There seems to be a strange idea that renationalising the railways will be expensive... but that ignores the fact that the infrastructure is to all effects and purposes, already nationalised.... and the rest is operated under a fixed term contract... so all any government has to do is wait for each franchise to end... and then fail to re-franchise taking operations of each franchise back under a state run operating company... that way it doesn't cost a single penny to renationalise... or am I missing something?
Not refranchising the TOCs achieves precisely nothing.
You then have 20-ish TOCs to manage, so you need the managers for that, but they won't have access to private funds to do anything significant, like buy new trains.
They will have to bid for government funds and we will be back to stop/go projects on a year by year basis, not the current 7-10 year deals.
They will still be leasing private trains (for 27 years if they are IEPs) from banks, and trains will still be privately built (mostly abroad) and maintained.
There will still be private freight and Open Access TOCs, so you still need ORR and path competition and allocation to provide the same level playing field as today.
You still have to have a "franchise-like" service performance contract with DfT and all the devolved parties (Scotland, Wales, Rail North, TfL, PTEs etc).
You have to accommodate HS1, HS2 and lines like Heathrow Express which are funded differently (they are not NR lines).
So what organisational model will your non-franchised railway have, and how will it be funded?
What fares will you charge (the current supposed "rip-off" franchises still use the ex-BR model regulated by DfT)?
No, it won't cost a single penny, but you will lose all the expertise and cost controls that the current management brings.
The future would, in my opinion, look very like the recent past, except the government could step in and force changes like cuts, much more quickly.
Public sector price/wage freezes would be back, plus cross-industry wage bargaining (and national strikes).
And we would be back to annual Treasury budget settlements, competing head-on against spending on education and the NHS.
It will not be utopia.
I haven't heard a single reasoned explanation from a Labour politician about how the money-go-round will work post nationalisation.
All we get is "it won't cost a penny".
The latest utterance I heard from Andy McDonald was that fares would rise by CPI rather than RPI.
Big deal - a drop in the ocean.