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East-West Rail (EWR): is it worth it?

daodao

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Bedford - Cambridge section of E-W is currently 'political musings'
Well put - it will be many years (if ever) before this line is ever built, judging by the procrastination over HS2 for which full approval has already been obtained as far as Crewe and construction works initiated. And all just to serve a minor university city in Fenland.
 
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Magdalia

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And all just to serve a minor university city in Fenland.
Cambridge is one of the top 10 university cities in the world.

The advent of the knowledge economy makes Cambridge a very attractive location for many high productivity businesses. And that's globally, not just in the UK.

Cambridge is being transformed and EWR is part of that.
 

Steve Harris

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Well put - it will be many years (if ever) before this line is ever built, judging by the procrastination over HS2 for which full approval has already been obtained as far as Crewe and construction works initiated. And all just to serve a minor university city in Fenland.
Ooops....Cambridge is not in Fenland, which is a district council in the North of Cambridgeshire which includes the towns of Wisbech and March.

And as others have already pointed out, Cambridge is not a minor university city either. (I take it you know how much land Cambridge University owns?)
 
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daodao

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Ooops....Cambridge is not in Fenland, which is a district council in the North of Cambridgeshire which includes the towns of Wisbech and March.
Apologies - I was using Fenland in a generic sense, and didn't realise there is a district council with this specific name elsewhere in Cambridgeshire.

And as others have already pointed out, Cambridge is not a minor university city either. (I take it you know how much land Cambridge University owns?)
Cambridge University is a major world-class university, but it is sited in a minor city, as are a number of other historic major universities in the UK and elsewhere, such as Uppsala or Yale (in the city of New Haven). The land owned by Cambridge University and its colleges is indeed sizeable, but this is irrelevant to the thread. The primary driver for passenger rail service development is population size per se and population density, and Cambridge is nowhere near the top of the league in this regard.
 

zwk500

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Cambridge University is a major world-class university, but it is sited in a minor city, as are a number of other historic major universities in the UK and elsewhere, such as Uppsala or Yale (in the city of New Haven). The land owned by Cambridge University and its colleges is indeed sizeable, but this is irrelevant to the thread. The primary driver for passenger rail service development is population size per se and population density, and Cambridge is nowhere near the top of the league in this regard.
Cambridge is a smaller city, but it's high-value economy means travel to it is more valuable per-capita than if it had the average income/cap. That economic slice is also a demographic and socio-economic segment that lends itself very strongly to commuting in from surrounding towns (especially given Cambridge's restrictions on new housing development in the historic centre), and then add to that the number of people looking to visit Cambridge for tourism, reunions, visiting university facilities/events, or visiting employers such as AstraZeneca.
 

Steve Harris

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Apologies - I was using Fenland in a generic sense, and didn't realise there is a district council with this specific name elsewhere in Cambridgeshire.


Cambridge University is a major world-class university, but it is sited in a minor city, as are a number of other historic major universities in the UK and elsewhere, such as Uppsala or Yale (in the city of New Haven). The land owned by Cambridge University and its colleges is indeed sizeable, but this is irrelevant to the thread. The primary driver for passenger rail service development is population size per se and population density, and Cambridge is nowhere near the top of the league in this regard.
Cambridge is a minor City !? That's the best laugh I have heard this year !

One of the drivers of EWR is to link the employment in Cambridge (in bio science, microchip design, to name 2 fields that Cambridge has excelled in the last 2 decades) to the town's of Cambourne, Bedford etc (which have residents that commute to Cambridge already by car). And the reason they commute is because Cambridge (and Oxford) have the highest house prices outside London. It also also one of the reasons that Cambourne was built (which was farmers fields 30 years ago) and more recently Northstowe (which was Oakington airfield). There is also currently housing development taking place (and more in the future) on land owned by Marshalls Airport (on the eastern side of the city). That seems a great deal of new housing for a 'minor city', as you call it.

