No I don't. Please explain which units you think could replace the existing fleet of TFW 150s by 2020.Obviously you do not understand!
No I don't. Please explain which units you think could replace the existing fleet of TFW 150s by 2020.Obviously you do not understand!
Pacer withdrawal has nothing to do with disabilities. Their replacements also do not have step free access. To suggest withdrawal of Pacers is overdue solely because of any issues wheelchair users have is really an insult to the 99.whatever% of passengers who are not disabled.It's the other way round, the UK is leading on accessibility regulations. It is completely correct that vehicles such as Pacers are being replaced by those with step free access/door ledges. In fact, it should have happened 20 years ago but it's only recently people are more aware of the challenges disabled or less mobile people face on an everyday basis. The new regulations in 2020 are a step in the right direction.
+1. It's so easy for everyone to shift blame but the crux of the problem is this:You are naive if you think the truth will come out and the DFT will get the blame, the DFT will deflect all blame to the operators as they have done for the best part of the last decade, preying on the naviety of the public who believe that everything is under the TOCs control rather than the truth that they are heavily dictated to by a DFT who makes all the decision yet has to face no scrutiny at all.
The thing you will find with the Tory government is that there is always someone else to shift the blame on and if it's not the EU it will be the train operators. Hell, even the education system is being set up this way now with academies and free schools, so we can now blame trusts and poor leadership instead of huge funding cuts.
With a proper functioning opposition, you'd expect them to then point the finger to the government policy as the problem with the lack of PRM related stocks, but Labour will be too busy using this to their own agenda to further their cause for nationalisation so you can expect that they too will be happy to blame the operators primarily rather than giving the DFT the majority of the blame.
The DFT is an ideal department to work in for incompetent civil servants, since you have the benefit of making all of the decisions, getting all the praise and turn up for various photo ops, whilst taking none of the blame for the cock-ups you make as the TOC will get blamed by the public and the media.
It wouldn't be so bad if the accessibility features actually met a need.
Here in Canary Wharf the whole area and transport (DLR, Underground, bus, London taxis, and all the buildings) are new and thus fully accessible. I reckon I maybe see one passenger a year on the DLR in a wheelchair.
Pacer withdrawal has nothing to do with disabilities. Their replacements also do not have step free access. To suggest withdrawal of Pacers is overdue solely because of any issues wheelchair users have is really an insult to the 99.whatever% of passengers who are not disabled.
Completely wrong. They are being replaced because they are life expired and the ORR stated years ago they would not authorise life extension work. Nothing at all to do with any disability of any kind.Pacer withdrawal is linked to disabilities because it is not worth the cost of upgrading them.
Completely wrong. They are being replaced because they are life expired and the ORR stated years ago they would not authorise life extension work. Nothing at all to do with any disability of any kind.
Obviously you still do not understand what I wrote. Given that this has been posted on here numerous times, with the same responses that the ROSCOs should pay out for no return, I can only assume that there are many people who are completely commercially naïve.No I don't. Please explain which units you think could replace the existing fleet of TFW 150s by 2020.
The question is, can they do that prior to 31/12/19 or will lessons have to be learnt after the event?Complaints by disability groups may well lead to equality - there will be no trains for anyone!
With the best will in the world that isnt going to acceptable therefore a pragmatic compromise needs to be reached for the short to medium term.
nothing happening there as the franchise is up for renewal next year.The main problem is the EMT HSTs, if they were removed from service, then the resulting drop in capacity would be political suicide!
You've also got the situation in Wales where the 150/2 fleet will be going through the PRM-TSI refurbishment (still not yet started on all bar 1 unit), but the 150s will be gone from Wales by the end of 2023, with no guarantee of them getting new homes once they leave Wales.As many people repeatedly explain on this forum: disability does not equal wheelchair. The PRM-TSI regulations cover a wide range of disabilities and do not require level boarding (which is only practical for straight platforms). Pacer withdrawal is linked to disabilities because it is not worth the cost of upgrading them. Work on sprinters is cheaper, they are in a better condition and they are expected to last longer. Removing Pacers from Northern was partly political and partly financial. Removing them from Wales is financial due to cost of PRM-TSI compliance work. If the deadline was later they would most likely stay until Tram Trains enter service.
https://amp.theguardian.com/uk-news...ill-not-begin-retiring-pacer-trains-this-yearAngel Trains, which owns 79 of the Northern Pacers and a further 15 in Wales, said it expected them all to disappear within the next 15 months.
