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Liz Truss and the Conservative Party.

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yorksrob

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Hasn't he pretty much done this? The two income tax cuts have gone and the energy bill support is still retained this winter. The windfall tax on the oil and gas producers is still going ahead plus limits on the profits of the renewable generators.
Corporation tax wasn't being cut, it was a planned rise that Kwasi cancelled. So the rise is back on. Small businesses will continue to pay the current rate.

I was under the impression that there wasn't a plan to extend the windfall tax under the first mini-budget, hence a reliance on borrowing for the bill relief.
 
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Busaholic

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The 'One Nation' group of Tory MPs meet on Mondays at 5 p.m Their 'guest' tonight is Liz Truss, anathema to most of them I would feel. Wonder whether she's turned up? I think she'll be out by Wednesday's PMQs.
 

JamesT

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I was under the impression that there wasn't a plan to extend the windfall tax under the first mini-budget, hence a reliance on borrowing for the bill relief.
The extension being called for was the Opposition wanted more than 65% of profits to be taxed. The current sunset clause on the windfall tax act is December 2025, unless the government actively does something to change it.
 

davetheguard

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The 'One Nation' group of Tory MPs meet on Mondays at 5 p.m

To be honest, I'd hadn't realised there was any of them left as MPs in the party, it has gone so far to the right of its traditional position. The likes of Rory Stewart were all expelled, weren't they?
 

SynthD

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I thought Kwarteng's budget was adding a lot to the national debt, no different to Hunt's in that regard. The local bankers were so down on it too.

The remaining parts of Kwarteng's budget are the rise in stamp duty bands and the cancellation of the NI rise. But it seems Hunt is unwilling or unpermitted to consider a windfall tax.

Namechecking Wef (world economic forum) strongly reminds me of the conspiracy-Twitter hashtag wefpuppet. I don’t know of any other politics conversation it’s mentioned in.

Austerity seemed like an inevitable conclusion of the events around the time of the uncosted fiscal event, let alone the estimated costs or the market response to the cavalier attitude in the event. I think it’s safe to assume that the Tories can’t get a PM or chancellor who can do different, they are wedded to austerity and difficulty for the majority.
 

Yew

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I always maintained the next election would be a good one for any government to lose.


We've been here before though. Whether you like it or not, the Tory party will survive. Just recall a few years ago Labour were apparently dead in the water. Now they are steaming ahead in the polls.

Come to think of it...have we got to the state where Britain, with so many cultures, expectations, mindsets etc is effectively becoming ungovernable? I guess on paper the solution to that is a centrist party or PR?
How can you govern a country with 256 varieties of cheese?
 

MikeWM

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Namechecking Wef (world economic forum) strongly reminds me of the conspiracy-Twitter hashtag wefpuppet. I don’t know of any other politics conversation it’s mentioned in.

They certainly exist, they have some very scary ideas, and they certainly appear to *think* that they have a lot of influence over most of the governments of the world (eg. via their 'young leaders' program, which they claim many of the senior members of the Cabinet, along with the leaders of many other countries, have taken part in).

'The Great Reset' for example isn't really *much* of a conspiracy theory as the guy who runs the WEF wrote a book about it. You can buy it on Amazon.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/COVID-19-Great-Reset-Klaus-Schwab/dp/2940631123

The degree of such influence is really the only matter under debate, and I guess determines how much of a 'conspiracy theorist' you are in this matter. Quite possibly they may well be a bunch of total fantasists that think they have a lot more influence than they actually have. Though the governments and the financial institutions of the world appear to deem them serious enough to regularly attend their meetings in Davos - then again, maybe they just want a holiday and that's a good excuse :)
 

brad465

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The 'One Nation' group of Tory MPs meet on Mondays at 5 p.m Their 'guest' tonight is Liz Truss, anathema to most of them I would feel. Wonder whether she's turned up? I think she'll be out by Wednesday's PMQs.
If I was her I'd go before then, or else she could have to make 649 complaints of bullying/harassment.
 