And the reason that Cambridge has a lower population size/density compared to other major cities is because...1) it's encircled by the green belt (very difficult to gain planning permission to build on the green built, as planners see it as a no no) and 2) it really has only seen a rapid expansion since it became the home to some large microchip sector companies (eg. Arm holdings etc), as before the 1990's it was just bumbling along nicely and then came the fast (45 min) train service to London and then more and more businesses came to the city and the expansion started.
 
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Tobbes

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I've always wondered if Stephen Fry's line was totally unscripted. Atkinson looks so taken aback when he delivers it.
It was! And of course Atkinson was at Oxford and Fry at Cambridge.....
 

zwk500

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It was! And of course Atkinson was at Oxford and Fry at Cambridge.....
I knew Fry was cambridge, but I'd got it into my head Atkinson was as well, but that explains the reaction perfectly, thanks! (Mods, please forgive the tangent)
 

Bald Rick

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It was! And of course Atkinson was at Oxford and Fry at Cambridge.....

I didn’t know it was unscripted. It was an obvious joke (still v funny). In fact On the night it was first broadcast I vividly remember saying something like “Oxford is a sh**hole” before Stephen Fry delivered the punchline!
 

daodao

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One of the drivers of EWR is to link the employment in Cambridge (in bio science, microchip design, to name 2 fields that Cambridge has excelled in the last 2 decades) to the town's of Cambourne, Bedford etc (which have residents that commute to Cambridge already by car). And the reason they commute is because Cambridge (and Oxford) have the highest house prices outside London. It also also one of the reasons that Cambourne was built (which was farmers fields 30 years ago) and more recently Northstowe (which was Oakington airfield). There is also currently housing development taking place (and more in the future) on land owned by Marshalls Airport (on the eastern side of the city). That seems a great deal of new housing for a 'minor city', as you call it.
The only place that is to be served by the E-W line that is currently a commuter settlement for Cambridge is the new development at Cambourne; other villages en route west of Cambridge will not be served. There is nothing of significance currently at Tempsford and St.Neots will not have a station on the line. Bedford is over 30 miles away, a large town in its own right and too far for commuting for other than a small number of highly paid employees. Cambridge station itself is poorly sited for the city centre, although the new station at Cambridge South will serve Addenbrooke's Hospital and the associated biomedical campus. Cambridge North station will not be served directly, and will only be accessible via a change of train at the main station.

I really don't understand why E-W rail can be justified for commuting purposes and would question the suggested usage figures and the need/demand for 4 tph between Cambridge and Bedford. Are the existing bus services between Cambourne and Cambridge, including its main railway station and Addenbrooke's campus, not adequate? Given that EWR east of Bedford will be almost entirely a completely new line, with the massive costs this will entail compared to re-opening an existing disused line such as Bicester-Bletchley, what is the cost-benefit ratio for this new line? Has one recently been published in association with the proposed alignment for this line?
 

zwk500

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The only place that is to be served by the E-W line that is currently

I really don't understand why E-W rail can be justified for commuting purposes
It's not about now. Its about 10, 20, 30 years time. Tempsford and Cambourne will mushroom with a rail connection.
 

Magdalia

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Is there any map anywhere showing both proposed routes together, E-W rail and A428 Black Cat to Caxton Gibbet? (Incidentally a legal challenge to the latter has recently been defeated.)
Both go north of the existing A428 because of Croxton Park and Eltisley village.

But it would be useful to know if the new A428 and EWR diverge significantly between Little Barford (where the eisting A428 goes under the ECML) and Cambourne.

The alignment north of the existing A428 already has a high voltage pylon line marching across the landscape.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

There is nothing of significance currently at Tempsford
But once EWR goes ahead, the houses at Tempsford will be there. Given variations in lead times, probably before EWR is finished.

Bedford is over 30 miles away, a large town in its own right and too far for commuting for other than a small number of highly paid employees.
The EWR report also mentions commuting to Cambridge from Stewartby and Ridgmont, with journey times to/from Cambridge lass than 1 hour.

