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Reform UK discussion

styles

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I found out today that I work with a Reform UK voter. He is also antisemitic, and also believes net zero is a conspiracy.

Anyway, don't think we'll be having many conversations going forwards. It was quite hard on the brain.
 
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SuspectUsual

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I fear you may be right. But if Cameron deserves credit for anything around the referendum, it was leading for the campaign he believed in.

If we're going to re-litigate that period, I'd focus on a couple of other matters before getting anywhere near that. One was the failure of Corbyn to campaign effectively for Remain, the other was how rubbish and complacent the Remain campaign were.

The biggest problem with the Remain campaign was that it was run by people from both sides of the traditional political divide, they didn’t trust each other, and they barely spoke.

The Leave campaign was at least 95% various flavours of right wingers, and they found themselves able to work together properly
 

AlterEgo

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The biggest problem with the Remain campaign was that it was run by people from both sides of the traditional political divide, they didn’t trust each other, and they barely spoke.

The Leave campaign was at least 95% various flavours of right wingers, and they found themselves able to work together properly
Quite. There has historically been less solidarity and collegiate working on the left than the right which is quite odd, given the right ar supposed to not tolerate difference so much. The right works like the Church of England - obviously the institution is nonsense and was set up out of convenience, but the overarching philosophy has just enough glue to tie people together so everyone feels they are getting enough of what they need. That is probably poorly expressed but you get the gist.

(Recent right wing splits have ben very interesting though!)
 

Bald Rick

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I blame Osborne myself - firstly for austerity, but then for a Tory campaign that knocked out the LibDems and removed the excuse Cameron was going to use to avoid the referendum.

I’ve met both Osborne and Corbyn. Neither of the meetings was remotely connected to European policy.
However, based on the strength of those meetings alone, I would far more trust Osborne than Corbyn.
 

edwin_m

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I’ve met both Osborne and Corbyn. Neither of the meetings was remotely connected to European policy.
However, based on the strength of those meetings alone, I would far more trust Osborne than Corbyn.
Not saying Osborne caused Brexit deliberately but I believe actions he took for other reasons were very instrumental in causing it. And, in a valiant attempt to drag the thread back on topic, that appeasement of Farage and his ilk from then onwards indirectly led to Reform threatening the continued existence of the Tories as a significant force.
 

Sorcerer

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I live in a seaside area (Thanet) which had the first UKIP council in the UK and where Farage lost in the general election in 2015 (first time I had voted Tory :))

By then I had been here about eight years. I had retired and was volunteering in an advice bureau. Certainly a lot of people had moved down from South and East London (indeed I did) and the immigrant population were mostly Eastern Europeans. As with a previous poster they did the lower paid jobs - care, hospitality, fruit and vegetable picking

I can say that there was an amount of hostility towards the Eastern Europeans then. We had it expressed to us in the advice bureau - sometimes based on apocryphal stories. IIRC Khan became mayor in 2016 so, in this instance anyway, I don't believe that the stories about what London is like under his rule influence(d) these folks views. They were there already although I guess it maybe reinforces them

Fwiw the UKIP council was awful - fair to say that we have had bad Tory and Labour administrations too.
I don't think Sadiq Khan was an immediate influence on these people's views, but I certainly think having a Muslim mayor of a progressive city as diverse as London certainly reinforces them. Few things could be worse in the eyes of a nationalist. I have my own reservations about him as an individual but I can't exactly say he's been terrible for London.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

The biggest problem with the Remain campaign was that it was run by people from both sides of the traditional political divide, they didn’t trust each other, and they barely spoke.

The Leave campaign was at least 95% various flavours of right wingers, and they found themselves able to work together properly
Quite. There has historically been less solidarity and collegiate working on the left than the right which is quite odd, given the right ar supposed to not tolerate difference so much.
The right wing are very well organised and generally don't care about how right you lean as long as they believe you're on their team. Meanwhile two lefties might walk into a bar with three split factions walking out by the end of the night. Much as I welcome the potential for a Reform-Restore rivalry splitting the nationalist vote it's not something I've typically observed in my lifetime. The Tories were always more organised in their messaging than Labour during elections.
 
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35B

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The biggest problem with the Remain campaign was that it was run by people from both sides of the traditional political divide, they didn’t trust each other, and they barely spoke.

The Leave campaign was at least 95% various flavours of right wingers, and they found themselves able to work together properly
I suggest you read Tim Shipman’s account - to call the various factions dysfunctional is to suggest they were able to work together.
 

Bald Rick

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I’m hearing from very reliable sources that Reform are putting up ‘Reform’ signs outside houses in Clacton that are not reform voters. Described to me as “meatheads prowling around in big black 4x4s with tinted windows”, which to be fair does tally with videos on line of Reform party transport there.
 

styles

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If recent polling in Clacton is reliable, Farage is set to be returned as an MP next week. It'll be interesting to see, if he's re-elected, how he plans to evade the £5m questions, because I don't expect his plan to have an election to put the matter to rest is really going to cut it.
 

martin butler

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If recent polling in Clacton is reliable, Farage is set to be returned as an MP next week. It'll be interesting to see, if he's re-elected, how he plans to evade the £5m questions, because I don't expect his plan to have an election to put the matter to rest is really going to cut it.
I Suspect that the 5m will be the least of his worries, already Reforms finances are under scrutiny both him and Tice, are under investigation, over where and from whom their funds originated from,

It's very likely he will be found to have broken parliamentary rules, and face a suspension, resulting in a recall petition, over the 5m, and will have to face another by-election, assuming he does stand, because I think he will jump ship, not stand, flee to the states, where he hopes his friends will block any attempts if it's found that reforms funding was illegal and he needs to face the courts over it. Tice has already set up home in Dubai,
 

35B

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I've been wondering about this. I suspect his playbook is to win this, then use that result to be able to tell the MPs who will be reviewing his case that, if they put him in danger of a recall, he'll just fight and win another election so they're wasting their time. And knowing that Tice is coming into the spotlight, if that strategy's effective, it will be useful for Reform more generally in limiting the amount of incoming fire they receive.
 

ainsworth74

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If recent polling in Clacton is reliable, Farage is set to be returned as an MP next week.
That's got to be the most likely outcome surely? I do think it will be interesting to see how Count Binface does as if he gets 20% or so of the vote that's going to be quite amusing. Farage faced with an open field with his main opponent being a man who wears a plastic bin on his head and he only manages 60/70% of the vote?
I've been wondering about this. I suspect his playbook is to win this, then use that result to be able to tell the MPs who will be reviewing his case that, if they put him in danger of a recall, he'll just fight and win another election so they're wasting their time. And knowing that Tice is coming into the spotlight, if that strategy's effective, it will be useful for Reform more generally in limiting the amount of incoming fire they receive.

Yes I imagine that's the plan no doubt along with plenty of "The Will of the People (of one small town in England) is that I represent them in Parliament, how dare you question their judgement!" type nonsense.
 

jon0844

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I don't think there's any doubt Farage will win, but he can't escape the ongoing enquiries and the high chance of more things coming out in the future weeks and months. However, if Count Binface gets even a modest number of votes, it will be incredibly embarrassing for him - and besides those on the 'Reform WhatsApp' that have been going on about it being Farage vs the Establishment, the vast majority of people aren't buying the narrative as it's ludicrous!
 

jon0844

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Delete ‘establishment’ and insert ‘rules’.

He keeps saying the other parties were too scared to take him on (which sort of undermines the vs the establishment bit) but with the recent poll ratings and the mayoral election in Manchester, it's quite possible he could have lost.

Ultimately, if he wins he doesn't get to say 'the people have spoken; let no further action be taken against me' even if those who vote for him think that's the case. It means the current MP remains the MP, but only after having had a hissy fit and costing the taxpayer a small fortune in the process of returning to exactly where things were in the first place.
 

dosxuk

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those on the 'Reform WhatsApp' that have been going on about it being Farage vs the Establishment, the vast majority of people aren't buying the narrative as it's ludicrous!
"I, Nigel Farage, stands here as your voice, against the representatives of the Establishment - a man with a bin on his head, three self proclaimed loonies and Laurence Fox"
 

DerekC

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He keeps saying the other parties were too scared to take him on (which sort of undermines the vs the establishment bit) but with the recent poll ratings and the mayoral election in Manchester, it's quite possible he could have lost.

Ultimately, if he wins he doesn't get to say 'the people have spoken; let no further action be taken against me' even if those who vote for him think that's the case. It means the current MP remains the MP, but only after having had a hissy fit and costing the taxpayer a small fortune in the process of returning to exactly where things were in the first place.
I wonder if he thinks it puts him in a better place when it comes to taking the rap for failing to declare his £5m present and whatever else comes to the surface. He will no doubt say that calling another byelection would be a waste of time and money because the people have already spoken.
 

jon0844

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I wonder if he thinks it puts him in a better place when it comes to taking the rap for failing to declare his £5m present and whatever else comes to the surface. He will no doubt say that calling another byelection would be a waste of time and money because the people have already spoken.

He'll say whatever he wants and know that his base will support him. The base will just repeat 'witch hunt' over and over and never accept any verdict, which means Nigel won't harm his reputation amongst his supporters. Exact same tactics employed by Trump and others.
 

martin butler

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You can almost guarantee that Farage, and the compliant media machine will be jumping into full on deflection mode, if he is found to have broken parliamentary standards, and is suspended, forcing a recall, we will be flooded with bots, and "auditors" (right wing influencer's really) claiming he's being attacked by the establishment, and the hard of thinking will lap every bit of it up, much as Maga has in the US,
 

contrex

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I’m hearing from very reliable sources that Reform are putting up ‘Reform’ signs outside houses in Clacton that are not reform voters. Described to me as “meatheads prowling around in big black 4x4s with tinted windows”, which to be fair does tally with videos on line of Reform party transport there.
I have a relative in Clacton who would quite likely tear any down and burn them. He says loudly, often, in public what a crook Farage is, and never has any trouble. A bloke in a pub bought him a drink because he said he'd be voting for Binface.
 
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Strathclyder

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I’m hearing from very reliable sources that Reform are putting up ‘Reform’ signs outside houses in Clacton that are not reform voters. Described to me as “meatheads prowling around in big black 4x4s with tinted windows”, which to be fair does tally with videos on line of Reform party transport there.
If I were one of those homeowners and if they had the nerve to do that while I was at home to see them at it, I'd tear them right back down and throw them into a bonfire right in front of those meat-heads; see if they dare try and stop me from exercising my rights as a homeowner in disposing of unwanted crap in my garden that was put up without my permission. They'd no doubt throw a fit if I put, say, a Binface sign in their garden.

Then again, that's the kind of reaction they're likely wanting to get out of folk who utterly despise their party cult and everything it stands for; feeds into their perpetual victim complex apart from anything else.

But meh, if @contrex's example is go by, I'd be fine if I did tear them down and burn them. I don't drink, but I'd happily accept getting a pizza bought for me lol

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

I found out today that I work with a Reform UK voter. He is also antisemitic, and also believes net zero is a conspiracy.

Anyway, don't think we'll be having many conversations going forwards. It was quite hard on the brain.
It's for the best. If possible (I suspect it isn't), go no-contact with such a person in the workplace for the sake of your sanity. Apart from anything else, I personally wouldn't be able to bite my tounge sufficently if he started to go off on one.
 
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martin butler

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What odds are the bookies giving on Farage winning this by-election, but losing the next one, when it's called in a couple of months' time, because by then, Reform could be in serious trouble over their finances,
 

Harpo

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What odds are the bookies giving on Farage winning this by-election, but losing the next one, when it's called in a couple of months' time, because by then, Reform could be in serious trouble over their finances,
The ‘next one’ still has two hurdles - the standard committees conclusions and, if it becomes eligible to occur, a recall petition that reaches the threshold.
 

brad465

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What odds are the bookies giving on Farage winning this by-election, but losing the next one, when it's called in a couple of months' time, because by then, Reform could be in serious trouble over their finances,
There's also the issue that this particular stunt has not gone down well in his constituency. The Tories could try fielding the previously MP Giles Watling again, who was reportedly popular in the area, however he is 73 so would probably only be a stop-gap for the remainder of the parliament.
 

S101

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we will be flooded with bots,
Bot. A modern buzz word. Is that what people call someone to avoid admitting a point is hard to counter. Straight from the Reddit Dictionary. I find it absolutely incredible that a lot of people cannot understand why Reform is so popular. If so many people are in favour of Reform, why is it so hard to accept that people are fed up of the status quo. And for saying that, I am surely a bot to someone who disagrees.
 
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SargeNpton

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Bot. A modern buzz word. Is that what people call someone to avoid admitting a point is hard to counter. Straight from the Reddit Dictionary. I find it absolutely incredible that a lot of people cannot understand why Reform is so popular. If so many people are in favour of Reform, why is it so hard to accept that people are fed up of the status quo. And for saying that, I am surely a bot to someone who disagrees.
A "bot" is a computer program that is designed to either trawl through websites to extract information, or one that is designed to spam bulletin boards and social media with adverts or politics.

Which is why so many websites these days ask you to confirm that you are not a robot.
 

contrex

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Bot. A modern buzz word. Is that what people call someone to avoid admitting a point is hard to counter. Straight from the Reddit Dictionary. I find it absolutely incredible that a lot of people cannot understand why Reform is so popular. If so many people are in favour of Reform, why is it so hard to accept that people are fed up of the status quo. And for saying that, I am surely a bot to someone who disagrees.
You must surely know that an Internet bot is a software application that runs automated tasks over the Internet, including posting politically biased messages on web forums. The BBC traced one, 'GenZBloomer', which posted hundreds of messages containing political or divisive content, or reposting the same repetitive phrases. Often, the same bots had posted messages about US politics, sports, animal cruelty, COVID-19 conspiracy theories, or posts opposing Ukraine and supporting Russia, before switching to Reform UK. I'm fairly sure you are a real person, but I still very much disagree with you. I see Reform are slipping badly in the polls, so your 'so many people' is now around 23% (less than a quarter) in some polls, with Labour now slightly ahead.
 
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THC

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There's also the issue that this particular stunt has not gone down well in his constituency. The Tories could try fielding the previously MP Giles Watling again, who was reportedly popular in the area, however he is 73 so would probably only be a stop-gap for the remainder of the parliament.
I walked from Harwich International to Clacton-on-Sea today right through the heart of the constituency (17.5 miles if anyone cares). Great Oakley was particularly Faragist - ten garden posters/wall displays with "SEND THEM A MESSAGE" prominent - but his physog stared back at me from all quarters of the Tendring peninsula. Yet everyone I met en route was friendly and welcoming, from the dog walkers to the shopkeepers to the beach dwellers. I guess you can never judge a book by the cover, and hope that come Thursday enough people locally choose to send him a message too.

THC

[Pic: a rusting bus shelter adjacent to a Reform poster, Little Clacton]
 

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