2h10-2h30, depending on the exact service. And "only" six trains daily at present.
Now, this is all academic. Even with luggage, >90% of passengers will more than happily make a quick transfer at Ayr. My point was, if services were going to be exclusively Stranraer to Kilmarnock, perhaps continuing service as a through route to Glasgow Central would appeal to the small (but vocal) elderly population who may struggle with transferring their luggage between trains? And there would be minimal cost; the trains simply reverse in Kilmarnock and form one of the 2tph to GLC from there.
Besides, Ayr-Glasgow via Kilmarnock is quite a nice scenic alternative. At least until you hit Barrhead (not that Paisley is any better to be fair).
Many posters on here are ignoring the local resentment of going via Kilmarnock. It is perceived as slow.
Though shorter it is longer, not so much because of the reversal, as the pathing. Kilmarnock - Barrhead is not a continuous two-track route only between Stewarton and Dunlop. Therefore you have to arrive 'in the slot' to theoretically run the service. With the re-timing in 2010 or whenever it was when the partial re-doubling took place, one either has to lose time at Ayr or Kilmarnock (10 mins plus) to gain the path occasioned because of the constraints mentioned.
As for changing at Ayr one needs to understand the passenger experience. If travelling light it is probably no big deal hence the 'request' to have only two or three through trains a day. Put it this way, given a choice as a visitor whose journey may be discretionary, does changing trains make a journey more or less attractive?
I suggest backed by weight of evidence it makes it more unattractive. Indeed those in any doubt should see the responses to the Rail 2014 - ScotRail consultation exercise Q16. Reviewed by MVA over 75% of individuals did not support changing.
The other irony is that the diesels offer the fastest journey of the day between Ayr and Glasgow and the units are perceived as warmer and more comfortable. (The 1/3, 2/3 positioning of the doors probably has much to do with it as well as the good awful 'modern' seating on the 380. Not sure the somewhat strident ping, ping, ping of the door mechanism opening helps either though I am sure appeals to those who like anti-submarine warfare films).
The decision will mean south west Scotland will be the only region in Scotland without direct rail services to the Central Belt. Running a solitary northbound service at 2104 is hardly conducive to serving the public interest anymore than the handful of parly trains elsewhere on the network. One suspects it is being done so that crews retain route knowledge as well as getting a unit back to Corkerhill for maintenance.
If changing trains or running under the wires was such an issue then I offer East Coast to Dundee and Aberdeen as well as Glasgow - Oban/Fort William. Why not get everyone to Dundee/Aberdeen to change at Edinburgh or Oban/Fort William at Dumbarton? These sentiments were emphatically rejected in the consultation.
The proportion of people from Stranraer travelling to or through Glasgow is around 46% of all passengers. By changing, journey time will increase although the through services at the moment run at fairly inconvenient times, opportunities are being missed.
Ironically the draft ITT and ITT propose there need be no direct trains north of Ayr at all, provided there was at least one extra train and indeed to get to Kilmarnock from Stranraer a change at Girvan is acceptable.
Interestingly the increased mileage to be run by Abellio will increase their costs by between £0.75m and £1.25m to a place of little significance to those in Stranraer. An independent rail economist has put the annual loss of revenue at £90k. So here we have a proposal to make a destination people want to go to more unattractive, replace it with one less attractive and add more journeys to the one that is least attractive. One assumes the risks have been calculated.
Access to Kilmarnock is important for students, but that is about all. Demand via the GSWR is not great and indeed those heading to Carlisle can often make it as quick going via Glasgow and down the WCML. The main disadvantage to that is cost but I suppose if you were heading to say Warrington, Manchester or Birmingham the advantage of getting on where the train starts might offer other advantages too.
It isn't as straightforward as posters suggest. A balance needs to be struck. At the moment the theorists are in charge. If changing was so wonderful why don't Citylink/Stagecoach do a deal and get coaches to run a higher frequency to Ayr from Stranraer/Cairnryan and force passengers to change coaches?
With this plan coming in there has to be a real concern that in ten years time the Girvan - Stranraer section could be traded off against electrification south to Girvan and upgrading the A77 since Girvan - Stranraer by road is shorter and quicker than by rail, whereas ironically Stranraer - Glasgow by rail is very comparable to road. No other scenic rail route in Scotland can offer such a close comparison. Sadly this is lost on those making the decisions, since as industry insiders continually advise, Stranraer is simply not an interest to them, only the Highlands.
2h10-2h30, depending on the exact service. And "only" six trains daily at present. A day trip is certainly possible with those timings, but spending up to 5h a day on the train is quite a lot. And that's just to Glasgow - it'll be longer if you're going further afield. I wouldn't be surprised if quite a lot of people doing the trip would be staying for more than the day.
Most people going to Stranraer as visitors are going for the day. One gets a few overnighters (Portpatrick) and in the summer those going to Ireland or from Ireland on BritRail passes.
Besides, Ayr-Glasgow via Kilmarnock is quite a nice scenic alternative. At least until you hit Barrhead (not that Paisley is any better to be fair).
It is, I agree with you, but it is of virtually no interest to people from Stranraer. Ironically it is shorter in distance!