Cambridge station itself is poorly sited for the city centre
Irrelevant. The old City Centre is not where the jobs are. The high productivity jobs that were there have mostly migrated to be near the railway.

the new station at Cambridge South will serve Addenbrooke's Hospital and the associated biomedical campus
Exactly. Nearly 20000 jobs on site already, including 3 hospitals. Expected to grow to more than 30000 jobs and 5 hospitals.

what is the cost-benefit ratio for this new line? Has one recently been published in association with the proposed alignment for this line?
Cost-benefit can be useful for comparing different options under the same assumptions, and was used for that purpose in the previous consultation. But it is about as much use as a chocolate teapot for assessing the economic impact of a stategic project over a timescale of 50 years. Bear in mind how good the Bank of England and the OBR have been at economic forecasts recently to see why this is so.

The economic impact of a project like EWR is assessed differently, and is well set out in the report that was published on Friday. I suggest that you read it.
 
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daodao

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The economic impact of a project like EWR is assessed differently, and is well set out in the report that was published on Friday.
EWR Ltd (like HS2 Ltd) is a promoter of a new railway line, and will of course be promoting its economic rationale for building it. It is not the organisation that will be making the decision about whether or not it is built. Part of the justification for HS2 is the potential regeneration it could bring to more economically challenged areas of England. That figleaf does not apply to EWR, particularly with respect to the Cambridge area which is becoming overheated economically and where house prices are already exorbitant (and hotel prices too). I question whether it would be appropriate for taxpayers' money to be poured into one of the most prosperous parts of the UK, but that will be for a future government to decide after the next general election once the application for a Development Consent Order (DCO) is eventually submitted.
 

zwk500

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I question whether it would be appropriate for taxpayers' money to be poured into one of the most prosperous parts of the UK
Stimulating growth in an area close to topping out is an excellent way to increase government revenues to facilitate intervention in less prosperous areas. Especially when the growth that is stimulated is highly international in nature (as universities generally are, but especially Oxford and Cambridge), and so is a net gain for the UK rather than moving money from one part of the UK to the other.
Whether the government choose to make use of the benefits like this is another (political) choice.
 

Steve Harris

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Bedford is over 30 miles away, a large town in its own right and too far for commuting for other than a small number of highly paid employees.
I worked for a major employer in Cambridge 10 years ago and I knew of colleagues who commuted in from Ely, Bedford, Bury St Edmunds, Thetford, King's Lynn and Norwich !! And back then they were on circa 25k a year (so not low paid, but not highly paid either). 25k pretty much being average wages at the time. So I think, as in the case of your previous 'Fenland' comment, you have a lack of understanding about Cambridge, it's surrounding area, the labour and housing markets.
 

RT4038

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Bedford is over 30 miles away, a large town in its own right and too far for commuting for other than a small number of highly paid employees.
50 years ago, certainly. 30 years ago, possibly. Now, you clearly don't realise how far people routinely commute to middle income jobs in this area and the Midlands in general. (maybe elsewhere too?)
 

daodao

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50 years ago, certainly. 30 years ago, possibly. Now, you clearly don't realise how far people routinely commute to middle income jobs in this area and the Midlands in general. (maybe elsewhere too?)
Some may do, but in my experience it is not particularly common in the North Midlands or Cheshire for commutes to be more than 25 miles/1 hour each way. After a few years of enduring a longer commute, many people tend to relocate, find a job nearer their residence or leave work entirely. It is also not green to be building a new railway line to promote/encourage very long-distance commuting.
 

Steve Harris

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Some may do, but in my experience it is not particularly common in the North Midlands or Cheshire for commutes to be more than 25 miles/1 hour each way. After a few years of enduring a longer commute, many people tend to relocate, find a job nearer their residence or leave work entirely. It is also not green to be building a new railway line to promote/encourage very long-distance commuting.
But East - West Rail isn't planned for the North Midlands or Cheshire !! It is/will be in Oxfordshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire and Cambridgeshire a.k.a. the home counties !!