Yew

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There isn't an underground lair where evil finance people meet to control the world. The market users are a herd. A stampede. it isn't under control. They don't meet to decide on action, it simply happens and people follow ( or don't) If enough follow the rest jump as they cant be left exposed. it is all built on confidence. Truss destroyed that confidence in about 20 seconds with her crack pot financial plan.

Don't get me wrong I have no love for these people ( I think they are contemptible people paid a fortune for nowt frankly) but there isn't a George Soros run cabal organising things. it just doesn't work like that.
I don't think that anyone was speculating that there was? But equally there are a number of very wealthy people who have made a lot of money through our country undervaluing and selling off its assets, or would lose a lot from a move away from the neoliberal consensus.
 

kristiang85

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Why the hell did Truss send out Mourdant to answer the urgent question? Her premiership is on a thread, and surely there was no appointment too important not to delay to be able to attend the questions. And to have one of the rumoured rivals standing in for her too...

To me it says she is clearly not in charge, and there will be manoevures at the top of the party over the coming week.
 

JamesT

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I thought Kwarteng's budget was adding a lot to the national debt, no different to Hunt's in that regard. The local bankers were so down on it too.

The remaining parts of Kwarteng's budget are the rise in stamp duty bands and the cancellation of the NI rise. But it seems Hunt is unwilling or unpermitted to consider a windfall tax.

Namechecking Wef (world economic forum) strongly reminds me of the conspiracy-Twitter hashtag wefpuppet. I don’t know of any other politics conversation it’s mentioned in.

Austerity seemed like an inevitable conclusion of the events around the time of the uncosted fiscal event, let alone the estimated costs or the market response to the cavalier attitude in the event. I think it’s safe to assume that the Tories can’t get a PM or chancellor who can do different, they are wedded to austerity and difficulty for the majority.
Kwarteng's budget was forecast to add £72bn to borrowing. The whole point of Hunt's is he's reversed most of the tax cuts/reimposed the cancelled tax rises.

Though the view on government borrowing isn't especially consistent, the Germans announced an energy support package that will involve €200bn of extra borrowing and the markets don't seem to have responded in the same way. Not to mention the borrowing we've been doing for the last couple of years for Covid support.

I also don't get this idea we're not doing a windfall tax. We are, it's been in place since May. They even announced an additional one to cover the electricity generators who have been making excessive profits. There are also a lot of people making claims about the excess profits of the oil and gas producers who are looking at worldwide operations. I think we'd be told where to go if we tried to tax stuff in other countries.

When you say they're wedded to austerity, what would you suggest as an alternative path? The markets are clearly opposed to excessive borrowing so it's either cutting spending or raising taxes. Taxation is a proportion of GDP is the highest it's been in 50 years, is there really the appetite to raise them further?
 

GS250

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I don't think that anyone was speculating that there was? But equally there are a number of very wealthy people who have made a lot of money through our country undervaluing and selling off its assets, or would lose a lot from a move away from the neoliberal consensus.
Money= power

Given the current state of the affairs you do wonder how many Brits would vote for a Corbyn style government if offered?

It seems we've either got the choice of three neoliberal parties in England. Or of course added to this two fairly left of centre parties in Scotland and Wales.
 

DarloRich

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I guess in the UK it's a good way to distract from the Tories being run from Tufton Street.
there is your actual conspiracy!

under your setup it is all about 'confidence' rather than any underlying economic principles.
confidence is an economic principle. If people don't trust you they wont lend you money!

as I said before we saw it first with Corbyn
Corbyn and his army of cranks should not have been anywhere near the leadership of the labour party. They all need throwing out back into the SWP where they belong.

And for example the 2008 crash was a result of 'confidence' in things that didn't deserve confidence.
I think you would be closer to conspiracy with that!

Global centralisation is happening whether we like it or not. Call centres, voluntary movement of people, huge cross nation investments taking place. Good or bad is open to interpretation. I think its natural that eventually you will end up with a few controlling a hell of a lot.
I don't get your point - it just seems like a vague rant about globalisation. The fact NPower or someone open a call centre in India is hardly the work of a shadowy financial elite. It is simply profit driven! It is a decision i would make and i am not part of the special secret finance club!

