Except a lot of the fleet is on contracted work. the commercial routes only account for about 40 PVR. Put 9 12 plate E400s and a 59 plate Solo into the 40 and the difference is significant. From what I've heard there are plans to put a lot of newer buses into Cornwall in 2015, and also to rebrand and refresh a lot of the fleet. It's been a while coming but the word is that there is a big plan for 'First Kernow' that is due to start in early 2015, and that that is why various vehicles haven't been repainted since arriving.
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London cascades aren't as good as they sound. Stagecoach don't buy new buses for London now, they lease them. they said when they bought back into London that this was to stop the cascade issues.
What will happen in First is a continuation of what is happening now, with significant numbers of new buses being bought for across the UK. It is possible that the Manchesters will get new and cascade their own mid life buses on to provincial fleets. What is likely though, is that new buses will in fact find their way onto the strongest routes in places like Cornwall.
I did except the Enviros and yes, you can slice the statistics that way. I also appreciate that the local government environment means that there isn't exactly the ability to fund newer kit and that tenders are being based on partially or fully depreciated fleet. Accept all of that, but I was referring to the full fleet and, in comparison with Somerset, the level of change in fleet composition and age has been more noticeable there this year.
As Somerset was so aged, perhaps it was a more pressing priority and we look forward to seeing some newer fleet hitting the streets in 2015. I like an older machine as much as the next person (I was brought up on a strict diet of Brislington/Lowestoft products) but K-N reg Olympians can only defy age so long.
Fully agree with your comments on London vehicles. Many seem to fail to grasp the cost of "deLondonisation" of such machines, and they will have been worked hard, often on a 24 hour basis. There's a lot been spoken about First losing the ability to have mid-life London cascades. In truth, the issue has often been about trying to find a home for kit from London, hence why Stagecoach now leases.
Of course, Stagecoach had the same challenge but did as you say. They let the largest operations take the financial hit on new standard vehicles (usually Manchester) and then cascaded those to less lucrative areas (e.g. Devon, Gloucs, Northants). By doing so, it helped those fleets improve and generate better ridership to then allow organic replacement. That is the model that I expect First to employ.
I've said it before that assuming AC works his magic on First Kernow and it makes reasonable money, you *could* see new or nearly new fleet appear on routes like the 14/18. It's taken some time but no one can deny that things are changing in FDCS land. Guess the biggest question in AC's empire is Plymouth and how long the respective losses are incurred by First and Go Ahead?
2015 in Cornwall could be a very interesting place to watch
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For the motorists passing perhaps - as far as I've seen the insides are à la Kernow, as it were! And hardly encouraging.
Well, I did have a few trip outs on BoS during the summer and don't fully recognise your views.
The worst examples were the B7Ls that have since migrated to Bath (where they still cry out for refurb).
The B6's that entered the fleet were generally pretty neat and tidy. The Tridents that I did experience (didn't travel on any ex Glasgow ones) were internally ok. Biggest issues with all are the terrible seats that First specified around that time.
As regards the Darts, the T reg ALXs are a bit shabby as are the East Lancs ones, so fair comment but the ex Hampshire ones seem in better nick than their years would indicate
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Given most saloons ordered by First in 2015 are likely to be lightweight buses, such as Streetlites, are they likely to be suitable for Cornwall's geography, or is it more likely that other opcos will release newish Volvos and get new Streetlites as replacements, where they can cope with the geography?
Remember, they've specified Streetlites for South Wales and that operating territory is as tough as Cornwall.
The bigger issue might be the replacement of Olympians with stuff like Tridents that seem distinctly asthmatic!