You've also got the situation in Wales where the 150/2 fleet will be going through the PRM-TSI refurbishment (still not yet started on all bar 1 unit), but the 150s will be gone from Wales by the end of 2023, with no guarantee of them getting new homes once they leave Wales.
TfW's 158s will be gone by 2021/22, no guaranteed homes for those either.
There's no way that TfW would be spending £10 million refurbishing the 158s and 150/2s to PRM-TSI standard just for 2-3 years service, and at huge cost in terms of the disruption having so many trains from the fleet out of service at the same time over the next 12 months, if it wasn't for the 1/1/2020 deadline.
'Transport for Wales' is an arms length Welsh government owned body, the same as TfL, that is overseeing the Wales and Borders franchise on behalf of Welsh Government.TFW is "state" owned is it not?, rather than franchise?
for a franchise(of 7-10 years) are you expecting them to be forking out £400m+ on 150 new trains?
lets face it, ROSCO's basically recoup the money they invest on new units in 5 years of leasing revenue, it's not a very good deal for the passenger, or the TOC. for an asset with a 30 year lifespan.
if you were talking home improvements/solar panels etc a 10 year ROI is a typical expectation, but ROSCO's beat this comfortably!
makes auction value+ 10m re-fit costs for 3 years use look like a bargain!.
truth be told, 15x are probably good for 10 years more .
I think TfW would prefer to buy direct rather than wet/dry lease the sprinters.
Can you provide some evidence on this? Don't forget to factor in the cost of finance for it.lets face it, ROSCO's basically recoup the money they invest on new units in 5 years of leasing revenue, it's not a very good deal for the passenger, or the TOC. for an asset with a 30 year lifespan.
if you were talking home improvements/solar panels etc a 10 year ROI is a typical expectation, but ROSCO's beat this comfortably!
12-17 years depending on the cost of finance at the time and the initial lease period. E.g. TfL sign up for long leases on LO in return for lower (annual) leasing costs which then leads to a longer breakeven point for the ROSCO. The ROSCO will also typically be covering at least the heavy overall work on the units in the interim which extends the breakeven period and also potentially a complete respray when the paint warranty expires between 15-20 years hence plenty of accrual towards mid life costs in the initial lease period(s).Can you provide some evidence on this? Don't forget to factor in the cost of finance for it.
I took disappear to means Booths having deal with them after engines and gear boxes are salvaged...Article published yesterday stating that Pacers will be withdrawn within 15 months. That must mean that an exemption of some description is expected.
https://amp.theguardian.com/uk-news...ill-not-begin-retiring-pacer-trains-this-year
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Pacers also have the "extra" internal step that is incredibly difficult to sort without replacing the doors and other large expenditure, hence they are far more costly to modify than other stock (e.g. 150s).Pacer withdrawal has nothing to do with disabilities. Their replacements also do not have step free access. To suggest withdrawal of Pacers is overdue solely because of any issues wheelchair users have is really an insult to the 99.whatever% of passengers who are not disabled.
Thanks - that is more what I have been lead to believe by people who know. I was just challenging “hooverboy” to use facts rather than the uninformed nonsense that too often crops up when leasing is discussed.12-17 years depending on the cost of finance at the time and the initial lease period. E.g. TfL sign up for long leases on LO in return for lower (annual) leasing costs which then leads to a longer breakeven point for the ROSCO. The ROSCO will also typically be covering at least the heavy overall work on the units in the interim which extends the breakeven period and also potentially a complete respray when the paint warranty expires between 15-20 years hence plenty of accrual towards mid life costs in the initial lease period(s).
Agreed always plenty of non sense when leasing is discussed.Thanks - that is more what I have been lead to believe by people who know. I was just challenging “hooverboy” to use facts rather than the uninformed nonsense that too often crops up when leasing is discussed.
There comes a point when it’s probably cheaper (as a whole) to give every disabled person a card that’s valid for taxi journeys from station to station at the same cost as rail fare.
However, disabled people rightly have exactly the same right to travel on a train as anyone else.