As for "huge cross nation investment taking place": How do you think this country got rich?

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Given the current state of the affairs you do wonder how many Brits would vote for a Corbyn style government if offered?
very few. They didn't last time they had a chance............................
 
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Yew

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Kwarteng's budget was forecast to add £72bn to borrowing. The whole point of Hunt's is he's reversed most of the tax cuts/reimposed the cancelled tax rises.

Though the view on government borrowing isn't especially consistent, the Germans announced an energy support package that will involve €200bn of extra borrowing and the markets don't seem to have responded in the same way. Not to mention the borrowing we've been doing for the last couple of years for Covid support.

I also don't get this idea we're not doing a windfall tax. We are, it's been in place since May. They even announced an additional one to cover the electricity generators who have been making excessive profits. There are also a lot of people making claims about the excess profits of the oil and gas producers who are looking at worldwide operations. I think we'd be told where to go if we tried to tax stuff in other countries.

When you say they're wedded to austerity, what would you suggest as an alternative path? The markets are clearly opposed to excessive borrowing so it's either cutting spending or raising taxes. Taxation is a proportion of GDP is the highest it's been in 50 years, is there really the appetite to raise them further?
Investment. Regions that used to have lots of skilled, well paid jobs are now struggling. The mines, mills, and factories have closed, and the lack of support to redevelop these areas was criminal. We are reaping the sour fruit of the lazzeiz-faire attitude of the 1980's neoliberal consensus has lead to this; the market has provided low skilled jobs with little options for technical progression. We've taken short-sighted decisions that have often not delivered the savings that they promised, and have hobbled British industries at key moments.


It is all fine and good to follow the trade winds if they are going towards our destination, but if their course diverges from where we want to go, it's time to take a hand to the tiller, and reset the sails; maybe that way we avoid being dashed on the rocks.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Money= power

Given the current state of the affairs you do wonder how many Brits would vote for a Corbyn style government if offered?

It seems we've either got the choice of three neoliberal parties in England. Or of course added to this two fairly left of centre parties in Scotland and Wales.
I wold be interested to see how a younger, economically left wing, and less willing to give easy points leader would do. Perhaps even an Andy Turnham type too.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

very few. They didn't last time they had a chance............................
The time before, weren't the number of votes for Corbyn only a few percentage points behind the Tories? 40/44 if I remember correctly?
 
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Class 33

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I've only just managed to catch up with Liz Truss' press conference from Friday. Truly risible stuff. She's toast.

It was a complete farce wasn't it! Just 8 and a half minutes it lasted! Including just 4 minutes of her answering journalists questions! Of which she was basically rabitting the same rubbish to each question! She looked very nervous throughout! And you can tell when she's near enough finishing answering Robert Peston's question, that she's looking very fed up, just wants to quickly finish her nonsense reply, and say "That's it everyone" and dash off! One MP commenting she was close to bursting out in tears at that point!

She's supposed to be appearing in parliament in Prime Minister's Questions on Wednesday at 12. Will she actually turn up or will she get someone else to take her place again?(like she did today!). If she does turn up, she'll have some tough questions to answer. And I wouldn't be too surprised if she bursts out in tears and dashes off!

She is not fit to be PM. She doesn't have enough experience and confidence to do this job. She doesn't know what she's doing properly! How an earth she got to be PM I don't know! If someone starts a new job, and they don't have enough experience and confidence to do the job and are finding it very difficult to deal with, then they need to own up and say "Sorry this job really is not for me. I'd like to resign immediately.". Otherwise management should let them go! The most important job in the country is the prime minister!
 

BrianW

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Investment. Regions that used to have lots of skilled, well paid jobs are now struggling.
Investment Zones- one per Conservative constituency I imagine.
It was a complete farce wasn't it! Just 8 and a half minutes it lasted! Including just 4 minutes of her answering journalists questions! Of which she was basically rabitting the same rubbish to each question! She looked very nervous throughout! And you can tell when she's near enough finishing answering Robert Peston's question, that she's looking very fed up, just wants to quickly finish her nonsense reply, and say "That's it everyone" and dash off! One MP commenting she was close to bursting out in tears at that point!

