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General Election 2015 - Thoughts/Predictions/Results

How are you voting in the General Election

  • Conservative

    Votes: 25 18.0%
  • Green Party

    Votes: 15 10.8%
  • Labour

    Votes: 45 32.4%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 16 11.5%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 3 2.2%
  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 9 6.5%
  • UK Independence Party

    Votes: 13 9.4%
  • Other: Right Leaning Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other: Left Leaning Party

    Votes: 1 0.7%
  • Other: Centrist Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other: Other

    Votes: 2 1.4%
  • Not Voting

    Votes: 7 5.0%
  • Spoiling Ballot

    Votes: 3 2.2%

  • Total voters
    139
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northwichcat

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So is the problem that there is Conservative-supporting member of the audience? Is that a surprise?

I imagine that in the audience there are Conservative supporters gunning for Ed, Labour supporters waiting to attack Cameron, UKIP supporters waiting to attack the lot of them etc - the audience for the last debate was a cross-section of voters, which meant soime neutrals, some Labour supports, some Conservative supports.

Or were you expecting an audience of 250 complete undecided neutrals?

No. The audience was supposed to contain a certain number of people who said they'd vote each of the Conservatives, Labour and Lib Dems and a certain number of people who are undecided or will vote for the others.

However, one of the 'others' was a business owner who lambasted Miliband and then said everything is much better under the current government than it was under Labour.

While one of the Conservative supporters was actually a member of the Conservative Party and it seems she was known to Conservative Groups and Senior Conservative Politicians. If a son/daughter of a Labour MP was in the audience would the BBC have allowed them to grill Cameron?
 
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TheKnightWho

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This forum is absolutely packed with anti Tory and anti Ukip remarks 24/7 because the make-up of the posters is predominately left of centre.

If anybody makes a charitable remark about either party they face a backlash of criticism. When a labour politician makes an offensive remark why should he be above criticism.

And here comes the self-victimisation again!

I swear this is all UKIP are capable of: victimising others, and then making themselves out to be innocent victims when others call them out on it.
 
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DynamicSpirit

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This forum is absolutely packed with anti Tory and anti Ukip remarks 24/7 because the make-up of the posters is predominately left of centre.

If anybody makes a charitable remark about either party they face a backlash of criticism. When a labour politician makes an offensive remark why should he be above criticism.

I never said a Labour politician should be above criticism. But there's a big difference between reasoned criticism, and simply presuming bad motives and basically slagging off a politician.

If you think there are insufficient people making right-wing arguments on this forum, why not think of that as an incentive to try to make better reasoned, coherent, arguments? After all, there are a few people here who appear to be right-wing and who do so!
 

TheKnightWho

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Johnuk123 represents Johnuk123, not UKIP

He does, but this is not something I'm saying having only spoken to him and no other UKIP supporters.

And yes, I'm expecting the inevitable "how dare you generalise", but it really has been a running trend with the party. Almost every policy seems to revolve around "good, hard-working, British folk" being victims in their own country or whatever. Something that is demonstrably false.
 
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DynamicSpirit

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Emily Thornberry - wasn't bigoted at all by ridiculing a white van man and his St George's flag.

Emily Thornberry didn't ridicule anyone. She posted a picture of a house, accompanied by a completely neutral comment. Of course much of the Press then presumed that meant she must have been somehow prejudiced (which I find rather ironic, since those who assume Emily Thornberry was prejudiced for photographing the house are rather obviously making exactly the same mistake as those on the left who assume prejudice on the part of those who are concerned about immigration!)
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
Almost every policy seems to revolve around "good, hard-working, British folk" being victims in their own country or whatever. Something that is demonstrably false.

Have you read the UKIP manifesto? There is much in it that is in my view wrong and misguided, but I suspect you'd discover if you read it that your statement above is itself demonstrably false :) They have policies on many areas, and most of them don't appear to be driven by any sense of victimization.
 

TheKnightWho

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Have you read the UKIP manifesto? There is much in it that is in my view wrong and misguided, but I suspect you'd discover if you read it that your statement above is itself demonstrably false :) They have policies on many areas, and most of them don't appear to be driven by any sense of victimization.

I have indeed read the UKIP manifesto, but it's important not to take each and every policy in isolation but take it as a coherent whole - after all, that's what it's supposed to be.

