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What is the likely size of the GWR future local / regional fleet

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irish_rail

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I have to disagree from a passenger perspective, in my experience the 745 and 755 stadler units are excellent, specifically when compared with what they replaced on the rural routes!

It's a nice environment, with a good layout, level boarding, better than expected seats, way more passenger space than before, bike provision, and the option to change away from diesel engines in the future. What more could you possibly want?

the NS stadler units are decent too, a slight improvement over the SLT sprinter units

Of course the final product will depend heavily on the specification selected, but I would be very happy with stadlers at GWR, and hope they come up with a sensible spec
Am I right in thinking the sradler stuff is heavy on standing room. If so, not particularly relevant to the Western, where generally the journies are a bit longer and standing isn't really a thing most of the time. We need trains with lots of seats, not lots of space for standing.
 
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Pete_uk

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*prays for 20m 3 and 5 carriage gangwayed bi modes*

I do think, some Flirt style units would be great. A whole fleet of 3 and 4 carriage bi modes replacing everything.
 

Trainbike46

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Am I right in thinking the sradler stuff is heavy on standing room. If so, not particularly relevant to the Western, where generally the journies are a bit longer and standing isn't really a thing most of the time. We need trains with lots of seats, not lots of space for standing.
The amount of standing room available will depend on the specification set by the TOC.

The 745 and 755 are not intended to have a lot of standing room, as their role is on IC services (745) and on branch lines (755), where standing isn't ideal, and not usually necessary. they have a 2+2 layout to make a more comfortable travel environment.

The NS FLIRTS in the Netherlands, on the other hand, are relatively high on standing space (though not class 700 levels!), because they are intended for relatively short-distance commuter services, where standing is common and expected.

Stadler does in fact produce units with 2+3 seating setup, if GWR desired it, but personally I would hope they stick with 2+2 for the regional fleet.
 

heathrowrail

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I think for me the best option would be bi mode CAF Class 196/197s in a range of 2/3/4 and possibly 5 car configurations for Portsmouth/Cardiff. Having read though I'd say an order of 80 to 100 will be needed so that Bedwyn - Paddington directs can return, also replacing the never used 769s. It depends if the leases are cheap enough GWR might even push a business case to replace the entire 387 fleet for a single regional fleet. If an order is placed you can expect the 150/158/165/166s all to be replaced as any deliveries won't be until 2027/2028.
 

jackot

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I think for me the best option would be bi mode CAF Class 196/197s in a range of 2/3/4 and possibly 5 car configurations for Portsmouth/Cardiff. Having read though I'd say an order of 80 to 100 will be needed so that Bedwyn - Paddington directs can return, also replacing the never used 769s. It depends if the leases are cheap enough GWR might even push a business case to replace the entire 387 fleet for a single regional fleet. If an order is placed you can expect the 150/158/165/166s all to be replaced as any deliveries won't be until 2027/2028.
I really think it would be a great opportunity for low-floored units to be rolled out (think FLIRTs), rather than CAFs. However, we will have to wait and see who they choose to manufacture the units, as FLIRTs would likely be a more costly option when compared to CAF units (and likely the same would go for Bi-Mode Hitachis).

As far as replacing the 387s, unless there was a subfleet of pure EMUs among the order it would make minimal sense in my view, as the extra weight of powerpacks or batteries would make them more inefficient than the 387s, likely negating the advantages a completely homogeneous regional fleet would bring.

I would think that when the new units begin to arrive they would take the 150s out of service first as they are the oldest, and then begin to phase out the oldest/least reliable turbos and 158s.
 

JonathanH

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Some of this has moved on now though since the initial post, although a question arises about whether growth in the next few years will actually happen.

The slack in the 80x fleet is being displaced to the Cardiff to Penzance route. A question arises as to whether passenger growth could eventually allow this to be hourly throughout while still allowing CrossCountry to get to Plymouth or just Exeter.

The 80x fleet could end up needed elsewhere on the GWR network by 2030 but the longer distance peak time business lost into London that originally justified the fleet size is going to be difficult to restore.

769s are no more but hopes still exist that more capacity will be needed around Bristol. It seems to make sense that this capacity might be provided by displaced units from elsewhere in the first instance around 2025.

A question arises about whether the LTV services will ever justify the frequencies planned when 19 769s were to replace 16 3-car 165s.

It will need to become clear whether Cardiff to Portsmouth justifies a well laden 3-car unit or something longer throughout the day.

I would think that when the new units begin to arrive they would take the 150s out of service first as they are the oldest, and then begin to phase out the oldest/least reliable turbos and 158s.
150s are obviously oldest but they also operate on what would appear to be routes with lower income than the rest of the network and some of the more difficult issues - eg the short platform at Looe and tight curve at Calstock. At one point battery units based on 20m class 465 driving cars were being talked about. A big step to get to new build units from that point.
 

pokemonsuper9

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What units would fit on the Looe platform, I can't figure out the lengths for sure but a quick measure on google maps has about 45m, could trains theoretically leave the front door locked if it hangs over?
Also I don't really know those tight curves well enough to know what other existing units would be capable.
In theory there's nothing stopping the issues being beaten but whatever's evaluated at a better value would probably be more favourable.
 

