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Storm Goretti disruption - 8/9 January 2026

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Bletchleyite

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I’m sorry but that’s utter nonsense. Three trains got stranded as they couldn’t draw power from the 3rd rail. None were anywhere near stations and road access was impossible. Traincrew and passengers were stranded overnight with at least one unit losing hotel power as well. It certainly was not a non-incident and should be avoided going forward. From memory a cross country unit was used running wrong direction and did a side to side evacuation.

Are we talking about different incidents? The one I'm talking about was the train that was stuck in the platform at a station (forget if it was Ashurst New Forest or Brockenhurst now I think on) and passengers were able to leave it but mostly chose not to. I'll see if I can find the BBC News article.
 
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nilvaj395

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But you literally won't be able to drive across the Pennines between Manchester and Sheffield, you'll have to divert around. Which is exactly what you'll have to do to get there by train.
Crossing the pennies aside there's a lot of examples of local journeys which will be unnesscarily cut off e.g Guide Bridge to Hadfield / Glossop or Buxton albeit less so, areas that are only barely if not at all in the orange area.

Even then, the trains stop at around 5/6pm and the roads shut at around 8pm. Those extra hours are crucial for those getting home from work. It doesn't leave a good impression, if you want to have a good chance of getting home then only the car can do that. In the case of Hadfield or Glossop what are the chances the 237 bus will still run when the train won't, I would imagine 70/30.

Since replacement buses are not being provided, train passengers will have to go via Ashton and a bus to get home, something that would no doubt be unnesscarily tiring and damage their trust in the railways (yet again, for the millionth time). How many times will your average person put up with this until they can finally afford or learn to drive is unknown.

Nope. That’s why the majority of people in this country drive. Far far more reliable and probably cheaper too in the long run.
At least with a car you can chance it, is it risky yes? Can you get stuck, absolutely. But usually most people come to the conclusion that they will have much better chances and reliability always using the car. Then the railway loses a customer permenently and not just through bad weather spells. It ruins modal shift, we can't just shut down the minute a bit of snow comes down.
 
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pompeyfan

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Are we talking about different incidents? The one I'm talking about was the train that was stuck in the platform at Ashurst New Forest and passengers were able to leave it but mostly chose not to.
Possibly actually. I think the incident I referred to was the other side of Brockenhurst. I’ll see if I can find an old news article online.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Found it:

 

adc82140

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Killingworth

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I’m sorry but that’s utter nonsense. Three trains got stranded as they couldn’t draw power from the 3rd rail. None were anywhere near stations and road access was impossible. Traincrew and passengers were stranded overnight with at least one unit losing hotel power as well. It certainly was not a non-incident and should be avoided going forward. From memory a cross country unit was used running wrong direction and did a side to side evacuation.
Maybe a good idea for those who question this to view the 2018 thread. It sounds quite a major incident to me. See; https://www.railforums.co.uk/thread...s-overnight-in-new-forest-01-03-02-03.161421/
 

Bletchleyite

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I think it might have been the same incident, having read that news article, but with multiple trains involved, one of which did have power and was stuck at a station, while the other two did not and were not. The one at the station with power wasn't a serious incident, the one between stations without power rather different due to hypothermia risk.

What that does back up was the one-time policy that if things start going to pot you ideally want to have trains stop alongside platforms as far as is possible, because it leaves open the option for people to get off and do their own thing if they want. You can't always achieve that, but for a while significant effort was put into doing it (at least on the WCML*), and that seems to have fallen away again now.

* I'm reminded of spending about 5 hours sat on a stopped train at Hemel working on my laptop years ago. I could have got off at any time, the doors were released, but the extra legroom table at the far end of a nearly empty train (as almost everyone else had bailed) was actually quite a good office space. Could have just done with a coffee! :)
 

Freemo

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Snow being forecast for the Hope Valley during winter is normal. Snow being forecast in the Netherlands during the winter is normal.

Communications here are referring to “extreme weather”, there to “winter weather”.


