I believe Northern are trying to achieve a franchise requirement while retaining as many services as possible with guards. If they were targeting all-stops services to be DCO to achieve 50% of passenger mileage as DCO then the number of traditional guards required would be significantly less.
I dont know if it is fair to say that it is a concerted effort to retain guards on as many services as possible . I think it is more the case that infrastructure is going to place heavy limits on places that DCO can be introduced and Northern and the dft know this .
I think it would be naive to think that the 50% target would still exist or that northern would do anything to moderate the effects of the target if we had totally compliant modern infrastructure up north .
I dont think that Northern are really doing anything other than being a puppet for the DFT in this area . And in future franchises if the infrastructure upgrades that are needed take place the DFT will be looking to extend DCO and whichever franchise owner is in place then will be puppet for round two of the battle .
People on this thread have alluded to the fact that metrolink runs with only a driver on board the vast majority of trams . But look at the fares on metrolink , and look at the money that TFGM has ploughed into infrastructure at metrolink .
But isn't this the basic dilemma for guards, and the RMT ? The general travelling public don't really have any interest in what the guard does - they think he/she may 'wave the train off' and may open/shut the doors, possibly check tickets. They don't usually know whether or not their train even has a guard on board - and don't seem too bothered either way.
As we've all said for a good many months now, the RMT has been very poor at conveying to the public what a guard actually does, and why. All the time that the public have such little regard/interest in the role then there's little chance of any tangible support.
Whilst I am not for one minute saying that the RMT is or has been perfect in its handling of these disputes . I think it is worth mentioning that the media have framed this dispute as an argument over who presses the button to close the doors . Essentially trivialising the safety critical task of dispatching a train , and also completely ignoring the many other things a guard is competent in dealing with . Including the essential role they can and often do play in out of course situations of all kinds .
That may or may not be the case. It might not affect the *ticket* price but might affect taxation. The Government isn't just going to allow it to go on TOC profits. So the saving will, in some form, make it to passengers.
If the question was framed as "If we could get public spending on the railway down a bit by having only the driver on local trains", I expect you'd see much more support.
"local trains"
What do we mean by this though , a large number of northern trains travel accross county boundaries , some of them travelling through several major towns and cities on their journey .
What to someone might be a local train from Manchester to Bolton is actually a train that travels through several major towns , a few cities,large rural areas and across counties .
Someone asked that question might think well yes from Manchester to Bolton the guard has never been of any use nor benefit to me . But to run that train the whole distance without a guard because of the views of travellers only making short local journeys would be daft .