Brubulus

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I can see GWR getting the Welsh class 158s for the retirement of the 150s and some increase in regional capacity. The 175s go to Northern so they can retire the 155s and less reliable 150s. GWR lose the 387s as they go to SE along with GN's 387s(replaced with 379s) but GWR get 350/2s. SE also get any stock SWR can spare (southern can't spare anything) but are forced to scrap the networkers early.
 

Brubulus

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In this are you:
Talking about the class as a whole
or talking about specific units that are less reliable?
Specific units, obviously the 175s couldn't replace all of northern's 150 fleet but they could replace the prototypes and the ones with higher maintainance costs.
 

JonathanH

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I can see GWR getting the Welsh class 158s for the retirement of the 150s and some increase in regional capacity.
People always fall into a trap with the 150s. There is nothing more suitable for the Cornish branches than 150s. They can't be replaced by 158s on all their workings, and I think it has been pointed out before that more traincrew know 150s than 158s in the west - eg Exeter, Plymouth and Penzance HSS drive 150s but not 158s. Avoiding the cost of training crew saves money.

Also, some more stock might be needed in the Bristol area around the time the TfW 158s become available.

An interesting question as to whether the GWR 'local' fleet will still be the same size in 2028 though, or at the point it is replaced.
 

150249

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Specific units, obviously the 175s couldn't replace all of northern's 150 fleet but they could replace the prototypes and the ones with higher maintainance costs.
The 150/1s will go first I would've thought.

(when 150249 goes, it better go into preservation :()
 

pokemonsuper9

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The 150/1s will go first I would've thought.
TfW has 11 2 car 175/0s and 16 3 car 175/1s (70 cars)
Northern have 46 150/1s (92 cars)
So at least a decent amount of the 150/1s could go, also EMR 156s moving to Northern free up more carriages, but I wouldn't say no to keeping more 150/1s and running more services.

Any reason in particular the 150/1s? Are they more expensive to maintain (I would've thought the /2s with extra doors)?
 

150249

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TfW has 11 2 car 175/0s and 16 3 car 175/1s (70 cars)
Northern have 46 150/1s (92 cars)
So at least a decent amount of the 150/1s could go, also EMR 156s moving to Northern free up more carriages, but I wouldn't say no to keeping more 150/1s and running more services.

Any reason in particular the 150/1s? Are they more expensive to maintain (I would've thought the /2s with extra doors)?
Always been in worse condition and they are generally less convenient with no gangway.
 

pokemonsuper9

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Always been in worse condition and they are generally less convenient with no gangway.
As someone who knows where's quiet the /1s are more convenient with no gangway, I get a quiet(er) half of the train while the front 2 cars are often standing space only. But yeah for other people it's not as nice.

I've never noticed them in worse condition but I wouldn't know what things are close to breaking until they break.
 

Brubulus

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People always fall into a trap with the 150s. There is nothing more suitable for the Cornish branches than 150s. They can't be replaced by 158s on all their workings, and I think it has been pointed out before that more traincrew know 150s than 158s in the west. Avoiding the cost of training crew saves money.

Also, some more stock might be needed in the Bristol area around the time the TfW 158s become available.

An interesting question as to whether the GWR 'local' fleet will still be the same size in 2028 though, or at the point it is replaced.
Are the 150s going to be able to keep going into the late 2020s/early 2030s?

There most likely aren't going to be any rolling stock orders until at least 2025, probably later and the 150s aren't likely to survive till then. If they hold up a lot better than I think and there's a need for more stock on the rest of the network, the 150s could stay and the Bristol area could have the 158s.
 

Anonymous10

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I can see GWR getting the Welsh class 158s for the retirement of the 150s and some increase in regional capacity. The 175s go to Northern so they can retire the 155s and less reliable 150s. GWR lose the 387s as they go to SE along with GN's 387s(replaced with 379s) but GWR get 350/2s. SE also get any stock SWR can spare (southern can't spare anything) but are forced to scrap the networkers early.
One issue the tfw fleet have had their lease extended they'd have 150s spare sooner or 175s
 

Energy

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It depends if the leases are cheap enough GWR might even push a business case to replace the entire 387 fleet for a single regional fleet
Depends if other electrostar operators are interested in additional stock.
People always fall into a trap with the 150s. There is nothing more suitable for the Cornish branches than 150s. They can't be replaced by 158s on all their workings, and I think it has been pointed out before that more traincrew know 150s than 158s in the west - eg Exeter, Plymouth and Penzance HSS drive 150s but not 158s. Avoiding the cost of training crew saves money.
150s have better door positions, the 158s can loose time when they are put on some services (St Ives iirc struggles). The interior on them is alright, wonder what they are like underneath.
Also, some more stock might be needed in the Bristol area around the time the TfW 158s become available.