Good. Pity EMR make no mention of that.
The Netherlands got around 10cm, with people stranded at the airport. The amber area here may get three times that. Accuweather.com reckons Edale may get 40cm. These are differing degrees in totally unlike locations.
 

pompeyfan

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I think it might have been the same incident, having read that news article, but with multiple trains involved, one of which did have power and was stuck at a station, while the other two did not and were not.

What that does back up was the one-time policy that if things start going to pot you ideally want to have trains stop alongside platforms as far as is possible, because it leaves open the option for people to get off and do their own thing if they want. You can't always achieve that, but for a while significant effort was put into doing it (at least on the WCML*), and that seems to have fallen away again now.

* I'm reminded of spending about 5 hours sat on a stopped train at Hemel working on my laptop years ago. I could have got off at any time, the doors were released, but the extra legroom table at the far end of a nearly empty train (as almost everyone else had bailed) was actually quite a good office space. Could have just done with a coffee! :)

To be fair, being stuck at somewhere like Micheldever, Shawford or Beaulieu Road, your chances are significantly better on the train. Friends and relatives or taxis are unlikely to be able to make it to these remote places.

To bring this back on subject, I can see why the railway is so risk averse now, and hope everyone is safe this evening, especially those in West Cornwall
 

nilvaj395

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The Netherlands got around 10cm, with people stranded at the airport. The amber area here may get three times that. Accuweather.com reckons Edale may get 40cm. These are differing degrees in totally unlike locations.
The higher amount (20-30cm) is only on hills according to the Met Office, otherwise up to 25cm, more likely 5-15cm. Either way, I think being in a different form geographically is not a good enough excuse to give up. If anything, it's a reason that we should be more prepared than other places, not less.
 

Bletchleyite

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To be fair, being stuck at somewhere like Micheldever, Shawford or Beaulieu Road, your chances are significantly better on the train. Friends and relatives or taxis are unlikely to be able to make it to these remote places.

If it was Beaulieu Road I'd probably have led a group of anyone willing and suitably attired towards the Scout centre, which has a live in warden so it would probably be possible to gain access to safe, warm bunk rooms for the night and even a campfire to stand round if desired!

I don't know the other two, but if it was Brock a visit to the pub would probably be in order, there are several decent ones.

To bring this back on subject, I can see why the railway is so risk averse now, and hope everyone is safe this evening, especially those in West Cornwall

There were two changes. The one that made the railway risk averse was Carmont, and predictably the thing that made rail replacement buses harder to get (they were ten a penny before) was the legal case that ended up introducing an interpretation of the law requiring all vehicles used to be accessible rather than just the overall service, so you can't just ring around coach operators until you get whatever they've got spare, because odds on it won't have wheelchair access. Because it's hard and expensive to get accessible vehicles, the railway thus attempts to use any excuse possible not to do so, including telling tales about roads being unsafe that patently aren't. (The ones in the Hope Valley will be of course, but that isn't an excuse for the last Manchester-Guide Bridge service being around 2100 when the roads in the city will be fine).

I certainly agree with the outcome of Carmont being to get shut of HSTs ASAP, as well as with shutting down for a red warning, but I'm not sold on the level of risk-averseness it has caused more generally, as if you think of transport as a whole the effect is just more people driving in poor conditions and thus at greater risk overall.
 
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Freemo

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The higher amount (20-30cm) is only on hills according to the Met Office, otherwise up to 25cm, more likely 5-15cm. Either way, I think being in a different form geographically is not a good enough excuse to give up. If anything, it's a reason that we should be more prepared than other places, not less.
The hills is precisely where the Victorians built the rail infrastructure linking large parts of the North. No sensible country would be running intercity services on something that looks like the Hope Valley line but until that changes they have to make decisions based on the infrastructure in place now.
 

nilvaj395

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There were two changes. The one that made the railway risk averse was Carmont, and predictably the thing that made rail replacement buses harder to get (they were ten a penny before) was the legal case that ended up introducing an interpretation of the law requiring all vehicles used to be accessible rather than just the overall service, so you can't just ring around coach operators until you get whatever they've got spare, because odds on it won't have wheelchair access.

