economic or practical sense to electrify all routes that HSTs currently serve. Asking passengers to change train where the wires run out is not a practical solution because non railway savvy passengers would never understand the reasoning and would therefore kick back, especially when connections fail to work.
Using diesel locos to haul electric trains would provide a solution, but Virgin found this very inconvenient when adopting this solution for the North Wales coast.
Under floor diesel engines are a good idea, but not for long journeys especially when they are being introduced on routes where unpowered coaching stock was previously used.
We have tried to be quite low key and humble in promoting our
Polaris product as a solution for IEP, but we genuinely believe that the configuration that Polaris employs is the best compromise (if compromise is the right word) to balance passenger expectations, performance needs, Network Rail demands for track-friendly trains, whole-life cost and reliability requirements.
Polaris uses two small diesel engines and one 3 MW electric traction set in each power car and the power developed is transmitted through the control system to traction motors that are mounted on the power cars and the trailer car nearest to each power car. This minimises the through train cabling and enables trailer cars to be added or removed quickly and easily to cater for demand fluctuations.
GPS and route date is used to control the four diesel engines automatically, ensuring that the driver always has sufficient available power without running engines unnecessarily, thus saving fuel.
A 25 kV bus line that runs the length of the train provides even more redundancy, ensuring that in most situations, the train should be able to continue under its own power, be that electric or diesel.
When IEP was first commenced, the rolling stock industry in China was not nearly as developed as it is now. China is now building more high speed lines and high speed trains than anywhere else in the world. For Polaris, British design and Chinese manufacturing, with UK final assembly would provide a suitable, affordable and appropriate replacement for the HST and I hope that Sir Andrew Foster will consider Polaris when he assesses the Agility Super Express against the alternatives.
Whilst I am happy to answer any questions that forum members may have, I would prefer not to get into a debate about whether Polaris is the right product or not for the IEP. I'm simply posting to explain what we believe the right configuration for IEP should be. Whether Polaris is the right product or not is for others to decide.