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Speculation- New TPE routes or extensions?

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aron2smith

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How about the government stops wasting time rearranging the deckchairs and makes a start on designing in integrated system with far fewer business units than at present? Northern and Transpennine do not need to be separate entities at all.
Exactly. And TPE could then be the Intercity part of Northern. TPE currently run some odd services that like Manchester to Huddersfield, serving all stops inbetween, often all stops between Huddersfield and Leeds too, not exactly express. And in all other parts of Transpennine Express, Northern services serve the same stations to the Scottish border!

Would surely be simpler to plan both together, rather than separately.
 
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lrbvoyager

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It isn't unlikely to happen. There is no chance whatsoever of it happening, just like there is no chance of a Manchester - Aberdeen service or any of your other random ideas involving rail services in Cumbria.
I think the Tyne valley line will be electrified at some point in the future. If you lived in Cumbria yourself you would understand that we don’t have that many direct routes to places and what services we do have are quite poor.
 

A S Leib

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I think the Tyne valley line will be electrified at some point in the future. If you lived in Cumbria yourself you would understand that we don’t have that many direct routes to places and what services we do have are quite poor.
At some point, maybe. At some point soon, given how long Swansea and Sheffield have gone without, I would doubt.
 

61653 HTAFC

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I mean ideally it would be electrified which would allow for west coast and east coast diversions in case of disruption. I would rather have a 185 to a 156 any day.
Again, stock doesn't move around with operators. It moves when lease agreements end or when replacements arrive. If TPE took over the Tyne Valley route they could redeploy 185s there but that wouldn't happen until there was something to take over the routes they currently operate. They'd also need to train the crews on them, and possibly rewrite the timetables to account for not being able to use SP or MU speeds. In the short term it would just be the same 156s and 158s with a different name on the side.
 

Bertie the bus

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If you lived in Cumbria yourself you would understand that we don’t have that many direct routes to places and what services we do have are quite poor.
That is completely untrue. For its size and significance Carlisle has a very good rail service. You want services from Carlisle to everywhere in the country but that is both unrealistic and totally unnecessary.
 

NCT

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It's just up to DfT to specify and fund longer trains on individual service groups. Which operating unit the money / instruction goes through is inconsequential.
 

lrbvoyager

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That is completely untrue. For its size and significance Carlisle has a very good rail service. You want services from Carlisle to everywhere in the country but that is both unrealistic and totally unnecessary.
At what point have I said I would like a service to everywhere. That is untrue.
 
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I think the Tyne valley line will be electrified at some point in the future. If you lived in Cumbria yourself you would understand that we don’t have that many direct routes to places and what services we do have are quite poor.

That's really not true. Carlisle is not a large city, and is a fair distance from any major centres of population. Nevertheless, it is on the WCML and has regular services to London, Edinburgh and Glasgow, and stations in between. It has services to Newcastle, Liverpool and Leeds. It is possible to get to large parts of the country by train from Carlisle with no more than one change of train.

If you want an example of a city with crap rail connections, have a look at Bradford (which is considerably larger than Carlisle).
 

Zomboid

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That's really not true. Carlisle is not a large city, and is a fair distance from any major centres of population. Nevertheless, it is on the WCML and has regular services to London, Edinburgh and Glasgow, and stations in between. It has services to Newcastle, Liverpool and Leeds. It is possible to get to large parts of the country by train from Carlisle with no more than one change of train
Also direct to Birmingham, so one change gets the entire XC network - though that may not be the logical change for much of it!

Having every passing WCML train call gives a place pretty good connections.

As for TPE extension, the name of the operator is pretty irrelevant - but are there long distance any east - west routes to the north of about Crewe/ Sheffield where an Intercity style service would be a benefit? I suppose conceptually some of the Holyhead - Manchester services could join with some TPE to give Holyhead to Middleborough, or something along those lines. Whether that would be remotely reliable or any use to anyone is another matter...
 

