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General Election 2015 - Thoughts/Predictions/Results

How are you voting in the General Election

  • Conservative

    Votes: 25 18.0%
  • Green Party

    Votes: 15 10.8%
  • Labour

    Votes: 45 32.4%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 16 11.5%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 3 2.2%
  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 9 6.5%
  • UK Independence Party

    Votes: 13 9.4%
  • Other: Right Leaning Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other: Left Leaning Party

    Votes: 1 0.7%
  • Other: Centrist Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other: Other

    Votes: 2 1.4%
  • Not Voting

    Votes: 7 5.0%
  • Spoiling Ballot

    Votes: 3 2.2%

  • Total voters
    139
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Tetchytyke

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However, insulting all the people who vote for them in the way you are doing is (a) factually wrong, because people doubtless vote UKIP for all sorts of different reasons

Factually, UKIP supporters are predominantly male, aged over 50, white, retired and only educated to GCSE (or equivalent) or below.

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/laurence-stellings/ukip-poll-voters_b_6631026.html

The only subjective thing in what I said was "whingey", and I'll let others decide if a party whose main policy is "send the buggers back" is whingey or not.
 
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DarloRich

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An alternative view might be that, as these "debates" were predictably nothing of the sort, he realised that, had he been there, there would have been nothing but "Tories are rubbish" blah. As it was,there was plenty of that, but, given enough rope, none of the participants was able to offer a convincing view of the next few years.
Democracy would be better served if the various parties trusted the electorate and simply said what they would do to run, or help in running, the country. Incumbent parties are always going to say "much of the same",so it is up to other parties to offer their vision. None has yet done that.

no - your man Dave was chicken. Chicken Dave. A coward. Yellow. Craven. He didn't have the balls for it. He ducked out to save face AND stopped his political "beard" from appearing in case it made him look bad. It is shameful and it shows contempt for us as his electorate.

Why not stand up, advocate your ideas, take people on and sell your position? Why scuttle off? Does he not even believe his own rhetoric? Why should we?

Don't get me wrong i don't think these debates are perfect but i really like the concept. I wish we used them to have a proper, searching, testing, hostile, impartial and deep investigation of a candidates views, policies, record, intentions etc through a one on one grilling, random audience questions and then a round table debate on policy and issues.
 
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DynamicSpirit

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Democracy would be better served if the various parties trusted the electorate and simply said what they would do to run, or help in running, the country. Incumbent parties are always going to say "much of the same",so it is up to other parties to offer their vision. None has yet done that.

I find that comment puzzling since the various manifestos are on the whole available, and I've seen fairly clear visions coming across from the various other parties:

Labour has a vision of a fairer society, in which the the budget deficit is reduced, but this is done with a strong emphasis on getting the better off to pay more so that the less well off can be helped.

UKIP appear to have a vision of the UK out of the EU, focusing more on defence.

The SNP, Plaid and the Greens all appear to have quite similar visions of a society in which the Government takes on a greater role in providing many services, and this is done more often without a profit motive. And obviously, for the Greens, this involves much greater environmental protection.

You may or may not agree with the desirability of those visions, or may be able to think of all sorts of reasons why (you think) they might not be practical or why the parties concerned might be proposing the wrong policies to achieve them, but I don't see how you can deny that those visions are there.
 
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Tetchytyke

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An alternative view might be that, as these "debates" were predictably nothing of the sort, he realised that, had he been there, there would have been nothing but "Tories are rubbish" blah.

They're not debates, you're right: they're televised hustings.

It's pretty poor form to not turn up to the hustings when you're the incumbent. There's generally only one reason for behaving like that: fear.

But I guess Cameron can't push the "Miliband is weird" line if he gets outshone in a husting. So on we go with the childish name calling instead of policies from the politicians. Not that there's anything wrong with a bit of childish name calling, but it is a bit wearing when you never hear what a politician actually wants to achieve because he's too busy calling the other lot a smelly poopoo.
 
