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Russia invades Ukraine

doc7austin

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Of course though that's one of the reasons why Russia and Putin needs countries like Ukraine to fail (and so Russia will make sure they fail) because otherwise their own population might start to wonder "If those Ukrainians/Belarussians/Georgians/etc etc who are our brother people are prosperous and successful why aren't we?".
Have a look how pensions evolved between 1991 and 2014 between Russia and Ukraine. There were at the same level in 1991.
As I said before, pensions in Russia were 3 times as high (in purchasing power parity) than in Ukraine - in 2014.
 
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martin butler

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Have you compared Crimea of 1991 (under Moscow's rule) with Crimea of 2013 (under Kiev's rule) ? Nothing has changed, except the infrastructure became more rotten.
And during that time nothing changed, because of what? Russian corruption, that effected every country that was under its control? who did the then Ukrainian government look to, Kiev, or Moscow?
 

doc7austin

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Thats where Russia has really messed up, When the USSR collapsed, Had Russia, not elected a drunk, then a KGB officer, and actually modernised in a way that made life better, and not just for the criminal elite, then I think normal Russians would be living better lives, have more freedoms to travel, and not wanted to emigrate, the natural wealth, would have made Russia a rich country, and its populations could have had living standards that matched the west, across all of Russia, not just in the bits with the most populations,
I can rewrite your last statement with your permission ?

Thats where Ukraine has really messed up, When the USSR collapsed, Had Ukraine, not elected thugs like Kravchuk, then Kuchma, Yushchenko, Yanokovich, and actually modernised in a way that made life better, and not just for the criminal elite, then I think normal Ukrainians would be living better lives, have more freedoms to travel, and not wanted to emigrate, the natural wealth, would have made Ukraine a rich country, and its populations could have had living standards that matched the west, across all of Ukraine, not just in the bits with the most populations,

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And during that time nothing changed, because of what? Russian corruption, that effected every country that was under its control? who did the then Ukrainian government look to, Kiev, or Moscow?
I thought Russia had invaded the sovereign and independent country of Ukraine in 2014 and 2022 ?
I thought Ukraine wanted to join NATO in 2008, but bad, bad Merkel/Zarkozy put in their veto. Now, suddenly Ukraine was under Russian control from 1991 to 2014 ? What is it ?

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This wasn't a peace treaty. It was/is a ceasefire agreement that established a joint security zone, nothing more.
And how would you react if someone breaks that agreement ?

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Unlike other breakaway republics, Transnistria has never been fully independent of Moldova and things are getting more, not less dependent on Moldova there.
That depends of the outcome of the Ukraine War and what will happen to the status of Odessa Oblast. Let's see what comes out of today's Alaska Summit.

Though, most parts of Transnistria never were a part of independent Moldova. And the discussed treaty (you may call it ceasefire, I call it peace) is not allowing the Moldovan government to take over Transnistria by military means.
What I find interesting is that the Ukrainian government is now apparently lobbying the EU to stall the EU accession process of Moldova - although all 27 EU states agree to move forward the accession process for Moldova.
 
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35B

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Have a look how pensions evolved between 1991 and 2014 between Russia and Ukraine. There were at the same level in 1991.
As I said before, pensions in Russia were 3 times as high (in purchasing power parity) than in Ukraine - in 2014.
And since 2014?
I can rewrite your last statement with your permission ?

Thats where Ukraine has really messed up, When the USSR collapsed, Had Ukraine, not elected thugs like Kravchuk, then Kuchma, Yushchenko, Yanokovich, and actually modernised in a way that made life better, and not just for the criminal elite, then I think normal Ukrainians would be living better lives, have more freedoms to travel, and not wanted to emigrate, the natural wealth, would have made Ukraine a rich country, and its populations could have had living standards that matched the west, across all of Ukraine, not just in the bits with the most populations,
Again, one needs to ask what has happened since 2014, and especially what happened in 2022. One of the two states we're discussing has become more and more closed, the other has opened up.
 

doc7austin

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My family in Crimea would very much disagree with you about your description here.
And your family lives in Crimea ?

