backontrack
Established Member
Good point.I assume that by-passed Penrith though?
Good point.I assume that by-passed Penrith though?
I assume that by-passed Penrith though?
I doubt a reversal in the Penrith loop platform would have been particularly problematic for modern traction.
Quite. Although modern traction at Penrith in 1972 was a Class 50.
Quite. Although modern traction at Penrith in 1972 was a Class 50.
Which presumably would have been banned on the CK & P due to axle load restrictions.
Which presumably would have been banned on the CK & P due to axle load restrictions.
Quite possibly. Part of the reason the branch was built was because the WCML was not built to run through Kendal then on towards Penrith via Longsleddale, a tunnel beneath Gatescarth Pass and then through the Mardale Valley (Now home to Haweswater Reservoir). Kendal would have been a very large town to cut off the network (not a reason on its own I know) but as others have said it was an easy branch to simplify (single tracking, etc) when the WCML was electrified.Would the fact that Kendal was one of the three intermediate stations on the Windermere branch line have affected the decision that was made?
Quite possibly. Part of the reason the branch was built was because the WCML was not built to run through Kendal then on towards Penrith via Longsleddale, a tunnel beneath Gatescarth Pass and then through the Mardale Valley (Now home to Haweswater Reservoir). Kendal would have been a very large town to cut off the network (not a reason on its own I know) but as others have said it was an easy branch to simplify (single tracking, etc) when the WCML was electrified.
The Keswick branch would have been more expensive to keep up. I also understand the intention was that the A66 would have been dual-carriageway throughout, so the thoughts might have been that the need for the railway was less although the road upgrade has still not come in its entirity. Another factor to consider - with WCML electrifcation (and building of the M6) the Down Loop at Penrith was certainly well used. Maybe it was considered that having a Penrith-Keswick service (likely operated by a Kingmoor based two-car Class 108) would have been an added operational complication given the loop would have then had to be signalled bi-directionally, plus you could have had the loop not available for use at the times the Keswick service would be booked between Keswick Junction (at Redhills, essentially where the WCML crosses the A66) and the platforms at Penrith.
Didn't expect anywhere near this many replies when I posted the starting topic!
Enjoyed reading through!
[*]Lack of capacity on WCML almost certainly means the service would operate as a branch.
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Is there a lack of capacity on the WCML between Penrith and Carlisle ? What about the paths used by TPE to Windermere. These are presumably empty north of Oxenholme. Also, Carlisle is hardly Charing Cross when it comes to terminating trains.
The problem is to generate a business case you need more than just leisure passengers and the inward commuting demand to Carlisle is just not high enough.
If the line had survived it would soldier on with 5tpd and a high level of subsidy but to reopen you need a better case than that.
Have you evidence to support your statement? Penrith doesn't have that good a service to Carlisle anymore. Even some TPEx trains miss out Penrith. Keswick-Carlisle or Manchester through trains would improve use from Penrith.
Preston-Penrith is not congested as far as passenger trains are concerned. It is slower freight trains that clog up the route. One freight train diverted allows two passenger paths. Divert these over Ais Gill or round the coast to allow more passenger paths but the will is not there by those who make the decisions. We know that it would be successful because as interested amateurs we understand how it could be successful by the right type of trains and affordable fares to make it successful.
Keswick has taken over from Hawick as the town furthest from a railhead. I fear for places like Keswick if ever there is an oil shortage. Those with an electrified railway will be the only towns to survive and we are not electrifying fast enough.
Funnily enough Keswick is exactly the same distance from Penrith (17 miles) as Hawick is from Tweedbank.
Fraserburgh (13,000 people, 35 miles from Inverurie) or Peterhead (18,000 people, 31 miles from Dyce) are both likely to win this competition.
If you want examples closer to Keswick then Kirkcudbright (3,500 people 30 miles from Dumfries) or Castle Douglas (4,000 people 20 miles from Dumfries) are also more isolated than Keswick).
Even if you restricted us to England then Fakenham (19 miles to Sheringham, further to Norwich or Kings Lynn) and Bude (30+ miles to Gunnislake or Barnstaple) both have larger populations than Keswick too.
On subject of Hawick vs Keswick I see the differences being:
- Hawick has a population of 15,000 to Keswick's 5,000
- Melrose St Boswells and Newtown St Boswells add on another 5,000 population, Threlkeld adds on another 500.
- Edinburgh is a major city with a strong job market and large Travel To Work Area attracting in commuters from across the region, Carlisle not so much.
Keswick does have a strong tourism economy (and Hawick doesn't) but it is difficult to see that a large proportion of these visitors would be attracted by a railway station as many will be coming by car and using the car to penetrate deeper into the hills. Those who are happy to get a bus up Borrowdale are equally likely to have been happy to come to Keswick by bus from Penrith or Lancaster anyway.
I'd love the line to Keswick to reopen, but it just doesn't have an even vaguely positive business case unfortunately.
Keswick does have a strong tourism economy (and Hawick doesn't) but it is difficult to see that a large proportion of these visitors would be attracted by a railway station as many will be coming by car and using the car to penetrate deeper into the hills. Those who are happy to get a bus up Borrowdale are equally likely to have been happy to come to Keswick by bus from Penrith or Lancaster anyway.
I'd love the line to Keswick to reopen, but it just doesn't have an even vaguely positive business case unfortunately.
People always say that no one goes on holiday by train anymore, or that all tourists go by car etc. Yet wherever a railway link exists in such a setting, it always seems to attract lots of leisure travellers, such as day trippers.
There is always one willing to prove a point.