I certainly agree with the outcome of Carmont being to get shut of HSTs ASAP, as well as with shutting down for a red warning, but I'm not sold on the level of risk-averseness it has caused more generally, as if you think of transport as a whole the effect is just more people driving in poor conditions and thus at greater risk overall.
I still feel like Carmont was more of an infrastructure lesson than anything else. Because the RAIB said themselves it would never have happened had the drain been installed properly to specification.
RAIB’s investigation concluded that had the drainage system been installed in accordance with the design, it is highly likely to have safely accommodated the flow of surface water on 12 August 2020. However, as installed, the drainage system was unable to do so (paragraph 91).
Instead of take on the RAIB's advice, Network Rail has defaulted to just going carte blanche on shutting lines were the conditions are a little less than 'good'.

This is nothing but a classic case of 'it can't be done' syndrome in the UK in general; you can't have any issues if you don't bother running a service to begin with. It's a great attitude to be shown to people in the times of our 'railway being renationalised' and when we are practically begging them to take the train instead of the 'freedom' of their cars.
 
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Bikeman78

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No, there needs to be just one; a "danger to life" one , the equivalent of the current red weather warning. Scrap the yellow and amber ones. As for adding further levels that would only create even more confusion!
The last storm that caused any damage to my property was February 2022 when my greenhouse got smashed. There must have been dozens of warnings since then which, for me at least, amounted to nothing. I'm very glad that I live within walking or cycling distance of everywhere I need to be in my day to day life.
 

Krokodil

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Edit: to provide a counter example - would you suggest Birmingham Airport is unprofessional?

There are currently no scheduled cancellations - anyone booked on flights is still expected to turn up at the airport unless they're prepared to sacrifice their airfare.

No doubt there will be disruption if the weather materialises as expected, given that the airport sits directly in the worst of the forecast weather.

Flights will no doubt be diverted elsewhere, but it'll be managed.

Is this an unprofessional approach? Is aviation an unprofessional industry?
If you are stuck at an airport, you will be warm and dry. There will be staff on hand to provide information, typically a hotel or two, and airports are usually located on the outskirts of a conurbation.

Rather different to the possibility of having a train stuck at an unstaffed station - or worse: mid-section.

During the 90s, I used to go out for a ride on the southern electric system on snowy days if I wasn't in school. I only got stuck once, for three hours, and then got rescued by a class 73. The toilets and heaters still worked so it wasn't a big deal.
Older third rail units were a bit more accepting of punishment - remember that power surge that caused a load of EMUs to sit down and refuse to work until a fitter had reset them in person?

When both old and new were in service didn't they send old units out empty as "icebreakers", just accepting that they'd need to repair them later and that this would allow newer units to run without risk of damage. Unfortunately they don't have spare slammers hanging around the depot any more.
 

ChiefPlanner

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When both old and new were in service didn't they send old units out empty as "icebreakers", just accepting that they'd need to repair them later and that this would allow newer units to run without risk of damage. Unfortunately they don't have spare slammers hanging around the depot any more.

Said before - I used to arrange 6 car 313 units as ice breakers on the Watford DC several winters overnight , as well as nothing less than an 8 car 321 on the main line to a planned emergency timetable of 4 tph. Ditto empty stock on the North London and the tough old 117's on the Gospel Oak ran , with a fitter to hand (usually on board one)

Train doors de-iced , everything left under cover at Euston etc as far as possible. Spare train crew at key depots. Plus on call managers. Punctuality was not great , but all routes served.

Staff walking routes gritted - also (very important) tea and where possible - bacon sandwiches for the workers.
 

Cletus

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There's an 802 (9 coaches so backed up onto the Royal Albert bridge) Penzance-bound that has been sat at Saltash station since about 3.30pm. Just seen on WNXX that it's awaiting an ambulance due to a medical emergency.
 

Bikeman78

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If you are stuck at an airport, you will be warm and dry. There will be staff on hand to provide information, typically a hotel or two, and airports are usually located on the outskirts of a conurbation.

Rather different to the possibility of having a train stuck at an unstaffed station - or worse: mid-section.