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Oswyntail

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...but I don't see how you can deny that those visions are there.
Yes, they are all warm cuddly visions (including the Conservatives). The manifestos are also full of motherhood and apple pie. And no one could really expect any different - a manifesto that was realistic wouldn't sell very much ("We shall initiate one or two flagship policies, but then get buffetted by events for five years"). But why does Sturgeon want to do anything to keep the Tories out of Westminster? Why does Milliband believe that throwing money at everything is the answer? What do any of them intend to do about rail capacity? Etc Etc. A proper debate - which would last all of the time until the election - would have them covering each area and putting forward the pros and cons. Instead we have a game show, the only purpose of which seemed to have been to allow the fanboys to claim their "leader" won.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
They're not debates, you're right: they're televised hustings.
Not even that - see above

It's pretty poor form to not turn up to the hustings when you're the incumbent. There's generally only one reason for behaving like that: fear.
Or the fact that it was an utter waste of time, devised by the TV companies for no discernible purpose.

But I guess Cameron can't push the "Miliband is weird" line if he gets outshone in a husting. So on we go with the childish name calling instead of policies from the politicians. Not that there's anything wrong with a bit of childish name calling, but it is a bit wearing when you never hear what a politician actually wants to achieve because he's too busy calling the other lot a smelly poopoo.
Actually, I have not seen any Conservative 'push the "Miliband is weird" line' (OK so i live a sheltered life).What I have seen is many outlets accuse Conservatives of doing that. They must be nervous about somethin;)
 

ExRes

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Ah yes, that's the other default kipper whine, when they're not blaming the Polish for everything.

"The pinko commie BBC are trying to shut us down and BAN DEMOCRACY".

As I said, whingey old white men who wish the world had stopped in 1956.

What a strange person you are and what a strange mind you appear to have, never mind though, everyone is entitled to their own opinion, so I completely understand your wish to force everyone to accept yours

Have a nice evening
 

telstarbox

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My colleague wisely pointed out that even if Labour and the SNP would go into a coalition after the election, it doesn't suit them to admit it now as they mainly take Scottish votes and seats off each other.
 

DynamicSpirit

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Yes, they are all warm cuddly visions (including the Conservatives). The manifestos are also full of motherhood and apple pie. And no one could really expect any different - a manifesto that was realistic wouldn't sell very much ("We shall initiate one or two flagship policies, but then get buffetted by events for five years"). But why does Sturgeon want to do anything to keep the Tories out of Westminster? Why does Milliband believe that throwing money at everything is the answer? What do any of them intend to do about rail capacity? Etc Etc. A proper debate - which would last all of the time until the election - would have them covering each area and putting forward the pros and cons. Instead we have a game show, the only purpose of which seemed to have been to allow the fanboys to claim their "leader" won.

I somewhat see what you mean - and yes, manifestos will be optimistic. (Although I feel very confident that Miliband does not believe that 'throwing money at everything' is the answer.)

However I think you're being a little over-cynical. I watched both the 7-leader and the 5-leader debates, and feel I learned a lot from them, especially about the views of the smaller parties. Yes, of course, the politicians are always trying to come across in a good light get their party's soundbites out, which can stifle the discussion somewhat, but from what I can see that will happen just as much no matter what the context is - whether it's a debate or a one-on-one interview or a written document like a manifesto, so a debate isn't particularly worse in that regard. And you get to see and directly contrast different points of view contrasted. A good example last night was Trident, where you had Miliband and Farage both making well-reasoned arguments for replacing it, and the others making equally well-reasoned arguments for not replacing it. (On the other hand, after what I thought was a very good first hour of debate, the final 20 minutes did seem to descend into point-scoring and avoiding answering questions all round, at which point the debate became a lot less interesting. But I've seen that happen in one-on-one interviews far too many times too).
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Factually, UKIP supporters are predominantly male, aged over 50, white, retired and only educated to GCSE (or equivalent) or below.

All very true, and as far as I can see there's nothing remotely wrong with being male, aged over 50, white and retired, and nothing particularly wrong with being educated only to GCSE level. But that's nothing like your comment that I objected to. ('white old men who think that the world should have stopped in 1956 and that anyone who disagrees is a commie pinko gay')

The only subjective thing in what I said was "whingey", and I'll let others decide if a party whose main policy is "send the buggers back" is whingey or not.

