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Vaccine Passports/Permanent restrictions

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Bikeman78

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Plus how they work with people who have natural immunity (from previous exposure or time since jab-jab, or version / effectiveness of whichever jab), slowly decaying. Like radioactivity, will your passport have a half-life, after which you can go into the pub, but only for an hour at 1m distance, and then a further half-life where you are limited to 30 minutes at 2m distance. Some kind of shrill alarm alerting other customers to step away from you and the pub bouncers to evict you at the relevent cut-off point. Yes, I know some employers have actually started introducing 'proximity' technology. Bonkers, absolutely bonkers.

Plus how long passes between 'being pregnant' and thus immune from vaccination requirement, to giving birth and having to get vaccinated before you can go to the pub for your 'baby shower' (whatever they are!).
I would just laugh about it if I didn't think they were actively considering this. All of the above will sadly apply to international travel as well, unless enough countries decide that enough is enough.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

I was thinking of 'Enemy of the State' where the stable, affluent life of the Will Smith character (unknowing carrier of secret film showing a murder) is destroyed, where the tables are then turned on the congressman.
Absolutely brilliant film. Was it really 23 years ago!
 
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initiation

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Can you catch HIV by standing next to someone for a few minutes?

Where did I suggest you could? The examples I gave were where participants had a significantly higher chance of having sex as a result of the event and hence transmitting HIV.

If you are going to make this argument though, how many people caught covid in pubs from just standing next to them?

is not generally dangerous in the same acute way as Covid often is.
Err.. Covid in the vast majority of cases is a very minor illness. You can't just filter down to acute illnesses.


The HIV comparison was a bit of a idle thought but it's interesting to see the responses compared to the same type of comments for covid.




The threat our liberty faces in the long term is the largest in peacetime. We are truly on the cusp of developing into a nightmare of society and people, even after a year, seem to be begging for more.
 

DB

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Plus how they work with people who have natural immunity (from previous exposure or time since jab-jab, or version / effectiveness of whichever jab), slowly decaying. Like radioactivity, will your passport have a half-life, after which you can go into the pub, but only for an hour at 1m distance, and then a further half-life where you are limited to 30 minutes at 2m distance. Some kind of shrill alarm alerting other customers to step away from you and the pub bouncers to evict you at the relevent cut-off point. Yes, I know some employers have actually started introducing 'proximity' technology. Bonkers, absolutely bonkers.

I was on a webinar a couple of weeks ago about IoT device usage in businesses (that's Internet of Things for those who don't know - basically web-connected gadgets). Once of the speakers was from some university - forget which one. He spoke about how they had used such devices to monitor distancing, monitor occupancy of lecture / seminar rooms and monitor airflow through the rooms. An example of the purpose of this was given as being able to check whether an additional person had entered the room meaning that existing occupants would be 'put at risk' (as I recall those were the actual words used).

Of course, there was no discussion of whether this was actually an appropriate use of the technology and no opportunity to question presenters - if there had been I might have asked whether this university was going to take strong steps to discourage its students from ever getting into cars, because the risk to that age group from cars is higher than that from the virus...
 

MikeWM

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The mood of the country is changing quickly, and the locktivists have fewer and fewer excuses to hide behind.

I'd agree with that - on finally getting out of the Cambridge/Ely area yesterday, for the first time in months, I was quite happy to see a lot of people around, mostly acting fairly normally. Cheered me up somewhat. (Unfortunately around here seems to be compliance-central most of the time).

The locktivists have had a field day these last 12 months, that is true. But just look at the reaction from both the industry & the public. There has been a resounding "No" from both. Even the BBC couldn't report on the idea without commenting on how there was a huge negative reaction. At the end of the day, this government plays the popular card, mainly because they are totally incapable of forming their own ideas. Expect in the coming weeks the government to come under more fire and these silly ideas swept under the carpet. Because if they don't, well look at Bristol. That was just the opening salvo....

I would hope so (well, not to the idea that we'll see more things like Bristol, I hope it doesn't come to that).

