mike57
Established Member
If it is thought that the railways will become largely irrelevant outside London and the South East, I wonder why the government are spending eye watering sum of money on a new HST to the North - albeit recently truncated ?
A lot has happened since the approved parts of HS2 were given the go-ahead. And the very fact that parts of it were truncated should be warning enough that this government will drop or cut parts of the industry at the drop of a hat.
The last three words in your posting carry the most implication of what might well happen...![]()
I think these 3 posts point us in the direction of what could happen given long and disruptive strike action.
To add a few thoughts
Post Covid commuting is never going to return to pre covid levels, the genie is well and truly out of the bottle. A lot of jobs can be performed perfectly adequately without travelling to an office every day. Companies save money on office space, employees save money on travel and dont waste time travelling. Whatever our PM and certain civil servants say this is not going to change. Taking this thought forwards the passenger railway operations are going to be more dependent on lesiure travel for their income.
Unlike commuters who will endure grim travelling conditions in order to get to their destination because the alternatives are not practical lesiure travellers will either use another mode of transport or not undertake the journey at all.
Any long drawn out stike will call into the question railway subsidies, and long term investment projects. At a time when money is going to be tight justifying spending large sums of money on services that people cant use is political suicide.
Freight has a different outcome, because I dont think (in general?) frieght serices are subsidised.
I also suspect there are politicians who would like to kill off the railways, after all they have been a political banana skin for years.
So that brings us to the current dispute. Even if you consider that the workforce have a genuine case, taking stike action could result in situation where public and political patience runs out, and you end up with subsidies cut and services and routes cut back, a few unsubsidised intercity routes, and freight remaining.
It also raises a question of if the government should be susidising something that is more lesiure orientated. Day time services cut right back on some routes?
I actually think the current state of the railways is far more uncertain than at any time in my memory.
So how do a disgruntled workforce deal with companies who are constrained by the DfT and are not prepared to offer what the workforce want or even would be deemed fair. To be honest I haven't a clue, if the disatisfaction is great enough you reach the stage where people leave and redeploy into other industries, but thats not always easy. A low morale workforce has other implications for both safety and customer service, but I do think ongoing strike action might end up killing the whole undertaking, a railway version of mutually assured destruction.