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Autumn Statement 2023 - What was included for rail?

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YorkRailFan

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4.30 Recognising the need to better support the critical links between and within towns and cities, the government recently made the decision to not extend HS2 beyond Birmingham, and to take a radically new, development-led approach at Euston station, which will leverage significant private finance. The government’s decisions on HS2 will deliver £36 billion of savings that will be reallocated to Network North, an ambitious pipeline of alternative transport projects which will drive growth and connectivity in the great towns and cities across the North.34 This will expand Northern Powerhouse Rail, allocate an extra £8.3 billion to roads resurfacing across England; deliver the long-promised mass transit system in West Yorkshire; and provide £8.55 billion of additional funding for the second round of City Region Sustainable Transport Settlements (CRSTS2).

The Government’s commitment to EWR, confirmed by the Chancellor last week, reflects how important this project is for both economic growth and the quality of life in this area. That’s why 71 per cent of local residents support a new transport link between Oxford and Cambridge, and why local authorities and businesses have been so vocal in their backing for the project.

Following the Chancellor’s commitment, we are now able to move forward with our plans to deliver a faster, more sustainable and affordable way to travel that links people to their jobs, families and friends.

In the coming weeks and months, we will be reaching out locally to ensure that as the project progresses, we are working closely together to deliver a railway service that meets local needs and improves daily lives.”


Chancellor Jeremy Hunt set out his economic vision for the country
Tax cuts for working people and British business headlined Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s ‘Autumn Statement for Growth’.

The government says, aimed at building a stronger and more resilient economy, the Chancellor set out a plan to unlock growth and productivity by boosting business investment by £20 billion a year, getting more people into work, and cutting tax for 29 million workers – the biggest tax cut on work since the 1980s.

On rail the Autumn Statement said: “The government is also continuing to progress its commitment to deliver East West Rail, with a statutory consultation due next year and, as part of Network North, has committed to providing £2.5 billion for a West Yorkshire mass transit system.”
Commenting on the Autumn Statement, Darren Caplan, Chief Executive of the Railway Industry Association, said: “It is positive that the Government has restated its commitment for East West Rail and indicated support for West Yorkshire Tram. Given Chancellor Jeremy Hunt was an advocate for the full HS2 scheme, now that Phase 2 has been summarily cancelled by the Government – damaging railway suppliers’ confidence – we and rail suppliers want to see tangible progress in delivery on any schemes it takes forward.

“However, this Autumn Statement was clearly a missed opportunity to confirm wider funding for rail, whether from the plethora of schemes in the new ‘Network North’ proposals, the Rail Network Enhancements Pipeline, the Integrated Rail Plan for the North & Midlands, or a rolling stock pipeline. Given we were told the funding for HS2 Phase 2 was to be reallocated to other more immediate transport schemes – and with a General Election likely to be less than a year away – it would be good to now hear the Government’s plans to push on with delivery of the rail work in its various plans.

“This ongoing uncertainty across rail investment is genuinely harming UK suppliers, who are halting recruitment, looking overseas for work – meaning skills are being lost – and seeing jobs and factories jeopardised. So we strongly urge the Government to fund and push on with a clear and visible pipeline of work, whether related to infrastructure or rolling stock, which not only means an enhanced railway in the future but also better value for money for the taxpayer.”

Responding to the Autumn Statement, Ben Curtis from Campaign for Better Transport said: “We are disappointed that the Chancellor did not include any transport measures in his Autumn Statement today, despite a focus on lifting people out of poverty. We know that a lack of access to affordable public transport contributes to financial inequality, unemployment and social isolation, so transport should be at the heart of Government investment priorities.”
Autumn Statement at a glance