The problem comes once it is phrased as a choice - as it will be - between the suffocating current 'restrictions' or the 'freedom' (ha!) offered by the use of vaccine papers. Very few people seem capable of spotting these false choices and realising there are other options; certainly we've seen very little of it over the last year.

Yeah, and look at how these were upheld over time, not. Everywhere I went the rules got bent more & more as the weeks went on. The stay-at-home locktivists were probably beside themselves with excitement, but in reality rule by rule were being misshaped and eventually ignored. Don't kid yourself here, lockdown rules up and down the country are more and more being ignored, and the government know this.

I'll have to believe you on this in the case of pubs - I didn't go to any last summer/autumn (not for any particular reason, just never happened). But I agree in general that we're in a rather different state in terms of the general population than we were 12 months ago. Unfortunately in those 12 months authoritarianism has been rather normalised.

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As for social consequences of refusing treatment, I’d suggest two examples. The extreme example is that of “Typhoid Mary”, an asymptomatic carrier of typhoid who was incarcerated because she refused to stop her work as a cook, despite being linked to multiple deaths. More generally, and related to a condition of similar gravity and treatability, powers continue to exist to compel TB sufferers to take treatment and to isolate from the community. Those powers are little used and both justified and opposed for the way they focus on certain marginalised groups (particularly the homeless).

But you're talking here about people who actually have a proven disease, not healthy people. Eg. I think there is at least some argument for those with a *confirmed* Covid infection being required to self-isolate until they are better (or at the very least being heavily encouraged to), but that's not related to vaccinating the otherwise healthy.

You also elide the questions of compulsory treatment and codes quite rightly put in place after WWII with the existence of social sanction for non compliance. Without getting into the detail of the Nuremberg Code (focused on medical experimentation after the atrocious experiments on concentration camp prisoners by the Nazis), I see a fundamental difference between the choice each of us has to receive a treatment, and the reaction we may provoke in those around us by our exercise of that choice.

Perhaps (I agree that this isn't remotely approaching the atrocities of the Nazis, but I'd argue that the people who put these protocols in place understood slippery slopes too, which you stop by never getting on the slope to begin with). However this 'consequences' approach isn't the way our society has worked up to now, and we really do need to question if that is really the way we want society to work going forwards.

In my 40-odd years on this earth so far, I've lived in another country for a couple of years, and visited at least a dozen more. Neither in this country nor in any other have I ever had to show once, in all those years, that I've been vaccinated against anything.

If I were to refuse the vaccine today, I would do so in knowledge of a material possibility that in doing so I may find that some businesses won’t serve me. I retain the power of choice, but it is a consequence that I need to weigh in the balance when making that choice. I can’t say I wasn’t told.

But that's simply not acceptable. I appreciate you think that it is, but I fundamentally believe it isn't.

That is a separate question from whether the domestic vaccine passport plan is a good idea, or proportionate, or practical (I consider it none of the above).

I entirely agree. The problem is that this idea crosses two red lines - that of forcing/coercing healthy people to receive medical treatment, and that of introducing a 'papers please' society. I totally oppose both, but of course some may find one or the other unacceptable while being more neutral or even favourable to the other.

But in the hysteria about vaccines and Covid (incidentally, a hysteria that infests both “locktivists” and their more vocal opponents), I suggest that the question these are being raised for is not control of us, or to drive vaccine uptake (as various posters here make clear, it’s more likely to repel than attract), but government considering how it manages risk as a partially vaccinated society re emerges from the current measures.

But if you reject the hypothesis that this is all now about control, then why do the goalposts keep moving? The risk has already diminished - due to measures including, yes, vaccination - to levels we previously would have found entirely acceptable as part of living in a functioning society. For example, why are we now discussing vaccinating children, when they are at effectively no risk from this disease?
 
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Ted633

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Just watched the first episode on the series on 'Yesterday' 'Living with Hitler'. I'm not saying that our government are Nazis or it's going to end up like that, but you can see the similarities between what's going on now and the beginning of the third Reich. Hitler initially only brought in policies (anti jew, anti socialist) that didn't affect the general population and they all cheered him on. It's the same with the vaccines. Only a minority won't have it, so the majority don't care if those who don't take the vaccine are looked down on. Hopefully this will be nipped in the bud now before it goes too far.

