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Class 707 to Southeastern Dates

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Mikey C

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SE have had capacity issues for years and have been crying out for new stock. Even the 707s are nothing more than a stop gap. The Networkers are still on lease but they are also falling to bits and lacking replacement parts. With the 466s not having the PRM mods done is also adds an additional constraint on fleet flexibility. SE are also taking over the Maidstone East service from GTR so its another burden.

COVID has obviously changed the game quite a bit so its anybodys guess as the the future of the franchise. What SE need to do is start the process for a new fleet and be ready in 5yrs rather than sit COVID out for the next year and kick the fleet further down the line.

The mythical 376 cascade will again, add another complication for SE. (if it ever happens)
Why? They're not some tiny microfleet, made by a long gone manufacturer, and they're a lot newer than the 455s and 313s that Southern operate.

While there are issues with the Networkers, it's not the fault of the trains that they've been left to rot.
 
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Roast Veg

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Why? They're not some tiny microfleet, made by a long gone manufacturer, and they're a lot newer than the 455s and 313s that Southern operate.
The manufacturer(s) are long gone - none of the original factories that built them are extant are they? Parts supplies are likely to be veyr thin on the gorund - moreso even than the 455/313s given their "transitional" onboard tech.
 

ComUtoR

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While there are issues with the Networkers, it's not the fault of the trains that they've been left to rot.


I'm not privy to the MTIN numbers (maybe someone can post the figures from the golden spanner tables) but speaking to the fitters, they are glad to see the back of them. There is only so long you can polish a turd.

If the process isn't started soon then the future just gets bleaker.
 

Mikey C

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The manufacturer(s) are long gone - none of the original factories that built them are extant are they? Parts supplies are likely to be veyr thin on the gorund - moreso even than the 455/313s given their "transitional" onboard tech.
The Met Cam ones were built by what became Alstom, ditto the GEC Traction (also used by the London Underground for its 1996 stock)
The BREL ones were built by what via various mergers is now also part of Alstom. They had Hitachi inverters fitted not too long ago

The bodies are similar to the 165s/166s which are still very much in service. Or the 365s

Nobody seems to be suggesting the Class 323s should be scrapped, and they were built by a long deceased company (Hunslet) with non standard Holec traction
 

LOL The Irony

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Nobody seems to be suggesting the Class 323s should be scrapped, and they were built by a long deceased company (Hunslet) with non standard Holec traction
Well the traction systems were updated with Alstom systems in the late 00's. Although it is probably best to start replacing the PEPs and Mk3 stock with newer, more efficient and safer trains.
 

Roast Veg

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The Met Cam ones were built by what became Alstom, ditto the GEC Traction (also used by the London Underground for its 1996 stock)
The BREL ones were built by what via various mergers is now also part of Alstom. They had Hitachi inverters fitted not too long ago
I have no doubt that the Hitachi fitted units are much easier to care for, not least when it comes to the brake block bill. Would alstom even be any use for spare parts? I'd have thought it would be a question of component suppliers - and when they disappear? The tipping point usually comes around the time you have to fabricate your own spare parts.
 

Goldfish62

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SE have had capacity issues for years and have been crying out for new stock. Even the 707s are nothing more than a stop gap. The Networkers are still on lease but they are also falling to bits and lacking replacement parts. With the 466s not having the PRM mods done is also adds an additional constraint on fleet flexibility. SE are also taking over the Maidstone East service from GTR so its another burden.

COVID has obviously changed the game quite a bit so its anybodys guess as the the future of the franchise. What SE need to do is start the process for a new fleet and be ready in 5yrs rather than sit COVID out for the next year and kick the fleet further down the line.

The mythical 376 cascade will again, add another complication for SE. (if it ever happens)
So what would have happened if the 707s weren't available? They've only gone to SE because it's a convenient place to offload them rather than put them in storage.

I think you can forget any new fleet for a long time.
 

ComUtoR

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I think you can forget any new fleet for a long time.

How long is reasonable ? Considering the process for a new train is around 5yrs (so Ive been told) there needs to be some forward planning so that in 5yrs time they can arrive.

So what would have happened if the 707s weren't available?

The SE franchise has been the whipping boy for many years and has been extended and extended till its pretty much broken. If COVID hadn't hit then the growth predictions for SE were going to cripple the franchise. There are thousands of new homes being built in that part of the country. What was going to happen before the first Direct Award was that they were getting a new fleet.

Networker reliability is atrocious and no longer suitable for a modern metro fleet.

Southeastern would have suffered major capacity issues and an ever decreasing performance. Most of SE Metro has the capacity for 12s yes there are some further constraints but Networkers are more of a 6/8 car fleet so SE needs to push towards 10/12 to keep up with the capacity requirements.
 

brad465

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The SE franchise has been the whipping boy for many years and has been extended and extended till its pretty much broken. If COVID hadn't hit then the growth predictions for SE were going to cripple the franchise. There are thousands of new homes being built in that part of the country. What was going to happen before the first Direct Award was that they were getting a new fleet.

Networker reliability is atrocious and no longer suitable for a modern metro fleet.