What about Ebbw Vale and services into Cardiff?
The current 8 x 153s will be supplemented by an extra 5 during 2019, if derogations are granted for use with compliant units then that is an extra 13 coaches on top of the incoming 12 x 170s, 5 x 230s (to free up 5 x 150s) and 5 x 769s (have the rumoured extra 4 units been confirmed?).
For any franchise it will be far less politically damaging to allow derogations for 153s and any units not refurbished on time to be used only with compliant stock than to allow pacers to stay.
What will actually happen with the Transport for Wales Rail Services fleet at the start of 2020...?
During 2019, 26 PRM compliant/accepted units are due to join the TfW Rail fleet (comprising the 9 769s - the extra 4 have been ordered, the 5 230s and the 12 170s), as well as the 5 153s you mentioned (which I'm assuming aren't PRM compliant and are the FGW blue ones), which all going well with those will increase the fleet size by 31 from 126 to 157 for a brief amount of time.
By my estimations based on the rate of progress in 2018, the remaining unmodified 17 158s of the 24 will all be PRM modified by the end of 2019, as well as 8 more 150s (150-285 is already done), which will take the "150s done" figure to 9 out of 36. Of course, the 27 175s will also be serviceable as they were built to PRM compliance/acceptance from new.
This means that theoretically at the beginning of 2020 the 769s/230s/170s totalling 26, all of the 158s and 175s totalling 51 and the 9 150s that will be PRM modified by then will be all that will be serviceable, seeing as the 29 Pacers will supposedly leave the fleet by then as they won't be intended to remain in service and therefore won't be PRM modified, and the remaining unmodified 27 150s of the 36 along with I'm assuming all then-13 153s won't be serviceable until they are modified. This would see the fleet reduce in size from 157 to 88, which would just not be enough.
...and that's not even taking the LHCS into account. Towards the end of 2019, Mk4s will replace the Mk3s; they will come from LNER - are those PRM compliant...? If not, the fleet size at the start of 2020 will be even lower than 88 units/sets at just 85 units (!)...
Surely there must be a payable fine / some kind of exemption to continue the unmodified 150s and the 153s in service during 2020 alongside the 769s, 230s, 170s, 158s, 175s and the modified 150s, to at least have the normal ~125 fleet size...?
Supposedly, by the end of 2019:
769-002/3/6/7/8/x/x/x/x will have joined the fleet, all PRM modified at conversion
230-006 to 230-010 will have joined the fleet, all PRM modified at conversion
170-270 to 170-273 and 170-201 to 170-208 will have joined, all "PRM accepted"
175-001 to 175-011 and 175-101 to 175-116 will all be "PRM accepted"
158-818 to 158-841 will have all been PRM modified
9 150s will have all been PRM modified
The remaining 27 150s will not be PRM compliant
All 13 153s (previously 8, but 5 more will have joined) will not be PRM compliant
The Mark 4 LHCS which will have replaced the Mark 3 LHCS - PRM compliant or no...?
142-073 was withdrawn in July 2018
142-002/06/10/69/72/74/75/76/77/80/81/82/83/85 will have all left the fleet
143-601/02/04/05/06/07/08/09/10/14/16/22/23/24/25 will have all left the fleet
What exactly is this paragraph saying? She's implying that the Northern 195s could be sent to Scotland, Wales or Cornwall if needed? It's obviously wrong but seems like a strange paragraph to include in the article:Article published yesterday stating that Pacers will be withdrawn within 15 months. That must mean that an exemption of some description is expected.
https://amp.theguardian.com/uk-news...ill-not-begin-retiring-pacer-trains-this-year
(Usual disclaimer about the Guardian not being my favourite news source entails. Enjoy the AMP link without ads!)
Kate Anstee, who founded the Northern Resist passenger group, travels on a Pacer every day.
“There is no sign of these Pacers being faded out as promised by Northern, and indeed we have been told by Northern staff that in fact when the new modern units are provided they will have the capacity to run anywhere in the country, which could result in them being moved to meet demand in other parts of the country,” Anstee said.
What exactly is this paragraph saying? She's implying that the Northern 195s could be sent to Scotland, Wales or Cornwall if needed? It's obviously wrong but seems like a strange paragraph to include in the article: