So the 153s will only be able to provide 'extra' trains to release 150s for PRM work for 6 - 7 months next year, before they will have to be permanently attached to other trains and so whilst boosting capacity of existing trains, won't help to increase the number of trains running overall and won't be able to act as PRM cover if all of Wales' 150s & 158s aren't modified by 2020.
Remember that the 769s were supposed to be the PRM cover; I doubt the extra 153s were intended as PRM cover but may end up being such due to the late-appearance of the 769s. Due to the May 2019 due date for the extra 153s, I've a sneaky suspicion that they were originally intended as a summer capacity-boost on the Pembroke & Tenby line given that, when the ITT was being written, the GWR summer Saturday service was expected to be withdrawn (I certainly tried to make the powers that be aware of this in my response to the various consultations, and others probably did the same).
Edwina Hart, Ken Skates, Carwyn Jones and TfW are the ones to blame and responsible for the fleet crisis facing Wales. They were warned in 2013 to start preparing immediately to modify Wales' trains and at least get a plan in place. They did nothing and ignored all advice from the ROSCOs and rail experts
Yes, WAG have dirt on their hands with this one but there is a good case for blaming the UK government / DfT too. Letting a no-growth franchise, with no obligation to make trains 2020-compliant, that ends so-close to the deadline was as irresponsible was WAG's decision to ignore the advice of ROSCOs and experts. Blame both Cardiff Bay and London I say.
Welsh Government didn't have to wait until the new franchise to electrify the valleys there could have been a rolling programme going on for some years ow and Pacers wouldn't be an issue.
They could (and probably should) have done so yes; but they have a good reason for not doing so. Rail infrustructure is not devolved, meaning WAG don't get any money for that in their block grant; they can invest in rail but only by taking funds from other purposes.
So the metro trains get Grammer R3000, but yet the long-distance gets Fainsa Ironing Board.
What?!
Ironing board seats, no tables, luggage racks aligned with windows better than the seats are, doors at thirds... That's
NOT a regional express (inter-urban) train; not even a regional one. It's a suburban/commuter unit. Good for Cardiff-Cheltenham and Liverpool-Llandudno stoppers maybe; but not alot else outside the Cardiff metro.
One thing about a 3/4 year lead time at least we can lobby hard before they get built.
I'm in. Now,
how exactly does one lobby 'hard' and actually get anywhere? So far, I've written to three assembly members; one hasn't replied and one probably didn't get my message because he resigned soon after I sent it. The third did contact Ken Skates and later forwarded the minister's response to me which basiclly just claimed that the new trains would be great and have comfortable seating.
Is it? I would have thought it might be better to tag a few DMU's on at the very end of the order to eventually replace the MK4's perhaps or 3 x 4 car sets with a small kitchen, rather than maintaining the aging MK4's until the end of the franchise.
I do find a little bizarre that new DMU's are good enough for the Manchester route but not for these special services on the Holyhead route.
Well, for the reasons noted above, they're not good enough for the Manchester routes. In the case of Manchester - south Wales though the failure to improve services for S.W. Wales means that DMUs are necessary so that you can have 5-car between Manchester and Swansea with 2-car continuing west. If they introduced a seperate Cardiff-Carmarthen/Milford DMU service they could have done LHCS for Manchester-Swansea as well; a missed opertunity in my view. Still, as Gareth Marston has said, let's lobby hard to make sure the DMUs are at least suitable DMUs rather than the poor showing in the pictures shown so far.
Still no news on where the standard only 3 car units will be deployed.
Still some time away yet, but in terms of the 3-coach CAF units, from a total of 26:
10 x Manchester to Swansea, all with FC.
2 x FC units on maintenance/spare.
6 x Manchester to Bangor standard only; 5 would cover an hourly service but there may be some services continuing to Holyhead.
4 x Liverpool to Shrewsbury/Cardiff standard only.
2 x Liverpool to Llandudno standard only.
2 x standard only for maintenance/spare.
So of the 51 two coach sets; 7 for maintenance, 12 tagged on to Manchester - Swansea services to work forward to West Wales, 2 for remaining Liverpool to Llandudno services, 2 for Conwy Valley, 1 for Crewe to Chester, 2 for strengthening the Manchester - Bangor route and for spare duties. It'd leave about 25 units to work doubled up hourly Birmingham to Cambrian services, with peak time trains and maybe some daytime portion workings running in treble 6-car formations. Would 25 two coach units be enough to cover a sound Cambrian line service?
Interesting questions; what do those of you who use the routes in question think is needed in terms of train length? I'm not a frequent user of the rail system, and most of the journeys I do make on ATW are in S.W. Wales (and sometimes as far as Cardiff), but my guesses for what is actually needed would be:
5-car
Swansea-Manchester
4-car
Manchester-Bangor (5-car in Manchester peaks with 3-car unit detaching for Llandudno and 2-car continuing to Bangor)
3-car
Liverpool-Llandudno
Birmingham-Holyhead
Birmingham-Aberystwyth (combining with the above to give 6-car east of Shrewsbury)
Birmingham-Pwllheli (summer)
I've no idea how busy I think the Liverpool/Holyhead-Cardiff workings would be. The problem with making the Birmingham-Holyhead 3-car is that it has to be the unit at the north end in Shrewsbury station, which is then at the east end of Machynlleth station and ends up going to Pwllheli (which in summer would be a good thing but probably overkill in winter). So maybe the Holyhead-Birmingham would be 4-car, but then it would be a 7-car train east of Shrewsbury once the Aberystwyth portion couples up.
Personally, I think the micro-fleet of non-tri-mode Flirts should be cancelled, the 170s used on Cardiff-Cheltenham/Ebbw Vale/Maesteg etc., the number of CAF units reduced (but not the number of vehicles; with more 3-car units) and either the 175s OR the 158s retained to work Heart Of Wales and Conwy Valley services along with a new Cardiff-Carmarthen hourly service with alternate trips continuing to Milford Haven giving the latter a roughly hourly service. There would be three or maybe four types of CAF unit:
- class 197/0 2-car units (class 196/397 combo)
- class 197/1 3-car units (class 196/397 combo)
- class 197/1 3-car units (class 196/397 combo with first class)
- class 196/3 3-car units (suburban unit for Liverpool-Llandudno stoppers and Cardiff-Shrewsbury stoppers if that's a thing)