I'll amend my comment to the point that they all contribute towards that kind of attitude, even if in isolation they might be alright. For example, UKIP pledge to increase funding to the NHS (good), but in their eyes in must happen with huge slashes to immigration, and nurses are often employed from the rest of the EU - in essence, they want to employ several thousand new British people, regardless of whether they'd be best for the job or not.

Plus it's a bit of an irrelevance since pretty much every major party has pledged to increase NHS funding, and they've all pledged more than UKIP. Therefore given the choice they're effectively cutting funding, as if anyone else got in we'd get even more. This is but one example, of course.
 
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WelshBluebird

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Have you read the UKIP manifesto? There is much in it that is in my view wrong and misguided, but I suspect you'd discover if you read it that your statement above is itself demonstrably false :) They have policies on many areas, and most of them don't appear to be driven by any sense of victimization.

So why don't they talk about them then? Instead of just saying everything bad is the fault of immigrants or the EU.

Of course there is also the fact I simply don't believe someone who until a few years ago was all for private healthcare and against the NHS, and all for flat taxes and against progressive taxes has actually changed their mind.
 

Butts

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This forum is absolutely packed with anti Tory and anti Ukip remarks 24/7 because the make-up of the posters is predominately left of centre.

If anybody makes a charitable remark about either party they face a backlash of criticism. When a labour politician makes an offensive remark why should he be above criticism.

I beg your pudding :p

Being a Scottish Conservative is as rare as "hens teeth" but I can take it.

The difference I espouse is that I can see the merit of other Parties and Politicians and do not have a closed mind that everything they say or suggest must be not worthy of consideration because they are not Tory. Far from it, if only a lot of other posters shared a similar outlook.

Hey why does someone not put one of those "Polls" on this page where you can anonymously state which party you intend to vote for in the forthcoming election - ie hold a mini RailUK Forums election. (That's a novelty ) That should flush a few more right wingers out of the closet !!

We know the moderators are not always attuned to the virtues of democracy from their hallowed Hauptbanhoff in Prinz Albrecht Strasse ,but perhaps they may make an exception in this case :idea:
 

TheKnightWho

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I beg your pudding :p

Being a Scottish Conservative is as rare as "hens teeth" but I can take it.

The difference I espouse is that I can see the merit of other Parties and Politicians and do not have a closed mind that everything they say or suggest must be not worthy of consideration because they are not Tory. Far from it, if only a lot of other posters shared a similar outlook.

Hey why does someone not put one of those "Polls" on this page where you can anonymously state which party you intend to vote for in the forthcoming election - ie hold a mini RailUK Forums election. (That's a novelty ) That should flush a few more right wingers out of the closet !!

We know the moderators are not always attuned to the virtues of democracy from their hallowed Hauptbanhoff in Prinz Albrecht Strasse ,but perhaps they may make an exception in this case :idea:

What about those of us who don't like any of them because they're all too right-wing? ;)

I kid, but I honestly can't say I'm happy with any of the parties for various reasons. Plus both of my constituencies (my home one and my university one) are safe seats - Tory and Labour respectively - so it makes little difference really. I'm not sure a poll would be that helpful for that reason, really - discussion is a bit more nuanced and interesting.
 

Butts

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What about those of us who don't like any of them because they're all too right-wing? ;)

I kid, but I honestly can't say I'm happy with any of the parties for various reasons. Plus both of my constituencies (my home one and my university one) are safe seats - Tory and Labour respectively - so it makes little difference really. I'm not sure a poll would be that helpful for that reason, really - discussion is a bit more nuanced and interesting.

It could add some credence or not to the "Anti-Right Wing" allegations that constantly seem to be raised.

Hopefully Gruppenfuhrer Ainsworth or one of the other members on the Politburo will acquiesce :idea:
 

ainsworth74

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Is there any actual interest in having an anonymous poll?

- Gruppenfuhrer Ainsworth
 

Butts

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Is there any actual interest in having an anonymous poll?

- Gruppenfuhrer Ainsworth

Well I think it would be a good idea - try it and see if it bombs you can easily remove it. My guess is it won't. We've had Polls about far less trivial things in the past :idea:
 

DynamicSpirit

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I have indeed read the UKIP manifesto, but it's important not to take each and every policy in isolation but take it as a coherent whole - after all, that's what it's supposed to be.