Well, 'white old men who think that the world should have stopped in 1956 and that anyone who disagrees is a commie pinko gay.' is not subjective. But it's also very clearly not complimentary, and is likely to be verifiably false (other perhaps than of a tiny minority of UKIP supporters).

Besides, as far as I'm aware, 'send the buggers back' is not current UKIP policy (I don't think it has ever been, but I may be mistaken on that). UKIP policy is (roughly speaking) to make it massively harder for new arrivals to come to the UK - which in my view is wrong for all sorts of reasons, but it's not remotely the same thing as sending back people who are already legally resident in the UK.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Just because it doesn't accord with Labour's version of the truth doesn't make it fiction. Miliband has been whining on about "the nasty Tories" to anyone who will listen since Fallon pointed out what he did to his brother.

1. Miliband's response to Fallon's comments was:

EdMiliband said:
Michael Fallon is a decent man. But today I think he's demeaned himself and he's demeaned his office. And look, national security is too important to play politics with. I'll never compromise our national security...

If you think that is 'whining' then you must have a very different idea of what 'whining' means than most people do. It looks to me like a very measured response to an attack that clearly required a response.

2. Offhand I can't recall Miliband using the phrase 'nasty Tories'. My experience is that a lot of people in the Labour Party do think the Conservative Party is somewhat 'nasty', but that isn't so much to do with personal attacks as to do with a perception (which I share, and I'm fairly sure Miliband shares) that too often the Conservatives act in a vindictive manner towards poorer and vulnerable people, and pursue policies that unnecessarily harm those people. Merely expressing that point of view (which Miliband has done many times) hardly amounts to 'whining'.

Maybe because both Miliband and Balls were at various times part of Brown's treasury team.

That has some relevance, but rather limited because - well, I can think of many times when I've been in a team and disagreed with decisions made by that team, but in the end at some point if you're part of an organization you often need to go along with the organization decides (maybe after privately expressing your concerns) because otherwise the result would be anarchy and nothing would ever get done. For all we know, it's possible that Miliband and Balls may well have disagreed with some things that Brown decided on, but team responsibility prevented them saying so publically.

Besides, it was 5 years ago that they were on the treasury team, and 5 years is easily long enough for people to change their opinions.

And because Labour still don't think they did anything wrong, which means they would just be doomed to make the same mistake.

Really? Given that Ed Miliband has stated on several occasions (most recently, several times in yesterday's tv debate) that the last Labour Government got some things wrong, and that he's changed Labour policy in some areas, I'd have to suggest that you are factually mistaken in your assumption there. (Besides, I'm a member of the Labour Party. I have lots of contact with other members, so I know from personal experience that most Labour members think the last Labour Government did loads of things wrong and want the next Labour Government (assuming there is one) to do many things differently. It would be almost inconceivable for that that point of view not to have filtered up to the Labour leadership).
 
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Metrailway

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Watched it all. Milliband came across quite well I thought, but so did Nicola Sturgeon. Nigel Farage lost the debate when he insulted the audience accusing them of a being selected by the BBC with a left wing bias. :roll: (David Dimbleby was forced to step in and say the audience had been selected by an independent polling organisation to be representative of British views).

Telegraph reporting that the 200 strong audience in the BBC debate was composed of 102 'left-leaning' voters (Lab/Lib/SNP/PC/Grn) and 58 right leaning voters (Con/UKIP). The rest were undecided.

ITV had a similar composition for their debate according to the article.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11546405/Ukip-says-BBC-exposed-over-left-wing-debate-audience.html

Daily Telegraph said:
Ukip says BBC 'exposed' over left-wing debate audience
Figures released by BBC show that only 58 members of the audience were Conservative or Ukip supporters compared with about 102 who supported left-leaning parties

Nigel Farage has claimed the BBC has been “exposed” after it was forced to admit that nearly twice as many members of the studio audience for the Challengers’ Debate were "left-wing" as were Conservative or Ukip supporters.

The Ukip leader was booed during Thursday night’s debate after claiming it was a “remarkable audience even by the left-wing standards of the BBC”.

