Shaw S Hunter
Established Member
We know Northern drivers feel strongly about it the same as Southern drivers and probably every other company involved in this dispute, problem is DOO has been specified in the contract and the government will not be backing down, not now, the dispute is too far gone at this stage. I do not understand where this view is that ASLEF and RMT can demand whatever they want when its not that easy in reality. The company will simply play their old tricks, which is imposing a contract, either you sign it or you are effectively making yourself redundant. The unions will be treading carefully, because the problem with that is that they can decide your terms and conditions. ARN is a traditional franchise so they will be happy to make any savings they possibly can, unlike GTR which is all costed and paid for by the government.
I do not believe Northern, or any other TOC, will ever exercise the "nuclear" option of fire and re-hire as a way of imposing changes to drivers' contracts. It is an incredibly risky approach: if ASLEF members stick together and refuse to comply then suddenly you have no drivers left. Under normal circumstances it takes 12-14 months to train a new recruit off the street but even that relies on them being able to spend a considerable period shadowing a Driver Instructor. But if all the DIs have gone then that 12-14 months is completely unachievable: it would take several years to rebuild your complement by which time the need for them will have gone in any case. Far more realistic to simply throw money at the existing workforce assuming they will accept it and the amount required is acceptable going forward. And if not you are back to more or less maintaining the status quo by simply moving to driver open, guard close, achievable at virtually no immediate cost and avoiding any further costly disputes. If you want to go "nuclear" you might just as well shut the railways down completely: not even the Tories are that politically reckless.
If Northern Drivers feel so strongly about it why arnt they striking? This is half the problem. If RMT and Aslef got together the government would at some point have to intervene. Reality is despite your argument that the drivers do feel strongly we have seen no action.
I get the impression from your posts that you are a very frustrated outsider who expected that strike action would quickly lead to a negotiated settlement. But ultimately this is a dispute arising from a political decision which makes things much more complicated. ASLEF got its fingers burned with the GatEx 12-car DOO issue so you can be sure they are now treading carefully. Accordingly they will not go into dispute until forced to do so by the arrival of the new trains. Of course that moment is not too far away now.
Why would northern sign so restrictive a deal, that they clearly and knowingly could have agreed from the outset and prevented the strike ballot even taking place .The recent GA deal at least shows things have moved forward a bit, since the initial GWR, Southern and Scotrail disputes, where drivers refused to negotiate on door closing
Your faux naivete does not suit you. Northern are merely pawns in a wider political dispute. Whatever means is used to resolve the dispute Northern will do nothing notable without the say-so of the DfT. Were it otherwise I have no doubt that real-world railway managers would have come up with an agreeable arrangement many months ago.