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UK switching to electric vehicles discussion

Bletchleyite

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That's the thing though- if the cost of charging is close to the cost of fuel, why switch? More importantly why switch now, particularly if price controls and things like lamppost chargers (which frankly are very much "pie in the sky" here in North Kirklees) come in as you predict. Even if all your predictions come true, the smart thing to do for many is wait until tomorrow's jam actually arrives.

Because EVs are so much nicer to drive than ICEs, plus more reliable etc? There are many things in their favour.

Previously on this very thread, you've been quite critical of early Nissan Leafs... but all of a sudden they're fine, if you're a poor?

They're comparable to other cars available to those of limited means. Old, cheap cars always have flaws.

A quick search on AutoTrader for cars with an MOT, in the lowest insurance group, at maximum £1,500, brings up over 200 results. All of them petrol, unsurprisingly: if there are roadworthy and functional EVs of a similar age to those (generally 12-18 years old) in ten years time, at a similar sort of price... I'll be shocked!

In real terms they will be once they've filtered through.
 
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GusB

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I don't think that towing caravans or horseboxes is a particularly niche activity.
Not considering the number I get stuck behind 8-)
Well, having to charge an EV tow car more frequently gives them the opportunity to pull over and let the stuck traffic go past! :)

Nearly all of the people who use a horse box trailer, will have off street parking where they can charge an electric tow car.

I think most journeys with a horse box trailer will be short enough so that they won't need to recharge before they get home.

There are people who tow a caravan to the South of France, and that will be a pain if you have to stop every couple of hours to charge up, particularly if you need to uncouple the caravan to fit in the charging bay. For those people a hybrid will be less hassle.
If the issue of having to unhitch to recharge becomes a significant problem, it's not unreasonable to suggest that the market will eventually respond. More electric coaches and lorries are appearing and there will be a need for charging stations equipped for them, so why not permit caravans too? The issue isn't insurmountable.
 

Noddy

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That's all well and good, but most people don't live in new-builds. The vast majority of UK housing stock is older, and we aren't likely to see mass clearances of structurally-sound Victorian terraces for them to be replaced by fancy new eco-homes. The comparisons with Norway are of little use to someone on a low income who lives in Dewsbury. Norway may well be the example to aspire to, but we didn't do the smart thing with our oil wealth that the Norwegians did... and that ship has long since departed the fjord!

As for writing to my MP, unfortunately both my MP and local councillor are single-issue politicians (not that their labour predecessors were much cop either)... but that's very much off-topic.

There are folk in Norway on low or very low incomes as well. All your response indicates to me is that you don’t actually care about the issue (which is completely valid and could be massively helped by a Norway style ‘right to a charger’) but rather you just want to be obstructive to change.

As for describing the houses as ‘fancy eco-homes’ you clearly haven’t looked at the photos I linked to.
 
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HSTEd

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That's the thing though- if the cost of charging is close to the cost of fuel, why switch? More importantly why switch now, particularly if price controls and things like lamppost chargers (which frankly are very much "pie in the sky" here in North Kirklees) come in as you predict. Even if all your predictions come true, the smart thing to do for many is wait until tomorrow's jam actually arrives
The last few holdouts might chose to continue with rusting ICE cars for a while longer, but the shrinking ICE fleet and reducing fuel sales (and thus availability) will force the issue before too long.
Once only plug-in cars are available for purchase petrol demand will start falling several percent per year. This will start a cascade of closures of car-serving petrol stations, especially in urban areas. At that point, people without the space for home storage of LPG (so almost everyone without off road parking) will rapidly be unable to reliably fuel a petrol car.
They will be forced to compete with people trying to haul trailers or caravans for the limited remnant supply of diesel vehicles.


A quick search on AutoTrader for cars with an MOT, in the lowest insurance group, at maximum £1,500, brings up over 200 results. All of them petrol, unsurprisingly: if there are roadworthy and functional EVs of a similar age to those (generally 12-18 years old) in ten years time, at a similar sort of price... I'll be shocked!
Nissan Leafs are already available for <£3,000.
A few more years and we will get there.
 

61653 HTAFC

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Because EVs are so much nicer to drive than ICEs, plus more reliable etc? There are many things in their favour.
In your opinion. I enjoy driving, and I enjoy shifting a manual gearbox. I like the feedback you get from an ICE drivetrain that simply isn't there with an EV.
Classic cars will always have a following, and will be around as long as there are people who are passionate about them. Maybe it'll have to switch to synthetic fuels, but they won't vanish for a long time. I can't imagine there ever being a "classic EV" scene of people with first-gen Leafs and the like... but I'm sure one will emerge anyway.
 

Bletchleyite

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In your opinion. I enjoy driving, and I enjoy shifting a manual gearbox. I like the feedback you get from an ICE drivetrain that simply isn't there with an EV.
Classic cars will always have a following, and will be around as long as there are people who are passionate about them.

Classic cars will indeed remain, and aren't really an issue because they're very small in number. They're also almost all petrol, give or take a few Land Rovers and the likes.

Maybe it'll have to switch to synthetic fuels, but they won't vanish for a long time. I can't imagine there ever being a "classic EV" scene of people with first-gen Leafs and the like... but I'm sure one will emerge anyway.

I'm certain it will. I think most of us would have struggled to visualise Pacer preservation if it'd been suggested in the mid 90s...
 

signed

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Classic cars will indeed remain, and aren't really an issue because they're very small in number
I expect the classic car hobby to boom in the next few year as more and more EV-centric regulations and hurdles come round and people love their cars.

The classic car federation in France even lobbied hard enough to make all collection (any vehicle > 30 years old after registration) vehicles exempt from Low Emission Zone regulations
 

Bald Rick

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Thought I’d do a litle survey today in central London in my lunch break. Basically, I went car spotting.

In just over half an hour, I saw almost 500 cars being driven (ie moving or in traffic, not parked) - including SUVs and all Taxis.

Counting the new London Taxi as an EV - as they rarely use the engine (and none of those I saw today were), 48% of the cars were EVs.

Whilst I didn’t keep count of hybrids, I reckon at least half of the 52% with an engine were - I saw lots of Nissans and Toyotas.

I also didn’t set out to look for cars that weren’t ULEZ comlliant, but after a van went past that was smoking more than Fidel Castro, I looked out for those with a pre 15 plate, and it was single digits.

Now 500 vehicles isn’t necessarily a representative sample statisically, and central London certainly isn’t representative of the UK (on so many levels). But that’s not the point I’m trying to make.

The point is that it does show what policy can do. More importantly, in my view it is highly improbable that every one of those EV drivers has off street parking, and an above average income, and only ever does short journeys, etc.

On that basis, it clearly is possible for most people to run an EV even with some of these perceived blockers.
 

Bikeman78

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Not having a driveway, or living in short-term rented accommodation is hardly the "RailUK Standard Minority". Huge swathes of the UK housing stock is like this.
Plenty of people with a driveway don't bother to use it. Almost everyone on my street parks on the pavement instead of their drive. Hopefully, they will shift their cars when they switch to electric.
 

jon0844

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Shell has announced it will be closing 1,000 gas stations in the USA next year. I expect other oil companies will start to do the same, and even when Trump gets in I don't see him changing that - and the USA is probably a market where people will cling on to their ICE vehicles for even longer than here.

Shell says it considers 'gas will only play a backup role' in the future.

Source: https://insideevs.com/news/713296/shell-closes-1000-gas-stations-to-focus-on-ev-charging/

In its Energy Transition Strategy 2024 report, Shell announced that it was planning to divest 1,000 of its retail gas stations (including joint ventures) between 2024 and 2025. The company said this move was aimed at reallocating those resources towards EV charging stations “in response to customer needs.” The news was first reported by Bloomberg.

It's ironic that Trump goes on about 'drill baby drill' and yet many states now employ hundreds of thousands of people in green energy jobs and are actually heavily investing in things like wind and solar, because they've realised it's cheaper. I doubt many are doing it for climate reasons, but rather the fact it's profitable.
 

Bikeman78

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I can't imagine there ever being a "classic EV" scene of people with first-gen Leafs and the like... but I'm sure one will emerge anyway.
I'm certain it will. I think most of us would have struggled to visualise Pacer preservation if it'd been suggested in the mid 90s...
Recently I watched a youtube video about the challenges of bus preservation. There are mid 2000s low floor buses preserved now. One of the biggest challenges is the electronics. Totally diferent to a simple 1970s or 1980s bus.
 

vinnym70

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Recently I watched a youtube video about the challenges of bus preservation. There are mid 2000s low floor buses preserved now. One of the biggest challenges is the electronics. Totally diferent to a simple 1970s or 1980s bus.
I think this is a general issue with any 'modern' technology and not just something affecting preservation.
Vendors (probably) didn't originally build obsolescence into their products but they're often reliant on parts or code provided by third parties.
At some point, everything in the world is based around a computer and components/code within them become unsupportable or vulnerable to known threats.
Even in a perfect world, third parties cease to exist with their intellectual property disappearing with them.
A lot of companies now expect their third parties (and potentially fourth parties where there are subcontractors involved) to place code into escrow to mitigate such problems but I'm wary as to the effectiveness of this.
I don't think we'll ever unwind from this current state and it will probably get worse as time moves on.
 

jon0844

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Many issues can be resolved with regulation, requiring that vehicle manufacturers (and indeed computer, phone and other technical product manufacturers) must support their products for longer. If they don't wish to do so after 10 years or whatever minimum the likes of the EU mandates, they must open-source to allow third parties to continue supporting.

It isn't just EVs that will require expensive updates for computer systems, sensors etc, with licenses for certain features that might expire, the servers needing to be continued to offer OTA updates and so on. Even ICE cars have been highly reliant on technology for decades, starting originally with high end cars and now filtering through and down to cheap cars. Even the Dacia Spring has quite a lot of tech inside it, which will probably go wrong before the battery does.

Manufacturers like Apple are now starting to realise that consumers want a right to repair when their product is out of warranty, and have begun to make changes to allow easier repairs to keep a product lasting longer and not becoming e-waste after 12 or 24 months.

The same needs to happen for the car industry too, and obviously some companies are going to resist and fight against regulations (citing things like security, and the classic 'women will get raped' nonsense a US-based pressure group claimed would happen if third parties were allowed access to engine management systems etc).

In the future, we should be expecting an EV (especially a small city car doing maybe 5,000 miles a year) to last 20 years or more with ease, and if it fails because of bits falling off inside then they must be repairable for a fair price, so as not to be scrapped prematurely.

It won't stop car makers marketing new cars to people to make them want to change their car long before it's unusable, but people will at least be able to keep a car for as long as they want and we can go back to simpler times. The fact that cars used to be easy to repair and keep running shouldn't be something consigned to history. An EV is extremely simple compared to an ICE car.
 

vinnym70

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Agreed. Regulation needs to be here and now and watertight but we still have 10-15(+) years of tech that will likely be redundant because there's no other option.
And as for regulation so far, the EU adopting USB-C seems to be the most obvious example of where this has succeeded to date.

We move with the times; while some governments want to tell us climate change isn't real, I don't see there's a lot of hope for the more minor matters getting the attention they need.
I doubt a forum post 10-15 years from now will have much of a different view. I hope I'm wrong, I really do.

Right to repair should be enshrined in law yesterday, globally. I can't order replacement parts for many of my devices. Either they are too expensive to make a repair sensible or the parts just aren't available. And in this space, I'm just wanting some very basic parts for tools that I have. When you factor that with the lack of 'practical' subjects taught in schools we have a big problem.
 

E27007

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The target of new car sales to be 100% ZEV by 2035 is a tough challenge, we are seeing car manufacturers such as VW / Stellantis in trouble, plant closure threats and employee redundancies. Why is there such a strict target of 100%? Why not be satisfied with a lower target of 75% by 2035, If 3 out of 4 new cars on the road sold in 2035 are ZEV's , then that is a very substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and is a lot less damaging to those employed in the car industry.
 

Noddy

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The target of new car sales to be 100% ZEV by 2035 is a tough challenge, we are seeing car manufacturers such as VW / Stellantis in trouble, plant closure threats and employee redundancies. Why is there such a strict target of 100%? Why not be satisfied with a lower target of 75% by 2035, If 3 out of 4 new cars on the road sold in 2035 are ZEV's , then that is a very substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and is a lot less damaging to those employed in the car industry.

It’s really not a tough challenge. Ten years ago the only EVs readily available were short range Nissan Leafs and Renault Zoe’s or very expensive Tesla Model S. Look at the market now. You have everything from the Dacia Spring to the Rolls Royce Spectre. The market in 10 years time (2035) will be different again.

What is tough is that fundamentally folk don’t like change. Altering mindsets from an ‘it’s all to difficult’ attitude to a ‘how do we positively embrace change’ is what is hard.
 
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HSTEd

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The target of new car sales to be 100% ZEV by 2035 is a tough challenge, we are seeing car manufacturers such as VW / Stellantis in trouble, plant closure threats and employee redundancies. Why is there such a strict target of 100%? Why not be satisfied with a lower target of 75% by 2035, If 3 out of 4 new cars on the road sold in 2035 are ZEV's , then that is a very substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and is a lot less damaging to those employed in the car industry.
The number of people employed in the car industry in the UK is rather small.
In any case, the primary issue is that various manufacturers like VW bet that they could force European Governments to abandon EV targets.

They've spent a decade clinging to the profit margins of internal combustion engines. They simply didn't believe BYD et al would be able to challenge them.