As a disclaimer, I will be having the vaccine and have no issue with it, but I have an issue with people being basically forced into it.
 

DustyBin

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But if you reject the hypothesis that this is all now about control, then why do the goalposts keep moving? The risk has already diminished - due to measures including, yes, vaccination - to levels we previously would have found entirely acceptable as part of living in a functioning society. For example, why are we now discussing vaccinating children, when they are at effectively no risk from this disease?

I agree with everything you said @MikeWM in your post but this last bit is what I keep coming back to. We’re turning society on it’s head for no good reason. We’ve lived with risk, including that from viruses, since time began and this one is nothing special. It’s highly discriminatory in terms of the demographic(s) it affects and we’ve vaccinated the majority of them at this point. In effect, this virus is insignificant and can take its place alongside all of the other coronaviruses, rhinoviruses and others that we live with. For some reason though there are people determined to prevent this from happening. The question is why?
 

35B

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Just watched the first episode on the series on 'Yesterday' 'Living with Hitler'. I'm not saying that our government are Nazis or it's going to end up like that, but you can see the similarities between what's going on now and the beginning of the third Reich. Hitler initially only brought in policies (anti jew, anti socialist) that didn't affect the general population and they all cheered him on. It's the same with the vaccines. Only a minority won't have it, so the majority don't care if those who don't take the vaccine are looked down on. Hopefully this will be nipped in the bud now before it goes too far.

As a disclaimer, I will be having the vaccine and have no issue with it, but I have an issue with people being basically forced into it.
As someone who studied the Third Reich at a postgraduate level, that comparison is just false. The evidence is clearly visible - and was at the time - that Hitler’s ambitions went way beyond those early steps of 1933, and also that his support was highly conditional throughout the 3rd Reich.

That comparison only works if you accept that the restrictions of today are an early stage of a longer plan, and that this plan involves very tight control of people’s lives. There is simply no evidence for the existence of such a plan, and minimal evidence that there are those who do wish for such controls are anything other than marginal.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

I agree with everything you said @MikeWM in your post but this last bit is what I keep coming back to. We’re turning society on it’s head for no good reason. We’ve lived with risk, including that from viruses, since time began and this one is nothing special. It’s highly discriminatory in terms of the demographic(s) it affects and we’ve vaccinated the majority of them at this point. In effect, this virus is insignificant and can take its place alongside all of the other coronaviruses, rhinoviruses and others that we live with. For some reason though there are people determined to prevent this from happening. The question is why?
Because it’s new and, in a period of a year from first entering this country, killed 120,000 or more people in the U.K. alone.

If (though probable, the evidence is still not clear) vaccinations both protect against illness and spreading, then vaccination to limit spread seems an entirely reasonable strategy.
 
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Smidster

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As someone who studied the Third Reich at a postgraduate level, that comparison is just false. The evidence is clearly visible - and was at the time - that Hitler’s ambitions went way beyond those early steps of 1933, and also that his support was highly conditional throughout the 3rd Reich.

That comparison only works if you accept that the restrictions of today are an early stage of a longer plan, and that this plan involves very tight control of people’s lives. There is simply no evidence for the existence of such a plan, and minimal evidence that there are those who do wish for such controls are anything other than marginal.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==


Because it’s new and, in a period of a year from first entering this country, killed 120,000 or more people in the U.K. alone.

If (though probable, the evidence is still not clear) vaccinations both protect against illness and spreading, then vaccination to limit spread seems an entirely reasonable strategy.
No-one is suggesting that we don't vaccinate the population as quickly as possible as the best way out of this mess nor is there any evidence of large numbers refusing it.

This is about punishing people who , for whatever reason, don't want a medical intervention - even one that is probably in their best interests. Fundamentally we should have the right to decide if we want a medical treatment and not be ostracized if you choose not to.