She's supposed to be appearing in parliament in Prime Minister's Questions on Wednesday at 12. Will she actually turn up or will she get someone else to take her place again?(like she did today!). If she does turn up, she'll have some tough questions to answer. And I wouldn't be too surprised if she bursts out in tears and dashes off!

She is not fit to be PM. She doesn't have enough experience and confidence to do this job. She doesn't know what she's doing properly! How an earth she got to be PM I don't know! If someone starts a new job, and they don't have enough experience and confidence to do the job and are finding it very difficult to deal with, then they need to own up and say "Sorry this job really is not for me. I'd like to resign immediately.". Otherwise management should let them go! The most important job in the country is the prime minister!
'The lady's not for turning up'- was she stuck in a fridge?
Maybe she was looking for the cheese in there, making a hard decision- Blue Wall Stilton or In The Red Leicester?
 

Sm5

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Though the view on government borrowing isn't especially consistent, the Germans announced an energy support package that will involve €200bn of extra borrowing and the markets don't seem to have responded in the same way. Not to mention the borrowing we've been doing for the last couple of years for Covid support.
Germanys economy has been one of the strongest of the last 30 years. They have stable government, are predictable and stable. They are benefitting being a member of a large protectionist trade group that gives them considerable advantage to non members.

Taking urgent one off action would be supported by global banks, many of whom are fellow Europeans and see it as beneficial to themselves.

We, are looking like renegade yahoos right not, only a few steps from being a failed state, and isolationist… Foreignors would pay to watch our current stage show, but they would stop short of joining the cast.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

So how long has she got ?

Tonight, Tomorrow, Thursday ?
 

yorksrob

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Though the view on government borrowing isn't especially consistent, the Germans announced an energy support package that will involve €200bn of extra borrowing and the markets don't seem to have responded in the same way. Not to mention the borrowing we've been doing for the last couple of years for Covid support.

Well, that's an energy support budget.

If we'd stuck with energy support and better targeted tax relief (cutting VAT would have been better) the markets may have been less judgemental.
 

Sm5

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Well, that's an energy support budget.

If we'd stuck with energy support and better targeted tax relief (cutting VAT would have been better) the markets may have been less judgemental.
I actually think VAT should rise to 25% and reduce other taxes.

Online monopolies, large US retail, are avoiding taxes by offshoring, but VAT is at point of sale… it would level up the high street somewhat.

Given our precarious position, the VAT might come sooner than the other taxes are cut. Its also away of evenly apportioning tax.. wealthier by default will pay more than those with less to spend.
 
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yorksrob

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I actually think VAT should rise to 25% and reduce other taxes.

Online monopolies are avoiding taxes by offshoring, but VAT is at point of sale… it would level up the high street somewhat.

Given our precarious position, the VAT might come sooner than the other taxes are cut. Its also away of evenly apportioning tax.. wealthier by default will pay more than those with less to spend.

I'm of the opposite view. VAT is highly regressive and hits those on lower incomes the worst.

Also, the fact that it is levied at the point of sale means that it has an amplified dampening effect on economic activity in this country, whereas we need to be importing fewer goods and associated inflation.
 

Cowley

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So how long has she got ?

Tonight, Tomorrow, Thursday ?

I mean they surely can’t have her doing another PMQs can they?

She’ll get absolutely taken to pieces and she’s literally got nothing she can really say at this point.
 

Howardh

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I actually think VAT should rise to 25% and reduce other taxes.
I'm of the opposite view. VAT is highly regressive and hits those on lower incomes the worst.
There's an argument for taking a load of stuff out of VAT (eg energy bills although that's currently 5% - might change before supper...) but increasing VAT on more less essential goods and services.
Dunno, but if you insulate your house or carry out repairs to exclude draughts (pretty essential these days) doesn't that attract VAT?
 

david1212

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Investment. Regions that used to have lots of skilled, well paid jobs are now struggling. The mines, mills, and factories have closed, and the lack of support to redevelop these areas was criminal. We are reaping the sour fruit of the lazzeiz-faire attitude of the 1980's neoliberal consensus has lead to this; the market has provided low skilled jobs with little options for technical progression. We've taken short-sighted decisions that have often not delivered the savings that they promised, and have hobbled British industries at key moments.


