I do think that it is time to start again with upgrading Ely.
The genesis of the existing proposal was some EU funding in 2012, see the start of this discussion:
http://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/Ely/4m-boost-to-rail-network-thanks-to-EU-10072012.htm "Almost £4 million of EU funding will be put towards upgrading the Ely North Junction. The European Parliament agreed to invest £3.8 million in the major scheme today (Tuesday). It comes just a week after the...
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I think that the last public consultation on the existing proposals were in 2021, and it has been in the long grass for nearly 4 years now.
I agree with this assessment.
Over that period a lot has changed.
- the UK has left the EU
- war in Ukraine and tariffs are disrupting global trade, the era of globalisation is generally recognised to be over
- the high tech industries in and around Cambridge have expanded rapidly (in 2012 the Biomedical Campus was still fields)
- Cambridge North opened in 2017 and Cambridge South will open in 2026
- Ely southern bypass and the Kings Dyke bridge have demonstrated the challenges of trying to build big concrete infrastructure in the Fens
Freight is no longer the priority that it was in 2012. Globalisation is probably reaching its high water mark, one of the major container operators pulling a lot of its traffic out of Felixstowe earlier this year was a straw in the wind. I have always been sceptical about the UK spending its scarce investment pot on projects where the main beneficiaries are manufacturers in China and tech giants in the USA, who would be enabled to get imported goods into the UK more cheaply.
I am also sceptical that lots of road flyovers in the Fens for not much traffic is a good use of the UK scarce investment funding pot. If we are going to be building roads there are a lot of other places with higher priority. Given the choice, I suspect that the residents of Ely would much rather have some improvements to the A10 than a flyover at Queen Adelaide.
The focus now needs to be much more on passenger capacity, especially in and out of Cambridge. Fortunately the Kings Lynn line has already demonstrated what needs to be done here: the answer for more passenger capacity is longer trains. It is bonkers that, when paths through Ely are a major capacity constraint, that so many of those scarce train paths are taken up by 2, 3 and 4 car trains.
My priority would be lengthening platforms to allow for longer trains, recognising that the biggest engineering challenge here is probably Stansted Airport. As some will have noted from elsewhere, I also advocate breaking the Stansted-Birmingham and Norwich-Liverpool trains at Peterborough. One of the advantages of this is that it reduces the timetabling constraints at Ely.
Having been a beneficiary of the Hitchin flyover, I can empathise with those that feel that any significant rail investment at Ely should include some grade separation. In management generally, a good way to make progress is to do the relatively simple things that yield a lot of benefit. For this reason my priority would be to grade separate the Peterborough and Kings Lynn lines. This can be done on "terra firma" by building a grade separated junction near Clayway crossing, between Ely West Junction and Chettisham, which is on the Isle of Ely, not in the Fens. The only building on the Fen would be 1-2 miles of new railway to link up with the existing Kings Lynn line near where the River Lark flows into the River Great Ouse. The 1-2 miles of existing line from Ely North Junction going towards Littleport would be closed, including removal of the single lead junction. This might create some space for a ramp onto a road bridge over the Peterborough line at Queen Adelaide, though I'm not sure where it would land on the western side of the line.
This is an interesting bit of lateral thinking, though I'm not confident it would work. Road access isn't just about Queen Adelaide, the route via the 3 level crossings is also the main route between Ely and Prickwillow, and the alternatives are long diversions, especially for vehicles too high to use the underbridge at Ely station. I suspect that APNR at Queen Adelaide might lead to more bridge strikes at Ely!
If lots of piles are required then yes. For example, compare the amount of concrete, including piling that you can't see, in the Ely Southern bypass, with what would be needed for a structure like the Hitchin flyover. For 44m deep piles that is a lot of concrete that has to be paid for. The Ely Southern bypass was about 35% over budget, mainly because of piling. A grade separated junction in the Fens would need deep piles, and lots of them. Then there are the issues of whether the structures are stable once they have been completed, see Kings Dyke.