But there's a bit of a difference between a couple of 130 metre Class 800s services a day and an hourly 200m HS train. I completely back the former, I think the latter is a bit mad and massively overkill for what the line needs. Why the need for a direct train? Why not a regular connecting 4 carriage train. A HS line should be used to free up capacity in the ECML for secondary destinations like Grimsby. It shouldn't be used to serve secondary destinations itself.
Some points:
1) I don't see why we need to be wedded to the TSI philosophy of running trains in 200m multiples - I think even Watkins himself would not have insisted on a direct continental service from Grimsby! No recent domestic trains do that anyway, and it would not be optimal for Birmingham New St, for example. HSUK Heathrow services would in fact run as at least 100m x 2 because of the platform limitations at Central and T5. There are very high speed trains (200mph) which run as relatively short sets. The E6 Shinkansen is 20m x 7 = 140m and trundles along at 80mph max along the classic lines to quite rural Akita in Japan; and the articulated AGV is as short as 132m according to Wiki. If you will, the 574kmh TGV was of 2 + 3 formation, so would probably have been around 85m.
2) I must repeat that it would not be a dedicated Grimsby express... There is already a 0.5tph to Lincoln from LKX, so imagine reducing the travel time to there by ~30mins, routeing it via the much larger Nottingham rather than Stevenage and Pboro, and sending it off to Grimsby and then Cleethorpes, which already gets an hourly TPE service IIRC. I have to re-emphasise that the bulk of the flows would very naturally be for Nottingham, and there would be no upgrades beyond getting a fast connection from Nottingham to Newark, just to reassure you! And for the avoidance of all doubt, 2tph to Nottingham would remain, only that the fast train would be around 45 mins faster, so no demand dilution from greater frequency. You aggregate flows by routeing efficiently, ending up with a Nottingham + Lincolnshire express and a Lincolnshire REX. I must say that I am slightly baffled to see someone so determined that their hometown
not receive a rail service from London!
3) One must not underestimate the effect of having a direct uninterrupted intercity service, above all to London.
Believe it or not, Grimsby is not absolutely pivotal to HSUK...if demand isn't there, can just drop it...just illustrates what is possible, I think 22tph max flows across a four track mainline demonstrates the capacity to provide services like this.
This HSUK plan is aboslutely bonkers and there's no way it would cost any less than double HS2.
There is merit to going east coast north of Leeds/Manchester, but this could be done via HS2 eastern leg or NPR anyway
1) One has to compare like for like. If we are just comparing London to Manchester & Leeds, route mileage is less because you're using a single spine up to South Yorkshire and integrating the transpennine leg into the North-South leg, rather than forking outside Birmingham and then building another transpennine line on top of that. So instead of building two fast lines to Manchester, from Birmingham/Crewe and Leeds, you're only building one (from Sheffield/Penistone), and the distance between Birmingham and Manchester, is short enough that you can use affordable upgrades to the existing lines to achieve sub-hour journey times, and this includes an essential stop at Stoke.
2) The thing is that you are getting at least double anyway, since you are building four tracks rather than two, but saving money by building them along the same corridor. OTOH HS2 believed 4 tracks would eventually be needed to satisfy anticipated capacity, but its 18tph max is looking very very busy indeed compared to HSUK's around 22tph from London with double the tracks.
3) Given one's accepted the Glasgow - Edinburgh - Newcastle - Darlington/North Yorkshire routeing, why is it so bonkers to head more or less due south straight for London rather than veer west to Birmingham and then steer east again with a stop in OOC? The Birmingham path only makes sense for cross-country services, but the intervals between cross-country stops, in the heart of dense industrial England, are not such as justify very high-speed alignments. The stopping pattern Scotland - NE - Leeds - Sheffield - Derby - Birmingham - Bristol is the XC core, and whilst HSUK can speed up every leg (sensibly), HS2 can't improve through routeings for Leeds - Sheffield - Birmingham. The OOC stop also makes no sense for minimising Anglo-Scottish journey times, given the previous discussions about substituting away flights by beating a 3 hr threshold.