He added on Friday that it was "completely obvious that we did not have an audience reflective of public opinion" and insisted: "I didn't lose my rag."

The BBC initially refused to disclose the political make-up of the audience but eventually released figures on Friday afternoon.

They showed that, of the 200-strong audience, about 58 were Conservative or Ukip supporters while about 102 supported left-leaning parties - Labour, the Lib Dems, SNP, Plaid Cymru or the SNP – and the rest were undecided.
 
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DynamicSpirit

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Telegraph reporting that the 200 strong audience in the BBC debate was composed of 102 'left-leaning' voters (Lab/Lib/SNP/PC/Grn) and 58 right leaning voters (Con/UKIP). The rest were undecided.

ITV had a similar composition for their debate according to the article.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11546405/Ukip-says-BBC-exposed-over-left-wing-debate-audience.html

If those figures are correct, than I would suspect that's a consequence of trying to be balanced between the various parties involved in the debates, and the fact that only 2 of the 7 parties are right wing ones, while 4 of them are left wing ones (if you count the LibDems as centrist - the Telegraph puts them as left wing, which would make for 5 left wing parties, so not remotely surprising if by their figures there are more left wing people. The ultimate cause of that will presumably be the Conservatives' insistence that all the minor parties had to be involved if the debates were to take place, rather than any particular alleged bias on the part of the BBC. Most parties tend to think that the BBC is biased against their own points of view (although UKIP tend to be most vocal in that regard), so I would think Nigel Farage's comments about a left wing BBC should be seen in that light.

(EDIT: 58 right-wing people is still enough people to generate quite a bit of applause, so I don't think those numbers in themselves explain the apparently poor reception Nigel Farage got. I wouldn't be surprised if it turned out that Nigel's own direct slagging off the audience during the debate was a key factor that turned more of the audience against him.

And 102 + 58 makes 160, not 200-odd, so there seems to be something wrong with the Telegraph's figures anyway. Actually, the more I think about this, the more I think that the Telegraph has rather cunningly distorted the figures by lumping the LibDems as left wing, so this story should perhaps not be taken too seriously).
 
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Metrailway

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And 102 + 58 makes 160, not 200-odd, so there seems to be something wrong with the Telegraph's figures anyway. Actually, the more I think about this, the more I think that the Telegraph has rather cunningly distorted the figures by lumping the LibDems as left wing, so this story should perhaps not be taken too seriously).

The figures are correct as the other 40 were undecided voters so cannot be classified as supporting either left or right wing party.

I make no comment regarding the classification of the Liberals although I think they like to claim to be centre-left.
 

NorthernSpirit

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Don't you mean a vote for UKIP is a vote for the torys. Vote Labour and you can pay for it later

A vote for UKIP is a vote for UKIP which in itself is a vote for UKIP, see 2014 Euro elections for the results of voting for one party is for that party alone.

UKIP themselves are an alternative centre party, some ideas are left field some are right field combine both and you get alternative centre. To put it another way the Lib Dems want in the EU, UKIP wants out of the EU.

I've read the UKIP Manifesto and agree to pretty much all of it.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Farage has apparently accused the BBC of choosing the wrong polling company to select the studio audience for last night.

What? Just because the audience didn’t like the things he was saying?! What next? Will he have a go on the same grounds at every newspaper that prints a poll showing he’s not in the lead?

There is some truth in what he said, as the BBC have this Liberal lefty view and forces it on to the people who have no choice to pay for the TV Tax so that they can gawp at an audio picture box.

The Guardian, Mirror and even the 'freebie' Metro all have this desperate undemocratic view which is again forced on to the people without them realising it.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Now that's what I call an adult view and not putting people into groups at all, I assume you wish to do away with democracy as well?

Personally speaking, to me democracy died when Tony BLiar got in. Thirteen years of Labour was enough to make someone who wants to live in a proper democracy whether though the remaining democratic ways or by the civil war route and not this plastic one which is an illution that was brought to you by both blue Labour and red Tories.
 

