There's a lot of nonsense and outlandish claims in this thread about the relative strengths of various trains, the ability of drivers to take cover, and some frankly bizarre denial that there could ever be any issue with the beloved HST. I'd like to make this very simple.
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First the facts. On a HST, there is nothing structural above the cab floor. The GRP nose fairing is incredibly weak. It offers far less impact resistance than any steel/aluminium framed locomotive or multiple unit.
It is a design that offers very little protection to the driver.
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A few days ago a tree impact smashed (there's no other word for it) through the entire cab structure and penetrated as far as the engine compartment bulkhead.
There is NO structure ahead of the driver to protect them from this impact.
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As some have claimed that no other unit would have performed better - here's a photo of a Class 170 that hit a tractor at 87 mph. There is major deformation to the Cab, however the tractor did not penetrate anywhere near as far into the vehicle. The structure ahead of the driver maintained enough survival space for the driver, despite them remaining in their seat.
It should be self-evident that HST cabs provide very limited protection. This was acknowledged in an accident report in 2000 and at Carmont, and was/is common knowledge among everyone who has worked with them. I cannot understand why so many people refuse to acknowledge this?
From the Cullen Inquiry into Ladbrooke Grove
"In the leading power car of the HST, the driver’s survival space was, in the words of the experts, “severely compromised”. The cab, which was constructed of GRP, would not meet modern structural requirements. Dr Kirk expressed the view that the cab had no significant structural strength, that it could not resist loads above the underframe, and that it provided minimal protection for the driver in a collision."
"Loss of Survival Space" could be used to describe this latest incident, as well as the incident in Carmont. In impacts the GRP cabs simply disintegrate, or
"Shatter" in the words of Lord Cullen. It is a miracle that the driver was able to take cover prior to impact. If not I dread to think of what may have happened.
While at Carmont the impact was exceptional, tree-strikes on the rail network in Scotland are a very common occurrence. A quick google search brings up half a dozen such incidents in the last few years. These aren't infrequent occurrences. Yet in this case, it could well have been fatal.
Here's what happened to a Scotrail 170 in a similar incident in 2021. As with the above incident there was some deformation, however we do not see the same shattering, nor the penetration as far back as the back wall of the Cab.
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In my view the lack of protection they offer to drivers is a very compelling case to question whether these trains have a place on a modern network. Certainly in Scotland where we are increasingly experiencing extreme weather, flooding, landslips and trees on the line, a train that clearly offers poor protection to drivers IS a problem.
Combined with their low availability, high fuel consumption and emissions, and seemingly chronic unreliability, I really fail to see many redeeming features to these trains.