Iskra

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Didn’t TP run a 185 over the Settle Carlisle fairly recently? Could that be a clue…
 

Anvil1984

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I would really like TPE to take over Carlisle to Newcastle as the northern service is quite frankly shocking. The 2 coach 156s and 158s are always rammed

This is also a complete exaggeration . The majority of services run at about 60% seated capacity at most . The only time they get busy is on Saturdays / Newcastle match days .
 
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Cach17

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I think the Tyne valley line will be electrified at some point in the future. If you lived in Cumbria yourself you would understand that we don’t have that many direct routes to places and what services we do have are quite poor.
Carlisle (pop. under 80,000) has direct trains to London, Birmingham, Liverpool, Manchester, Leeds, Newcastle, Barrow, Glasgow and Edinburgh. As pointed out already, many, many other places across GB are no more than a single change away.

"We don’t have that many direct routes to places" is quite frankly a bizarre statement.
 

Zomboid

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Carlisle isn't the only place in Cumbria of course, but i think I'm right in saying that if a station in Cumbria doesn't have a regular direct train to Carlisle, it does have one to Preston. Which is also pretty well connected.
 
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Carlisle isn't the only place in Cumbria of course, but i think I'm right in saying that if a station in Cumbria doesn't have a regular direct train to Carlisle, it does have one to Preston. Which is also pretty well connected.

With the coast line being severed at the moment those stations south of the closed bit don't currently have a direct service to Carlisle, but under normal circumstances I think it's just the Windermere branch stations which don't have a direct service, isn't it?
 

A S Leib

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With the coast line being severed at the moment those stations south of the closed bit don't currently have a direct service to Carlisle, but under normal circumstances I think it's just the Windermere branch stations which don't have a direct service, isn't it?
Depending on if you count the ~4tpd through Barrow as a good enough direct service for Grange-over-Sands and the other Furness line stations east of Barrow-in-Furness, although I think changing at Lancaster or Preston's quicker anyway.
 

Zomboid

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With the coast line being severed at the moment those stations south of the closed bit don't currently have a direct service to Carlisle, but under normal circumstances I think it's just the Windermere branch stations which don't have a direct service, isn't it?
I don't think Barrow to Carnforth has a particularly helpful Carlisle service, but regular trains to Manchester Airport probably make up for that.
 

MontyP

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Depends on what the business units were, but under a sensible system that would be in the intercity unit.

There really is no need to keep anything like the current number of operators. Three to five business units should be enough - Intercity, Network SE or something similar, and regional railways, which could be one unit or could possibly be split into two or three (north, midlands and south excluding the London area). Scotland and Wales & Borders could stay as they are, with longer distance services into them (e.g. from London) operated by the intercity business unit. Basically something similar to what BR did.
I think this is probably a topic for a whole separate Speculative thread!
 

Iskra

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This is also a complete exaggeration . The majority of services run at about 60% seated capacity at most . The only time they get busy is on Saturdays / Newcastle match days .
I agree with this. Although they can be wedged when there’s disruption on either mainline.

Depending on if you count the ~4tpd through Barrow as a good enough direct service for Grange-over-Sands and the other Furness line stations east of Barrow-in-Furness, although I think changing at Lancaster or Preston's quicker anyway.
I don’t think many folk on the Furness line will be visiting Carlisle with any degree of frequency. Barrow and Lancaster are the more important settlements. I suspect many Furness line users visit Manchester or London more than Carlisle.
 
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JamesT

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Do you think intercity will be a thing again or the operators will keep there names?
Although the government still hasn’t published their plans, what they have said is that GBR will be structured as regions aligned with how Network Rail is. The existing operator names will almost certainly go as they’ll want to promote that it’s one big railway not the bad old franchises. Some sort of branding to differentiate express/intercity services from more commuter focused ones seems likely, especially if they want to charge different fares.
 

markymark2000

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Depends on what the business units were, but under a sensible system that would be in the intercity unit.
I've long thought that the Manchester Airport - Scotland routes would fit really well under Avanti with the 80x stock. Either 5/6/7 car 807s, or more 805s (which gives scope for diversions as required but also happily runs on electric all day too if needed). This would then put the whole WCML under a single operator and some quite decent savings could be made, as well as uplifts to passenger experience with tickets and so on.
 