TheNewNo2

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Telegraph reporting that the 200 strong audience in the BBC debate was composed of 102 'left-leaning' voters (Lab/Lib/SNP/PC/Grn) and 58 right leaning voters (Con/UKIP). The rest were undecided.

ITV had a similar composition for their debate according to the article.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11546405/Ukip-says-BBC-exposed-over-left-wing-debate-audience.html

To me that roughly sounds like the British electorate. Roughly equal numbers of people vote Tory and Labour, then Lib Dems/SNP/UKIP/Green/Plaid. there probably are more liberals in the country than conservatives (ideology not party). Consider that in the 2010 general election, the rough vote counts were 11 million Conservative, 9 million Labour, 7 million Lib Dem - together accounting for 26 million of the 30 million voters. So on that score Labour + Lib Dems amount to more than half of the electorate. Source: Wikipedia

The problem is that First Past The Post elections obscure public opinion. If we divide the total number of votes cast for each party by the number of MPs they gained, then we get the following:

Conservative: 34,979 votes per seat
Labour: 33,359 votes per seat
Lib Dems: 119,934 votes per seat
SNP: 81,898 votes per seat
UKIP: infinity votes per seat
Overall: 45,673 votes per seat

If we had the 2010 election by proportional representation, we'd get (roughly) the following number of MPs:

Conservative: 235 (-71)
Labour: 189 (-69)
Lib Dem: 151 (+94)
UKIP: 20 (+20)
BNP: 12 (+12)
SNP: 12 (+6)
Green: 7 (+6)
Sinn Féin: 5 (+0)
DUP: 5 (-3)
Plaid Cymru: 4 (+1)
Alliance: 2 (+1)
Respect: 2 (+2)
SDLP: 2 (-1)
UCU-NF: 2 (+2)
English Democrats: 1 (+1)
TUV: 1 (+1)
Independents: 2 (+1)

With 326 seats needed for a majority, a Lib/Lab coalition would have had 340 seats - a clear majority.

An honourable mention for the New Millennium Bean Party.
 
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northwichcat

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I saw the debate last night and once again Nicola Sturgeon came across extremely well. My thoughts turned to what the effect of having Alex Salmond there instead would have been.

She has certainly come out of his shadow since the Referendum and possibly eclipsed him. It's hard to remember she is actually not a Candidate in the forthcoming election.

I think you're right. People in other parts of the UK are probably more willing to listen to Nicola Sturgeon than Alex Salmond, we've heard Alex Salmond for years but Nicola Sturgeon didn't seem all that well known outside Scotland before the referendum. If the SNP are in a position to help form a government it will seem strange that Nicola Sturgeon won't be part of that but Alex Salmond likely will.

Ironically Alex Salmond convinced a higher proportion of English people that Scotland should be independent than Scottish people.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
My colleague wisely pointed out that even if Labour and the SNP would go into a coalition after the election, it doesn't suit them to admit it now as they mainly take Scottish votes and seats off each other.

If you recall the first leader's debate last time. Gordon Brown effectively admitted Labour wouldn't win and he'd be willing to form a Coalition with the Lib Dems, even if he didn't directly say that.

A number of people probably didn't want a Labour only government but then didn't want the Tories in government so a Labour/Lib Dem Coalition would have suited them. However, as Gordon Brown didn't do a very good in the Leader's Debates and Lib Dems came second for a considerable number of seats it couldn't happen. A Coalition of Labour + Lib Dem + SNP + Plaid Cymru + Green would have worked if all parties agreed but apparently Brown was unwilling to implement other party's policies.
 

TheNewNo2

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It's quite possible that no party would be willing to countenance an actual coalition with the SNP, on the grounds that you can't have a national government involving people who think the nation shouldn't exist. Labour may be willing to work with the SNP case-by-case, but a coalition seems unlikely.
 