  • National Insurance tax cut from 12% to 10% for 27 million working people from January.
  • Tax to be cut and simplified for 2 million of the self-employed, abolishing an entire class of NICs and cutting the rate of the NICs top rate from 9% to 8%.
  • Triple lock maintained for pensioners, benefits to rise in line with inflation and Local Housing Allowance increased.
  • National Living Wage rise represents boost of £1,800 to the average annual earnings of a full-time worker, and the Back to Work Plan will help over a million people start, stay, and succeed in work while ensuring tougher consequences for those choosing not to.
  • Great British pubs, breweries and distillers backed by freezing alcohol duty for six months to August.
  • Autumn Statement gets the economy growing, debt falling and helps return inflation to its 2% target.
Suneeta Johal, CEO of the Construction Equipment Association (CEA) said: “The recent Autumn Statement by Chancellor Jeremy Hunt represents a thoughtful and strategic approach, acknowledging the necessities of the industry and introducing a forward-looking strategy to enhance investment. This statement marks a positive development, especially for the manufacturing sector, which values the emphasis on resolving enduring economic issues. The decision to make full expensing permanent provides the clarity and stability businesses require for their investment decisions.

“Additionally, the new initiatives to improve engineering apprenticeships and advance manufacturing signify a proactive effort to develop high-value growth and skilled employment, shaping a robust future economy.

“The Chancellor’s commitment to making the full expensing policy a permanent fixture is a landmark achievement. The ability for companies to claim 100% capital allowances on qualifying plant and machinery investments, and write off the cost of investment in one go is not just a financial boon; it’s a catalyst for accelerated growth and modernisation.
“This significant policy change, a result of concerted efforts by MAKE UK, CBI and the Construction Equipment Association alongside over 200 organisations, stands as an example of the powerful outcomes that can be achieved through collaborative industry-government engagement.

“However, the absence of discussion on fuel duty is particularly disappointing. In an industry where fuel costs substantially impact operations, this oversight is a missed opportunity.”

Richard Robinson, AtkinsRéalis CEO – UK & Ireland, said: “Today’s Autumn Statement included some welcome developments on planning and opportunities for regional rebalancing, but a continued lack of clarity around future infrastructure projects continues to create uncertainty across the supply chain as we wait for the urgently required publication of an updated National Infrastructure and Construction Pipeline.

“The government has rightly recognised that productivity gains are essential to drive growth and help deliver greater investment. The planning reforms announced today have the potential to significantly boost productivity, but there is more still that could be done to speed up infrastructure delivery and realise greater economic and societal gains:

“It’s an area the construction sector has much to contribute towards: recent Construction Leadership Council research identified up to £45bn of additional value each year that could be delivered through creating a more productive environment across the sector, from house building to critical national infrastructure delivery, from greater early-stage collaboration on projects to on-site efficiencies and streamlining processes beyond planning.

“However, we welcome the commitment to tackle the ongoing delays around planning and connection of grid infrastructure, which will make a significant impact in an area that is vital in delivering the net zero energy transition and bringing new energy generation online.”



What particularly interested me was the mention of a West Yorkshire mass transit system, although this was vague as there was no mention of how it would be delivered and what form of transport it would be (hopefully not just some kind of Superloop bus network, but also a train or tram system.) NPR being reconfirmed was nice, it's still on the agenda by the looks of things, no mention of the TPRU though interestingly. EWR getting a mention, albeit small, was good but once again, no real firm mention of what was happening. Hunt hints more at Euston getting capacity upgrades, but not so much at HS2 continuing to Euston itself.
 
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LNW-GW Joint

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Somewhere in the lead-up to the Autumn Statement, I believe the DfT confirmed £3 billion finance for the Huddersfield-Dewsbury TRU upgrade that had gained T&W approval some time ago (Modern Railways December, p15).
There's been no proper announcement yet from Network Rail, or any timescales.
There's often a delay in confirming funding for transport from these Treasury-led events which reset departmental budgets, until DfT can get its act together.
Another slot often used for announcements is the week before the Christmas recess.
We also didn't hear the exact figure or date for fare increases, expected to be "less than inflation", and in March.
 

nwales58

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That we now hear 'confirm' so much is pretty dreadful, meaning that something has not been scrapped (yet).

