230. Although aware of these obstructions on either side of train 1T08, route control staff did not take any action to assess the risk to the operation of 1T08 on its return to Stonehaven and took no action to run the train at a reduced speed. With the exception of Network Rail’s stranded train risk assessment process (see paragraph 232), there was no process requiring route control staff to assess risks to specific trains such as 1T08 beyond general situation awareness possessed by individuals within the control function. The resources available to control (see paragraph 236) and the volume of incidents which were being managed meant that such reliance on individual situational awareness did not assure the safety of individual train operations.
231. The apparent lack of awareness about weather-related risk to train 1T08 contrasts with action taken when train 1A43 was reversed at Laurencekirk station because flooding at Newtonhill meant it could not continue its scheduled northward journey. Train 1A43 had arrived at Laurencekirk station at about 07:16 hrs and remained there until, at 08:28 hrs, route control staff instructed the Laurencekirk signaller to return the train to Dundee as train 1Z43 (paragraph 52). When giving this instruction, an informal exchange between route control and the Laurencekirk signaller identified that the train had been at Laurencekirk for over an hour, and led control to instruct the signaller that he should advise the driver of 1Z43 to run at a reduced speed. The instruction was given, but there was no opportunity for the driver to implement it as he stopped the train shortly after leaving the station because he encountered a landslip (paragraph 53).
236. Route control is routinely resourced (paragraph 196) to deal with the problems likely to arise as a normal consequence of railway operation. Typically, these will include equipment failures, staffing issues, and the problems associated with adverse weather that is normally encountered. This resource can be insufficient to deal with exceptional events. Evidence that route control staff were overloaded on the morning of 12 August 2020 is provided by witness evidence, the number of events listed in appendix D, the severity of some of these events (for example, the canal breach at Polmont) and omission of the stranded risk assessment for train 1T08.
237. It was possible for further resources to be brought into control to deal with abnormal circumstances. One option was an additional member of staff brought on duty to operate a specific ‘weather desk’. This individual would provide additional support to other control staff managing weather-related incidents. This relied on a competent individual being available and willing to work overtime. A ‘weather desk’ had been introduced in response to adverse weather in Scotland in June 2020 (paragraph 215). However, no ‘weather desk’ was operated on the night of 11/12 August 2020 and there is no evidence suggesting that serious consideration was given to seeking volunteers to staff this.
238. An alternative source of additional resource is the implementation of senior management incident control, commonly referred to as ‘gold command’, and described in NR/L2/OPS/250, ‘Network Rail National Emergency Plan’. This deploys a cadre of senior managers who can be tasked with managing a specific problem or incident (such as an adverse weather event). Although Network Rail procedures describe this implementation as being decided by an EWAT meeting, the RCMs within the Scotland route control sometimes did so without an EWAT meeting.
239. During the night of 11/12 August, the night shift RCM considered implementing the gold command structure to better manage the weather issues. However, despite the level of disruption already known about and the forecast of further extreme weather received at 02:51 hrs, he did not do so because he judged that, by the time the necessary staff had been mobilised, the need for the additional support would have receded. Had a gold command structure been implemented earlier, it is possible that the railway’s ability to respond more effectively would have increased.
240. The following morning, before the accident at Carmont occurred, the day shift RCM, in conjunction with the head of integrated control, decided to implement ‘gold command’ to manage the recovery from the weather issues. However, the time taken to implement this decision meant that this did not become operational until 10:12 hrs, shortly after the accident happened. A second separate command structure was then created to manage the issues related to the accident.
241. It is possible that, had additional resources been available at route control earlier on August 12, consideration of damage elsewhere in Scotland, including the four events in the Laurencekirk/Newtonhill area, would have led to recognition of the potential threat to train 1T08 from the extreme weather in the vicinity of the train. It is possible that this would have led to actions being taken to mitigate that threat.
253. The Carmont signaller had no indication that the line was obstructed between his location and Stonehaven when authorising the movement of train 1T08 to Stonehaven. After passing his signal box, train 2B13 had passed the location of the washout at 07:07 hrs and reached Stonehaven station at 07:13 hrs, with its driver subsequently confirming that he had seen no indication of a problem (paragraph 50). The Carmont signaller was told that this train had reached Stonehaven during a phone call with the Stonehaven signaller at 07:19 hrs, during which they concluded there was no known obstruction of the up line, so this could be used for the northbound movement of train 1T08 if necessary (the movement was actually made on the down line). Neither signaller had received any indication of an obstruction at the washout location when, at and after 09:08 hrs, they exchanged the messages needed to authorise the northward movement of train 1T08 to Stonehaven.
254. By the time the Carmont signaller authorised this movement at 09:28 hrs, the weather had improved significantly (paragraph 57). Evidence that the driver of train 2B13 had not seen a problem when passing the washout location at 07:07 hrs indicates that the driver of train 1T08 would have seen no evidence of a problem when passing the site in the southbound direction eight minutes earlier at 06:59 hrs. RAIB has concluded that, when train 1T08 headed north towards the washout, there was no rule in place that required the train to proceed any slower than the normal maximum permitted speed of 75 mph (121 km/h) at that location.
255. When the signaller gave the driver of train 1T08 authority to travel ‘wrong direction’ (in the down direction along the up line) as far as the crossover, he also advised the driver that, due to the power failure affecting his signal box, he might have difficulty in clearing the signal permitting train 1T08 to travel along the down line to Stonehaven. In the event, he was able to clear the signal normally. During this conversation, the driver queried whether there was any speed restriction to Stonehaven; the signaller replied that the line was fine between Carmont and Stonehaven, and that the driver could proceed at normal speed. In response the driver said that he would be in no rush to get there.