There seem to be a handful of occasions per year when disruption is forecast several days ahead. In recent years these forecasts has generally proved to be accurate - meaning actual disruption from objects on the line, floods, etc - not just a self-fulfilling prophecy when service is reduced in anticipation of something that doesn't actually happen. So it seems to me perverse when the operator has to pay out to all their passengers when it's patently impossible to carry them to destination within 15 or 30min of right time, and they know there is a significant risk they will also have to pay out for alternative transport or have to rescue passengers who end up stranded. Such a regime may even encourage more people to travel in the knowledge they will probably get a full or partial refund.
Hence my view that, rather like "void days" on season tickets, TOCs should be able to suspend Delay Repay for specified times and journey groups, provided they offer the choice of full refund or alternative travel at no extra cost on previous or following days. Potential passengers should be aware ahead of time that disruption is expected, and can make an informed decision on whether to take the risk, knowing the TOC will do what it can to get them there but it's unreasonable to expect the original schedule to be met.
When there's expected travel problems due to storms it should be the case that TOC's do the following:
- advise passengers to contact them to arrange suitable other travel options with the TOC being required to accept any reasonable request, this would include those booked on services in the day either side of the weather event (the latter so that the TOC can create space for extra passengers)
- put a pause on selling of advanced tickets for the day either side of the weather event as well as the day(s) with a note to that effect on the booking engines as well as a warning that sure to adverse weather conditions that would be preferable to consider if their travel is required, so that people booking onto those services are aware that they could be subject to emergency timetables and could expect a busier than normal train.
Generally I think that the current setup is reasonable and fair.
The issue with the thought process on why should the taxpayer be funding these repayments is that in the greater scheme of things it would make little difference. In fact for any franchises which were already up and running it would likely just result in extra profits for the company.
The other thing to bear in mind is that some people will opt to use the train over flying for the very reason that they get a refund or partial refund for a fairly small delay. As such there's likely to be a cost implication of this was to be changed (i.e. fewer passengers overall). This could mean that the cost savings to the tax payer may not be as big as they first seam.
Especially given that at least 80% (and often over 90%) of rail subsidy is needed because of the enhancements being undertaken to the existing rail network. As such the impact on the overall subsidy in making such a change is going to be tiny.
Let's for argument's sake that it cuts the day to day spending subsidy from £300 million to £150 million (50% drop), that's only going to cut the overall subsidy from £5bn to £4.85bn (3% drop).
(2017/18 day to day subsidy was circa £170 million 2018/19 it was circa £500 million with other recent years typically falling within or close to this range, so £300 million is a fairly reasonable amount to use as an example).