As I've mentioned before, the timetable is being completely recast. It's wrong to assume that these trains will be stopping anywhere other than Stansted and Liverpool Street. 10 car Aventras will be used on WA commuter services in any case, that's 1100 seats per train and two doors per car. The plan is to redistribute loadings and that's from the man in charge in personal correspondence.
Under the Franchise Agreement TS1 applies until May 19. TSR 2 May 19-May 20, TSR 3 from May 20. You can see that the only way to achieve the minimum number of stops specified at Stortford/Harlow T/Tottenham Hale is for current stopping patterns to be maintained, more or less. In fact in the combined periods 0200-0659 and 0700-0959 the number of stops at Tott Hale in the up direction is TSR 1 38, 2 42, 3 42, so very similar to today.
The plan may well have been to use 10 car 720s on WA, but I think that will have to be revised. 10 car 720s cant go to Hertford East nor Kings Lynn. Infrastructure work to accommodate them should have been done this year per FA, but not done. CP6 enhancements plan not been published, but doesnt look like work will be done before the 720s arrive, although of course when that will be no one knows taking into account the Goblin mess.
As an aside the changes due per TSR 2 May 19 are:
- hourly Norwich Camb extended to Stansted Apt
- Hertford East off peak 2TPH to 3TPH
- Southend Vic off peak 3TPH to 4TPH
- LivSt Ips hourly semifast extended to Norwich
- introduction of STAR
Will have to see what they actually get round to delivering