biggerisbetter
Member
- Joined
- 21 Dec 2016
- Messages
- 118
That is true but also the size difference in Manchester's urban area and Liverpool makes no sense to me it'd make a lot more sense to compare Merseyside/LCR and Greater Manchester/Urban Area
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But the populations of he respective city regions is too simplistic an approach. What ultimately matters based on how the railway is currently run is where the greatest ticket revenue will be but also how this can be obtained in the most efficient way.
Obviously there will be a correlation to population but other factors will be areas outside of those city regions that would also connect via a service to that city region. For Liverpool this will be fairly minimal as lots of places such as North Wales and Chester would travel to Scotland via Crewe but for Manchester there is a fair population in places outside of the city region such as Buxton, Wilmslow, Glossop etc. that would connect to services to Scotland via Manchester and even Huddersfield for Glasgow services. When you add in that Manchester has more tourist visitors, a larger service sector economy generating business trips, more students and an international airport it becomes evident that there will be a much greater demand from the city than Liverpool. Running a service to Manchester also allows serving Bolton (3m passengers per year) compared to St Helens (0.5m passengers per year) again adds another benefit in Manchester's favour.
You obviously also need to consider the logistics and practicalities of running the service. Where are the depots based? How much ECS running would be needed to provide additional services? When considering this and that passengers will change trains for the most part is there is no direct service, does the loss of revenue resulting from requiring passengers from Liverpool to change outweigh the additional cost of running more direct services, if you do have the rolling stock and staff to provide additional services and if you don't, the loss of revenue from reducing services to Manchester. A slightly simplistic approach I appreciate but more complex than providing services proportionate to a city's population
On that basis you can start to see why there is the current disparity in services. Don't get me wrong, I do think Liverpool would benefit from additional services but simply comparing the populations of the city regions is too simplistic an approach.
The way I would like to see this done is through a nationalised railway that can take a more holistic approach to the provision of services working more closely with local authorities and/or through a larger West Coast operation including the Transpennine Scottish services and West Midlands Trains London Euston and Liverpool to Birmingham services allowing a greater base of units and crew at Liverpool for potential additional Scottish services.