An interesting question as to whether the GWR 'local' fleet will still be the same size in 2028 though, or at the point it is replaced.
GWR is meant to be doing quite well in the summer, I'd expect the fleet to expand.
Am I right in thinking the sradler stuff is heavy on standing room. If so, not particularly relevant to the Western, where generally the journies are a bit longer and standing isn't really a thing most of the time. We need trains with lots of seats, not lots of space for standing.
Stadler will make the interior however you want but will struggle on high capacity interiors due to the shorter vehicles. Hitachi seems likely if they can share spare parts between AT200s and AT300s.
 

pokemonsuper9

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150s have better door positions, the 158s can loose time when they are put on some services (St Ives iirc struggles). The interior on them is alright, wonder what they are like underneath.
Why were 158 doors put at the ends either way,
150 door positions feel so much better because they are both wider and cover more area (e.g. a passenger in the middle of a carriage has to walk less distance to reach doors)
 

Energy

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Why were 158 doors put at the ends either way,
They are really for regional express use, which lines like St Ives aren't.
150 door positions feel so much better because they are both wider and cover more area (e.g. a passenger in the middle of a carriage has to walk less distance to reach doors)
Agreed, though the 158s have a nicer interior overall.
 

Brubulus

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150s have better door positions, the 158s can loose time when they are put on some services (St Ives iirc struggles). The interior on them is alright, wonder what they are like underneath.

GWR is meant to be doing quite well in the summer, I'd expect the fleet to expand.

Stadler will make the interior however you want but will struggle on high capacity interiors due to the shorter vehicles. Hitachi seems likely if they can share spare parts between AT200s and AT300s.
Really, the 2 coach 165s should be put on the Cornish branches, with 3 coach 165s and 166s split between the Thames Valley and Bristol suburban/middle distance services with 4 coach 158s on the interregional routes. I would be surprised if GWR were allowed to make any new train orders for the next few years and if they do, it'll almost certainly be for CAF DMUs or battery bimodes given that CAF are usually cheap. The only order I can see Hitachi getting from GWR are extra coaches for 5 car IETs.
 

jackot

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Why were 158 doors put at the ends either way,
Because 158s were designed for longer routes (think Cardiff to Portsmouth), and having doors at ends can be seen as better for longer journeys with less stops, as it often means a quieter environment and results in less heat (or cool air when the a/c is running) being lost during door cycles. Factors like the time taken to get to the door are less important on the routes the 158 were intended to operate. The double doors may look narrow but are not much narrow compared to single doors on the IETs or 444s.

I'm still split between which configuration would be best for a new GWR fleet; I really think a mix of configurations would work best considering the fleet will likely already be split between units fit for metro, local and regional routes.
 

43096

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Why were 158 doors put at the ends either way,
Because when introduced the aim was for the longer-distance Regional Railways routes to have a DMU that had something of the feeling of an InterCity train rather than a suburban train.
 

JonathanH

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I'm still split between which configuration would be best for a new GWR fleet; I really think a mix of configurations would work best considering the fleet will likely already be split between units fit for metro, local and regional routes.
That is clearly right. It is no accident that the 150, 158 and 16x fleets have different configurations and there isn't just one type of unit at the moment.

However, the question then arises about where, on the 158-166 spectrum any replacement unit for Cardiff to Portsmouth sits. Probably nearer to a 166 than a 158 because of the passenger churn.
 

pokemonsuper9

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I can see GWR getting the Welsh class 158s for the retirement of the 150s and some increase in regional capacity. The 175s go to Northern so they can retire the 155s and less reliable 150s. GWR lose the 387s as they go to SE along with GN's 387s(replaced with 379s) but GWR get 350/2s. SE also get any stock SWR can spare (southern can't spare anything) but are forced to scrap the networkers early.
could 175s on Northern be hindered by training or are they efficient enough to justify the cost for training.
I'm still split between which configuration would be best for a new GWR fleet; I really think a mix of configurations would work best considering the fleet will likely already be split between units fit for metro, local and regional routes.
In theory FLIRTs could fit multiple door sets, the 1 per car of the GA ones to fit the kind of scenario the 158s doors were made for, and the 2 per side ones that some 756 cars have on the metro/local routes?
CAF also have carriage end doors (like 158s) on their 397s, and the other Civities have the middle doors.
Both of them could make a mix of them so whichever they go for is anybody's guess.
There's also Hitachi for fleet similarity with IETs
 

geoffk

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For the last couple, of days the Exmouth - Paignton service has been 3-car 166 or 2-car 150, no 4-cars to be seen. Is this just down to units out of service? It's fortunate that the college students are not travelling.
 

Brubulus

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That is clearly right. It is no accident that the 150, 158 and 16x fleets have different configurations and there isn't just one type of unit at the moment.

However, the question then arises about where, on the 158-166 spectrum any replacement unit for Cardiff to Portsmouth sits. Probably nearer to a 166 than a 158 because of the passenger churn.
I would say a 158 as it is over a 3 hour journey end to end. The 166s were designed as London commuter trains and they aren't great on long distance regional operations while this is the sort of thing the 158s were designed for. They've also got quite a long dwell at Bristol anyway.
One issue the tfw fleet have had their lease extended they'd have 150s spare sooner or 175s
I believe it's only a 2 year extension but they'll go once the etcs 197s enter service.
 
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