All the talk is that the Halton chord service will be run by the W&B franchise, will the latest GWR electrification fiasco, affect the availability of DMUs to run the service.
GWML fiasco or no GWML fiasco, availablity of DMUs for a Halton curve service in December 2018 (as I believe is the claimed date) is going to be a problem. Well; it might not be a problem if you use non-accessible units, but that only delays the problem by a year. Without ePacer, D-Train, 319 Flex or an accessibility solution for 153s there are not enough DMUs to replace all the 153s, Pacers and 121s still in use across the network. On top of stock for a Halton curve service just over 1 month into the new franchise, in May 2019 whatever follows ATW will also need to find additional stock to cover for the loss of GWR summer Saturday services to Tenby and then in December 2019 will need to have resolved the TSI-PRM issue. Thus the first three main timetable changes in the new franchise will all need serious rolling stock interventions.
On the topic of the Wrexham-Chester line, I am wondering what sort of service can be provided once the redoubling is finally completed. Is there some linespeed upgrade work going on between Wrexham and Chester as well, and if so what are the new Sectional Running Times (particularly over the remaining single line section) expected to be?
I ask because what appears to be the obvious timetable enhancement, increasing the frequency between Cardiff and Shrewsbury to about every half hour (1tph to Manchester and 1tph to Chester, potentially continuing to Liverpool over the Halton curve) doesn't work when I actually lay it out as a timetable. The reason it doesn't work is that the paths ATW use into MAN (from south Wales) and Birmingham are locked in stone, I assume. Thus, the northbound train from Cardiff to Chester/Liverpool would be running just four minutes behind the Birmingham to Wrexham/Chester service (in the hours that runs). Thus, I've played with the idea of routing the Cardiff-Chester service via Crewe in alternate hours and putting on a seperate Chester-Shrewsbury shuttle, but I'm also running into issues on the single-track section (theorectically it would take a 20-minute interval service, but with the locked times of the Birmingham service (arr. Chester xx:20 depart xx:30) a 20-minute interval service doesn't work, and even 30-minute intervals don't seem possible either). Anyone know how such issues could be resolved?