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And since 2014?
The difference in pension levels even got bigger between Russia and Ukraine - between 2014 and 2025.
The Ukrainian government stopped paying pensions to Ukrainian pensioners, who were living on the territories of Crimea, LPR and DPR in 2014. A pretty mean step, esp. since old people have great difficulties relocating.


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One of the two states we're discussing has become more and more closed, the other has opened up.
The more closed up country is Ukraine, the more opened up country is Russia, right ?
The Ukrainian government closed the border for Ukrainian males (aged 18-60).
The Russian government allowed the majority of this male age group to leave. Many of them are now flocking the beaches of Thailand, India and Dubai, while their Ukrainian brothers are dying in trenches or being "busified" by the Ukrainian TCK. Even the current US Vice President has been very vocal about the unfair "busification" process in Ukraine. Let's see what he has to say today in Alaska.
 
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martin butler

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And your family lives in Crimea ?

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The difference in pension levels even got bigger between Russia and Ukraine - between 2014 and 2025.
The Ukrainian government stopped paying pensions to Ukrainian pensioners, who were living on the territories of Crimea, LPR and DPR in 2014. A pretty mean step, esp. since old people have great difficulties relocating.


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The more closed up country is Ukraine, the more opened up country is Russia, right ?
The Ukrainian government closed the border for Ukrainian males (aged 18-60).
The Russian government allowed the majority of this male age group to leave. Many of them are now flocking the beaches of Thailand, India and Dubai, while their Ukrainian brothers are dying in trenches or being "busified" by the Ukrainian TCK. Even the current US Vice President has been very vocal about the unfair "busification" process in Ukraine. Let's see what he has to say today in Alaska.
Sorry but every one of your posts, comes across as " Russia good, Ukraine bad, You ignore the bit where Russia invaded first the Crimea, then the so called Special military action, You turn every single thing on its head, making out that its Ukraine, not Russian imperialism that's to blame, and because of that, I discount everything you post.
 

doc7austin

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Sorry but every one of your posts, comes across as " Russia good, Ukraine bad,
I love the Ukrainian nation and its people. I am myself an Ukrainian by heritage. However, I hate every single Ukrainian government and I'd never move to Russia (because its political system is not sth. I like).

Sorry, I am bit shocked that other posters were suggesting that somehow Ukraine opened up more than Russia since 2022.
In my eyes, it is crystal clear. The Ukrainian government is locking up its male population. Yes, the Russian government has issued a travel ban against many males, as well, but it is not as strict as Ukraine's border regime.

Moreover, when talking about pension levels between Ukraine and Russia. Do other posters really believe that the pension levels increased more in Ukraine than Russia in the last 11 years ?
 

OhNoAPacer

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I love the Ukrainian nation and its people. I am myself an Ukrainian by heritage. However, I hate every single Ukrainian government and I'd never move to Russia (because its political system is not sth. I like).
So, presumably as you love the Ukrainian nation you think that Russia should stop the war and pull out of Ukrainian territory, that is the UN recognised territory prior to the 2014 invasion of Crimea.
 

doc7austin

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not Russian imperialism that's to blame,
Of course, Russian imperalism is to blame for this war, no question about that.
But the Bandera cult is a reason, as well.
And the Polish President has hinted yesterday that Banderism is to be banned in Poland.

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So, presumably as you love the Ukrainian nation you think that Russia should stop the war
Yes !

and pull out of Ukrainian territory, that is the UN recognised territory prior to the 2014 invasion of Crimea.
Yes ! But the Ukrainian troops must pull out as well.

I'd prefer to establish an UN mandate over all of Eastern Ukraine and expel all Russian and Ukrainian military formations - in order to ensure religious liberty, bi-lingualism (Ukrainian and Russian languages are accepted), and the ban of any Banderism. Policing is supervised by UN troops from (e.g.) India, Brazil, South Africa - but no Belarus, no Poland, no Estonia, no UK, no North Korea, no Iran. Each Oblast has its lightly-armed police forces, which are not controlled by Kiev or Moscow, but by the Oblast authorities (which its resident can vote for).
It is called the United States model. In the US -> police forces a largely controlled by the states (equal to Oblasts in Ukraine).

