markymark2000
On Moderation
Have Arriva worked it out though or just ignored it? Many operators are simply too lazy to think about things like this.As I said, I assumed that two of them were those were 38s. Arriva have decided that they can either run in service and incur an extra cost of c.15 mins and an extra four miles. You can work out the likely cost of that; whether any revenue will be gained is a moot point and they probably believe that whatever patronage may simply be abstracted from the existing 31/31W that already runs every half hour.
Or they can run them direct down the A530. I'm sure that they have looked at this and that's why they've made the decision that they did.
In some instances it may abstract revenue, in others it may fill a gap. There isn't a set standard of 'all dead trips should run in service' or 'all dead trips shouldn't run in service'. Each dead trip has to be looked at on it's own as it's no good running 30 seconds ahead of the regular core bus. If it fills a fair sized gap in the service though, there is potential.
Waverton to Chester, understandably not Waverton, it has no demand at all and the point you raise is valid but from the 'Hamburger' there is decent amount into town already on route 5. Enhancing it's early morning offering along a busyish corridor with potential demand. Running the 5 from Huntington as a full length normal trip would put 10-15 mins on a duty but starting at Sainsburys or after the 'Hamburger' would cost a few minutes, if that. 1 passenger would cover that cost.EDIT: I did have a look at the others that you felt I'd ignored.
Waverton to Chester - given that the regular bus service is the 41 operated by Aintree, Stagecoach perhaps feel that putting on some early morning or late evening services when they don't run the main bus service would be a bit pointless.
As for Gillmoss to Liverpool, don't know
What I mean by existing demand is that you already have some passengers on a key corridor. You aren't building up a brand new route. For the instances of pre 7am-7.30 buses, there is potential here to enhance the 'early commuter' frequency at no cost.Would there be any point in building on existing demand on an already suitably bussed corridor for what will be an irregular service?
Plus the longer you've got a driver running a registered service that was a dead run the less driving hours he's got. The economics mean in most cases it's just not worth it.
For interpeak dead mileage, it would have to have another purpose other than 'enhancing the frequency', For example a driver shuttle or shopper bus to get demand. It'd be no use running a random dead mileage trip along a corridor of 4 buses per hour as that is pure revenue extraction from the core route. I do not support and 100% wouldn't work. Useless doing that. It has to have a positive benefit such as increased frequency at a low frequency time or providing a shopper bus link or something like that to areas which currently do not have that link.
The driving hours one depends on exactly how long running in service would take versus running dead. In some cases, it wouldn't cost much except a few minutes dwell time.
A lot of your analysis here is based off a brand new route to brand new areas and that is fair but doesn't represent the costs in all instances.As well as the increase in day-to-day operating costs there is also the issue of providing publicity for the additional journeys. In many cities this is done by the local authority or Passenger Transport Executive (as in Manchester and the West Midlands) and they charge operators for doing the work. These charges are compulsory and include fees for changing roadside displays, service numbers on bus stop flags, printed leaflets and updating maps and posters.
In many other areas it is the responsibility of the bus operator to provide their own publicity (online, printed and at the roadside) which comes at considerable cost. A route of 30 minutes in duration could potentially cost over £1,000 just to replace the roadside publicity, and printed leaflets could run to another £1,000.
There is also the additional administrative burden of providing data for the route to the Bus Open Data Service which is a further cost, as well as recording the relevant information for the route for Bus Service Operator’s Grant and concessionary fare returns.
And also note that at many depots the trade union agreement is for all drivers to be taken out to be shown new routes. In a depot with 100 employees at around £15 per hour (which is the wages with employer’s contributions) to do route training for three hours would cost £4,500.
There is also the £60 charge for actually registering a positioning service, which may not seem much but would need paying each time a trip needed retiming. Plus the cost of the scheduler making the necessary changes.
Overall it’s entirely feasible that to create a new service to replace dead journeys could end up with a bill of upwards of £10,000 before a single passenger is even picked up.
If it's building an existing route, you would merge changes into the core network and any changes which get made there. That'd remove the majority of your costs because it's costs which would happen irrespective of the additional trip.
Where it is a brand new route, it could be a route which runs the same way 'dead' as the bus runs in service so that should be route training out the window. Some of the other costs remain and it depends on how strict a council as as to how much they would do over the operator I guess. They could, if they are pro bus, choose to waive some of the roadside publicity fees as long as other changes are already happening for existing routes or because it's in the councils benefit to make such a change as it improves the bus network reach and it's cost them.... A few grand to sort.
Bus Open Data wouldn't really cost more in most instances because the majority of companies are sorting it through one of the tech companies who charge 'per machine' so unless the bus has no ticket machine, there shouldn't be extra costs. In instances where it is 'per service' yes there may be some costs and that is understandable.
Your £1k cost of publicity would also likely be a special case. Most firms would just stick up the same leaflet on the bus stop. You can get 500 leaflets for £40. Design cost depends on a number of things. Putting them up, paying someone £100 for a day to go up the route and sort putting them up. Much lower than £1k.