47802

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To me that roughly sounds like the British electorate. Roughly equal numbers of people vote Tory and Labour, then Lib Dems/SNP/UKIP/Green/Plaid. there probably are more liberals in the country than conservatives (ideology not party). Consider that in the 2010 general election, the rough vote counts were 11 million Conservative, 9 million Labour, 7 million Lib Dem - together accounting for 26 million of the 30 million voters. So on that score Labour + Lib Dems amount to more than half of the electorate. Source: Wikipedia

The problem is that First Past The Post elections obscure public opinion. If we divide the total number of votes cast for each party by the number of MPs they gained, then we get the following:

Conservative: 34,979 votes per seat
Labour: 33,359 votes per seat
Lib Dems: 119,934 votes per seat
SNP: 81,898 votes per seat
UKIP: infinity votes per seat
Overall: 45,673 votes per seat

If we had the 2010 election by proportional representation, we'd get (roughly) the following number of MPs:

Conservative: 235 (-71)
Labour: 189 (-69)
Lib Dem: 151 (+94)
UKIP: 20 (+20)
BNP: 12 (+12)
SNP: 12 (+6)
Green: 7 (+6)
Sinn Féin: 5 (+0)
DUP: 5 (-3)
Plaid Cymru: 4 (+1)
Alliance: 2 (+1)
Respect: 2 (+2)
SDLP: 2 (-1)
UCU-NF: 2 (+2)
English Democrats: 1 (+1)
TUV: 1 (+1)
Independents: 2 (+1)

With 326 seats needed for a majority, a Lib/Lab coalition would have had 340 seats - a clear majority.

An honourable mention for the New Millennium Bean Party.

Which in essence shows what a nonsense our electral system is but allegedly people prefer it because it brings strong one party governments except its not working anymore.

The biggest disadvantaged are the significant minority parties, eg, the Lib Dem and UKIP, and myself politically being essentially a Liberal in a straight Tory/Labour Marginal seat means that I either vote for the party I believe in for little positive effect or vote tactically for my pref between Tory or Labour, is it perhaps any wonder why 30% of the population don't vote?

it would seem many people didn't like the Tory/Lib Dem Government but in terms of votes it was probably the most representative government we have had in recent years, while in this election the current state of the polls I think will cause more people than ever to vote tactically.
 
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TheNewNo2

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Which in essence shows what a nonsense our electral system is but allegedly people prefer it because it brings strong one party governments except its not working anymore.

The biggest disadvantaged are the significant minority parties, eg, the Lib Dem and UKIP, and myself politically being essentially a Liberal in a straight Tory/Labour Marginal seat means that I either vote for the party I believe in for little positive effect or vote tactically for my pref between Tory or Labour, is it perhaps any wonder why 30% of the population don't vote?

Proportional representation would be the best possible idea, but if we want to keep with local representation then Single Transferable Vote (STV) would be the ideal. Instead of choosing one candidate, you rank as many candidates as you want numerically.

There are several rounds of counting. If at any stage one candidate has at greather than half the votes they are declared the winner. If not, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and votes for them are transferred to the voters' second choice.

Let's have an example. There are four candidates, A B C and D. The 12 votes cast are as follows;

ABCD
ADBC
BDC
CDBA
C
B
BC
DBAC
DBCA
AD
DACB
BCA


In this example, A gets 4 first choice votes, B gets 3, C gets 2 and D gets 3. There is no overall majority so C is eliminated as having fewest votes. The votes are now redistributed:

ABD
ADB
BD
DBA
(void)
B
B
DBA
DBA
A
ACB
BA

One vote is voided as they only made one choice, however their vote still counts towards the overall tally, so the winner still needs 7 votes. At this stage A has 4 votes, B has 4 and D has 3. D is therefore eliminated and the votes are redistributed again.

AB
AB
B
BA
(void)
B
B
BA
BA
A
AB
BA

At this final stage A has 4 votes but B has 7 so B is the winner.


Now, STV is by no means perfect, but for elections I think it's about as good as we can get. We all have parties we like (eg Greens for me), and STV allows us to vote for them knowing that if they fall our vote goes to someone we at least find palatable. Eg I might put Lib Dem as my second choice. STV gives us a winner that the fewest people dislike, rather than FPTP which can give us a winner despised by a majority just because they split their votes. It further means that candidates have to court the entire electorate, not just their base, because very few STV elections will be won on first round voting - you need the second and the third choice votes as well.
 