They've realised too late that they've missed the opportunity to compete and are now falling back on demanding protectionism.
 

Peter Sarf

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There's also the little issue of CO2 making the climate, and therefore life, more and more difficult for billions of the world's population, - although you might just be lucky in that it doesn't affect your life much. :rolleyes:
Don't worry, I have realised there are various ecological arguments out there as well !.
It has been quite difficult for me over the past forty five or so years for example being a bit stuffy about aerosols as far back as 1979..
What grinds me down is we do not seem to be making an effort to reduce societies growing dependence on cars.
We could improve things in many ways by just building less of the damn vehicles. Nicer public areas with less traffic and a lower carbon foot print as a result of producing and then scrapping fewer road vehicles.
We need to get people out of their cars, but the world seems unable to face up to that elephant in the room.
I can’t speak for London (where sometimes it appears the most of the commentators on this thread live) but I regularly work on new build housing sites in villages, towns and cities (largest being Bristol). The vast majority (80-90%) of sites I’m at have 7kw EV chargers fitted as standard on all houses and flats (the remaining 10-20% are either sites with older planning permissions still working their way through the system or city centre flats with no parking full stop). This includes everything from top end large detached private houses to housing association maisonettes and blocks of flats. I’ve already added photos on this thread showing examples (here). So I disagree that there will be no suitable housing for those on low incomes. By the time EVs become affordable for those on very low incomes there will be 10s if not 100s of thousands of homes like this.

Yes existing houses and especially flats are clearly an issue-however I would point to Norway. According to the census 21.7% of people in England and Wales live in a flat, maisonette or apartment. According to Statista.com 20.7% of people in Norway live in a ‘multi-dwelling’ building. However it has not stopped Norway from getting on and converting to EVs (which is now approaching 100% adoption for new cars). If you are genuinely worried about people on very low income and how they will cope with the transition to EVs, can I suggest you write to your MP (especially if they are Labour or likely to be EV friendly) to ask them to encourage the government to implement a ‘right to a charger’ policy as Norway has done?
It is not going to be the nicer new build homes where the poorer people will move to (either renting or buying). It follows that most of those clinging on to the last ICEs will be doing so for economic reasons and will not be able to afford to live somewhere where charging is easy and cheap.
Presumably EVs will be faster at towing uphill. Coupled with the reduced range forcing them to pull over regularly to recharge then I count this as a win-win.
That's a good point !.
Many issues can be resolved with regulation, requiring that vehicle manufacturers (and indeed computer, phone and other technical product manufacturers) must support their products for longer. If they don't wish to do so after 10 years or whatever minimum the likes of the EU mandates, they must open-source to allow third parties to continue supporting.

It isn't just EVs that will require expensive updates for computer systems, sensors etc, with licenses for certain features that might expire, the servers needing to be continued to offer OTA updates and so on. Even ICE cars have been highly reliant on technology for decades, starting originally with high end cars and now filtering through and down to cheap cars. Even the Dacia Spring has quite a lot of tech inside it, which will probably go wrong before the battery does.

Manufacturers like Apple are now starting to realise that consumers want a right to repair when their product is out of warranty, and have begun to make changes to allow easier repairs to keep a product lasting longer and not becoming e-waste after 12 or 24 months.

The same needs to happen for the car industry too, and obviously some companies are going to resist and fight against regulations (citing things like security, and the classic 'women will get raped' nonsense a US-based pressure group claimed would happen if third parties were allowed access to engine management systems etc).

In the future, we should be expecting an EV (especially a small city car doing maybe 5,000 miles a year) to last 20 years or more with ease, and if it fails because of bits falling off inside then they must be repairable for a fair price, so as not to be scrapped prematurely.

It won't stop car makers marketing new cars to people to make them want to change their car long before it's unusable, but people will at least be able to keep a car for as long as they want and we can go back to simpler times. The fact that cars used to be easy to repair and keep running shouldn't be something consigned to history. An EV is extremely simple compared to an ICE car.
I sorely hope that regulation will allow us to make do and mend - where appropriate of course.
It could be argued that ICEs should be prematurely got rid of but I think for people using an ICE as little as possible the economics of replacement with an EV are not good. Furthermore there is not much benefit to be gained ecologically if they are light users.
My dream, of course, would be more light users of cars and fewer over users of cars.
 

corfield

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If by that you mean some form of road pricing, then bear in mind that such a tax is primarily justified in the basis of congestion on overloaded roads. So it would be applied to all obstructions on the roads* on which IC vehicles are no better than EVS, - indeed they are worse because they cause gross pollution as well.
But its not justified on congestion any more than the Congestion Charge or ULEZ is. All of this is simply a “get tax money at minimal effort”, any nominal rationale is irrelevent really, merely spin. Which is why I question whether the regressive aspects of road pricing (currently hidden within the cost of a consumable) will survive a much more direct form of taxation.