And for those who are on the fence, or perhaps sympathetic to some of the more nutty conspiracy theories, not sure this even helps. If you are suspicious of the Governments rationale then this plays into those fears.

Persuasion not Coercion is the way to go - and frankly don't think the public needs much persuasion
 

DustyBin

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Because it’s new and, in a period of a year from first entering this country, killed 120,000 or more people in the U.K. alone.

If (though probable, the evidence is still not clear) vaccinations both protect against illness and spreading, then vaccination to limit spread seems an entirely reasonable strategy.

It hasn’t killed 120,000 or more in the UK, of that we can be sure.

I agree vaccination seems reasonable and the evidence that vaccines protect against illness and spreading is strong. At this point we’ve vaccinated the vulnerable, just as we do against flu every year. As I’ve pointed out before, prior to flu vaccinations we lived with high numbers of flu deaths. As recently as 1999/2000 we saw 48,000 excess winter deaths and even with the vaccine we saw 44,000 in 2014/2015 due to what I believe is referred to as antigenic drift.

The argument that we need to turn our society and way of life on it’s head at this stage to “keep us safe” is tenuous at best. I can’t help but think that proponents of the idea have long held such views and this is simply an opportunity to implement things that they would never get a mandate for democratically. Do you fall into this category @35B?
 

Domh245

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It hasn’t killed 120,000 or more in the UK, of that we can be sure.

I agree vaccination seems reasonable and the evidence that vaccines protect against illness and spreading is strong. At this point we’ve vaccinated the vulnerable, just as we do against flu every year. As I’ve pointed out before, prior to flu vaccinations we lived with high numbers of flu deaths. As recently as 1999/2000 we saw 48,000 excess winter deaths and even with the vaccine we saw 44,000 in 2014/2015 due to what I believe is referred to as antigenic drift.

It's killed (as underlying cause of death) over 112,000 people in England alone to mid February, with huge restrictions on day to day life - the only cause of death that killed more in the same time period was cancer (by around 16,000 deaths)

The excess winter death metric is slightly flawed, as it compares how many more people died that winter than during the preceding and following thirds of the year. For a very bodged 2020/21 figure (missing the last 2 weeks of the winter period - so I've assumed an additional ~22000 deaths for those missing weeks - a roughly average number of deaths/week, it also includes the period of excess deaths from the late summer, and in lieu of the data for this coming summer, I've taken the 2015-19 average for the "post" period) we're at around 70,000 EWDs - note also that the 2015/19 average has a typical EWD of 19,000. And that is with it all under huge restrictions..

The argument that we need to turn our society and way of life on it’s head at this stage to “keep us safe” is tenuous at best. I can’t help but think that proponents of the idea have long held such views and this is simply an opportunity to implement things that they would never get a mandate for democratically. Do you fall into this category @35B?

The "keep us safe" phrase is absurd, but unless the country was willing to accept significantly more deaths than usual (with adverse effects on healthcare) than "something" had to be done
 

DustyBin

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It's killed (as underlying cause of death) over 112,000 people in England alone to mid February, with huge restrictions on day to day life - the only cause of death that killed more in the same time period was cancer (by around 16,000 deaths)

The excess winter death metric is slightly flawed, as it compares how many more people died that winter than during the preceding and following thirds of the year. For a very bodged 2020/21 figure (missing the last 2 weeks of the winter period - so I've assumed an additional ~22000 deaths for those missing weeks - a roughly average number of deaths/week, it also includes the period of excess deaths from the late summer, and in lieu of the data for this coming summer, I've taken the 2015-19 average for the "post" period) we're at around 70,000 EWDs - note also that the 2015/19 average has a typical EWD of 19,000. And that is with it all under huge restrictions..

The figure is for those who died with Covid-19 where it was recorded as the underlying cause of death. Whether it was in fact the underlying cause is the bit I question. Rather than get into an ultimately unproductive debate over this we should probably agree to disagree; I simply don’t believe the reporting to be accurate. It’s a moot point in the context of this thread to a certain extent in any case.