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St Rollox

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I saw the debate last night and once again Nicola Sturgeon came across extremely well. My thoughts turned to what the effect of having Alex Salmond there instead would have been.

She has certainly come out of his shadow since the Referendum and possibly eclipsed him. It's hard to remember she is actually not a Candidate in the forthcoming election.

One again if I were Northern Irish I would have been extremely disappointed at the lack of representation from my part of the UK. Parties there with quite a few seats both Unionist and Catholic playing second fiddle to The Greens, Plaid Cymru, UKIP and even at it's current standing the SNP who were barely represented in the outgoing Parliament.

Catholic parties???

Take your being lazy in your description or i've missed something.
Would you call the SNP, protestant.
 

Senex

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Now, STV is by no means perfect, but for elections I think it's about as good as we can get. We all have parties we like (eg Greens for me), and STV allows us to vote for them knowing that if they fall our vote goes to someone we at least find palatable. Eg I might put Lib Dem as my second choice. STV gives us a winner that the fewest people dislike, rather than FPTP which can give us a winner despised by a majority just because they split their votes. It further means that candidates have to court the entire electorate, not just their base, because very few STV elections will be won on first round voting - you need the second and the third choice votes as well.

I agree completely. I wonder whether, if this had been on offer to the electorate in the referendum instead of the utterly unsatisfactory system put up by the party bosses, there would have been a different result. Should the party hacks be the ones who choose what sort of electoral system we the electorate are offered?
 

me123

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It's quite possible that no party would be willing to countenance an actual coalition with the SNP, on the grounds that you can't have a national government involving people who think the nation shouldn't exist. Labour may be willing to work with the SNP case-by-case, but a coalition seems unlikely.

As an SNP supporter I agree, and hope, that a formal coalition is unlikely. I'd much rather an informal, vote-by-vote arrangement, where the SNP support the policies of a minority government that they agree with, but are not forced to turn their backs on what they believe in (as the Lib Dems have rather foolishly done).

I wouldn't completely accept your argument that no-one would work with the SNP because they don't want the country to exist. Of course, the core belief of the party is that the Scottish people would be better served if we were independent (and I, along with many other people, would agree with that). But they haven't got their independence wishes, and ultimately still want to serve the interests of the Scottish people (although I'm sure many people would disagree with some of their policies) - in fact, I still believe (perhaps naïvely so) that most politicians genuinely want to serve the interests of their constituents, but just disagree on the way of doing so.

Given that the SNP is likely to be the third party in the future parliament, and most importantly is likely to be the biggest party in Scotland, it would be foolish for a minority government to ignore the SNP completely. Scottish voters would feel disenfranchised, and it would do little but to increase nationalist sentiment in Scotland. I don't think a formal coalition is possible, but do think that the SNP's support will be crucial in the next parliament.

Many people from the rest of the UK urged Scotland to remain in the UK, and they got their wish. But if you expect us to be a silent partner now, you can forget it.

Which in essence shows what a nonsense our electral system is but allegedly people prefer it because it brings strong one party governments except its not working anymore.

It is nonsense. FPTP only works when you have a truly bipartisan system, such as that in the US. In the UK, we are not a bipartisan country, but we behave like one, leaving the majority of voters feeling disenfranchised.

I don't even agree that a strong majority government is necessarily the best thing for a country. I'd argue that, on the country, it destabilises the country at election times, as we risk swinging wildly between both political extremes every few years.
 

TheNewNo2

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It is nonsense. FPTP only works when you have a truly bipartisan system, such as that in the US. In the UK, we are not a bipartisan country, but we behave like one, leaving the majority of voters feeling disenfranchised.

I don't even agree that a strong majority government is necessarily the best thing for a country. I'd argue that, on the country, it destabilises the country at election times, as we risk swinging wildly between both political extremes every few years.

At least we don't have the American system - they are effectively in a permanent election what with the House being entirely reelected every two years and Senate elections every two years as well (albeit only for 1/3 of the members). They have got to the point where the Democrats have a significant advantage in presidential election years, but lose everything two years later. That plus gerrymandering which means the House is a lock for Republicans until at least 2020...
 

