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TfGM Bus franchising

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So give an example of an existing subsidised bus route that TfGM has changed "because some councillor wanted it".
396 route last November - TfGM decided to reroute it away from Ashton, but it was changed at the last minute and an emergency contract put out for a replacement service 397. The local councillor involved is leader of Oldham Council and sits on GMCA transport committee.

News report here: https://www.oldham-chronicle.co.uk/news-features/139/main-news/137573/rethink-for-ashton-bus-link
 
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Goldfish62

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396 route last November - TfGM decided to reroute it away from Ashton, but it was changed at the last minute and an emergency contract put out for a replacement service 397. The local councillor involved is leader of Oldham Council and sits on GMCA transport committee.

News report here: https://www.oldham-chronicle.co.uk/news-features/139/main-news/137573/rethink-for-ashton-bus-link
This is where the London system of public consultation on service changes results in a better informed decision because everyone has the opportunity to present their views, which are not drowned out by any particularly vocal campaign group.
 

domcoop7

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This is where the London system of public consultation on service changes results in a better informed decision because everyone has the opportunity to present their views, which are not drowned out by any particularly vocal campaign group.
Probably, but there's a disconnect between what people say and what people do.

Ask anyone if they think there should be more shops / bank branches / departments stores / boutique fashion outlets in Town Centres, and they'll say yes. Ask them if there should be fewer charity shops / betting shops / pound shops, and they'll also say yes. Even if you say "if these shops existed, would you use them instead of buying stuff online through Amazon", they say yes.

But of course people don't - they buy online, and consequently the shops they say they want aren't viable.
 

Greybeard33

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396 route last November - TfGM decided to reroute it away from Ashton, but it was changed at the last minute and an emergency contract put out for a replacement service 397. The local councillor involved is leader of Oldham Council and sits on GMCA transport committee.

News report here: https://www.oldham-chronicle.co.uk/news-features/139/main-news/137573/rethink-for-ashton-bus-link
But that is an example of local democracy in action, restoring a service that was valued by the local community.

Or do you believe that the TfGM officers should be allowed to make such decisions unchallenged, or after a token public consultation that they could then ignore?
 

domcoop7

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But that is an example of local democracy in action, restoring a service that was valued by the local community.

Or do you believe that the TfGM officers should be allowed to make such decisions unchallenged, or after a token public consultation that they could then ignore?
Who knows? I've just spent 20 minutes going through minutes of the TfGM bus subcommittee back to September 2020. The only mention is things like "members noted the revised options put forward by officers after member concerns". There's no minutes of why the service was changed in the first place, and why they changed it back afterwards. So clearly some sort of discussion has gone on behind closed doors. But who knows if it was "a service valued by the local community" or a 90 minutes frequency exercise in shuffling fresh air around from one place to another?

I believe bus operators are best placed to make decisions about where to operate, as that's their day job. Reluctantly, I could accept TfGM officers being able to make the decisions. Local authority councillors (or elected mayors) shouldn't be involved in planning bus routes. I'm a school governor, for example, and we make strategic decisions about the overall operation of the school, and monitor the school management to ensure they're up to the job. We don't start deciding what words the Spanish teacher should be teaching in their lessons.
 

Bletchleyite

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But that is an example of local democracy in action, restoring a service that was valued by the local community.

Or do you believe that the TfGM officers should be allowed to make such decisions unchallenged, or after a token public consultation that they could then ignore?

TfGM should really be working to strategic policy, such as "there should be a public transport service available within 500m of every dwelling connecting that dwelling to their local town centre directly, and to Manchester City Centre with no more than one change of vehicle required and no more than a 10 minute wait for the connection". (That isn't necessarily a realistic one, but it's an example).

How TfGM comply with that policy is more an internal thing. Though there's also I guess room to raise genuine grievances which might result in stuff like the example given happening. But if you just push every slightest grievance you just end up with the whole "direct service from everywhere to everywhere via everywhere" nonsense.