It is all fine and good to follow the trade winds if they are going towards our destination, but if their course diverges from where we want to go, it's time to take a hand to the tiller, and reset the sails; maybe that way we avoid being dashed on the rocks.

Exactly. The majority of reuse of factories and new build is warehousing and distribution where most jobs pay minimum wage or just above.
Further it is 6 years since the Brexit vote yet, correct me if wrong, we have not significantly reduced imports by increasing UK manufacturing / producing and hence increased self-sufficiency.
 

birchesgreen

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Why the hell did Truss send out Mourdant to answer the urgent question? Her premiership is on a thread, and surely there was no appointment too important not to delay to be able to attend the questions. And to have one of the rumoured rivals standing in for her too...

To me it says she is clearly not in charge, and there will be manoevures at the top of the party over the coming week.
Because she has already gone, they just need a way to announce it.
 

david1212

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There's an argument for taking a load of stuff out of VAT (eg energy bills although that's currently 5% - might change before supper...) but increasing VAT on more less essential goods and services.
Dunno, but if you insulate your house or carry out repairs to exclude draughts (pretty essential these days) doesn't that attract VAT?
Do I correctly recall this it how it used to be 50+ years ago with several rates of Purchase Tax and VAT was introduced at a single rate to cut the bureaucracy ? Were things now at a different rate e.g. energy, insurance not liable but only added later to the scope of VAT to get more tax from Joe & Joanne Public ?
A core problem was determining the category of some products. Now with so many shops e.g. supermarket chain s selling almost anything it would be even harder to control.
 
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Typhoon

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There's an argument for taking a load of stuff out of VAT (eg energy bills although that's currently 5% - might change before supper...) but increasing VAT on more less essential goods and services.
Dunno, but if you insulate your house or carry out repairs to exclude draughts (pretty essential these days) doesn't that attract VAT?
Quite right!

In a bid to reduce cost on Energy Saving Materials (ESM), the UK Government recently advised that they would cut the vat on insulation installation to zero rated vat. This new measure will be enforced from the 1st Of April 2022.

What does that mean?​

You will still need to pay the 20% vat on the goods, the VAT reduction will be seem on the actual cost of installation. This mean you when you receive you bill for the labour part of the project there will be no VAT on the labour for the insulation. Therefore the directly affect individuals though lower prices charged by ESM installers. The installed will receive the benefit of the VAT reduction which should then be passed onto their customers.
This may not be correct but I would have thought that a real Brexit bonus might be that we could vary VAT on items such as those devised for energy saving. Maybe even have a low rate for items that are deemed 'essential' which would benefit those that are on lower earnings as they are more likely to spend their money on them. The now postponed cut in income tax was of very little benefit to those on minimum wage.

Quote - https://www.insulationhub.co.uk/zer...though lower prices charged by ESM installers.
 

geoffk

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Jeremy Hunt didn't mention joining EFTA as means of helping exports and boosting the economy - unless I missed it 8-)
 

yorksrob

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There's an argument for taking a load of stuff out of VAT (eg energy bills although that's currently 5% - might change before supper...) but increasing VAT on more less essential goods and services.
Dunno, but if you insulate your house or carry out repairs to exclude draughts (pretty essential these days) doesn't that attract VAT?

I could agree with VAT if it was a tax on luxuries such as £1000 handbags and yachts, however the fact that it is levied on such a vast range of goods and services means that it is just a drag on lower household incomes and the economy.

If you put it on income tax instead, at least the burden could be proportioned according to ability to pay.
 

Yew

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I'm of the opposite view. VAT is highly regressive and hits those on lower incomes the worst.

Also, the fact that it is levied at the point of sale means that it has an amplified dampening effect on economic activity in this country, whereas we need to be importing fewer goods and associated inflation.
It also negatively effects imports specifically, where they can be hit by high VAT and high costs in Business taxes in their home country.
 
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