Butts

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Catholic parties???

Take your being lazy in your description or i've missed something.
Would you call the SNP, protestant.

Sinn Fein and SDLP generally supported by Catholics and Unionist Parties by Protestants -( working class voters) in NI.

Flashback to Glasgow of the past and the protestant working class voted Conservative and the Catholic Labour.

I was asking why there were no representatives from NI at any of the Debates even though they had a greater Parliamentary Representation than UKIP, Greens, Plaid Cymru and the SNP.
 
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me123

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I was asking why there were no representatives from NI at any of the Debates even though they had a greater Parliamentary Representation than UKIP, Greens, Plaid Cymru and the SNP.

I wonder if the Northern Irish channels are broadcasting these debates separately?

NI is a particular oddity in UK politics, which can of course be explained by the relatively unique political situation over there. I think I'd feel ostracised as a Northern Irish voter, knowing that my vote really ain't going to count for very much, or even be acknowledged by the majority of people in the UK.
 

St Rollox

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Sinn Fein and SDLP generally supported by Catholics and Unionist Parties by Protestants -( working class voters) in NI.

Flashback to Glasgow of the past and the protestant working class voted Conservative and the Catholic Labour.

I was asking why there were no representatives from NI at any of the Debates even though they had a greater Parliamentary Representation than UKIP, Greens, Plaid Cymru and the SNP.

Catholic Labour???

How would that explain the Orange strongholds of Bridgeton and Larkhall being safe Labour areas for the last 80 years.
 

me123

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And indeed, up here they still are the Scottish Conservative & Unionist Party.
 

St Rollox

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Check your history - they were formally known as The Conservative and Unionist Party :idea:

Labour would never have won MPs or councilors in Orange strong holds like Bridgeton or Larkhall if it was solely relying on catholic voters.
So there must have thousands of non Catholics willing to vote Labour at a time when Labour in Scotland was taking the same abuse the present day SNP is taking.
I remember the Labour Party in Glasgow 40 years back being called the Russian Front by the last few activists the Tories/Unionists had in Glasgow Springburn.
 

Mojo

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NI is a particular oddity in UK politics, which can of course be explained by the relatively unique political situation over there. I think I'd feel ostracised as a Northern Irish voter, knowing that my vote really ain't going to count for very much, or even be acknowledged by the majority of people in the UK.

Although saying that, all of the NI parties (including Sinn Féin) appeared on Newsnight earlier this week. It was said that there is a bit of positivity in NI at the moment due to suggestions that the province could gain with a hung parliament as there is a possibility that the national parties have to do deals with the NI parties to secure support in the Commons.
 

Butts

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And indeed, up here they still are the Scottish Conservative & Unionist Party.

Until 1965 they were called The Unionist Party, the above name came about when they merged with the English and Welsh Conservative Party.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Labour would never have won MPs or councilors in Orange strong holds like Bridgeton or Larkhall if it was solely relying on catholic voters.
So there must have thousands of non Catholics willing to vote Labour at a time when Labour in Scotland was taking the same abuse the present day SNP is taking.
I remember the Labour Party in Glasgow 40 years back being called the Russian Front by the last few activists the Tories/Unionists had in Glasgow Springburn.

Glasgow Cathcart went in 1979 - the only Tory reverse in Thatcher's first win and Hillhead in the early 80's when Roy Jenkins won it for the SDP. :(
 

St Rollox

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Until 1965 they were called The Unionist Party, the above name came about when they merged with the English and Welsh Conservative Party.

And their working class vote dropped until they were no longer even the second or third party in most areas.
A one nation unionist party to Thatcherism in 14 years.
How to win friends and influence people.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Until 1965 they were called The Unionist Party, the above name came about when they merged with the English and Welsh Conservative Party.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---


Glasgow Cathcart went in 1979 - the only Tory reverse in Thatcher's first win and Hillhead in the early 80's when Roy Jenkins won it for the SDP. :(

Glasgow Cathcart - Teddy Taylor MP

A walking talking version of the Sunday Post.

"Jings, help ma boab, the Socialists are coming".
 
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