D365

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I've long thought that the Manchester Airport - Scotland routes would fit really well under Avanti with the 80x stock. Either 5/6/7 car 807s, or more 805s (which gives scope for diversions as required but also happily runs on electric all day too if needed). This would then put the whole WCML under a single operator and some quite decent savings could be made, as well as uplifts to passenger experience with tickets and so on.
Even if the MIA routes were transferred to the West Coast operator, why would it necessitate the replacement of the Class 397s?
 

Bletchleyite

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Even if the MIA routes were transferred to the West Coast operator, why would it necessitate the replacement of the Class 397s?

They're too short (but a pair won't fit the platforms at Manchester Airport). The capacity drop from 8.350 really wasn't helpful.

7 car 807 would be ideal for them.
 

markymark2000

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Even if the MIA routes were transferred to the West Coast operator, why would it necessitate the replacement of the Class 397s?
I'm no 80x fan, but it massively simplifies things rather than having the micro fleet. The less types of train an operator has, the easier it makes staffing, quicker to training new staff, quicker and cheaper maintenance (economies of scale). etc etc.
 

Zomboid

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397s probably aren't going to have a very long life as such a small fleet. Maybe they'll have enough in common with the incoming ECML trains that they'll find a home there in due course, and turn two microfleets into one pseudo mini fleet.
 

Bletchleyite

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397s probably aren't going to have a very long life as such a small fleet. Maybe they'll have enough in common with the incoming ECML trains that they'll find a home there in due course, and turn two microfleets into one pseudo mini fleet.

Had the second Liverpool and third Birmingham genuinely been off as it once appeared would happen (but didn't), I did wonder (and speculate here) whether the 807s could indeed be sent up north and the 397s to LNER to go with potentially a smaller 897 order, because 7.807 would be such a perfect fit for the North West-Scotland services just as 8.350 was (similar length). They might be useful elsewhere on TPE post electrification, though - a 5 car unit does seem a good fit for capacity on North TPE at most times of day.

As the additional Liverpool and Birmingham services have started or are in the process of starting, though, you'd need a new order. Does Avanti have any options for extras or for lengthening 805s?
 

King Lazy

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To be honest as a regular user of this route from our local station at Bempton, I would rather it was left alone. Its reasonably reliable, and uses 170s for the most part which are fairly comfortable. From a passenger point of view I cannot see what benefits moving it (back) to TPE would bring.

Back in the early 2000's the Hull Scarborough route was partly operated by the precursor of TPE as an extension of the Manchester Hull service, including the calls at the small stations. Whilst this gave better connections to West Yorkshire connections south were more difficult.

I also wonder if 185s would be subject to lower speed limits as they are quite heavy.

The current hourly service from Scarborough meets most peoples needs. The single line section from Bridlington to Hunmanby rules out anything more than an hourly service each way. If you are travelling south then the connection at Doncaster for the ECML is fairly easy, and for Birmingham and the SW a change in Sheffield. The more difficult journeys are North, but unless you had a new track giving access to Brid-Scarbourough from York which isn't going to happen joining up the routes isn't going to save much (Edit, and missing Scarborough isn't really an option anyway) and will potentially import delays from further afield, which will in turn then affect the single line sections giving knock on delays and making the service less reliable for local travellers, who are probably over 50% of passengers.
You make a good point. A number of local railways are reliable because they are self contained. Running through services from large settlements invariably means running through busy junctions and would likely import delays.

While many people do want a direct train to their favourite large city it would often come at a cost to timekeeping.

I’d much prefer my local line was self contained with well timed connections. We often get trains curtailed at a nearby large city due to staffing issues so our line gets hit by a cancellation. Or we arrive at the terminus to find the ‘big operator’ skips on that hour.

Tbh, our trains run fairly well now as they often have 10-15 mins dwell time en route to follow a path on one section and pick up a path on the next. Which kind of proves the point that through services often don’t work as well if you want fast journeys, regular journeys and journeys without changes. It’s very difficult to have them all.
 
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