You can be assured that this is the idea that Vance, Trump, Rubio are discussing with Lavrov, Belousov and Ushakov this Friday and Saturday in Alaska.
 
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OhNoAPacer

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Of course, Russian imperalism is to blame for this war, no question about that.
But the Bandera cult is a reason, as well.
And the Polish President has hinted yesterday that Banderism is to be banned in Poland.

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Yes !


Yes ! But the Ukrainian troops must pull out as well.

I'd prefer to establish an UN mandate over all of Eastern Ukraine and expel all Russian and Ukrainian military formations - in order to ensure religious liberty, bi-lingualism (Ukrainian and Russian languages are accepted), and the ban of any Banderism. Policing is supervised by UN troops from (e.g.) India, Brazil, South Africa - but no Belarus, no Poland, no Estonia, no UK, no North Korea, no Iran. Each Oblast has its lightly-armed police forces, which are not controlled by Kiev or Moscow, but by the Oblast authorities (which its resident can vote for).
It is called the United States model. In the US -> police forces a largely controlled by the states (equal to Oblasts in Ukraine).

You can be assured that this is the idea that Vance, Trump, Rubio are discussing with Lavrov, Belousov and Ushakov this Friday and Saturday in Alaska.
So Ukrainian troops must pull out of parts of Ukraine, that seems very close to Putin's demands.
In your scenario Russia rearms and then reinvades, and if you think having UN forces there is going to help then ask Lebanon how that helped them when Israel invaded.
 

doc7austin

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So Ukrainian troops must pull out of parts of Ukraine, that seems very close to Putin's demands.
No ! Russian troops must pull out of Eastern Ukraine, as well.
Security is ensured by both UN troops and Oblast police forces.
Neither the Russian Armed Forces, nor NATO forces are allowed to install rocket infrastructure or air defense systems in this zone.
That EU mandate zone would extend all the way East of the Dniepr River, North of the Perekop Isthmus, West/South of the Russian border.
Putin would have to give up Kherson, Zap, Donezk, and Luhansk Oblasts.

In your scenario Russia rearms and then reinvades, and if you think having UN forces there is going to help then ask Lebanon how that helped them when Israel invaded.
Russia is not going to attack Indian, Chinese and Brazilian UN troops in Eastern Ukraine. That is an iron-glad security guarantee for Ukraine.
All the Russian propaganda efforts will fail, because Russian-speaking people won't be discriminated anymore in the UN mandate zone. Further, the Ukrainian Orthodox Church will start running again.

If as a Brit you want to visit Eastern Ukraine, you need to apply for a special UN visa (the same thing you need to access the DMZ zone in South Korea).
 
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357

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Have you compared Crimea of 1991 (under Moscow's rule) with Crimea of 2013 (under Kiev's rule) ? Nothing has changed, except the infrastructure became more rotten.
Have you compared pretty much any region of russia in the same way? Nothing has changed except the infrastructure has become more rotten.

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because Russian-speaking people won't be discriminated anymore in the UN mandate zone.
Here's an interesting question.

Do you know anyone living in these places who's been discriminated against?

My family had to learn Ukrainian, I ask you to learn why these people spoke russian in the first place.

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And your family lives in Crimea ?
Yes, that's exactly what I just wrote.
 
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OhNoAPacer

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No ! Russian troops must pull out of Eastern Ukraine, as well.
Security is ensured by both UN troops and Oblast police forces.
Neither the Russian Armed Forces, nor NATO forces are allowed to install rocket infrastructure or air defense systems in this zone.
That EU mandate zone would extend all the way East of the Dniepr River, North of the Perekop Isthmus, West/South of the Russian border.
Putin would have to give up Kherson, Zap, Donezk, and Luhansk Oblasts.