I'll amend my comment to the point that they all contribute towards that kind of attitude, even if in isolation they might be alright.

To some extent I agree with you there, although I would say the thing that contributes to the victim attitude is often not so much the policies themselves as the way UKIP campaigns for them.

So why don't they talk about them then? Instead of just saying everything bad is the fault of immigrants or the EU.

I'm not on the whole going to disagree with you about UKIP tending to unfairly blame immigrants and the EU for problems that have very different causes. I was addressing the specific point TheKnightWho made about UKIP policies.
--- old post above --- --- new post below ---
She was bigotted against Eastern Europeans specifically, not any other Europeans or other nationalities, why? Because she was a bigot by it's very definition. Media bias to the Tory party tries to make everything look different or outrageous at every opportunity if it helps their cause.

I had a look at the transcript of the conversation. The remark concerned was

GillianDuffy said:
You can’t say anything about the immigrants because you’re saying you’re, but all these eastern Europeans coming in, where are they flocking from?

This was the only comment about immigration in a conversation that seemed to completely change topic on each question. And it's probably worth bearing in mind that this would have been a comment made in the heat of the moment in quite a stressful situation (you're an ordinary person, suddenly confronted with the Prime Minister and a horde or press and cameras around you. I'd guess most people are not going to be at their most rational in that situation).

Let's look at what Gillian said:

You can’t say anything about the immigrants because you’re saying you’re
This apparently expresses a concern that talking about immigrants often gets you labelled with something unpleasant.

but all these eastern Europeans coming in, where are they flocking from?
We can deduce from that that Gillian is concerned about the numbers or Eastern Europeans arriving. However, notice the comment doesn't say anything bad about Eastern Europeans, so we have very little idea what has motivated it. I can imagine that someone who really is prejudiced against Eastern Europeans would say something like that. But I can equally well imagine that someone who has nothing against Eastern Europeans per se, is not prejudiced, but who is concerned (and perhaps misinformed) about the effect of immigration on jobs and knows that immigration from Eastern Europe is high, might also in the heat of the moment make that same remark.

In other words, there are lots of reasons why someone might say what Ms Duffy said, so based only on those words, it's not really possible to deduce much significant about the character of the person saying them.

Saying that someone is a bigot is a pretty severe accusation, and quite a nasty one too, which implies something fairly defective about a person's whole character. Yet you appear to have made that judgement about a woman whom you (I assume) have never met, apparently on the sole basis of two sentences that she uttered in the middle of this undoubtedly high-pressured situation.

Hopefully, the absurdity of making such a judgement is obvious :(
 
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me123

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Is there any actual interest in having an anonymous poll?

- Gruppenfuhrer Ainsworth

I'd be interested to see what people's thoughts were, but definitely keep it anonymous. Maybe even hide the results until Thursday as well?
 
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me123

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This forum is absolutely packed with anti Tory and anti Ukip remarks 24/7 because the make-up of the posters is predominately left of centre.

Not really surprising when you consider that lots of members work in the railways, where there could be an inherent tendency to lean towards the left (traditional working class background, continuing union activity, perhaps some desire for renationalisation...). To be clear, I don't mean to lump all rail workers under one banner here, nor do I want to cause any offence. Of course, rail workers have as many different political views as there are rail workers.

Having said that, I think there's been plenty of debate from lots of points on the political spectrum, and thanks to posters like yourself "the right" certainly isn't going unnoticed. Keep it up! One of the most important parts of democracy is debating differing view points.
 
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Tetchytyke

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Or were you expecting an audience of 250 complete undecided neutrals?

The audience was supposed to be neutral, with similar numbers of supporters for each party and undecideds.

The issue is this woman being misrepresented as undecided when she wasn't. "Tory fangirl, who's in business with a Tory MP, lambasts Miliband" doesn't have quite the same ring to it.

The BBC could claim to say they didn't realise, but given she's been wheeled out as a rent a quote on the BBC twelve times in the past, I think they knew exactly who she was. And the most basic of checks, such as searching the open letter from "small businesses" written by Conservative HQ, would have shown her for what she was.

I'd also be interested in a poll. And I bet I wouldn't tick the box the right wingers would expect me to.

