I think the line length of the Stourbridge branch is rather less than other suggested lines for the Vivarail product to so traverse.
This whole business of where they might run is completely wild speculation anyway.
We know where it will be tested and probably where it will be trialled, beyond that it needs someone to actually place an order, assuming of course it doesnt turn out to be an unreliable poor performing piece of junk.
If Northern do get some new trains and for a reasonable price then it might blow the D train out of the water, with the only use for the D train as possible stopgap for definite or very likely Electrification projects that wouldn't be completed before the 2020 deadline.
The other thing is people have tried to make estimates of how many DMU's will be needed to replace the Pacer fleet and meet future requirements? that seems to me to be somewhat difficult to quantify at present, What's the revised electrification plan from network rail going to be? How many of the eventually spare around 49 HST's sets could and will be reused and where? How many Duracell 387's on GWR will be used and how many extra turbo units might that free up? How much allowance for growth will the DFT allow on the franchises which are coming up for renewal etc etc.
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