Though interestingly, someone I follow on twitter posted this (as well as a link to that article):
With the caveat that I’m referring only to restrictions within U.K. borders, I’d agree with you on that as a likely conclusion. I do however reserve my full judgment until we’ve seen some clear trends and experience as vaccination really starts to take effect - given the restrictions we’re under, disentangling the effects of lockdown and vaccination will require care, and I expect the government to want to be careful to avoid a situation like that in the autumn/early winter, when previously committed relaxations were squashed because of the scale of the outbreak and its impact on healthcare.
They may, but I suspect many will if offered a choice between conditional access to facilities pending vaccination and no access, take the conditional access. With finite supply of vaccines and people to administer them, there will always be some at the back of the queue - and on a risk based analysis, those you mention are reasonable candidates for that unenviable spot.
Somewhat related to this, and is what I've been looking for for ages:
Looking at hospital admission rate by age groups the higher age groups appear to be declining faster than lower age groups whether impact of vaccine or not I wouldn't know. Ive got a 7 day average on the daily data to smooth out variations but 65-84 group is showing increasing decline based on last couple of days data (7/2 is last update). This is what i would expect as on a 3 week lookback on vaccination levels (so those that should have reasonable level of inoculation by now) that would be 4.3m people.Positive test numbers are dropping encouragingly, but rates do seem to be remaining stubbornly high amongst the older age groups (at least in England)
Good
Looking at that table, I always thought that exercise being limited to once a day in England was guidance, not law.
Always has been.
Did that ever get as far as official published guidance, rather than a ministerial comment ?
I do wish the Government dashboard would breakdown the 18-64 age group into two, maybe 18-44 and 45-64 or similar, which might highlight the significance of the 5-9 priority groups for vaccinations better and allow better grasp of how many young people are being admitted to hospital, if that makes sense.
I don't think there are really any ways to describe Shridhar in polite company. It's possible that she means well, but she doesn't seem much interested in introspection or academic enquiry. Everything seems to her to be proof that she was right all along or the work of wicked people who want to let rip and kill billions
The more she demands, the more people turn against her.
I think in short extreme measures, especially in this case when it comes to longevity, go too far in the eyes of many and end up being counter-productive, the same reason the "look them in the eyes" adverts are annoying people.Thats what we need, it must be working(turning against her I mean), the tide must be turning, as if they all demand the public (even though its later than it should have been) will turn on them all and realise it?
I've made this point before but I'll make it again. The media like, want and search for people like her and Ferguson. Hyping up stories gets viewers or readers. From a media perspective someone who presents a reasonable, middle of the road opinion is of no interest. There is no point wishing things were different. The only thing to do if you don't like it is don't watch, buy the newspapers or go to their websites.
I'm finding that easier to do with every passing day
It is just guidance.
She is bonkers.
Thanks for posting, but can you edit your post to include a text alternative, for anyone unable to view the image please? Many thanks
Funny, it’s usually the same talking heads on both sides of the argument. Both equally tediously reciting their best lines from the last year, lightly tuned to whatever the latest headlines are.
That's the main problem. It’s all very well people deciding that they have had enough of the lockdown and are not remaining in lockdown much longer, but not so easy if nearly everywhere remains closed. I’ve completely had enough of walking the same muddy footpaths within a few miles from home. As the weather gets better and the nights lighter I would like to forget lockdown and begin to take longer days out further from home and ultimately spend a few nights in a hotel away from home. This can’t be done if hotels are closed and even on days out it’s not much fun when you can’t sit inside anywhere for something to eat and drink. I’m finding it so depressing this morning listening to the news where there is talk of not even any UK holidays this summer, and that things might just be nearly back to normal by the end of the year. I was hoping that we could at least get back to what we had last summer by April.
As you say - and that includes the likes of Walker on the anti lockdown side of the argument.