Congestion charge logic in itself is simply pricing people off the roads to avoid the costs of road expansion, exactly as BR (and subsequent) did with trains.
So the continuation of duty for eligible polluting vehicles may continue, as well as increasing servicing and fuel prices. Your apparent hubris on the thought of EV drivers paying more for road access may be quite premature.
You’re projecting there, I’m simply pointing out that the tax burden is likely to rise to cover the increased collection costs whilst covering current revenue.

Nobody wins! and current EV drivers will certainly lose. Which again is why I think road pricing is a political self destruct button.

There is also the fact that inhibiting mobility harms both people’s life chances and the wider economy. If “growth” is the objective, as stated, and massive housebuilding is similarly so (as all main parties ascribe to) - then continuing, but in a much more naked form, to suppress it, seems counter productive.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Owning almost any car is effectively pouring money down the drain.
As is spending on anything that doesnt literally keep you alive. Train ticket to work is the same. Buying a pint is the same. Buying a bigger TV is the same. It’s a nonsense argument because people look at cost vs benefit and their judgement is clear.
The poorest in society can't afford to run a car,
The facts are clearly the opposite. 75% of the poorest quintile have a car.

Why do you keep pushing untruths?
though many are forced to do it anyway due to lack of alternatives.
You have no idea why they do. Far more likely than “forced” is that it gives them such massive benefits the cost is deemed worthwhile.
I'm a strong supporter of measures (such as improved public transport and safe active travel routes) to make car ownership a choice rather than an obligation.
None of that touches what a point to point private vehicle offers. Sure, you may be able to tinker with the edges, but the overwhelming use of the car reflects its inherant advantages, and its not even really a cost thing as ownership stats show - its just far quicker and far more comfortable.
 
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Noddy

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Owning almost any car is effectively pouring money down the drain. The poorest in society can't afford to run a car, though many are forced to do it anyway due to lack of alternatives. I'm a strong supporter of measures (such as improved public transport and safe active travel routes) to make car ownership a choice rather than an obligation.

If you live in a rural area, and by rural I mean not a city or large town, no matter how much effort and money is put into public transport car ownership is always going to be an obligation, rather than a choice. Just because an area is rural it doesn’t mean that there aren’t plenty of folk on low and very incomes working at all sorts of locations, and at all times of the day and night, that public transport will simply never serve.
 

Krokodil

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As is spending on anything that doesnt literally keep you alive. Train ticket to work is the same. Buying a pint is the same. Buying a bigger TV is the same. It’s a nonsense argument because people look at cost vs benefit and their judgement is clear.
When you buy a pint or a train ticket, you buy a pint or a train ticket. You are not obliged to buy anything else. When you buy a car you take on a rapidly depreciating liability which needs insurance, fuel, maintenance etc.

But its not justified on congestion any more than the Congestion Charge or ULEZ is. All of this is simply a “get tax money at minimal effort”
An argument among many used all over social media by opponents of any attempt at stopping motorists from doing whatever they jolly well like. Enforcing speed limits: "It's just to make money!" I've got a genius tax-dodging scheme to combat this, you simply drive within the speed limit. Reporting dangerous vehicles/loads: "Haven't you got any proper criminals to catch?" Restricting through traffic in residential areas: "Everyone will be locked in their 15 minute zones!"

As it happens I'm not entirely happy with schemes that allow the rich to continue polluting, I'd sooner have a blanket ban on polluting vehicles. But hey ho...

Congestion charge logic in itself is simply pricing people off the roads to avoid the costs of road expansion
Because just adding endless extra lanes doesn't solve congestion. How wide is the Katy Freeway now? I believe that it has reached 14 traffic lanes plus however many access/feeder lanes there are. Has it solved congestion? Nope, it's backed up right now as it happens.

The facts are clearly the opposite. 75% of the poorest quintile have a car.

Why do you keep pushing untruths?

Only 35% of the poorest decile households have a car. Compared with 93% of the richest.

I am not pushing untruths, you need to read properly and consider sentences as a whole rather than taking clauses out of context. As a reminder:
The poorest in society can't afford to run a car, though many are forced to do it anyway due to lack of alternatives.