Russia is not going to attack Indian, Chinese and Brazilian UN troops in Eastern Ukraine. That is an iron-glad security guarantee for Ukraine.
All the Russian propaganda efforts will fail, because Russian-speaking people won't be discriminated anymore in the UN mandate zone. Further, the Ukrainian Orthodox Church will start running again.

If as a Brit you want to visit Eastern Ukraine, you need to apply for a special UN visa (the same thing you need to access the DMZ zone in South Korea).
You are still following Putin's demands by dictating where Ukraine can have its own troops in its own country and your area extends a long way from being just a DMZ at the border, which incidentally would also need to include Putin's puppet country of Belarus.
Russian troops wouldn't need to attack the UN forces as the UN forces would just step aside, just as they did in Lebanon when Israel invaded.

Is it just Brits who would need a visa?
 

ainsworth74

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Russian troops wouldn't need to attack the UN forces as the UN forces would just step aside, just as they did in Lebanon when Israel invaded.
Personally I find it laughably naïve to think that the Indian, Chinese and Brazilian Governments would even agree to the deployment of large numbers of their troops to police this proposed UN area.

Quite apart from the wider issue of saying that Ukraine cannot operate within it's own territory as it sees fit and just handing over Crimea to Russia seemingly (surely it should be under this UN mandate?). At the very least surely such a peacekeeping mission (again as improbable as it might be) should actually bestride the Ukrainian/Russian border? No Russian troops should be permitted within x kilometres of the border and no Ukrainian troops within the same distance from their side of the border.

But this is all highly unlikely. Why would Russia ever agree to such an outcome? Why would non-NATO or Russian aligned nations ever agree to police it?
 

Cdd89

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The word you're looking for is liberate, not capture. Crimea is occupied Ukrainian territory.
While I fully agree with you on this, I'm interested in future attitudes if this war ends in a peace deal involving territory concessions of some kind (which will inevitably involve relinquishing Crimea to Russia). This obviously isn't guaranteed as it could also end in a 'temporary' ceasefire, but it's one such outcome.

In this hypothetical circumstance, would Crimea thus be viewed as Russian, or would it be viewed as fair game for recapture (especially if hostilities resume for any other reason)?
 

doc7austin

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Here's an interesting question.

Do you know anyone living in these places who's been discriminated against?
Yes, people working government authorities stopped understanding Russian.

My family had to learn Ukrainian, I ask you to learn why these people spoke russian in the first place.

I do not understand your question. The absolute majority of residents in Crimea spoke Russian - even unter Kiev's rule (1991 - 2014).
 

martin butler

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Yes, people working government authorities stopped understanding Russian.



I do not understand your question. The absolute majority of residents in Crimea spoke Russian - even unter Kiev's rule (1991 - 2014).
So, in your view, should Ukraine have stayed part of Russia, and Should NATO, have not expanded beyond its pre cold war boarders, IE stopped at the East German boarder, and Germany never reunified?
 

doc7austin

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You are still following Putin's demands by dictating where Ukraine can have its own troops in its own country and your area extends a long way from being just a DMZ at the border,
The South Korean Armed Forces are also not allowed to move into North Korean territory, although South Korea sees North Korea as their territory. It is the same the other way around.
There is enough precedent in the world, where a countries Armed Forces are barred from entering.
Same thing with East and West Germany. West Germany never recognized East Germany. Look at Cyprus !

Personally I find it laughably naïve to think that the Indian, Chinese and Brazilian Governments would even agree to the deployment of large numbers of their troops to police this proposed UN area.
Not at all - as Russia won't attack Indian, Chinese, and Brazilian UN troops, you won't need many of them to guard the Ukrainian DMZ.
Such UN troops will largely oversee the Dnieper river checkpoints and setup bases in the Oblast capitals.
Quite apart from the wider issue of saying that Ukraine cannot operate within it's own territory as it sees fit and just handing over Crimea to Russia seemingly (surely it should be under this UN mandate?).
I think the Trump administration has already signalled to recognize Crimea as being Russian territory.

At the very least surely such a peacekeeping mission (again as improbable as it might be) should actually bestride the Ukrainian/Russian border? No Russian troops should be permitted within x kilometres of the border
This is not the point. Russia won't deploy any large troop concentrations along the the Ukrainian/Russian border when they are no Ukrainian/NATO troops on the other side of the border.
That is the whole idea of an UN-mandated DMZ.

and no Ukrainian troops within the same distance from their side of the border.
No Ukrainian Armed Forces (+ NATO) are allowed to stay in the DMZ.

But this is all highly unlikely. Why would Russia ever agree to such an outcome?
Russia would agree, because this idea would achieve the demilitarization of Eastern Ukraine.

Why would non-NATO or Russian aligned nations ever agree to police it?
The countries would benefit from the natural resources underneath.

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So, in your view, should Ukraine have stayed part of Russia,
In my view they should have split Ukraine into two parts in the early 1990s - with both new countries guaranteeing religious freedom and language rights.
Western Ukraine should have stayed independent and neutral.
and Should NATO, have not expanded beyond its pre cold war boarders,
NATO expansion was wrong.

IE stopped at the East German boarder, and Germany never reunified?
The legal mechanism on how Germany was reunified, was wrong.
 
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OhNoAPacer

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The South Korean Armed Forces are also not allowed to move into North Korean territory, although South Korea sees North Korea as their territory. It is the same the other way around.
There is enough precedent in the world, where a countries Armed Forces are barred from entering.
Same thing with East and West Germany. West Germany never recognized East Germany. Look at Cyprus !


Not at all - as Russia won't attack Indian, Chinese, and Brazilian UN troops, you won't need many of them to guard the Ukrainian DMZ.
Such UN troops will largely oversee the Dnieper river checkpoints and setup bases in the Oblast capitals.

I think the Trump administration has already signalled to recognize Crimea as being Russian territory.


This is not the point. Russia won't deploy any large troop concentrations along the the Ukrainian/Russian border when they are no Ukrainian/NATO troops on the other side of the border.
That is the whole idea of an UN-mandated DMZ.


No Ukrainian Armed Forces (+ NATO) are allowed to stay in the DMZ.


Russia would agree, because this idea would achieve the demilitarization of Eastern Ukraine.


The countries would benefit from the natural resources underneath.
So you are willing to do what Putin asks for, to give up Ukrainian resources to some theoretical peacekeeping force and basically ask nothing of Russia other than to pretty please promise to behave.
South Korea cannot enter North Korea as they are independent sovereign countries, rather like Germany would be rather upset if French troops moved in uninvited.
 

JamesT

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I do not understand your question. The absolute majority of residents in Crimea spoke Russian - even unter Kiev's rule (1991 - 2014).
Which is likely the legacy of various waves of Russification and suppression of Ukrainian culture going back to the days of the Tsars.

If you consider recent Ukrainian governments efforts to reverse that to be oppression, what does that make those previous policies?
 

ainsworth74

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Not at all - as Russia won't attack Indian, Chinese, and Brazilian UN troops, you won't need many of them to guard the Ukrainian DMZ.
Such UN troops will largely oversee the Dnieper river checkpoints and setup bases in the Oblast capitals.
But if Russia did? And indeed why wouldn't Russia? In this scenario you've told Ukraine that they cannot have troops in their own territory whilst the UN forces are thin and based solely deep in Ukrainian territory. Russia could easily strike and conquer most of Eastern Ukraine before the peacekeepers even get out of their bases.


I think the Trump administration has already signalled to recognize Crimea as being Russian territory.
Good for Trump, what about what Ukraine thinks about handing over a piece of its own territory? What about the example it sets to the wider world? Invade your neighbour, brutalise, murder and rape their people, steal their children, destroy their infrastructure and as a reward we'll let you keep a piece of their territory.

This is not the point. Russia won't deploy any large troop concentrations along the the Ukrainian/Russian border when they are no Ukrainian/NATO troops on the other side of the border.
That is the whole idea of an UN-mandated DMZ.
And if they do? What then? Why would Chinese, Indian and Brazilian troops go to war with Russia for Ukraine? More to the point as Russia is the aggressor, they invaded Ukraine in 2014 and they did it again in 2022, why should they be rewarded by being allowed to operate as they see fit in their own territory whilst Ukraine is forbidden from doing so in its territory?

No Ukrainian Armed Forces (+ NATO) are allowed to stay in the DMZ.
The lines of the DMZ in this scenario are drawn entirely to the advantage of Russia. The Korean DMZ took territory from both sides to establish it (and is a hell of a lot narrower than the one you're proposing here). Russian forces should not be allowed in the DMZ and the DMZ should encompass Russian territory otherwise it clearly is not an equitable agreement.
Russia would agree, because this idea would achieve the demilitarization of Eastern Ukraine.
But Russia wants more than just the demilitarization of Eastern Ukraine and, again, why should Eastern Ukraine be demilitarised whilst nearby Russian territory is not? Russia invaded Ukraine. Not the other way around.
The countries would benefit from the natural resources underneath.
So now Ukraine has to give up its own natural resources to allow its own territory to be policed by outside powers? This is a good outcome for Ukraine? Really?

Honestly I struggle to understand your point of view and how you aren't just pro-Russian despite your protestations to the contrary. Your proposed solution simply eviscerates Ukraine and hands all the power to Russia and rewards this aggression.

Oh and as for splitting Ukraine I believe that all Oblasts voted to be part of Ukraine.
They did, even Crimea (though it was closest there than anywhere else). I can't help but suspect that if you re-ran that election today the results would be the same (perhaps even more strongly pro-Ukrainian). Though this is of course impossible as Russia would never allow free and fair votes on such matters as Russia doesn't actually care what the people of Eastern Ukraine and Crimea think.
 

35B

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The South Korean Armed Forces are also not allowed to move into North Korean territory, although South Korea sees North Korea as their territory. It is the same the other way around.
There is enough precedent in the world, where a countries Armed Forces are barred from entering.
Same thing with East and West Germany. West Germany never recognized East Germany.
They don't make the point you think. They are examples of countries that did/do not formally recognise the other half of a successor state, but do not seek to overthrow it by force. If we explore the comparison further, the DMZ in Korea is to prevent the North and South Korean armies engaging, where the Northern forces are the ones taking an offensive posture. And the Berlin Wall was erected by the DDR to keep it's people in - a DDR that was instrumental in helping Vladimir Putin form his world view.
Russia would agree, because this idea would achieve the demilitarization of Eastern Ukraine.
Well, if that is really his objective, I might agree. The evidence of the last 20 years doesn't suggest that Putin's interpretation of "demilitarisation" aligns with the dictionary.
This is not the point. Russia won't deploy any large troop concentrations along the the Ukrainian/Russian border when they are no Ukrainian/NATO troops on the other side of the border.
That is the whole idea of an UN-mandated DMZ.


No Ukrainian Armed Forces (+ NATO) are allowed to stay in the DMZ.
In the aftermath of the last 11 years, the idea that a DMZ could be solely one side of the international frontier is implausible; doubly so if on the side that has been invaded but not on the side from which invasion has come.
Not at all - as Russia won't attack Indian, Chinese, and Brazilian UN troops, you won't need many of them to guard the Ukrainian DMZ.
Such UN troops will largely oversee the Dnieper river checkpoints and setup bases in the Oblast capitals.
An interesting choice of forces, given the (loose) BRICS alliance. I think Ukraine might have concerns about that disposition of forces.
In my view they should have split Ukraine into two parts in the early 1990s - with both new countries guaranteeing religious freedom and language rights.
Western Ukraine should have stayed independent and neutral.
You mean against the wishes of the Ukrainian population in a referendum? And if Western Ukraine should have been independent and neutral, surely the same should have applied to a hypothetical independent eastern Ukraine?
NATO expansion was wrong.


The legal mechanism on how Germany was reunified, was wrong.
In what way "wrong". These were decisions freely entered into by these countries, as they looked to build after the period of Soviet domination.
 

ainsworth74

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In my view they should have split Ukraine into two parts in the early 1990s - with both new countries guaranteeing religious freedom and language rights.
Western Ukraine should have stayed independent and neutral.
So the people of Ukraine even in the early 1990s should have been denied the right to self-determination? They voted for independence, overwhelmingly, in 1991 as Ukraine. Not as some weird artificial construct but as Ukraine.
NATO expansion was wrong.
But it is interesting to think about why all those Eastern and Central European countries raced to join NATO as soon as they could isn't it? I wonder why they did? I wonder why Sweden and Finland finally decided to abandon their own neutrality after 2022?

You will of course know that nations freely join NATO, they are not compelled to do so. It is therefore worth asking what possible reason they could have for wanting to join NATO...
 

35B

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Honestly I struggle to understand your point of view and how you aren't just pro-Russian despite your protestations to the contrary. Your proposed solution simply eviscerates Ukraine and hands all the power to Russia and rewards this aggression.
History has plenty of examples of people of invaded countries allying themselves to the invader, for a range of reasons. If we look at a couple of famous/notorious examples, there were the likes of Quisling and Antonescu, who were ideologically aligned. Alternatively, there were defeatists like Petain who could not see past the immediate cost of fighting to what could be in future.
 

doc7austin

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So you are willing to do what Putin asks for, to give up Ukrainian resources to some theoretical peacekeeping force
That is what Ukraine has already done - giving up Ukrainian resources for America.

and basically ask nothing of Russia other than to pretty please promise to behave.
Russian Armed Forces would have to leave DPR and LPR.
Only UN troops from certain countries and police forces (controlled by the Oblast) are allowed to carry arms.

South Korea cannot enter North Korea as they are independent sovereign countries,
Nope ! South Korea has never recognized North Korea.
Again, there might be rage that Ukraine is barred from moving its troops to the Eastern part of its country.
But there is precedent: North and South Korea !

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So the people of Ukraine even in the early 1990s should have been denied the right to self-determination?
What can we tell the people of Iraq - with its right to self-determination - , whose country Ukrainian troops invaded in an illegal war of aggression in the 2000's ?

They voted for independence, overwhelmingly, in 1991 as Ukraine. Not as some weird artificial construct but as Ukraine.
Correct - because the people were promised neutrality, which was embedded shortly thereafter in the Ukrainian Constitution.
Pres. Yushchenko broke that promise in the mid 2000's, long long long before the events of 2014.

You will of course know that nations freely join NATO, they are not compelled to do so. It is therefore worth asking what possible reason they could have for wanting to join NATO...
Why Yushchenko wanted to join NATO in the mid 2000's - to tilt a domestic dispute between Ukrainian and Russian-speaking people in Ukraine to the favour of the Ukrainian-speaking population. That is the reason why Merkel und Zarkozy - exercising their right of self-determination - freely closed the the door for Ukraine in 2007.
 
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najaB

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Not at all - as Russia won't attack Indian, Chinese, and Brazilian UN troops, you won't need many of them to guard the Ukrainian DMZ.
You mean the Ukrainian/Russian DMZ, which would extend to x kilometres either side of the border, right?
 

doc7austin

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Which is likely the legacy of various waves of Russification and suppression of Ukrainian culture going back to the days of the Tsars.
Suppression of Ukrainian culture on Crimea ? There was never ever any large presence of Ukrainian culture on Crimea. Why did Russia fought against Britain on Crimea in the 1850's ?

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Good for Trump, what about what Ukraine thinks about handing over a piece of its own territory? What about the example it sets to the wider world? Invade your neighbour, brutalise, murder and rape their people, steal their children, destroy their infrastructure and as a reward we'll let you keep a piece of their territory.
I'd recommend to speak to the people in Cyprus. NATO member Turkey invaded Cyprus in the 1970's and was awarded territory.

