All bus operators have to comply with the DDA regulations for vehicles used on stage carriage work. That is the end of 2014 for minibuses (eg Varios), the end of 2015 for single deckers and the end of 2016 for double deckers. that's two and a half years.
Funnily enough, just using your own figures, then 1537 / 3 = 513 a year. Given that a high proportion of vehicles that are a little older that 2001 can be modified very easily and cheaply to meet the DDA regulations, then that number falls.
It is also possible that school services could be operated as closed routes, which obviates the need to comply, and this is less of an issue now that BSOG is becoming less and less of an incentive to register school routes as it falls in value, especially if the replacement DDA bus is less fuel efficient as in particular Euro 3 buses are.
So, all in all, it isn't the grim picture for First that you paint. If you look at the Go Ahead and Stagecoach fleets, you will see that they have pretty much the same issue to resolve by those dates too.
Indeed, and I believe that a number of older deckers (which may or may not include 32001-25 but certainly others of similar vintage) will be refurbed to meet DDA requirements.
Also, it's not a blanket thing regarding the date of manufacture. A number of vehicles manufactured before 2001 are DDA compliant or only require relatively small adjustments (as per the B7TLs mentioned above). The main problem is with the Darts R-X reg as there are issues regarding wheelchair access and wheel arches. Also, you will have a certain number of B10BLEs that have perhaps only a couple of years in them. Do you spend a few thousand on them or just get rid?
As SW says, Stagecoach and (to an extent) Go Ahead are in much the same boat as First in many respects.
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I know there was a fair bit of rumour going around that 178 would drop to 2 hourly past Paulton, but unless the 379 changes as well, it won't. Anyone know whether the 379 is changing as well in September? If it's not, then it will just be a minor change to 178 - probably something to do with the evenings (possibly might take back the Wessex stuff??).
Anyone know what they're doing to 265?
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Think Matt was suggesting that it was just some timetable tweaking with the 265.
As for the 178, all they'd have to do is stop the interworking with the 379 for it to go two hourly past Paulton. I travelled on the 178 for the first time in ages about a month ago and it was pretty thin traffic past Paulton until reaching Keynsham, and that was on the peak 0800 ex MSN.
I've seen some very well loaded runs out of Bath towards MSN in an evening so perhaps First might fancy doing something? That said, that's ok on a Friday night but perhaps not so lucrative on a cold Tuesday night in February?
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Had a quick wander to Muller Road. Recent arrivals are some ex Hampshire Darts incl an ex HK one as well as a Scania Floline T565BSS, ex Kernow Olym 31461 N972SOS, and 42702 R702BAE missing its engine. Also, 41400 that came over from Cymru for the expanded services (17, 81/82 etc) is there. Don't know if it saw service but it had gained one of the TravelWest 39 ads!
Longer term residents such as 46653, 46252, 46260 and 46262 are also still there along with a range of ex Welsh/Hants Darts and the Irizars