The "keep us safe" phrase is absurd, but unless the country was willing to accept significantly more deaths than usual (with adverse effects on healthcare) than "something" had to be done

This is exactly what we have done though. Again, without covering old ground and straying into “effectiveness of lockdowns” territory the number of covid deaths is almost certain to fall to a palatable level as a result of medical intervention (i.e. vaccination). The evidence overwhelmingly supports this. Which brings me back to the thread topic and the question of why at this stage some people want to see our way of life changed forever.
 

DB

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The "keep us safe" phrase is absurd, but unless the country was willing to accept significantly more deaths than usual (with adverse effects on healthcare) than "something" had to be done

But it is not clear that any of these measures over and above those in long-standing pandemic plans have made much difference. The stats from Sweden, and the Ioannidis study, strongly suggest that draconian measures have no or minimal effect on case numbers.
 

Bantamzen

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As someone who studied the Third Reich at a postgraduate level, that comparison is just false. The evidence is clearly visible - and was at the time - that Hitler’s ambitions went way beyond those early steps of 1933, and also that his support was highly conditional throughout the 3rd Reich.

That comparison only works if you accept that the restrictions of today are an early stage of a longer plan, and that this plan involves very tight control of people’s lives. There is simply no evidence for the existence of such a plan, and minimal evidence that there are those who do wish for such controls are anything other than marginal.
But there are people in influential positions doing exactly this, I mean there is even talk among some experts of having some restrictions in place for as long as 10 years. Just because these people aren't actually in power, doesn't mean that they don't have an agenda or that they could these agenda enacted. The whole point of this is that it is entirely possible that those people could be part of something that could end up far more dystopian and authoritarian.
 

35B

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It hasn’t killed 120,000 or more in the UK, of that we can be sure.

I agree vaccination seems reasonable and the evidence that vaccines protect against illness and spreading is strong. At this point we’ve vaccinated the vulnerable, just as we do against flu every year. As I’ve pointed out before, prior to flu vaccinations we lived with high numbers of flu deaths. As recently as 1999/2000 we saw 48,000 excess winter deaths and even with the vaccine we saw 44,000 in 2014/2015 due to what I believe is referred to as antigenic drift.

The argument that we need to turn our society and way of life on it’s head at this stage to “keep us safe” is tenuous at best. I can’t help but think that proponents of the idea have long held such views and this is simply an opportunity to implement things that they would never get a mandate for democratically. Do you fall into this category @35B?
No I don’t. I regard restrictions as a lesser evil than letting the virus loose, given the impact it’s had. Like many others, there are things I would like to do in my life that Covid prevents, and where I’d love restrictions to be eased. Unlike others, including many on here, I don’t regard my freedom to do whatever I’d like as taking absolute precedence over the public interest, and see the two as being in a balance.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

But there are people in influential positions doing exactly this, I mean there is even talk among some experts of having some restrictions in place for as long as 10 years. Just because these people aren't actually in power, doesn't mean that they don't have an agenda or that they could these agenda enacted. The whole point of this is that it is entirely possible that those people could be part of something that could end up far more dystopian and authoritarian.
Ther is “talk among experts” means what, precisely? It means that some individuals, with specific expertise in one topic, are drawing one particular conclusion. That is fundamentally different to the comparison I critiqued, which was about the entire nature of a ruling regime. An avowedly anti democratic, expansionist, racist party doing what it said in their programme and their leader had talked about repeatedly since he emerged into public life is very different from a socially liberal, instinctively anti-authoritarian PM responding to a crisis.

The comparison to genuinely authoritarian regimes is nonsensical, and misses the true nature of their authoritarianism - in reality, totalitarianism. Governments have always had powers to impose significant restrictions on grounds of public health; that they are being used quite specifically and under time restriction is far more important than one or other advisor who is obsessed about zero Covid.

