If both tickets had been shown, and the guard had looked and seen that from the ticket numbers they were sequential, and issued at about the same time (give or take a minute or two) then I am sure he would have believed his explanation - had that explanation been given of course.
If he had a YPRC on him too, that would have presumably helped (did he? Was the ticket he showed with the discount? Did he present his railcard?)
It seems to me that he didn't do any of this at the time.
Of course, it's still possible that he could have bought the second ticket for someone else and made up the story about the mistake, then just travelled both ways with one ticket.
And it's also possible that he's telling the truth. No-one who wasn't directly involved (including you and I) knows exactly what transpired before the video as the balancing views to Mr. Main aren't able to be heard currently.
Either of us could be right, or neither of us could be right.
That's the problem with this, very few know what actually occurred before something that clearly shouldn't have (him being manhandled/assaulted after being a gobby idiot, both of which are equally stupid).
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