So, frankly, who commutes to where in Cheshire isn't really that relevant when discussing E-W R. (It's a bit like using a Scottish village as an example when discussing an issue in a Welsh city, lol).

As for not being green to encourage commuting by public transport compared to by car. You are joking aren't you ??
 

Bletchleyite

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But East - West Rail isn't planned for the North Midlands or Cheshire !! It is/will be in Oxfordshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire and Cambridgeshire a.k.a. the home counties !!

So, frankly, who commutes to where in Cheshire isn't really that relevant when discussing E-W R. (It's a bit like using a Scottish village as an example when discussing an issue in a Welsh city, lol).

As for not being green to encourage commuting by public transport compared to by car. You are joking aren't you ??

It isn't sensible to encourage additional long distance commuting. But this commuting is already happening by car. This is to transfer it to rail.
 

Redbus74

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50 years ago, certainly. 30 years ago, possibly. Now, you clearly don't realise how far people routinely commute to middle income jobs in this area and the Midlands in general. (maybe elsewhere too?)
Exactly gone are the days when everyone worked locally and in the town they live in or the nearest, I'm guessing the journey time from Bedford to Cambridge will be around 30 minutes?

Many people travel longer distances for work and have done for many, many years.
 
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Bletchleyite

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Exactly gone are the days when everyone worked locally and in the town you live in or the nearest, very outdated view. I'm guessing the journey time from Bedford to Cambridge will be around 30 minutes?

Many people travel longer distances for work and have done for many, many years.

Such as, er, from Cheshire to Manchester... :)
 

Steve Harris

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Exactly gone are the days when everyone worked locally and in the town you live in or the nearest, very outdated view. I'm guessing the journey time from Bedford to Cambridge will be around 30 minutes?

Many people travel longer distances for work and have done for many, many years.
On a good day about 35 mins, on a bad day about 1 hour or more by car. It all depends on time of day as between St Neots and Caxton Gibbet it is a 60mph road but at times your lucky to do 30mph (hence why the road is being upgraded). And EWR should be competitive also on a quicker journey time.
 

richieb1971

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I disagree; if the EWR lines were merged with the Slows north of Bedford, that has the potential for creating a real bottleneck on the approach to the station, especially during periods of disruption or engineering works. Adding an extra pair of tracks will allow for EWR services to keep running if all 4 tracks of the MML are blocked north of Bedford (esp. the Slows), and vice-versa.
The amount of traffic south of Bedford dwarfs the traffic north of Bedford. I still don't see why 15-20 workings currently north of Bedford create so much congestion when there are 200 workings south of Bedford with the same amount of tracks. When Thameslink started up we didn't need to build 4 more tracks for them, we just used the pre existing ones and ran alongside the inter city services and that goes on for 50 miles, not 1.5.
 

William3000

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But East - West Rail isn't planned for the North Midlands or Cheshire !! It is/will be in Oxfordshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire and Cambridgeshire a.k.a. the home counties !!

So, frankly, who commutes to where in Cheshire isn't really that relevant when discussing E-W R. (It's a bit like using a Scottish village as an example when discussing an issue in a Welsh city, lol).

As for not being green to encourage commuting by public transport compared to by car. You are joking aren't you ??
There is East-West connectivity further north albeit not fast. There is literally nothing east-west north of the North London line until one reaches Birmingham-Nuneaton-Leicester-Melton Mowbray-Peterborough-Ely-Norwich.

Cambridgeshire isn’t the Home Counties by any stretch.
 

Bletchleyite

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There is East-West connectivity further north albeit not fast. There is literally nothing east-west north of the North London line until one reaches Birmingham-Nuneaton-Leicester-Melton Mowbray-Peterborough-Ely-Norwich.

Cambridgeshire isn’t the Home Counties by any stretch.

It is in a practical sense when it comes to housing costs and therefore commuting.

Cambridge is odd in that sense, it may physically be in East Anglia but a combination of how costly it is to live there and its connections to the South East make it act like it's much closer to London than it actually is. Same with Oxford.
 
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