HSTEd
Veteran Member
- Joined
- 14 Jul 2011
- Messages
- 20,297
Then you would be extremely naïve.
We apparently can't afford to finish the last few miles of the GW electrification project. Similarly Midland Main line to Leicester and Sheffield. HS2's eastern leg is abandoned as is north of Birmingham. Yet some people imagine billions are to be found to provide a new high speed line from Leeds via Bradford and Huddersfield across the Pennines.
mods note - split from this thread
How do you solve a problem like Bradford?
Please move this thread if it is in the wrong place but with the news today that Bradford Interchange will close in 2028 due to end of life expectancy. What is the solution for a fully integrated transport network in the UK’s fastest-growing city in terms of population? Rather than having two...
I really don't want to derail the thread, but yhe GW electrification project and HS2-East failed due to massive cost runaways, which is why they were cut back. The Midland Main Line electrification was axed because it doesn't actually achieve anything commersurate to the cost of 25kV electrification in the modern era.
In a world where electrodiesels exist, there is very little additional track on which electrification can be justified at the cost at which the railway appears able to deliver.
The network effect is dead, and electrification is almost (if not totally) complete - especially with the arrival of practical battery trains.
It's not really a "there is no money" issue, its a "its not really worth it any more" issue.
A new line is still potentially justifiable if it actually delivers benefits that can offset its cost.
I'd argue that the lesson of HS2 is that it is surface construction that is a nightmare with a very high cost per mile.Wherever NPR is proposed to be routed will be a construction nightmare because of the nature of the terrain. It would have to be lots of viaducts, tunnels, bridges etc. i.e. a very high cost/mile. And if the other projects aren't financially viable then this doesn't stand a chance.
Tunnels are now the easy (and probably fast) way to build railways in the UK, and the cost differential is smaller than it has ever been, even in good terrain. In bad or expensive terrain the tunnel will be cheaper.
If anything happens at Bradford (or at all) I would not discount a new line, but I think by far the most likely course is that nothing will happen
.
Last edited by a moderator: