Let's face it, the best Wales can expect in terms of extra DMUs to get it through to when the infrastructure improvements promised in the new franchise start happening are cast off DMUs left that Scotland and England don't want.
Which will be GWR and Northern's 143s, 144s and 153s. So in reality, if the ROSCOs are saying it's not worth refurbishing Wales' existing 150s just for another 5 yrs service max. post 2019, then why bother? It will only give the 150s a stay of execution, which could be used in the long term as an excuse to delay electrification and infrastructure improvements which could bring new trains to Wales.
Ask passengers in Wales what their immediate priorities are for improvements to services in Wales, esp. in and around Cardiff, and the big priority is capacity and relieving overcrowding. Taking stock out of service in 2019 to get mods done will exacerbate Wales' DMU shortage even more.
So whilst it will be politically embarrassing for the Welsh Govt for Wales to be the only part of the UK with non-DDA compliant stock post 2019, the best option Wales can realistically hope for is mass derogation's for 150s, 143s/144s and 153s post 2019 that can be used as a short term capacity boost on the Valley lines until the Metro materialises, whatever form it takes.
Refresh the carriages internally to a good enough standard, as ATWs 150s have been done and have plenty of seats for everyone, commuters will be happy. Get rid of the worst of the Pacers in the 142s. Lock toilets out of use so no-one is discriminated against there and no need to fit expensive controlled emissions tanks.
Of course, if the WG decides on heavy rail bi-modes for the Valleys, new trains can be ordered once the new franchise is awarded, with those trains able to come into service in 2021/2022. If the thinking of splitting the Valleys network in two persists, with light rail and trams north of Queen St and heavy rail to the Vale, improvements will be much slower to materialise.