If you have concerns about authoritarian rule, try looking at the sanctions China has imposed on a number of parliamentarians for commenting on the genocide in Xinjiang. Or, for a milder version, look at the Home Office and how it is trying to define for itself the right to interpret what is or is not reasonable protest. These have nothing to do with Covid, but are all about the raw exercise of power.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

But it is not clear that any of these measures over and above those in long-standing pandemic plans have made much difference. The stats from Sweden, and the Ioannidis study, strongly suggest that draconian measures have no or minimal effect on case numbers.
Sweden being a country that is now imposing rigorous limits, and Ioaniddis being widely discredited for his modelling on Covid.
 
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Bantamzen

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Ther is “talk among experts” means what, precisely? It means that some individuals, with specific expertise in one topic, are drawing one particular conclusion. That is fundamentally different to the comparison I critiqued, which was about the entire nature of a ruling regime. An avowedly anti democratic, expansionist, racist party doing what it said in their programme and their leader had talked about repeatedly since he emerged into public life is very different from a socially liberal, instinctively anti-authoritarian PM responding to a crisis.

The comparison to genuinely authoritarian regimes is nonsensical, and misses the true nature of their authoritarianism - in reality, totalitarianism. Governments have always had powers to impose significant restrictions on grounds of public health; that they are being used quite specifically and under time restriction is far more important than one or other advisor who is obsessed about zero Covid.

If you have concerns about authoritarian rule, try looking at the sanctions China has imposed on a number of parliamentarians for commenting on the genocide in Xinjiang. Or, for a milder version, look at the Home Office and how it is trying to define for itself the right to interpret what is or is not reasonable protest. These have nothing to do with Covid, but are all about the raw exercise of power.
Experts with potential influence on decision makers. Have you been asleep for the last 12 months, or did you just not notice that our leaders seem less than capable of leading and are easily spooked?
 

DB

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Sweden being a country that is now imposing rigorous limits, and Ioaniddis being widely discredited for his modelling on Covid.

Sweden, even now, has relatively minor restrictions compared to paranoid countries such as the UK.

As regards Ioannidis, if you disagree with his paper on the effects of restrictions In Europe (which is based on actual numbers rather than modelling), why not address that rather than general criticism of the man?
 

DustyBin

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No I don’t. I regard restrictions as a lesser evil than letting the virus loose, given the impact it’s had. Like many others, there are things I would like to do in my life that Covid prevents, and where I’d love restrictions to be eased. Unlike others, including many on here, I don’t regard my freedom to do whatever I’d like as taking absolute precedence over the public interest, and see the two as being in a balance.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

That’s good to hear. “Given the impact it’s had” however isn’t a valid reason to retain restrictions and/or introduce new draconian measures going forward beyond the 21st of June, not when we’ll have vaccinated the vulnerable (comfortably) by that point. Most people within other groups will take the vaccine and those that don’t will gain natural herd immunity which I still believe to be a ‘thing’ regardless of what the WHO say. Whichever way you look at this, I’m just really struggling to see why we need to threaten/coerce people into taking the vaccine, or retain restrictions on our freedoms. It’s not in the public interest, in fact it’s very much the opposite surely?
 

SouthEastBuses

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But it is not clear that any of these measures over and above those in long-standing pandemic plans have made much difference. The stats from Sweden, and the Ioannidis study, strongly suggest that draconian measures have no or minimal effect on case numbers.

And Florida too. Despite no lockdown, minimal restrictions and an ageing population - their stats are no worse than us in the UK. Just shows how pointless and unnecessary lockdowns are. Some Italians too have had enough of lockdowns, with one guy saying that it destroys the young people's mental health, the economy and many businesses.
 

kez19

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I was reading comments in my local paper and most were disagreeing going down this route branding it comical - well aren’t people now waking up/realising what’s happening?
 

Skimpot flyer

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As someone who studied the Third Reich at a postgraduate level, that comparison is just false. The evidence is clearly visible - and was at the time - that Hitler’s ambitions went way beyond those early steps of 1933, and also that his support was highly conditional throughout the 3rd Reich.