The overall picture for existing proposals gaining funding is slightly more bleak than before. Capital spending as far as 2025 was set in the 2021 Spending Review with transport roughly constant in *real terms*. Total capital spending (transport is about 20%) budget was 110.9 bn in 2022/3 down to 107.6 bn in 2023/4 then up to 110.6 bn in 2024/5 in this Autumn Statement - those numbers are in *current* money in each year. Inflation is therefore being allowed to eat away at public sector capital spending despite the 2021 review promising otherwise.

In transport (DfT, DLUHC etc) that means cost overruns and construction inflation outpacing CPI on current projects will cause some other proposals that we think are going ahead to be de-scoped, postponed and maybe cancelled.

Watch out for the detail of what is not happening.
 

Magdalia

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What particularly interested me was the mention of a West Yorkshire mass transit system, although this was vague as there was no mention of how it would be delivered and what form of transport it would be (hopefully not just some kind of Superloop bus network, but also a train or tram system.) NPR being reconfirmed was nice, it's still on the agenda by the looks of things, no mention of the TPRU though interestingly. EWR getting a mention, albeit small, was good but once again, no real firm mention of what was happening. Hunt hints more at Euston getting capacity upgrades, but not so much at HS2 continuing to Euston itself.
Thanks for doing this.

On EWR, a statutory consultation is expected in 2024, so there is not much that can be said in advance of that.
 

snowball

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What particularly interested me was the mention of a West Yorkshire mass transit system, although this was vague as there was no mention of how it would be delivered and what form of transport it would be (hopefully not just some kind of Superloop bus network, but also a train or tram system.)
Previously announced by the PM when he cut back HS2 a few weeks ago, and announced before that with the Strategic Rail Plan for the North and Midlands two years ago.
 

YorkRailFan

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Previously announced by the PM when he cut back HS2 a few weeks ago, and announced before that with the Strategic Rail Plan for the North and Midlands two years ago.
I know, but Huw Merriman later said that it's a possibility, but won't necessarily get built.
 

nwales58

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[Leeds tram] Previously announced by the PM when he cut back HS2 a few weeks ago, and announced before that with the Strategic Rail Plan for the North and Midlands two years ago.
18 months ago 200m total for studies both on Leeds tram and give-us-a-clue-on-HS2-Leeds-now-we've-cancelled-HS2-East.

Anyone know the progress of either study? Presumably the HS2 part is dumped to spend on the WY tram study.
 

snowball

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I think it's been confirmed that the scarcely-started study on connecting to Leeds was dropped when HS2 phase 2 was dropped.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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That we now hear 'confirm' so much is pretty dreadful, meaning that something has not been scrapped (yet).

The overall picture for existing proposals gaining funding is slightly more bleak than before. Capital spending as far as 2025 was set in the 2021 Spending Review with transport roughly constant in *real terms*. Total capital spending (transport is about 20%) budget was 110.9 bn in 2022/3 down to 107.6 bn in 2023/4 then up to 110.6 bn in 2024/5 in this Autumn Statement - those numbers are in *current* money in each year. Inflation is therefore being allowed to eat away at public sector capital spending despite the 2021 review promising otherwise.

In transport (DfT, DLUHC etc) that means cost overruns and construction inflation outpacing CPI on current projects will cause some other proposals that we think are going ahead to be de-scoped, postponed and maybe cancelled.

Watch out for the detail of what is not happening.
HS2 is also exceeding its cash budget by nearly 1.5B this year and i would suggest language from Chancellor Hunt that departments need to keep a tight reign on costs means this will have to be covered by delaying spend on something else. Then as you say the budgets arent being full indexed linked so inflation will further educe what can be delivered with the budget.
 

nwales58

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I think it's been confirmed that the scarcely-started study on connecting to Leeds was dropped when HS2 phase 2 was dropped.
Most of the 200m unspent, I would guess was recycled by the Treasury into yet another announcement of more small schemes.

It's amazing how many announcements can be squeezed out of the limited investment available.

I wish more local groups would complain loudly at being 'promised' schemes that do not materialise so that politicians were more realistic about what they say.
 

WatcherZero

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Announcing £50k each for a hundred feasibility studies is a lot cheaper than actually building anything.
 
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