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Russia invades Ukraine

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Trackman

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From news.sky.com:

Russia will cease fire in Ukraine on Orthodox Christmas - Kremlin​

Russian President Vladimir Putin has instructed the Russian Defence Minister to cease fire in Ukraine over Orthodox Christmas, the Kremlin said today.
The Russian military will observe a 36-hour cease-fire in Ukraine from noon on 6 January to midnight on 7 January.
Many Orthodox Christians, including those living in Russia and Ukraine, celebrate Christmas on 6 to 7 January.
An official statement from the Kremlin posted on the Telegram app read: "Instructions of the President of the Russian Federation to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation
"Taking into account the appeal of His Holiness Patriarch Kirill, I instruct the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation to introduce from 12:00 January 6, 2023 until 24:00 January 7, 2023, a ceasefire along the entire line of contact between the parties in Ukraine.
"Based on the fact that a large number of citizens professing Orthodoxy live in the combat areas, we call on the Ukrainian side to declare a ceasefire and give them the opportunity to attend services on Christmas Eve, as well as on the Day of the Nativity of Christ."
 

ainsworth74

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Hmm, must have run out of cruise missiles and drones and be waiting for the next shipments to arrive on Sunday.
 

gingerheid

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I'm sure they will be, though this one might be more likely to stick than usual as it's a chance to project the R*ssian version of the date of Christmas.
 

brad465

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We look set to send Challenger 2 Tanks to Ukraine (believed to be a dozen's worth), with a hope other allies will send tanks of their own:


The UK is to send Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine to bolster the country's war effort, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has said.
He spoke to Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky in a call on Saturday, during which he confirmed he would send the equipment and additional artillery systems, No 10 said.
Downing Street said the move shows "the UK's ambition to intensify support."
The BBC understands the initial commitment is for about a dozen tanks.
President Zelensky has thanked the UK, saying that the decision to send the tanks "will not only strengthen us on the battlefield, but also send the right signal to other partners".
He said the UK's support was "always strong" and was "now impenetrable".
No 10 said that during the call, Mr Sunak and Mr Zelensky also discussed also recent Ukrainian victories, as well as the "need to seize on this moment with an acceleration of global military and diplomatic support".
The announcement comes as a series of missile attacks were reported at various locations across Ukraine - including Kharkiv and Lviv regions in the country's east and west.
Five people are known to have died and at least 15 others were rescued from rubble after a nine-storey block of flats in Dnipro was damaged by one strike.
Mr Sunak said the Challengers, the British Army's main battle tank, would help Kyiv's forces "push Russian troops back".
Built in the late 1990s, the Challenger tank is more than 20 years old, but it will be the most modern tank at Ukraine's disposal. The tanks will provide Ukraine with better protection, and more accurate firepower.
While the donation alone is not considered a game-changer, it is hoped that the UK's move will inspire other countries to donate more modern equipment to help Ukraine.

As it stands, Poland has plans to send 14 of its German-made Leopard tanks.
But the tanks, which are in greater supply and used by a number of European armies, need approval from Germany to be exported to Ukraine.
Ukraine also has hopes that the US will supply some of its Abrams tanks, which use the same ammunition as the Leopard.
Earlier this month, Germany and the US agreed to join France in sending armoured fighting vehicles to Ukraine - a move seen as a significant boost to its military's capability on the battlefield.
Shadow defence secretary John Healey said the government had "Labour's fullest backing" for the decision to send the Challengers.
He said: "Modern tanks are crucial to Ukraine's efforts to win its battle against Russian aggression."
Responding to the news of the Challenger tanks, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said: "As we've said previously, weapons supplies are legitimate targets for Russian strikes."

If all key allies follow suit, this would prove that military support for Ukraine is far from being in danger of subsiding.
 

yorksrob

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We look set to send Challenger 2 Tanks to Ukraine (believed to be a dozen's worth), with a hope other allies will send tanks of their own:




If all key allies follow suit, this would prove that military support for Ukraine is far from being in danger of subsiding.

A good move by the PM, fair play to him.

Hopefully our allies will follow.
 

edwin_m

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A good move by the PM, fair play to him.

Hopefully our allies will follow.
Probably symbolic more than anything if it's only a dozen. Apparently it uses different ammunition from everything else, so a separate supply chain will be needed for a very small number of vehicles. The Leopard is used by several countries who are likely to be willing to donate, so could build up a substantial force if Germany gives permission for their products to be re-exported.
 

yorksrob

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Probably symbolic more than anything if it's only a dozen. Apparently it uses different ammunition from everything else, so a separate supply chain will be needed for a very small number of vehicles. The Leopard is used by several countries who are likely to be willing to donate, so could build up a substantial force if Germany gives permission for their products to be re-exported.

Yes, I saw that too about the ammunition.

Nevertheless, if it spurs other allies on, all the better.
 

JamesT

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Yes, I saw that too about the ammunition.

Nevertheless, if it spurs other allies on, all the better.
Though the British Army’s future plans for Challenger 3 involve upgrading to a smoothbore gun like other NATO countries so our stocks of ammunition will become obsolete anyway. Might as well let the Ukrainians use it in anger?
 

yorksrob

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Though the British Army’s future plans for Challenger 3 involve upgrading to a smoothbore gun like other NATO countries so our stocks of ammunition will become obsolete anyway. Might as well let the Ukrainians use it in anger?

