Farigiraf
Established Member
I've listed what I perceive are pros and cons of potential implementation of a GB-Ticket, which is a British adaptation of Austria's Klimaticket - the lack of clear Regional/Intercity distinction in the UK means that the German model of only permitting regional trains would be highly complex, although the name is more catchy than 'Climate Ticket'.
Aiming to actually help with the cost of living and attract new travellers, instead of subsidising those who can already comfortably afford train travel, while at the same time trying to keep the 'headline figure' (which anti-rail politicians in Germany frequently criticise) as low as possible so that it doesn't become highly politically vulnerable, a cost of around £1200-1500 a year (equivalent of £100-125 a month) is worth considering. There are numerous reasons why you may want to make it higher, but it must be considered that anything more than the cost of a typical utility bill makes it inaccessible to those on lower incomes, which reduces many of the fiscal multipliers which the viability of a GB-Ticket relies on.
Of course, there would be senior/youth/low-income/job-based discounts, plus regional equivalents (e.g. L&SE, East Midlands, Scottish Central Belt) for a lower cost can be considered. The fate of railcards I'm unsure about - they're a largely different offering (often paying for themselves after just a few trips) but there would be a lot of duplication too.
I'm not expecting such an idea to actually materialise: Germany and Austria's railways are in a better condition and rail is viewed as a public service / economic multiplier, while in the UK, politicians are focused on reducing subsidy by cutting things that don't make a profit, and in general less people are used to taking the train.
If by some chance it gets implemented, a GB-Ticket would certainly change that, but to what extent? How sustainable would it be long term - would the wider economic benefits of it (which likely outweigh the subsidy cost) be noticeable on the Treasury's revenue sheets before there start to be calls for the scrapping of it?
Aiming to actually help with the cost of living and attract new travellers, instead of subsidising those who can already comfortably afford train travel, while at the same time trying to keep the 'headline figure' (which anti-rail politicians in Germany frequently criticise) as low as possible so that it doesn't become highly politically vulnerable, a cost of around £1200-1500 a year (equivalent of £100-125 a month) is worth considering. There are numerous reasons why you may want to make it higher, but it must be considered that anything more than the cost of a typical utility bill makes it inaccessible to those on lower incomes, which reduces many of the fiscal multipliers which the viability of a GB-Ticket relies on.
Of course, there would be senior/youth/low-income/job-based discounts, plus regional equivalents (e.g. L&SE, East Midlands, Scottish Central Belt) for a lower cost can be considered. The fate of railcards I'm unsure about - they're a largely different offering (often paying for themselves after just a few trips) but there would be a lot of duplication too.
| Pro | Con |
|---|---|
| Increased off-peak travel, filling otherwise empty seats | Peak-time trains would likely be regularly full and standing |
| If implementation in Germany teaches us anything, Overcrowding on busy routes may encourage rail investment to increase capacity, allowing for commuter rail expansion (Crossrail / South Wales Metro style projects), regional rail expansion (line reopenings) and possibly the revival of public favour in high-speed rail | The many other issues with building infrastructure in the UK wouldn't be magically solved, meaning that investment may struggle to keep up with passenger growth |
| Increased usage of local buses (and trams wherever they exist), encouraging mass transit and bus expansion | Complex funding systems, bus deregulation and inconsistent levels of devolution throughout the country would make such expansion a logistical nightmare |
| Allows people with lower incomes to access many better-paid jobs within commuting distance, reducing the decline of regional towns with high unemployment. Reduces the North-South divide. | ↓ |
| Reduces the cost of living, allowing for more disposable income to spend in other businesses | The increased money from these 3 categories on the left typically go to other departments (e.g. NHS, Defra) not the DfT, so if looking at the DfT budgets instead of the UK economy, the project appears as loss making. |
| The typical benefits of modal shift: - less cars on the roads resulting in less accidents and cleaner air = lower costs for NHS - Cities/towns that prioritise public transport growth over road access are typically nicer places to live, increasing land value - Numerous environmental benefits | ↑ |
I'm not expecting such an idea to actually materialise: Germany and Austria's railways are in a better condition and rail is viewed as a public service / economic multiplier, while in the UK, politicians are focused on reducing subsidy by cutting things that don't make a profit, and in general less people are used to taking the train.
If by some chance it gets implemented, a GB-Ticket would certainly change that, but to what extent? How sustainable would it be long term - would the wider economic benefits of it (which likely outweigh the subsidy cost) be noticeable on the Treasury's revenue sheets before there start to be calls for the scrapping of it?
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