Southeastern would have suffered major capacity issues and an ever decreasing performance. Most of SE Metro has the capacity for 12s yes there are some further constraints but Networkers are more of a 6/8 car fleet so SE needs to push towards 10/12 to keep up with the capacity requirements.
The repeated short term extensions have now of course ended with SE going to OLR, but this doesn't seem to have led to an order (from what's been disclosed) for any new metro fleet. If GBR goes ahead this might do, but all the budget cutbacks and other post-covid neglect of the railways is not helping make the case for a new fleet. Covid has kind of shown how size does matter in the future of a fleet: the 365s were a relatively small fleet and thus easy to withdraw entirely in response to covid cutbacks. The 465s+466s on the other hand are too large to be entirely, and for 707s to fully replace them, so a whole new fleet is going to be needed sooner rather than later, but covid if anything isn't going to help with ordering a new fleet, unless we get a Government that will take the railways more seriously.

707s arriving have been a combination of a stopgap, PR stunt and aversion of a PR disaster that would have resulted if a relatively new fleet suddenly found itself in storage, while northern cities were still being served by overcrowded ageing stock.
 

rdlover777

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Kind of off topic but while messing around on google earth, i found a 707 in one of the sidings at the Hitachi depot in Ashford1641321557916.png
edit:
found a second one nearby
1641321637795.png
 

ComUtoR

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By any chance was that 707s in red at Southeastern, you know like 707 003-6? As far as I know, they still sport SWT Red livery just unbranded.

Orpington is an SE depot and the unit is being used for training.
 

ScotGG

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With more arriving what Networkers are yet to be sent off?

Any 465/9s going?
 

brad465

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With more arriving what Networkers are yet to be sent off?

Any 465/9s going?
I don't know the plans but I'd thought 465/9s would be a low enough priority not to be replaced by 707s: the total carriage count of all 465/2s and 466s is exactly 150 (64+86 respectively), the same number of carriages found in 30x 707s. All 465/2s have gone, some 466s have also, so I would have thought it would make sense to send the remaining 466s. Any 10 car formations can be made out of 707s or 376s, leaving all the remaining 465s to form 8 and 12-car sets where needed.
 

43096

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I don't know the plans but I'd thought 465/9s would be a low enough priority not to be replaced by 707s: the total carriage count of all 465/2s and 466s is exactly 150 (64+86 respectively), the same number of carriages found in 30x 707s. All 465/2s have gone, some 466s have also, so I would have thought it would make sense to send the remaining 466s. Any 10 car formations can be made out of 707s or 376s, leaving all the remaining 465s to form 8 and 12-car sets where needed.
Given the collapse in commuting demand, I would hope that an opportunity is taken to trim the total fleet and that with 150 Desiro City cars coming in there would be 175-200 cars leaving.
 

ComUtoR

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I don't know the plans but I'd thought 465/9s would be a low enough priority not to be replaced by 707s: the total carriage count of all 465/2s and 466s is exactly 150 (64+86 respectively), the same number of carriages found in 30x 707s. All 465/2s have gone, some 466s have also, so I would have thought it would make sense to send the remaining 466s. Any 10 car formations can be made out of 707s or 376s, leaving all the remaining 465s to form 8 and 12-car sets where needed.

The Networker / 707 replacement is not being done on a coach vs coach basis. Also 466s are still required by SE
 

ScotGG

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Given the collapse in commuting demand, I would hope that an opportunity is taken to trim the total fleet and that with 150 Desiro City cars coming in there would be 175-200 cars leaving.

Why would you want more stock removed leaving up to 200 extra carriages being scrapped?

Leasing costs for 30 year old trains can't be high, and with no networker replacement likely for some years it'd be a bit foolish to scrap that many as who knows what the situation will be in 5-10 years. They serve areas of huge growth and any reduction in z1 working may be replaced with growth from numerous car-free towers. Have a gander at Kidbrooke and Lewisham for two examples.
 

Mikey C

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Why would you want more stock removed leaving up to 200 extra carriages being scrapped?

Leasing costs for 30 year old trains can't be high, and with no networker replacement likely for some years it'd be a bit foolish to scrap that many as who knows what the situation will be in 5-10 years. They serve areas of huge growth and any reduction in z1 working may be replaced with growth from numerous car-free towers. Have a gander at Kidbrooke and Lewisham for two examples.
There will be no long term collapse in commuting from SE London, with the vast number of new flats being built and the large number of essential workers who tend to live in the scruffier parts of London, rather than the leafy shires...
 

Nicholas Lewis

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Why would you want more stock removed leaving up to 200 extra carriages being scrapped?

Leasing costs for 30 year old trains can't be high, and with no networker replacement likely for some years it'd be a bit foolish to scrap that many as who knows what the situation will be in 5-10 years. They serve areas of huge growth and any reduction in z1 working may be replaced with growth from numerous car-free towers. Have a gander at Kidbrooke and Lewisham for two examples.
Absolutely whilst i wont go down the 365 alley over the 465's they need to be kept in warm store until there is more clarity about what level of demand will return and whilst i see the high peak as consigned to history there will still be the need to enhance the services in the morning and evenings.
 

southern442

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Absolutely whilst i wont go down the 365 alley over the 465's they need to be kept in warm store until there is more clarity about what level of demand will return and whilst i see the high peak as consigned to history there will still be the need to enhance the services in the morning and evenings.
Trouble is they will need to make their minds up soon, as the 465/2s are in the worst shape of them all so I'm told, and placing them into store won't help things...
 
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