Of course if connection quality is improved people will have less of an issue with connections. In London people don't think twice about "bus to the Tube, 2 Tubes, Sadiq cycle at the end" type stuff because it all fits together so nicely.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

I believe bus operators are best placed to make decisions about where to operate, as that's their day job. Reluctantly, I could accept TfGM officers being able to make the decisions. Local authority councillors (or elected mayors) shouldn't be involved in planning bus routes. I'm a school governor, for example, and we make strategic decisions about the overall operation of the school, and monitor the school management to ensure they're up to the job. We don't start deciding what words the Spanish teacher should be teaching in their lessons.

But we do have the National Curriculum and more granular curricula set by exam boards. Which is probably the equivalent of the strategic stuff I'm suggesting.
 

domcoop7

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TfGM should really be working to strategic policy, such as "there should be a public transport service available within 500m of every dwelling connecting that dwelling to their local town centre directly, and to Manchester City Centre with no more than one change of vehicle required and no more than a 10 minute wait for the connection". (That isn't necessarily a realistic one, but it's an example).

How TfGM comply with that policy is more an internal thing. Though there's also I guess room to raise genuine grievances which might result in stuff like the example given happening. But if you just push every slightest grievance you just end up with the whole "direct service from everywhere to everywhere via everywhere" nonsense.

Of course if connection quality is improved people will have less of an issue with connections. In London people don't think twice about "bus to the Tube, 2 Tubes, Sadiq cycle at the end" type stuff because it all fits together so nicely.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==



But we do have the National Curriculum and more granular curricula set by exam boards. Which is probably the equivalent of the strategic stuff I'm suggesting.
I'd say the National Curriculum is more like vehicle accessibility regulations, driver licensing rules, working time rules, etc. Stuff that applies to everybody.

Kind of strategy you get in a school are things like "should we be increasing the spend on out of school activities?", "are all the departments working to their best potential?", "are we getting enough applicants for school places?", "is the senior management team staffed with the kind of people we want?".

In that respect I agree 100% with what you say would be the equivalent role for somebody like TfGM's political arm (the Transport Sub-committee). It should be things like "is the delivery arm staffed with the right people?", "is the strategy reducing congestion and air pollution?", "is the offer benefiting people in all areas and not just a subset of people who commute to the City Centre?".

Perhaps that was what was better about the old system of having a Passenger Transport Authority (the political arm) and a Passenger Transport Executive (the operational side). I believe that's how it worked when they were first set up, but in 1974 the PT Authorities were merged into County Councils (then later abolished in 1986) and as we of course know the PTEs lost almost all their operational responsibilities after deregulation. So the lines got blurred.

TfL seems to work on a difference basis, more like the old PTE system than what happens in the other city regions.
 

Greybeard33

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I'd say the National Curriculum is more like vehicle accessibility regulations, driver licensing rules, working time rules, etc. Stuff that applies to everybody.

Kind of strategy you get in a school are things like "should we be increasing the spend on out of school activities?", "are all the departments working to their best potential?", "are we getting enough applicants for school places?", "is the senior management team staffed with the kind of people we want?".

In that respect I agree 100% with what you say would be the equivalent role for somebody like TfGM's political arm (the Transport Sub-committee). It should be things like "is the delivery arm staffed with the right people?", "is the strategy reducing congestion and air pollution?", "is the offer benefiting people in all areas and not just a subset of people who commute to the City Centre?".

Perhaps that was what was better about the old system of having a Passenger Transport Authority (the political arm) and a Passenger Transport Executive (the operational side). I believe that's how it worked when they were first set up, but in 1974 the PT Authorities were merged into County Councils (then later abolished in 1986) and as we of course know the PTEs lost almost all their operational responsibilities after deregulation. So the lines got blurred.

TfL seems to work on a difference basis, more like the old PTE system than what happens in the other city regions.
IMO bus routes are a key part of the strategy of the transport system. Where the buses go, or don't, is fundamental to the users and so their elected representatives absolutely should take an interest in route planning. In the school analogy this is equivalent to a decision as to whether or not a Spanish course should be offered in the curriculum.

Operational details such as driver rosters and vehicle diagramming are what should be left to the experts.
 

Bletchleyite

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IMO bus routes are a key part of the strategy of the transport system. Where the buses go, or don't, is fundamental to the users and so their elected representatives absolutely should take an interest in route planning. In the school analogy this is equivalent to a decision as to whether or not a Spanish course should be offered in the curriculum.

I think the analogy there is a bit off. The actual routes are not fundamental to the users. What is fundamental is the connectivity provided.

