HSTEd
Veteran Member
- Joined
- 14 Jul 2011
- Messages
- 20,281
The at least seven paths appears to be a new thing, I've not seen that referenced elsewhere.
Well lets see shall we:
- 1tph Liverpool - this train will be surplus to requirements as the only station that will not be served by CC services is Stafford, and those calls could be picked up by other Chester services quite easily. [There is also talk of a second Liverpool service starting soon, which would also be rendered surplus for the same reason listed here]
- 1tph Glasgow - almost all flows will be taken by the CC services or could be picked up by the Birmingham-Scotland trains, the remainder could be accomodated by changing at New Street
- 1tph Manchester via Stoke - there is no reason really to maintain a second train per hour on the Stoke route once all the Manchester and most of the Stockport (decanting to the Airport station) passengers are eliminated, the calls (Macclesfield) can be picked up by the remaining service.
- 1tph Manchester via Crewe - this train is rather hairy, it would only serve Wilmslow uniquely, and this would be far more rapidly done by changing at Crewe so its probably a good idea to eliminate it.
- 3tph Birmingham - a rather large fraction of the traffic on these services will decant, Birmingham and Birmingham Airport passengers will all decant completely to High Speed, Wolverhampton passengers will partially transfer depending on further intermodal passenger options made available at Curzon Street - a spur on Midland Metro would likely be best.
This leaves the remaining Wolverhampton passengers, Coventry passengers, Rugby passengers and MKC passengers - these can probably concentrate down to 1 (or maybe 2) tph if the first class provision on the existing sets is reduced or if new more suitable regional stock is acquired.
That leaves us with a net saving of 5 or 6 trains per hour even if 125mph service is maintained. This will increase to the full 7 if we include the projected second Liverpool train that we have been hearing talk of.
Plus the general consensus is that the WCML will not reduce to a 110mph railway so that gain will not exist.
The general consensus is that HS2 trains will be powered by powdered horns of unicorn and manned by magical elves.
The serious discussions for the post HS2 conventional railway have not commenced yet and are being deliberately delayed until after project approval is given to avoid stirring up more opposition than already exists.
Considering the rapid stopping patterns the remaining services will be left with there seems little point in maintaining 125mph running with all the attendant costs with regards to tilting equipment.
Class 390s are rather more expensive to maintain than Class 350s per passenger.
As for wibble like "Saying it is not revolutionary is dependent on insisting that Coventry can justify three trains per hour with full Intercity restaurant service and 125mph capability by itself, which is clearly nonsense.", I really don't understand what you are talking about. Who even mentioned Coventry ?
Well you are claiming that ICWC traffic will remain as it is for some reason.
Do you really think London-Birmingham/Wolves would have 3 trains per hour with massive first class sections and full restaurants if the only people uysing it were Wolves and Coventry passengers?
Fairly limited gains on the WCML are not revolutionary. A perception is that something of the scale of HS2 should be.
The freed capacity is equivalent to all long distance traffic on the ECML.
This sounds revolutionary to me?
You don't sell the idea very well, which may account for the scale of the opposition.
I'm still curious as to why we are spending so much on relieving the WCML when the evidence (albeit as produced by obvious antis) implies this is currently much less congested than other routes.
Because the routes that come out as 'more congested' mostly have major reconstruction projects committed or underway.
This also relieves the ECML remember.
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