Older third rail units were a bit more accepting of punishment - remember that power surge that caused a load of EMUs to sit down and refuse to work until a fitter had reset them in person?

When both old and new were in service didn't they send old units out empty as "icebreakers", just accepting that they'd need to repair them later and that this would allow newer units to run without risk of damage. Unfortunately they don't have spare slammers hanging around the depot any more.
It was the 700s that had the problem. It depended which version of software they had. The 313s were totally unaffected, other than being stuck behind failures. They suffered no damage that I'm aware of. Classic case of computer says no.

As regards the Southern, the 375s and 377s seem to do alright. They have an ice mode where the computer presumably ignores a lot of the warnings that flag up. They have more shoes than the slammers, four each side instead of two.
 

yoyothehobo

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I still feel like Carmont was more of an infrastructure lesson than anything else. Because the RAIB said themselves it would never have happened had the drain been installed properly to specification.

Instead of take on the RAIB's advice, Network Rail has defaulted to just going carte blanche on shutting lines were the conditions are a little less than 'good'.

This is nothing but a classic case of 'it can't be done' syndrome in the UK in general; you can't have any issues if you don't bother running a service to begin with. It's a great attitude to be shown to people in the times of our 'railway being renationalised' and when we are practically begging them to take the train instead of the 'freedom' of their cars.
So do you think bridges should remain open to high sided vehicles in windy weather? I have seen enough trucks blown over in yellow weather warnings on motorways that werent bridges.

Unfortunately/fortunately the TOCs have a duty of care to passengers and to their staff.

its very much a case of damned if you do, damned if you dont
 

The exile

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No, there needs to be just one; a "danger to life" one , the equivalent of the current red weather warning.
With accompanying legal protection for employees who heed that warning, requirement for the provision of protection to anyone stranded (hotels must offer vacant rooms at a rate fixed nationally and let people shelter if no alternatives available for example)
 

Northerngirl

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The last storm that caused any damage to my property was February 2022 when my greenhouse got smashed. There must have been dozens of warnings since then which, for me at least, amounted to nothing. I'm very glad that I live within walking or cycling distance of everywhere I need to be in my day to day life.
Same here, its quite hard to take these warnings seriously when I don't think a single Amber warning has resulted in any significant damage around me, if our infrastructure can't deal with a few small branches on the road then we mayaswell be told to never leave the house from September to March, just to avoid any risk
 

AM9

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I think it is fair to withdraw service in case of a red warning (and only a red warning) on a blanket and automatic basis.

A yellow warning means you need your big coat. Nothing should be withdrawn if that is all there is in a given area.
Actually according to the Met Office, (i.e. the organisation that actually issues the warnings):

Amber weather warnings

Moving up in severity is the amber warning, which is used when severe weather has the potential to disrupt plans.

Immediate action should be taken to protect you and your loved ones, as this weather will pose a risk to life, drastically disrupt travel, energy supplies and cause widespread damage to property.


That doesn't sound as trivial as your:
... you need your big coat. Nothing should be withdrawn if that is all there is in a given area.

That explains the number of sad cases where people needlessly put themselves at quite serious risk of loss, injury or worse. It's not a case of being 'brave', expecting everybody else to take a chance.
 

Merle Haggard

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Snow being forecast for the Hope Valley during winter is normal. Snow being forecast in the Netherlands during the winter is normal.

Communications here are referring to “extreme weather”, there to “winter weather”.


Good. Pity EMR make no mention of that.

When both old and new were in service didn't they send old units out empty as "icebreakers", just accepting that they'd need to repair them later and that this would allow newer units to run without risk of damage. Unfortunately they don't have spare slammers hanging around the depot any more.

Said before - I used to arrange 6 car 313 units as ice breakers on the Watford DC several winters overnight , as well as nothing less than an 8 car 321 on the main line to a planned emergency timetable of 4 tph. Ditto empty stock on the North London and the tough old 117's on the Gospel Oak ran , with a fitter to hand (usually on board one)

Train doors de-iced , everything left under cover at Euston etc as far as possible. Spare train crew at key depots. Plus on call managers. Punctuality was not great , but all routes served.

