Indigo Soup
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- 17 May 2018
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It seems to have been accepted fairly quickly by British Rail - certainly after the London-Birmingham-Manchester electrification was completed, and possibly earlier - that electrification of major railway routes was economically desirable. But thereafter, electrification was carried out piecemeal (granting that Weaver Junction to Glasgow is a very large piece), with considerable stops and starts.
Given that Weaver Junction to Glasgow was approved before the southern half was in full operation, I don't think it's unreasonable to imagine a larger-scale scheme being considered. The well-known 1978-1981 Review of Main Line Electrification found a considerable benefit to a long-term rolling program of electrification; I don't see why the findings would be any less favourable a decade earlier.
Such a programme would probably focus on the key trunk routes. The Electrification Review gave one such perspective, from the viewpoint of the late 1970s. The second Beeching report, The Development of the Major Railway Trunk Routes, gives another perspective. There's actually a decent amount of overlap between the two: the main lines are, after all, fairly obvious, and our divergence from reality isn't early enough for the introduction of subsidy in 1968 to be materially changed.
We might imagine, therefore, the Weaver Junction-Glasgow scheme completing more or less on the historic schedule, followed by the remaining branches of the WCML in the first half of the 1970s, the ECML and Midland in the late 1970s and early 1980s, followed by the Great Western and Cross-Country routes. By the early 1990s, all the main lines, and potentially some of the major regional routes, would be electrified.
As far as rolling stock goes, I'd imagine a much larger Class 87 order (possibly including a lower-geared version for freight) alongside some kind of 'Class 88' Co-Co heavy freight locomotive. With electrification progressing much faster, some kind of 125mph (if not faster) electric train will be a necessity. Whether that's a production version of the APT, or an electric HST, is anyone's guess. Or, drawing parallels with Germany and the Class E 01, a production version of the Class 89.
I doubt whether the diesel HST gets very far in this scenario - it would probably be unnecessary for the East Coast, but might be useful for the Great Western and Cross-Country routes. With a sufficiently large programme, electric versions of the Class 156 and 158 might also make sense for some of the regional routes. The 150 isn't that far from being a diesel 317, if you squint hard enough, so it's not total madness!
The key question, as ever, is if funds for such a programme would be available. The 1981 report suggests that the long-term financial results would be beneficial. But it would require investment from central government, always a problem for British infrastructure projects.
Given that Weaver Junction to Glasgow was approved before the southern half was in full operation, I don't think it's unreasonable to imagine a larger-scale scheme being considered. The well-known 1978-1981 Review of Main Line Electrification found a considerable benefit to a long-term rolling program of electrification; I don't see why the findings would be any less favourable a decade earlier.
Such a programme would probably focus on the key trunk routes. The Electrification Review gave one such perspective, from the viewpoint of the late 1970s. The second Beeching report, The Development of the Major Railway Trunk Routes, gives another perspective. There's actually a decent amount of overlap between the two: the main lines are, after all, fairly obvious, and our divergence from reality isn't early enough for the introduction of subsidy in 1968 to be materially changed.
We might imagine, therefore, the Weaver Junction-Glasgow scheme completing more or less on the historic schedule, followed by the remaining branches of the WCML in the first half of the 1970s, the ECML and Midland in the late 1970s and early 1980s, followed by the Great Western and Cross-Country routes. By the early 1990s, all the main lines, and potentially some of the major regional routes, would be electrified.
As far as rolling stock goes, I'd imagine a much larger Class 87 order (possibly including a lower-geared version for freight) alongside some kind of 'Class 88' Co-Co heavy freight locomotive. With electrification progressing much faster, some kind of 125mph (if not faster) electric train will be a necessity. Whether that's a production version of the APT, or an electric HST, is anyone's guess. Or, drawing parallels with Germany and the Class E 01, a production version of the Class 89.
I doubt whether the diesel HST gets very far in this scenario - it would probably be unnecessary for the East Coast, but might be useful for the Great Western and Cross-Country routes. With a sufficiently large programme, electric versions of the Class 156 and 158 might also make sense for some of the regional routes. The 150 isn't that far from being a diesel 317, if you squint hard enough, so it's not total madness!
The key question, as ever, is if funds for such a programme would be available. The 1981 report suggests that the long-term financial results would be beneficial. But it would require investment from central government, always a problem for British infrastructure projects.