So to me what the politicians are determining is effectively an SLA (service level agreement) - my example above of "nearest stop within 500m, direct service to main local centre, max one change with no more than 10 minutes' wait to central Manchester" would be something like that. But, using the Ashton example (looks at map), whether you do that by way of running a bus from Smallshaw to Ashton and then all the way into Manchester up the A635, or whether you instead do that by providing a bus service that runs from Smallshaw via Ashton town centre to the frontage of Ashton station timed to arrive 5 minutes before all the trains to Manchester (remember it will be one ticket regardless) is really a more operational (though still low-level strategic) decision better made by the PTE.

So in your case the SLA is "we must provide the ability to do a Spanish GCSE to all our pupils if they wish to do so", and that's a "political" decision (by the Head and other governance of the overall school, perhaps). Choosing whether you achieve that by employing a Spanish teacher and having Spanish lessons every Monday and Friday from 10 to 11am, or whether you do it by bussing your pupils to another partner school in your academy group because only one or two want to take Spanish GCSE, is really an "operational" decision for the "PTE" (or languages department at the school).

Or back to the bus argument, what the politicians need to be saying is not "please route the 123 back via Ashton", it's "people living in the Ashton area need to have a public transport service to Ashton town centre at least hourly from 0700 to 2300, your change to route 123 has removed that for people on X road, can you please follow that SLA" and leaving it to the PTE to decide how it does that as long as it does. It might be that routeing the 123 back via Ashton is the way to do it, or it might be that something else can more sensibly be done.

To use another non-Manchester example (as I'm not as familiar with Manchester local routes) the destinations I tend to go to by bus are central MK and Bletchley and those two railway stations. Do I care that the 4 runs via Springfield? No, not really, so if they remove it and put one that goes a different way instead I don't mind, provided the basic connectivity I need is there, and something else serves Springfield instead.
 
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Megafuss

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IMO bus routes are a key part of the strategy of the transport system. Where the buses go, or don't, is fundamental to the users and so their elected representatives absolutely should take an interest in route planning. In the school analogy this is equivalent to a decision as to whether or not a Spanish course should be offered in the curriculum.

Operational details such as driver rosters and vehicle diagramming are what should be left to the experts.
I have no problem with elected officials taking an interest with bus routes. But it's not easy to divorce the timetable/network design aspect from the duty and rostering side as the first part dictates the second part. Unless inefficient schedules are OK.

You'd hope TfGM are can at least work out ball park figures so they know they aren't getting fleeced in the tendering excercise. Lets hope that is the case....
 

Goldfish62

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You'd hope TfGM are can at least work out ball park figures so they know they aren't getting fleeced in the tendering excercise. Lets hope that is the case....
Given that they've spent since 1986 tendering out parts of the network I think they can! Costings are not some dark art and there are plenty of people at TfGM who used to work for operators.
 

Simon75

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Can Councillors/TFGM only imput in route/timetable changes on tender services only, not commercial?
 

Goldfish62

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Can Councillors/TFGM only imput in route/timetable changes on tender services only, not commercial?
Operators can do what they like on commercial services. That was the whole point of deregulation - giving operators absolute freedom of what they operate devoid of all external funding.
 

Xenophon PCDGS

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But that is an example of local democracy in action, restoring a service that was valued by the local community.

Or do you believe that the TfGM officers should be allowed to make such decisions unchallenged, or after a token public consultation that they could then ignore?
With regards to the last time that a major transport plan was proposed by the "transport supremos", that was supposed to use a two-band congestion charge around Manchester in order to bring about a £2.8bn boost to public transport for Greater Manchester, the local electorate in Greater Manchester were given the opportunity to express their democratic rights in a referendum. I have been in my archives to find information on all the cumulative and area referendum statistics of same.