If it can be of use in defence of the West and our allies, let it be of use.

Hopefully we will be providing Ukraine with the more modern weaponry in good time anyway.
 

Killingworth

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Probably symbolic more than anything if it's only a dozen. Apparently it uses different ammunition from everything else, so a separate supply chain will be needed for a very small number of vehicles. The Leopard is used by several countries who are likely to be willing to donate, so could build up a substantial force if Germany gives permission for their products to be re-exported.
They need spares and servicing expertise too. It takes time to train how to both operate and keep new tanks reliable - although they are no longer new they'll be new to operators in Ukraine. If thrown into battle without it the Russians would enjoy picking them off for propaganda purposes. Possibly training may already be under way on Salisbury Plain and elsewhere.
 

Killingworth

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If it's been announced today then training will have started some weeks/months ago.

If rhe move is to be most effective I'd certainly hope so but the Sky News report says "the UK will begin training".

In any case 14 tanks arent enough. The more numerous German made Leopards are what are needed most. Trouble is the numbers of tanks supposedly held by all nations is not the number that are serviceable and immediately deployable by crews fully trained in their effective use. The Russians may have demonstrated that.
 

edwin_m

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Though the British Army’s future plans for Challenger 3 involve upgrading to a smoothbore gun like other NATO countries so our stocks of ammunition will become obsolete anyway. Might as well let the Ukrainians use it in anger?
If it's only "plans" then, going by other defence projects, it's years if not decades away. We need to keep enough ammo on hand, plus facilities to manufacture more, to cover any contingencies that might arise in the meantime.

Much of what the USA has donated, including HIMARS and now Bradleys, looks to be stuff they are in the course of replacing or just bought more of than they need.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

They need spares and servicing expertise too. It takes time to train how to both operate and keep new tanks reliable - although they are no longer new they'll be new to operators in Ukraine. If thrown into battle without it the Russians would enjoy picking them off for propaganda purposes. Possibly training may already be under way on Salisbury Plain and elsewhere.
Indeed, the supply chain needs to include maintenance too. Although if that doesn't happen the more likely consequence is more likely that they will disappear from the front and end up as useless hulks somewhere behind the line.
 

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I think our donation of Challenger 2s is largely intended to unblock the supply of other more numerous MBTs (which will probably be Leopard 2s as already mentioned). Basically, someone has to be the first to up the ante.

The Challenger 2 will be the best tank on the battlefield without doubt, but it’s not really what Ukraine needs (especially in such small numbers). It uses a unique rifled gun, and is extremely big and heavy; it literally dwarfs a T-72. On a positive note, the gun is very accurate and can fire rounds which are particularly devastating against “soft” targets such as dug-in troops and AFVs. The Challenger 2 is also extremely difficult to kill (and has been well tested over the years). I believe the only kill against one to date was a blue on blue by another Challenger 2, and even that involved some particularly bad luck (the commanders hatch was open at the time).
 
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Annetts key

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Even if there are supply chain difficulties for the Challenger 2, they can still be used by Ukraine to free up other tanks from defending part of the border with Belarus.

And regardless, the U.K. publicly announcing this both sends a clear message to Putin and to the other countries that claim to support Ukraine. So hopefully this will persuade those countries with Leopard 2 MBTs to provide a good number to Ukraine and for Germany to allow this.
 

brad465

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Switzerland seems to be blocking some hardware from Spain from being donated.
Someone needs to stand up to Switzerland and their "neutral" status and tell them this quote from the late Desmond Tutu:

"If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor."
 

yorksrob

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Switzerland seems to be blocking some hardware from Spain from being donated.

They're not part of NATO, so I don't see how they can block Spain from donating anything - unless said hardware is on their territory for some reason.
 

Killingworth

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Guardian piece today says "German battle tanks for Ukraine ‘won’t be ready until 2024" See; https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/15/german-battle-tanks-for-ukraine-wont-be-ready-until-2024

This rather backs up my fear that the western allies may have tanks in apparent quantity (although nothing like as many as Russia) but a large proportion are not immediately available for active service. Many are stored away awaiting spare parts, often cannibalised from other tanks meaning some will never be deployable.

Wasn't that an issue we discovered at the outset of the last Gulf War?
 

Darandio

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Any details available?

This I imagine, seems they are Swiss manufactured.


Switzerland has stuck firmly to the line that its neutrality would be damaged by allowing other countries to send Swiss-produced weapons and ammunition to Ukraine.

The Swiss government has resisted pressure from Germany to sanction the re-export of ammunition to supply anti-aircraft vehicles already in Ukraine.

It now appears likely that Spain is bringing similar pressure to bear on Switzerland.

“We understand, respect and accept neutrality, but we need authorisation from Switzerland for this type of material, which is not being given at the moment,” Roble is reported to have told a meeting of Spanish ambassadors this week.

According to the Europapress newspaper, Robles has asked the Spanish ambassador to Switzerland to take up the case with Bern.

The amount of war materiel involved is not made clear and it is also unknown precisely what type of military equipment Spain wants to send to Ukraine.
 

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