That comparison only works if you accept that the restrictions of today are an early stage of a longer plan, and that this plan involves very tight control of people’s lives. There is simply no evidence for the existence of such a plan, and minimal evidence that there are those who do wish for such controls are anything other than marginal.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==


Because it’s new and, in a period of a year from first entering this country, killed 120,000 or more people in the U.K. alone.

If (though probable, the evidence is still not clear) vaccinations both protect against illness and spreading, then vaccination to limit spread seems an entirely reasonable strategy.
Vaccination being desirable is one thing; being coerced under threat of becoming a social pariah is quite another, however.
Lawyer Daniel Barnett seems to believe that this would in fact be indirect discrimination, and could well be tested in court if anyone tries to implement such a policy ...
The most interesting part is from about 4m03s onwards

The only precedent for such a medical passport is in the Californian porn industry, where information about another person’s HIV status is necessary to protect you; information about another person’s Covid status is not necessary to protect you, as you’ve been vaccinated and we don’t have a vaccine for HIV
 

35B

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That’s good to hear. “Given the impact it’s had” however isn’t a valid reason to retain restrictions and/or introduce new draconian measures going forward beyond the 21st of June, not when we’ll have vaccinated the vulnerable (comfortably) by that point. Most people within other groups will take the vaccine and those that don’t will gain natural herd immunity which I still believe to be a ‘thing’ regardless of what the WHO say. Whichever way you look at this, I’m just really struggling to see why we need to threaten/coerce people into taking the vaccine, or retain restrictions on our freedoms. It’s not in the public interest, in fact it’s very much the opposite surely?
A few points in there. I’m open minded about whether 21st June, or a bit earlier, or a bit later is the right time, but agree we do need to relax restrictions and have policy based on the assumption that they will be relaxed.

My issue with the dogma over a date - any date - is the assumption that a modelled outcome will be any more right than models have proved previously. And your hypothesis (which, by the way, I think is plausible) is no more or less than a model. It’s why I firmly believe in data before dates, and believe the government’s caution is justified.

As for vaccination levels, I firmly believe that every one of us offered it should take it at the first available opportunity unless there are strong medical reasons for that individual not to. I was delighted to receive an invitation for my first jab on Monday, and concerned that my wife (same age group and general health) did not get a text at the same time as me - fortunately addressed quickly by the surgery when contacted. The more of us are vaccinated, the fewer hosts for Covid there are and the less scope it has to do harm. It appears that these vaccines do not provide full sterilising immunity, and that it’s time limited, so that limitation of its power to spread is more rather than less important.

I’m not a fan of domestic vaccine passports because I don’t think they’d be effective. But they are being considered and for what I consider to be valid reasons to support society reopening more. For that reason, I remain adamant both that each individual’s decision of whether or not to take a vaccine must be a matter of personal choice, and that in making that choice they need to be aware that there may be downsides for them from that choice. In saying that, I’m fully conscious that there are some who will read this who vehemently disagree and who are legitimately unhappy about the position it puts them in personally.
 

LAX54

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A few points in there. I’m open minded about whether 21st June, or a bit earlier, or a bit later is the right time, but agree we do need to relax restrictions and have policy based on the assumption that they will be relaxed.

My issue with the dogma over a date - any date - is the assumption that a modelled outcome will be any more right than models have proved previously. And your hypothesis (which, by the way, I think is plausible) is no more or less than a model. It’s why I firmly believe in data before dates, and believe the government’s caution is justified.

As for vaccination levels, I firmly believe that every one of us offered it should take it at the first available opportunity unless there are strong medical reasons for that individual not to. I was delighted to receive an invitation for my first jab on Monday, and concerned that my wife (same age group and general health) did not get a text at the same time as me - fortunately addressed quickly by the surgery when contacted. The more of us are vaccinated, the fewer hosts for Covid there are and the less scope it has to do harm. It appears that these vaccines do not provide full sterilising immunity, and that it’s time limited, so that limitation of its power to spread is more rather than less important.