The lines of the DMZ in this scenario are drawn entirely to the advantage of Russia. The Korean DMZ took territory from both sides to establish it (and is a hell of a lot narrower than the one you're proposing here). Russian forces should not be allowed in the DMZ and the DMZ should encompass Russian territory otherwise it clearly is not an equitable agreement.
The fact is: South Korean troops are not allowed to enter North Korea (due to the 1953 ceasefire agreement), although, South Korea has never recognized North Korea.

So now Ukraine has to give up its own natural resources to allow its own territory to be policed by outside powers? This is a good outcome for Ukraine? Really?
This idea was put forward by Zelenskyy in his Victory Plan, which he presented to the world in autumn of last year.

Honestly I struggle to understand your point of view and how you aren't just pro-Russian despite your protestations to the contrary.
It stops the war and killings.
Where we may disagree, but Ukraine has lost the war. What else do you expect ?

They did, even Crimea (though it was closest there than anywhere else). I can't help but suspect that if you re-ran that election today the results would be the same (perhaps even more strongly pro-Ukrainian).
In Minsk II protocol both Ukraine and Russia had agreed that such elections/referenda were run in Donezk and Luhansk Oblasts. It was the Ukrainian authorities that had refused to cooperate with the LPR and DPR authorities to organize these elections.
 
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OhNoAPacer

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That is what Ukraine has already done - giving up Ukrainian resources for America.


Russian Armed Forces would have to leave DPR and LPR.
Only UN troops from certain countries and police forces (controlled by the Oblast) are allowed to carry arms.


Nope ! South Korea has never recognized North Korea.
Again, there might be rage that Ukraine is barred from moving its troops to the Eastern part of its country.
But there is precedent: North and South Korea
Ukraine itself decided, under fear of US throwing them under the bus admittedly, to do a deal with the US, you are advocating third party confiscation of Ukrainian resources.

North and South Korea may not recognise each others government but they are independent sovereign nations at the UN in their own right.

The Korean DMZ is on both sides of the border and neither side may enter it. What you are proposing is that the east of Ukraine becomes a DMZ but that Russia can have as many troops as it likes along the Russian Ukrainian border, not exactly like Korea is it?
 

doc7austin

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They don't make the point you think. They are examples of countries that did/do not formally recognise the other half of a successor state, but do not seek to overthrow it by force.
Are you really sure that a large South Korea don't want to overthrow the Kim regime in North Korea ?
An interesting choice of forces, given the (loose) BRICS alliance. I think Ukraine might have concerns about that disposition of forces.
Ukraine does not wield any veto power in the UN Security Council. Once USA and Russia reached an agreement, China will fall in line. The question is whether UK is voting against USA. Trump may cancel the recent trade agreement and impose tariffs.

You mean against the wishes of the Ukrainian population in a referendum? And if Western Ukraine should have been independent and neutral, surely the same should have applied to a hypothetical independent eastern Ukraine?
The people of Eastern Ukraine could have decided to hold a referendum to merge with Russia.

In what way "wrong". These were decisions freely entered into by these countries, as they looked to build after the period of Soviet domination.
Well, there was never a referendum held in Eastern Germany, whether this country wants to get absorbed by West Germany.
Things that were done wrong in 1990 explain very well why the AfD + BSW + Linke (the ruling party of former East Germany) have reached 60% of the vote share in recent elections.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

You mean the Ukrainian/Russian DMZ, which would extend to x kilometres either side of the border, right?
No, Eastern Ukraine would become a DMZ, incl. Donezk and Luhansk Oblasts.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Ukraine itself decided, under fear of US throwing them under the bus admittedly, to do a deal with the US, you are advocating third party confiscation of Ukrainian resources.
The idea - natural resources for security guarantees - was proposed by Zelensky in his Victory Plan of 2024. Biden was the US President then.

Russian propaganda at this time was laughing at this Victory Plan and predicted that Zelensky had opened the Pandora's Box with this idea.
 
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