I was going on rail miles. According to my 1964 timetables Hawick is 18 miles from Galashiels and Keswick is 18.25 from Penrith.
Where is your evidence that reinstating to Keswick doesn't have a business case? Have you done a benefit/cost analysis? I doubt it. Mr Martindale has done one and that is why he continues to campaign for it and I wish him well. If more people got behind him instead of telling everybody that it won't happen then it would happen.
Maybe Keswick doesn't want it. If it does then it is being rather weak in supporting reinstatement.
Again according to my 1964 timetable there was a train from Manchester Victoria to Workington via Penrith/Keswick and Barrow/Whiehaven daily and from Workington to London via Keswick/Penrith and Whitehaven/Barrow. Also on Summer Saturdays from Newcastle to Keswick in 160 minutes.
The Windermere-London portion was titled THE LAKES EXPRESS in the timetable but inexplicably the Workington-Keswick-Penrith-London portion that loaded to six coaches on leaving Keswick, and the biggest portion, was untitled. This was the start of the rundown of the line in 1964 after the Beeching Report.
Windermere could still have through trains if the greedy Property Board had not sold off the carriage sidings, beautiful little three platform station, with overall roof for a supermarket of all things and hacked out all double track and obliterated the signalling and signal boxes. This was an ideal opportunity to rationalise but leave enough infrastructure for more than one train on the branch and a round the clock service if necessary by incorporating it into a power box. The same could have been done for the Keswick-Penrith line.
Altnabreac's 4 golden rules of a successful rail reopening:
- Population of 10,000+
- 60 minutes (75 at a push) journey time of a major employment centre.
- Extant or mainly unobstructed trackbed
- Ability to extend an existing service so more terminal capacity is not required.
Keswick score on my Golden Rules:
- Keswick has a population of around 5,000, Cockermouth another 8,000, nowhere else on the line has a population of more than 500.
- Nearest big commuter generating destinations would be Preston and Manchester which are 60/120 minutes from Penrith so more like 90/150 minutes from Keswick.
- Not too bad between Penrith and Keswick although partial encroachment, very poor west of Keswick.
- Lack of capacity on WCML almost certainly means the service would operate as a branch.
So broadly speaking unfortunately the reopening scores at most 0.5 out of 4.
As I said earlier in the thread, you can pay a consultant £30K to do a study but they'll basically come to the same conclusion as my golden rules score. Too small a town and not enough commuting demand = no reopening.
There's a fifth rule.
The new / reopened line has to enable significant regeneration (ie of an economically deprived area, and/or be accompanied by plans for significant new housing development along the line of the route. Both mean lots of bricks and mortar.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/new-10bn-sellafield-nuclear-power-6073419
The lad who's been campaigning should get in touch with the Powers involved with this. A new railway station is planned already, could easily form a terminal?
People always say that no one goes on holiday by train anymore, or that all tourists go by car etc. Yet wherever a railway link exists in such a setting, it always seems to attract lots of leisure travellers, such as day trippers.
Rob the thing is day trippers don't tend to have too much baggage to cart around. On the other hand if you are planning a weekend fell walking in the Lakes you need a fair bit of baggage. You are also then reliant on local bus services whilst hoping that they run to a half decent timetable. If you're up there in June and the weather is kind you could easily be out walking until gone 18.00, in which case you've got to hope that there is a bus to take you back to your accommodation.
Altnabreac's four golden rules are an excellent filter for any proposed re-opening scheme but, as always, it is possible to make it more sophisticated (or complicated, depending on your point of view). The regeneration potential as a fifth criterion is a good example.
It is useful to think about resource utilisation efficiency and network effects up front as well.
The old Penrith-Keswick service latterly took just over half an hour each way, all stations, which would scupper a fairly efficient single unit shuttle on a standard pattern. A non-stop service with modern unit would probably be able to do a round trip every hour but would still not be very robust in performance terms, e.g. if connections were held at Penrith.
The fairly ragged pattern of calls by Virgin and TPE services at Penrith, both northbound and southbound would tend to mean that meaningful through journey opportunities were a bit hit-and-miss anyway.
Pity, because it was a lovely ride when it was open.
Rob the thing is day trippers don't tend to have too much baggage to cart around. On the other hand if you are planning a weekend fell walking in the Lakes you need a fair bit of baggage. You are also then reliant on local bus services whilst hoping that they run to a half decent timetable. If you're up there in June and the weather is kind you could easily be out wal
king until gone 18.00, in which case you've got to hope that there is a bus to take you back to your accommodation.
Rob the thing is day trippers don't tend to have too much baggage to cart around. On the other hand if you are planning a weekend fell walking in the Lakes you need a fair bit of baggage. You are also then reliant on local bus services whilst hoping that they run to a half decent timetable. If you're up there in June and the weather is kind you could easily be out wal
king until gone 18.00, in which case you've got to hope that there is a bus to take you back to your accommodation.
The Windermere-London portion was titled THE LAKES EXPRESS in the timetable but inexplicably the Workington-Keswick-Penrith-London portion that loaded to six coaches on leaving Keswick, and the biggest portion, was untitled. This was the start of the rundown of the line in 1964 after the Beeching Report.
You'd need to find a new alignment for much of the route from Keswick to the coast line, as the A66 is now in the way.
More generally, the reason why Windermere retains its passenger service is surely that it's much easier to reach from most main centres of population (Tyneside and Central Scotland apart), and the local population (with Ambleside) is 3 times that of Keswick.
Since some sort of time comparison is needed, how would a Manchester to Keswick direct service compare time-wise with the existing Manchester to Windermere service?