Just because someone has a car and runs the thing, it doesn't automatically follow that they can afford it. Plenty of people live lifestyles that they can't afford, it often catches up with them. If someone is forced into car ownership because that's the only way that they can get to work, then they will put that expense above most others. "Johnny needs new school shoes? They'll have to wait until next month because otherwise there's no money for petrol and daddy can't get to work". They own a car, and they are running it, yes. They can't afford it.

Far more likely than “forced” is that it gives them such massive benefits the cost is deemed worthwhile.
One could consider "I'd have to quit my job otherwise" a 'massive benefit' (what wouldn't be a massive benefit compared with destitution?). They shouldn't have to make that Hobson's choice though, they should have the opportunity to consider alternatives.
 

corfield

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When you buy a pint or a train ticket, you buy a pint or a train ticket. You are not obliged to buy anything else. When you buy a car you take on a rapidly depreciating liability which needs insurance, fuel, maintenance etc.
Eh?

The pint lasts 20 minutes, the train ticket a journey.

The car gives you freedom for years and years.

Can you really not see the difference?

My car car from new cost me 1.5k year depreciation. That’s barely 10 train tickets up and down the country.

As value for money for the 8.5k miles I do a year, nothing comes close. It takes drunk bistromathmatics to think otherwise!
An argument among many used all over social media by opponents of any attempt at stopping motorists from doing whatever they jolly well like. Enforcing speed limits: "It's just to make money!" I've got a genius tax-dodging scheme to combat this, you simply drive within the speed limit. Reporting dangerous vehicles/loads: "Haven't you got any proper criminals to catch?" Restricting through traffic in residential areas: "Everyone will be locked in their 15 minute zones!"

As it happens I'm not entirely happy with schemes that allow the rich to continue polluting, I'd sooner have a blanket ban on polluting vehicles. But hey ho...
Rant on about speed limits and other people you dislike as you wish, zero relevence to my post.

ULEZ like congestion charge like fuel tax like income tax like IHT like windows tax, hat tax, urine tax, newspaper tax and so on etc, are all just inventions to extract money for the state.

Quite literally the classic goose adage of plucking the max feathers with min fuss.

That’s all it is, and it’s foolish to think otherwise.
Because just adding endless extra lanes doesn't solve congestion. How wide is the Katy Freeway now? I believe that it has reached 14 traffic lanes plus however many access/feeder lanes there are. Has it solved congestion? Nope, it's backed up right now as it happens.
Car usage will plateau, it’s a classic S shaped curve. Unless you keep ramping up population of course. Or invent cars that need to do empty movements.

Pricing poor people off the road is deeply regressive and will be a political nuclear weapon for the party who tries to implement it.

Only 35% of the poorest decile households have a car. Compared with 93% of the richest.
The study I originally qouted classed the poor as the least wealthy quntile. A fifth, as the study concluded, is a reasonable assumption. Not mine, theirs.

Otherwise you’ll just keep going til you find the poorest person.

But yes, you keep stating untruths. Please stop it.
I am not pushing untruths, you need to read properly and consider sentences as a whole rather than taking clauses out of context. As a reminder:
Doctor, heal thyself.
Just because someone has a car and runs the thing, it doesn't automatically follow that they can afford it.
Err by definition unless they end up bankrupt, they can.

75% of the lowest quintile aren’t going bankrupt or we’d notice that dont you think?
Plenty of people live lifestyles that they can't afford, it often catches up with them. If someone is forced into car ownership because that's the only way that they can get to work, then they will put that expense above most others. "Johnny needs new school shoes? They'll have to wait until next month because otherwise there's no money for petrol and daddy can't get to work". They own a car, and they are running it, yes. They can't afford it.
Made up stories dont change that people clearly can afford it as they are. Your imagined prioritising is far more likely to be vs a TV or subscription than a car.

Doesnt it bother you trying to force your way into other people’s lives, entirely ignorant of them?
One could consider "I'd have to quit my job otherwise" a 'massive benefit' (what wouldn't be a massive benefit compared with destitution?). They shouldn't have to make that Hobson's choice though, they should have the opportunity to consider alternatives.
The car literally gives them access to employment opprtunities they’d otherwise lack, it very obviously gives them more alternatives. Hence why they have them…

It also offers unparalleled leisure and social opportunities which people are demonstrably constantly using. Are people forced into those too in your world? Should they be forced out of them?

Truly bizzare you can’t see the obvious benefits, and why people want those.
 

Krokodil

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The pint lasts 20 minutes, the train ticket a journey.
You don't need to pay upfront for the entire barrel, you just pay for your pint. And once you've finished the pint that's it. If you want another pint you can buy another one, if you don't, you need pay no more.