Referendum turnout voting results
Total referendum votes ..... 1,033,000 (rounded)
A figure that reflected an average of 53.2% voting by eligible voters

***********************************************************************************************************************

Constituent area voting statistics

Bolton

Yes ..... 20,529
No ...... 76,910
Turnout of 48.8%

Bury
Yes ..... 16,563
No ...... 64,001
Turnout of 57.4%

Manchester
Yes ..... 43,593
No ..... 113,064
Turnout of 46.1%

Oldham
Yes ..... 17,571
No ...... 68,884
Turnout of 54,4%

Rochdale
Yes ..... 17,333
No ...... 61,686
Turnout of 50.8%

Salford
Yes ..... 14,603
No ..... .79,326
Turnout of 57.0%

Stockport
Yes ..... 24,090
No .... 103,706
Turnout of 59.0%

Tameside
Yes ..... 16,323
No ...... 83,105
Turnout of 60.7%

Trafford
Yes ..... 20.445
No ...... 83,105
Turnout of 63.6%

Wigan
Yes ..... 27,810
No ...... 78,565
Turnout of 45.3%
 
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johncrossley

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With regards to the last time that a major transport plan was proposed by the "transport supremos", that was supposed to use a two-band congestion charge around Manchester in order to bring about a £2.8bn boost to public transport for Greater Manchester, the local electorate in Greater Manchester were given the opportunity to express their democratic rights in a referendum. I have been in my archives to find information on all the cumulative and area referendum statistics of same.

What has this got to do with bus franchising? If your point is there was no such referendum for bus franchising, there was a de facto referendum at the last mayoral election when the electorate could have chosen a mayor not in favour of franchising.
 

daodao

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I visited the SE Manchester area yesterday [by car, naturally] for the first time in over 1 year, and walked around Bramhall Hall and Poynton parks. I even saw a bus on route 378A - there is still a skeleton service in Stockport on Sunday (I presume that on Good Friday a Sunday service is typically operated), but not in East Cheshire. I noted also that many bus stops are now marked as "not in use" and for curiosity, later inspected the TfGM Stockport bus map on the Internet, and discovered how much bus services have been thinned over the last few years. Essentially, except along the former tram routes from Stockport to Gatley and Stockport to Hazel Grove, bus services are now very sparse and infrequent in Poynton and in the former urban district council areas of Cheadle and Gatley, and Hazel Grove and Bramhall. This is despite massive housing developments in the last 60 years, including at present on the former Woodford aerodrome site.

I fail to see how bus franchising per se can improve public transport use in low density outer suburbia, where having access to private personal transport is an essential pre-requisite for a fulfilling existence. I suspect this situation will have contributed to the widespread opposition to the previously proposed congestion charge in Greater Manchester, where the overall population density is 2,204/km2, compared to 5,671/km2 in Greater London.
 

TheGrandWazoo

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What has this got to do with bus franchising? If your point is there was no such referendum for bus franchising, there was a de facto referendum at the last mayoral election when the electorate could have chosen a mayor not in favour of franchising.
Perhaps it might be that if people were aware that increased taxation will be needed to attain the London type system, it might not have had the same sort of result as the consultation which is portrayed as a swing to nothing with no downsides.
 

johncrossley

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I fail to see how bus franchising per se can improve public transport use in low density outer suburbia, where having access to private personal transport is an essential pre-requisite for a fulfilling existence. I suspect this situation will have contributed to the widespread opposition to the previously proposed congestion charge in Greater Manchester, where the overall population density is 2,204/km2, compared to 5,671/km2 in Greater London.

What about low density outer London?

How about quoting a more meaningful density which doesn't include large amounts of uninhabited moorland?

How does the density of Greater Manchester (excluding moorland) compare to other big cities in Europe?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_urban_areas_in_the_European_Union shows several urban areas with a much lower population density than London.

As mentioned earlier, commercial operation is effectively dead anyway.


== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Perhaps it might be that if people were aware that increased taxation will be needed to attain the London type system, it might not have had the same sort of result as the consultation which is portrayed as a swing to nothing with no downsides.

They can still choose a mayor that will scrap franchising in the future.
 
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daodao

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What about low density outer London?

How about quoting a more meaningful density which doesn't include large amounts of uninhabited moorland?

How does the density of Greater Manchester (excluding moorland) compare to other big cities in Europe?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_urban_areas_in_the_European_Union shows several urban areas with a much lower population density than London.

As mentioned earlier, commercial operation is effectively dead anyway.
There is relatively little moorland or countryside included within the boundaries of Greater Manchester, just a little in the boroughs of Rochdale, Oldham and Tameside, plus the semi-rural ward of Bowdon/Dunham/Warburton where I live. The big issue for public transport is the relatively low population density of much of suburbia built post WW1 (and especially post WW2), which cannot support frequent (i.e. "turn up and go") public transport services.