Staff walking routes gritted - also (very important) tea and where possible - bacon sandwiches for the workers.
As an aside 321s initially weren't snow-proof.
Caught one home where all the calling stations had platforms on the left hand side. Ran into Northampton, Platform 3 on the right hand side and the doors wouldn't open. The bottom runners being exposed were iced up. Cue man (presumably from the C&W) arriving with gas axe, which seemed a bit brutal - but it worked.
 

Bletchleyite

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Actually according to the Met Office, (i.e. the organisation that actually issues the warnings):

Amber weather warnings

Moving up in severity is the amber warning, which is used when severe weather has the potential to disrupt plans.

Immediate action should be taken to protect you and your loved ones, as this weather will pose a risk to life, drastically disrupt travel, energy supplies and cause widespread damage to property.


That doesn't sound as trivial as your:


That explains the number of sad cases where people needlessly put themselves at quite serious risk of loss, injury or worse. It's not a case of being 'brave', expecting everybody else to take a chance.

You've fallen into exactly the erroneous trap I was referring to here! Most people think amber and yellow are the same colour to the extent that people saying traffic lights are "red, yellow, green" is very common. They're not. It is yellow warnings I am referring to as just meaning you need your big coat, not amber.

Perhaps to avoid this confusion, amber should perhaps be changed to be called orange. People do see a natural scale of yellow, orange, red.
 
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londonmidland

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The line between Leicester and Peterborough will be closed after 19:00. No rail replacement transport will be provided.
 

mpthomson

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The higher amount (20-30cm) is only on hills according to the Met Office, otherwise up to 25cm, more likely 5-15cm. Either way, I think being in a different form geographically is not a good enough excuse to give up. If anything, it's a reason that we should be more prepared than other places, not less.
Hope Valley and Edale ARE in the hills, that's the point... they don't receive significantly, if any, less snow than the hills immediately around them.
 

thedbdiboy

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I used to arrange 6 car 313 units as ice breakers on the Watford DC several winters overnight , as well as nothing less than an 8 car 321 on the main line to a planned emergency timetable of 4 tph. Ditto empty stock on the North London and the tough old 117's on the Gospel Oak ran , with a fitter to hand (usually on board one)
I didn't think the DC Line electrification could cope with 6 car 313s? (that was the excuse for all the peak hour 6 car 501 formations becoming 3 car when they were withdrawn....)
 
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We are now just 3.5 hours ahead of the start of the Amber "Severe Weather Warning" covering the East Midlands. When was that warning last updated? Yesterday at 11.55 - 32 hours ahead of its start. We are invited to believe that the area at risk, the timing, and the severity are all unchanged despite the uncertainty period having reduced by a factor of ten.

Severe Weather Warnings are quite a powerful tool for the Met Office to wield. While the railways may base decisions on more granular (and more up-to-date) information, I am pretty sure that many other decisions are being made on the basis of the Met Office warnings alone - cancellations of hospital operations, closure of schools.

I have remonstrated with the Met Office that once they decide to issue a Severe Weather Warning, they need to keep it updated to reflect the newest information on where the trouble is going to be, when, and how severe.

They explain that it takes a lot of work to decide the parameters of a Severe Weather Warning, so it would be unreasonable to expect them to keep updating it.

It may save them money this way, but the lost productivity from inappropriate decisions based on substantially out-of-date forecasts must surely be far larger.
 

tram21

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Not sure if this has been mentioned:

EMR are suspending the majority of services this evening between 2000 and 1000 tomorrow, including services on the Nottingham - Worksop, Skegness & Sheffield (including Northern services), Derby - Crewe/ Matlock lines.

I can't remember a time when services have been cut back so much?

Services being suspended for the morning tomorrow is crazy though- the storm better be good! (I fully appreciate that they are going off what they know, and the reaction is based off the worst case!)


In addition the Hope Valley line (Sheffield to Manchester) is now closed ALL DAY tomorrow.
Tickets are valid all the way through to Monday on all routes!!
 
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