The car gives you freedom for years and years.
Assuming that you can afford the upfront cost of purchase (which will be a four-figure sum, minimum these days) you then have to fork out for insurance and maintenance (including unexpected expensive repairs). You may be in the privileged position of being able to afford all this upfront with cash on the hip in case of emergency but many people struggle, so they take out loans which tie them down to repayments - the opposite of freedom.

Pricing poor people off the road is deeply regressive
Pricing poor people off of the railway is deeply regressive. But here we are.

The study I originally qouted classed the poor as the least wealthy quntile. A fifth, as the study concluded, is a reasonable assumption. Not mine, theirs.
Well I looked at the ONS who used deciles. Regardless, the poorer someone is, the less likely they are to own a car. That's common sense.

But yes, you keep stating untruths. Please stop it.
If we were in Parliament you would be asked to retract that or leave. Kindly stop saying (in veiled terms) that I am a liar.

Otherwise you’ll just keep going til you find the poorest person.
10% of the population is 6.8million. A pretty decent sample, no?

Err by definition unless they end up bankrupt, they can.

75% of the lowest quintile aren’t going bankrupt or we’d notice that dont you think?
According to the FCA 7.4m people are struggling to pay bills and credit repayments. Around 11% of the population. Incidentally the comparable figure from the US is 18%, with a whopping 66% of their population living paycheck to paycheck. Obviously there are many factors (healthcare etc.) but lack of alternatives to car travel is definitely a big issue there.

Made up stories dont change that people clearly can afford it as they are. Your imagined prioritising is far more likely to be vs a TV or subscription than a car.
You think that this sort of stuff isn't really happening?

Doesnt it bother you trying to force your way into other people’s lives, entirely ignorant of them?
Doesn't it bother you that you've got no empathy for people who are struggling?

The car literally gives them access to employment opprtunities they’d otherwise lack, it very obviously gives them more alternatives
Decent public transport and active travel infrastructure would extend those employment opportunities to people who do not drive.

Truly bizzare you can’t see the obvious benefits
I'm aware that there are benefits. But I also acknowledge the drawbacks. Well-funded public transport also has benefits.

It also offers unparalleled leisure and social opportunities which people are demonstrably constantly using. Are people forced into those too in your world? Should they be forced out of them?
I don't want to force anyone out of anything. I want people to have a free choice of transport.
 

corfield

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You don't need to pay upfront for the entire barrel, you just pay for your pint. And once you've finished the pint that's it. If you want another pint you can buy another one, if you don't, you need pay no more.
Notably you can’t respond to the point that the investment in a car gives you massive ongoing benefits for cost efficient travel.

You do understand the principle of investment vs say consumption?

Some us do buy the barrel because that is more cost efficient. The problem then is it is very time limited. Again, it is about long term decisions.
Assuming that you can afford the upfront cost of purchase (which will be a four-figure sum, minimum these days) you then have to fork out for insurance and maintenance (including unexpected expensive repairs). You may be in the privileged position of being able to afford all this upfront with cash on the hip in case of emergency but many people struggle, so they take out loans which tie them down to repayments - the opposite of freedom.
And yet 75% of even the poor do.

Houses cost more, starting businesses even more. Kids will cost you far, far more than a car. A “mere” holiday costs car level sums.

People including the poor still do all of the above. So obsessing over a large number is irrelevent - it’s the benefit it brings you for that.

Pricing poor people off of the railway is deeply regressive. But here we are.
Everyone is getting priced off the railway because it cannot control its cost and offer a cost efficient service.* It only exists thanks to massive subsidies yet is a small minority of people’s travel.

Pricing people off a mode most dont use very much seems far less important than pricing them off one nearly everyone uses all the time.

Now that is common sense.


* I returned my season ticket, £6k, because not only was the service deteriorating despite the price rising, it was far more beneficial to me to change jobs and drive to the new location. The drive is a bit tedious (as was the train tbh) but actually more predictable and over a year, far cheaper. It also makes the rest of my transport far more cost efficient by amortising the fixed costs. It’s also more comfortable to boot and I can combine journeys, eg shops run/pickup & drop off.

I now use the train even less for leisure for the same reason. Noting with a growing family the cost vs public transport remains flat vs escalating linearly.

Well I looked at the ONS who used deciles. Regardless, the poorer someone is, the less likely they are to own a car. That's common sense.
The ONS doesnt “use”, it simply groups.

And? The point is even the poor are overwhelmingly motorists first and public transport users second. The facts flatly contradict the assertions of the prejudiced.
If we were in Parliament you would be asked to retract that or leave. Kindly stop saying (in veiled terms) that I am a liar.
Because you were lying (not least as you clearly had no alternative information when you began!). Please stop doing it. The facts as I put forward remain that the poor, sensibly defined and as linked to, overwhelmingly have access to a car.