I’m not a fan of domestic vaccine passports because I don’t think they’d be effective. But they are being considered and for what I consider to be valid reasons to support society reopening more. For that reason, I remain adamant both that each individual’s decision of whether or not to take a vaccine must be a matter of personal choice, and that in making that choice they need to be aware that there may be downsides for them from that choice. In saying that, I’m fully conscious that there are some who will read this who vehemently disagree and who are legitimately unhappy about the position it puts them in personally.
I think, so much has been shouted about 21st June, I feel that it cannot be extended without many just saying "No" and carrying on as normal, also the 'passport' has to be no, to domestic use, but of you wish to go to Italy / USA / Canada etc, then feel we will have to have them, as the destination country will require it, as overseas holidays are not 'essential' I cannot see I am being discriminated against being valid, you don't have to go to the USA etc on holiday.
 

yorksrob

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I think, so much has been shouted about 21st June, I feel that it cannot be extended without many just saying "No" and carrying on as normal, also the 'passport' has to be no, to domestic use, but of you wish to go to Italy / USA / Canada etc, then feel we will have to have them, as the destination country will require it, as overseas holidays are not 'essential' I cannot see I am being discriminated against being valid, you don't have to go to the USA etc on holiday.

Yes, this is pretty much how I see it.
 

Yew

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I think, so much has been shouted about 21st June, I feel that it cannot be extended without many just saying "No" and carrying on as normal, also the 'passport' has to be no, to domestic use, but of you wish to go to Italy / USA / Canada etc, then feel we will have to have them, as the destination country will require it, as overseas holidays are not 'essential' I cannot see I am being discriminated against being valid, you don't have to go to the USA etc on holiday.
There is no requirement for discrimination to be on something 'essensial'
 

AlterEgo

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There is no requirement for discrimination to be on something 'essensial'
It doesn’t matter as here we are talking about other sovereign countries who are quite entitled to set their own rules on entry, and over which we rightly have no say. You can expect some countries at least to introduce vaccine proof requirements.
 

yorksrob

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Indeed. We have no control over what other sovereign nations require for entry.
 

Bantamzen

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Indeed. We have no control over what other sovereign nations require for entry.
Not directly, but we as a nation still have the ability to negotiate, something sadly our government isn't very good at. For example we could say to the EU that Turkey is planning to accept UK visitors without either a vaccine passport or negative covid test, on the basis that by the time travel restarts most adults in this country will have an increased level on immunity through vaccination. So we could attempt to negotiate a similar level of trust with EU members, something I suspect will make some member states sit up and take notice as they are in direct competition, and even diplomatic conflict with Turkey. And at the end of the day, as pointed out in the video posted above, vaccine passports for covid will not equal zero transmission. So maybe its time for the world to do a bit of adulting and adopt a more sensible approach to travel.
 

yorksrob

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Not directly, but we as a nation still have the ability to negotiate, something sadly our government isn't very good at. For example we could say to the EU that Turkey is planning to accept UK visitors without either a vaccine passport or negative covid test, on the basis that by the time travel restarts most adults in this country will have an increased level on immunity through vaccination. So we could attempt to negotiate a similar level of trust with EU members, something I suspect will make some member states sit up and take notice as they are in direct competition, and even diplomatic conflict with Turkey. And at the end of the day, as pointed out in the video posted above, vaccine passports for covid will not equal zero transmission. So maybe its time for the world to do a bit of adulting and adopt a more sensible approach to travel.

I suspect that something more satisfactory will be negotiated in time. The reality is that the EU member states have more pressing issues at present.
 

greyman42

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I’m not a fan of domestic vaccine passports because I don’t think they’d be effective. But they are being considered and for what I consider to be valid reasons to support society reopening more. For that reason, I remain adamant both that each individual’s decision of whether or not to take a vaccine must be a matter of personal choice, and that in making that choice they need to be aware that there may be downsides for them from that choice. In saying that, I’m fully conscious that there are some who will read this who vehemently disagree and who are legitimately unhappy about the position it puts them in personally.
I don't think that the government has any intention of introducing vaccine passports for domestic use. I believe that the threat of them is to try and coerce people who are reluctant to have the vaccine into having it.
 
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