As for right and left, I don't think the right are unrepresented. Oswyntail comes out with good coherent arguments for their position, for instance. It's just the argument from others that anyone who dislikes UKIP is a big bullying commie that gets a bit wearing.
 
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northwichcat

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Not really surprising when you consider that lots of members work in the railways, where there could be an inherent tendency to lean towards the left (traditional working class background, continuing union activity, perhaps some desire for denationalisation...). To be clear, I don't mean to lump all rail workers under one banner here, nor do I want to cause any offence. Of course, rail workers have as many different political views as there are rail workers.

Having said that, I think there's been plenty of debate from lots of points on the political spectrum, and thanks to posters like yourself "the right" certainly isn't going unnoticed. Keep it up! One of the most important parts of democracy is debating differing view points.

Exactly.

My view on industrial action is that yes it can go ahead and cause some disruption but there should be a basic service level which is provided during industrial action. I don't think it's acceptable for a dispute between a union and a transport operator to cause someone to be unable to get the work, to get to a doctors/hospital appointment or to be able to get to the shops. Now that view doesn't go down well on here due to the number of RMT/ASLEF members.

However, the Tories seem to want to stop industrial action altogether and want to make it easier for employers to fire workers. I don't support either of those proposals and I'm pleased the Lib Dems refused to back the latter as part of the Coalition agreement.
 

CC 72100

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The audience was supposed to be neutral, with similar numbers of supporters for each party and undecideds.

The issue is this woman being misrepresented as undecided when she wasn't. "Tory fangirl, who's in business with a Tory MP, lambasts Miliband" doesn't have quite the same ring to it.

The BBC could claim to say they didn't realise, but given she's been wheeled out as a rent a quote on the BBC twelve times in the past, I think they knew exactly who she was. And the most basic of checks, such as searching the open letter from "small businesses" written by Conservative HQ, would have shown her for what she was.

Fair enough - so basically this 'neutral/undecided/not voting for Lab/Lib/Con' wasn't quite as neutral as claimed.
 

ExRes

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I caught the tail end of an election debate from Wales yesterday evening, it would seem that, if the behaviour of the audience was repeated at the polling booth, Labour would be sent packing without a seat to their name. The Labour spokesman, the Welsh Labour Leader perhaps ?, was treated with derision with some of his 'promises' bringing laughter from the audience. The reality of polling day will be the only true measure of course, but could Ed Miliband be dreaming of power without having any representation in either Wales or Scotland ?

I received my copy of the ASLEF journal this morning, along with the normal pro-Labour anti-everyone else rhetoric I did actually spot one thing that I fully agree with, a quote from District 8 Organiser Finn Brennan, "If you don't vote, you don't count", I earnestly hope that people take that to heart and use their vote, either that or shut up and stop moaning if you choose to abrogate your rights
 

ExRes

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Are you including spoiled votes in that?

Absolutely not, a spoiled vote is no different to failing to vote at all

If people feel strongly enough that the electoral system should be changed then they should vote for a candidate with electoral reform in their manifesto, failing that they should stand themselves as an independent, if there really are that many people prepared to campaign for reform then they should do just that
 

TheKnightWho

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Absolutely not, a spoiled vote is no different to failing to vote at all

If people feel strongly enough that the electoral system should be changed then they should vote for a candidate with electoral reform in their manifesto, failing that they should stand themselves as an independent, if there really are that many people prepared to campaign for reform then they should do just that

But the point of a spoiled ballot is showing dissatisfaction with the system and is a very easy thing to do. Not everyone has the time, resources or energy to canpaign or run for electoral reform.
 

ExRes

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But the point of a spoiled ballot is showing dissatisfaction with the system and is a very easy thing to do. Not everyone has the time, resources or energy to canpaign or run for electoral reform.

I have to disagree, just who are you showing dissatisfaction to by spoiling your ballot paper ?, nobody takes the slightest bit of notice unless, of course, a very large number of people act in harmony and cause a large enough number to be talked about by the electorate, a/some candidate(s) standing for the 'Electoral Reform Party' will hit the headlines though

I agree that finding people to stand takes a lot and very few can find the resources to do it or are prepared to, but if you want something badly enough then you have to fight for it, very few politicians from the major parties are likely to kill the golden goose so it's down to DIY or put up with the status quo
 
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