Your “fact” is simply akin to finding the poorest person and stating they dont. It adds nothing, reductio ad absurdum.
10% of the population is 6.8million. A pretty decent sample, no?
Not as a useful definition of “the poor” where the lowest fifth of wealth, twice that, was judged as the most useful slice by people looking at the reality of car ownership. Not by me to try and troll a debate, but others looking at this professionally.
According to the FCA 7.4m people are struggling to pay bills and credit repayments. Around 11% of the population. Incidentally the comparable figure from the US is 18%, with a whopping 66% of their population living paycheck to paycheck. Obviously there are many factors (healthcare etc.) but lack of alternatives to car travel is definitely a big issue there.


You think that this sort of stuff isn't really happening?
You think that this is different? Or new? Or somehow by removing their cars and drastically curtailing their freedom to work and live would improve this?

Do you advocate they dont have kids or go on holiday? The objective of life is to live, a car gives a freedom never known in history to do that and access to opportunities to earn and live your life fully.

Do you not think perhaps people can make their own minds up? And the facts speak plainly for the results even if you dont like them?


Doesn't it bother you that you've got no empathy for people who are struggling?
Doesnt it bother you a lot more that in addition to lying you are now actively making things up?

Pretty desperate when you resort to putting things in people’s mouths - it transparently shows you’ve no argument to what they do say.
Decent public transport and active travel infrastructure would extend those employment opportunities to people who do not drive.
Insignificant vs the benefits of private point to point. Wouldnt even come close to what that offers people in freedom to work and live. Also very expensive and I doubt you plan to pay.

That’s why the overwhelming majority of people of all wealth status have cars.
I'm aware that there are benefits. But I also acknowledge the drawbacks.
People clearly value the benefits far more than the drawbacks. Perhaps you should listen more and try to force them down your route less?
Well-funded public transport also has benefits.
But a fraction of that of cars for the things people want to do and pay for. Hence why we have them. Its also grossly expensive against other more important expenditure where there isnt mostly a much better alternative.
I don't want to force anyone out of anything. I want people to have a free choice of transport.
Everyone should have everything eh. Well that’s a practical and realistic plan. Free helicopters for all!
 

E27007

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The major EV battery maker Northvolt, motto " let's make oil history" , part owned by VW, and a former supplier to BMW has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, having run out of funds being unable to achieve forecasts of production and shippings level of EV batteries.

The road from IC to ZEV has claimed an unanticipated victim
Northvolt was Europe’s best-funded start-up, having raised more than $15bn from investors and governments, but was left with just $30mn in cash — enough to operate for a week — before its bankruptcy filing under US Chapter 11 rules that gives it protection from creditors.
 
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Peter Sarf

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The major EV battery maker Northvolt, motto " let's make oil history" , part owned by VW, and a former supplier to BMW has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, having run out of funds being unable to achieve forecasts of production and shippings level of EV batteries.
The road from IC to ZEV has claimed an unanticipated victim
Oh dear, possibly an indispensable victim.
 

trebor79

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Oh dear, possibly an indispensable victim.
Don't think so. Chinese and Korean companies dominate battery manufacturing and are continuing to decrease costs and increase quality. European manufacturers will only every be a bit player IMO.
Very hard for a new entrant to gain a foothold as the incumbents will just leapfrog you on quality and costs whilst you're building a factory etc.
The Chinese government decided EVs were the future in response to the awful air quality issues on their cities (remember the issues around the Beijing Olympics and protests prior). They've made a long term plan and are executing it.
 

Peter Sarf

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Don't think so. Chinese and Korean companies dominate battery manufacturing and are continuing to decrease costs and increase quality. European manufacturers will only every be a bit player IMO.
Very hard for a new entrant to gain a foothold as the incumbents will just leapfrog you on quality and costs whilst you're building a factory etc.
The Chinese government decided EVs were the future in response to the awful air quality issues on their cities (remember the issues around the Beijing Olympics and protests prior). They've made a long term plan and are executing it.
This is very true unfortunately BUT it would be really nice if we could make EV batteries somewhere in Europe though.
 

renegademaster

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It's not an EV thing specifically, because there *are* options, and as the used market filters through they'll be very similar to the ICE options in say 10 years' time.
It's not solely an EV thing but it's a thing EVs will make worse

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

There are folk in Norway on low or very low incomes as well.
With a much more generous welfare state, funded via the sale of crude oil
 

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