Commercial bus operation is not dead on the main corridors. Bus route 192 (Manchester to Hazel Grove) is entirely commercial and on other routes such as 11/11A (Stockport-Gatley-Altrincham), or Stockport-Cheadle Hulme (routes 313/368), only late evening and some Sunday journeys are subsidised.
 

johncrossley

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There is relatively little moorland or countryside included within the boundaries of Greater Manchester, just a little in the boroughs of Rochdale, Oldham and Tameside, plus the semi-rural ward of Bowdon/Dunham/Warburton where I live. The big issue for public transport is the relatively low population density of much of suburbia built post WW1 (and especially post WW2), which cannot support frequent (i.e. "turn up and go") public transport services.

Commercial bus operation is not dead on the main corridors. Bus route 192 (Manchester to Hazel Grove) is entirely commercial and on other routes such as 11/11A (Stockport-Gatley-Altrincham), or Stockport-Cheadle Hulme (routes 313/368), only late evening and some Sunday journeys are subsidised.

Bolton, Bury, Rochdale, Oldham and Tameside all have substantial amounts of moorland.

Have you ever been to outer London? The kind of housing you state is dominant in much of outer London. Just look on Google Streetview. The population densities of Havering, Hillingdon and Bromley (which all include some countryside) are not unlike the GM average.

Commercial operation is largely dead post Covid - see many posts stating that earlier in the thread. Hence the need for ongoing support for the foreseeable future.
 

daodao

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Bolton, Bury, Rochdale, Oldham and Tameside all have substantial amounts of moorland.

Have you ever been to outer London? The kind of housing you state is dominant in much of outer London. Just look on Google Streetview. The population densities of Havering, Hillingdon and Bromley (which all include some countryside) are not unlike the GM average.

Commercial operation is largely dead post Covid - see many posts stating that earlier in the thread. Hence the need for ongoing support for the foreseeable future.
I stated that there is some moorland in Rochdale, Oldham and Tameside; there is very little in Bolton and Bury - most of the moorland near these 2 towns (e.g. around Belmont) is in Lancashire.

I have visited Bromley and Barnet boroughs, and am aware of the relatively low population density and countryside in these and similar boroughs, and that public transport provision in some of these areas (e.g. to Downe village) is relatively infrequent. However, overall Greater London has a much higher population density than Greater Manchester by a factor of just over 2.5 - this is critical in terms of overall public transport use and viability.

It is difficult to assess now the extent to which public transport use will recover post Covid and thus make commercial operation viable again on most routes. Until this becomes clear, it is not possible to make rational long-term investment decisions and unwise to commit major costly capital investment.
 

johncrossley

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I stated that there is some moorland in Rochdale, Oldham and Tameside; there is very little in Bolton and Bury - most of the moorland near these 2 towns (e.g. around Belmont) is in Lancashire.

I have visited Bromley and Barnet boroughs, and am aware of the relatively low population density and countryside in these and similar boroughs, and that public transport provision in some of these areas (e.g. to Downe village) is relatively infrequent. However, overall Greater London has a much higher population density than Greater Manchester by a factor of just over 2.5 - this is critical in terms of overall public transport use and viability.

It is difficult to assess now the extent to which public transport use will recover post Covid and thus make commercial operation viable again on most routes. Until this becomes clear, it is not possible to make rational long-term investment decisions and unwise to commit major costly capital investment.

The government has already decided that commercial operation is dead regardless.

In outer London there is mostly low density housing yet they manage to maintain frequencies of 12 minutes or better on most routes.
 

Xenophon PCDGS

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The government has already decided that commercial operation is dead regardless.
If that be the Governmental view, rather than one chosen large city conurbation, why have the Government not brought this into operation in other large conurbations such as Birmingham, Nottingham, Sheffield, Newcastle in the Midlands and North that all have modern tramway and metro systems between them?
 
