daodao
Established Member
The existence of this gypsum works is probably the key reason for retaining the S&C line as a through route for now, as there is no good alternative way to access these works other than by rail via the S&C line. However, as elsewhere, lines whose justification depends primarily or solely on freight traffic for a single commodity loaded at a single point are vulnerable to closure if (or more usually when) that traffic ceases. Through coal and other mineral traffic over the S&C line from Scotland has already disappeared.RTT shows that there are paths for a loaded freight train from Teeside to Newbiggin British Gypsum, via York, Castleford and Settle, on five days per week (Tu-Sa). It appears that occasionally a variant route via Durham and Hexham, reversing at Carlisle N.Y., is used instead. Even assuming that only three of those trains typically run, hundreds of HGV movements every week to/from the works would be needed to transfer the flow to road. These would all have to use the minor road through the centre of Kirkby Thore village to access the works from the A66.
And there is a national shortage of HGV drivers.
I question the expectation of increased pressure on the route over Shap post HS2 opening. Scrapping the Golborne link for HS2 means that the future use of HS2 for trains from London to Edinburgh offers little advantage over running these services via the ECML. Scottish independence if it occurs may diminish passenger travel across what would become a hard EU border (like the Channel Tunnel). There may therefore not be increased passenger traffic along the WCML between Preston and Carlisle when HS2 opens as far as Crewe.And as I have repeatedly noted, it is expected to get more use post HS2.