The only reason someone's concluded that is:
- The Northern ITT effectively says bidders can take on any EMUs which are off-lease and not still required on their existing services except 442s.
- The TPE ITT says bidders can take on the 442s freed when they are no longer required for Gatwick Express if they wish to do so.
Okay, time for some engineer case analysis:
The ITT specifically says that the only rolling stock that can be proposed by the bidding companies are:
- Class 185, minus those being subleased to Northern until December 2015
- Up to ten Class 350s
- Class 180s, Class 220, Class 221 and Class 222 IF they become available at some point
- Up to four Class 170 until December 2017, with only two carriages
- Class 442
- New builds of suitable design
As the Class 185, Class 350 and complement will not be sufficient for the duration of the franchise - this means that either the Class 442 option or the new build option will have to be taken at some point - after December 2017. Hence, to some people's delight or horror, if a way of modifying or hauling the Class 442 for use on the routes served by TPE is found, deemed cheaper than new builds, and sufficient 180s or 22X are not available (I don't think they will be), we will be seeing Class 442 on the TPE routes... however much some people think they'll be used elsewhere or insist that they're destined for the scrapyard.
If they turn out not to be being used on TPE routes, however much I like the Class 442 and like seeimg existing resources used, there is no more work for them, so one may be preserved and the rest scrapped.
While I personally like the idea or existing resources being used where possible, I take a neutral stance on the 442s future, and I have to admit that I'm rather surprised at this idea of them on TPE routes!!