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TheGrandWazoo

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They can still choose a mayor that will scrap franchising in the future.
Yes but the point that being answered was what was the relevance of @Xenophon PCDGS reference to the congestion charge referendum.
In outer London there is mostly low density housing yet they manage to maintain frequencies of 12 minutes or better on most routes.
Indeed, and only achievable through nearly a billion pounds worth of revenue support annually which apparently isn't going to be forthcoming in Greater Manchester as there's no high profile tax raising, no congestion charge, no major cuts to services etc. So this London style style network is going to be achieved without any of that, being achieved by removing wasteful competition (that barely exists) and squeezing the bus barons margins (which are barely any larger than those in London).

In fact, it makes you wonder if Greater Manchester can achieve all of this, why does London need so much money....
 

johncrossley

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If that be the Governmental view, rather than one chosen large city conurbation, why have the Government not brought this into operation in other large conurbations such as Birmingham, Nottingham, Sheffield, Newcastle in the Midlands and North that all have modern tramway and metro systems between them.

The national bus strategy, where this view was stated, only came out a couple of weeks ago.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Yes but the point that being answered was what was the relevance of @Xenophon PCDGS reference to the congestion charge referendum.

Indeed, and only achievable through nearly a billion pounds worth of revenue support annually which apparently isn't going to be forthcoming in Greater Manchester as there's no high profile tax raising, no congestion charge, no major cuts to services etc. So this London style style network is going to be achieved without any of that, being achieved by removing wasteful competition (that barely exists) and squeezing the bus barons margins (which are barely any larger than those in London).

In fact, it makes you wonder if Greater Manchester can achieve all of this, why does London need so much money....
But London's support was in the process of being removed anyway. Obviously post Covid everywhere will need funding, in London and outside London.
 

Robertj21a

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I thought support for London was being reduced, not removed?
Why do you feel that *everywhere* will need funding?
 

johncrossley

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I thought support for London was being reduced, not removed?

Certainly a few years ago it was announced that London would lose its grant entirely and before Covid it was being gradually removed.

Why do you feel that *everywhere* will need funding?

You pointed that out yourself the other day!

The 192 is a fairly exceptional route and there can't be too many others with the same potential. For the 99% of the others they may well need longer term help.
 

daodao

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Once the students are back the 42/43 would easily be profitable even without even regular BSOG.

The 192 is odd as it directly parallels a railway - can anyone imagine for example that level of service on the Liverpool-Ormskirk bus (half hourly I think)? What it does illustrate is how unacceptably bad the service on that railway is, and I suppose how awkward the location of Stockport station is with respect to the town.
There are number of main bus routes into central Manchester on major arterial roads that serve densely populated localities; they date back to the days of the first generation tramways and can sustain minimum daytime service frequencies of at least every 10 minutes, i.e. "turn up and go". These are generally commercially viable (the Covid epidemic excepted). Other examples include routes 50 and 219, which also parallel electrified rail lines. These are not the problem routes/areas; it is the low density suburban sprawl, particularly affluent areas with mainly private housing (e.g. Bramhall), for which public transport provision is problematic.
 

TheGrandWazoo

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But London's support was in the process of being removed anyway. Obviously post Covid everywhere will need funding, in London and outside London.
And will London still have the bus network it enjoys? No, many cuts have been made and more to come. GM and elsewhere will need funding just to maintain most of the peripheral services.
 

johncrossley

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There are number of main bus routes into central Manchester on major arterial roads that serve densely populated localities; they date back to the days of the first generation tramways and can sustain minimum daytime service frequencies of at least every 10 minutes, i.e. "turn up and go". These are generally commercially viable (the Covid epidemic excepted). Other examples include routes 50 and 219, which also parallel electrified rail lines. These are not the problem routes/areas; it is the low density suburban sprawl, particularly affluent areas with mainly private housing (e.g. Bramhall), for which public transport provision is problematic.

That the point, Covid has changed everything, not just now but in the future. Even if the frequencies on many routes in GM are high, that doesn't translate into heavy usage. It is clear when travelling on even lower frequency buses in London that (pre-Covid) overcrowding was a significant problem. In Manchester they seemed to be happy to run at a high frequency without being exceptionally busy.

There is no need to be fixated with certain affluent suburbs as it is clear that pre-Covid bus usage was problematic throughout the conurbation, even in areas which ought to be so-called "good bus territory", hence such an urgent need for change.
 
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