There may well be arguments over timing, but the policy approach of removing new ICE cars from the roads is a more viable way of achieving this change, as supply shifts and bangernomics start to favour EV over ICE while the cascades continue.
For all those scared of getting an EV, yes they're terrible, believe all the scares stories, don't ever buy one and keep spreading the scarey stories about how the batteries need changing every 3 years and they catch fire all the time and the like with everyone you know.
You don't need to read any further and can be happy that you're right.
No really, my post is long and you'll not be in interested, skip past it.
Right, now they've gone:
If you can find the right car it's potentially that we're almost there.
We've just brought a 6 year old Peugeot e208 for £6,300 with nearly 110,000 miles on the clock. The range isn't quite the full quoted 220 miles, but still around 180 so not bad (and that's real world range so it's possibly the battery is sightly healthier than the numbers suggest).
However, even if that were to fall to 60 usable miles, for what we've got it for (second car, mostly doing short trips) that's still going to be fine.
That price looks scary for most doing bangernomics, until you think:
- doing 8,000 miles a year over 4 years will save around £2,900 (9p a mile in energy savings, allowing for the 3p a mile tax) which would make the effective cost £3,400
- it was through a garage and so has a 12 month warranty*, so a private purchase could result in a lower price
- servicing is little more than changing the pollen filter, topping up the screen wash and regassing the AC (no oil, spark plugs, etc.) which makes the servicing easier
- with regen braking the need to replace disks and pads reduces, saving on those costs
* reading through the list of items covered by the warranty was interesting as half the things listed weren't relevant to the car
All in (purchase, insurance, VED, maintenance, tyres, etc) over 4 years it's likely to work out at around 40p per mile even if it is entirely worthless at the end of that 4 years. That means that any business milage we do would likely be "profitable".
It also gives us the potential for a car for a teenager to learn to drive in (although any insurance quote on any car isn't something I'm looking forwards to finding out any time soon!), as whist that would limit them to only EV's I'm not sure that's much of an issue if they are thinking about a car of their own (say after uni) in at least 3 years time when the maths may be even more in their favour of getting an EV.
As I said, probably still not quite there, but getting fairly close.
One final thing, why did I say what I did at the start, well I don't want everyone thinking EV's are good, by keeping those who are scared of them out of the second hand EV market they stay nice and cheap for the rest of us.