At 5-6tph, the Hitchin-Cambridge line is not congested. The issue is trying to run fast services on a line that has 7 intermediate stations in 23 miles of double track. Running fast services between Hitchin and Cambridge has only been attempted in the last 40 years, for most of its history the line only had stoppers and semi-fasts.
For Cambridge South-Hitchin the time differential is 23 minutes for a non-stop train and 36 minutes for an all stations train. The simplest way to increase capacity is to narrow that gap. There are already things that do this: in the peak fast trains also stop at Letchworth and Royston, off peak some stopping trains miss Ashwell. But the impact is marginal.
These would cost a lot of money and not help very much. Baldock is only a few miles north of the existing opportunity for down trains to overtake at Hitchin, Meldreth is only a few miles south of the existing opportunity for up trains to overtake at Cambridge South.
In the current economic and political climate I see no prospect of infrastructure of this scale being near the top of the priority list, just to alleviate some punctuality issues. The only prospect of new infrastructure between Hitchin and Hauxton (north of Hauxton is EWR) is as part of projects that deliver wider economic benefits and with the possibility of third party funding.
Two things I would be looking at are:
- consolidating Foxton and Shepreth into a single station as a variant of previous Foxton travel hub proposals, a mini-version of the Marston Vale station consolidation on EWR, this could make a big contribution to easing traffic congestions on arterial routes into Cambridge
- moving Baldock station further east, ideally on the Beaulieu Park model with a central reversing platform, but I suspect that would be difficult to fund without a very large number of new houses
This is because of siding capacity at Kings Lynn. In order to increase turnrounds, another train has to start from Kings Lynn, but there is no space for another 8 car train. The way the timetable works means that 1T01/1T06 and 1T03/1T08 can both be 4 cars then join up for 1T21.